NVDA has good measured potential above last week's highs.NASDAQ:NVDA has room on the daily chart to about $135 if it can build above the highs from Friday and Thursday of last week. With earnings on Wednesday at 4:20 PM EDT, there should be significant opportunities to the long side if price continues to build above the daily 50 SMA. Equity was added long into the daily 9 EMA, and retest of the recent dark pool at $122.80, and I continue to swing long with targets at weekly highs and the daily upper Bollinger Band.
NVDA
NVDA has a demand zone at the rising daily 5 SMA.NASDAQ:NVDA daily rising 5 SMA will be a potential demand zone tomorrow. I will be watching NVDA to hold this area for a long entry intraday. If NVDA loses this area, there is room back down to the daily 50 SMA, which is a major potential demand zone. This may provide an intraday short opportunity under today's low into these demand zones, and the ability to add equity long for a swing if these demand zones hold.
Nvidia (NVDA): A Beacon in the Tech Sea - Remains a Strong BuyNvidia (NVDA): A Beacon in the Tech Sea
Nvidia, a titan in the semiconductor industry, has consistently demonstrated its ability to navigate the complex landscape of technology. While the stock has experienced recent fluctuations, its underlying fundamentals remain strong, making it a compelling investment opportunity.
A Strong Financial Foundation
Nvidia's financial performance has been nothing short of exceptional. The company's revenue surged by 122.40% year-over-year, far surpassing market expectations. Additionally, its earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by a comfortable margin, underscoring its robust financial health.
Market Leadership and Future Potential
Nvidia's position as a market leader in the semiconductor industry is undeniable. With a massive market capitalization of $3.09 trillion, the company has a significant presence in critical segments such as data centers and artificial intelligence. Its ongoing commitment to innovation ensures that it remains at the forefront of technological advancements, driving future growth.
Navigating Short-Term Challenges
While the stock has experienced a recent decline, it's important to view this as a potential short-term market correction. Despite a slight decrease in institutional holdings, major investors like The Vanguard Group have increased their positions, indicating continued confidence in Nvidia's long-term prospects.
Why Nvidia Remains a Strong Buy
Innovation and Growth: Nvidia's relentless pursuit of innovation in AI and computing positions it for sustained growth.
Financial Health: A strong balance sheet provides a solid foundation for future success.
Market Leadership: Nvidia's dominant position in key segments gives it a competitive advantage.
Path to Recovery
As market sentiment improves and Nvidia continues to deliver impressive financial results, the stock is well-positioned for a rebound. Positive analyst ratings and target prices further reinforce this outlook.
In conclusion, while short-term market fluctuations are inevitable, Nvidia's strong fundamentals, market leadership, and commitment to innovation make it a compelling investment choice. Investors seeking exposure to the technology sector may find Nvidia to be a valuable addition to their portfolios.
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Nvidia: DownhillNVDA has completed the green wave (X) and started descending toward our blue Target Zone between $91.30 and $76.02, which should mark the joint low of waves (Z) in green and A in beige. From this range, the beige five-wave downward move should continue, layawaying along the boundaries of our pink triangular trend channel to finish the large wave (IV) in blue. This final overarching low should take the form of a truncation, i.e., a shortened correction, and initiate a new uptrend above $137.32. However, it is 30% likely that the blue wave alt.(IV) has already concluded, which would result in a direct breakout above the $137.32 mark.
Nvidia Fails to Wow Traders. What to Make of Its Earnings ReportNvidia stock (ticker: NVDA ) is up nearly 3,000% in the past five years. Back then, in 2019, no one really cared about its earnings report as it was known mainly for its niche products targeting geeks, gamers and crypto miners. Now, when Nvidia reports, the world listens.
Everyone and their moms were glued to the screen Wednesday afternoon when the company released its quarterly earnings report. The numbers were good — triple-digit growth was there and guidance was calling for even more growth.
Yet investors proceeded to dump the stock. Big time . Shares lost as much as 10% of their valuation in after-hours trading before Nvidia fans scooped up some of those bruised gems at a discount.
Nvidia is worth $3 trillion (depending on the day) — that’s about 6% of the massive $50 trillion valuation of the S&P 500. The lofty price tag is largely due to Nvidia leading the AI boom with its chips being the hottest commodity in the tech world. As a result, Nvidia has turned into a top pick among the thousands of stocks available out there.
That gives you an idea of this stock’s important role. Markets are placing so much significance on Nvidia’s earnings update that you might as well put it on par with the jobs report or a Fed event.
Good but Not Absolutely Mind-Boggling Amazing
Analysts: We expect revenue growth of 115%.
Nvidia: Here’s 122%.
Analysts: Nooo, why not a bigger beat? Disappointed!
Nvidia posted another blockbuster quarter with $30 billion in revenue, up 122%, surpassing Wall Street’s estimates of $28.7 billion. Earnings per share landed at 68 cents a pop, up 152%, eclipsing consensus views of 65 cents. Thanks to the wide profit margins, Nvidia pocketed some $16.95 billion in net profit.
It did say, however, that gross profit margins narrowed quarter on quarter. For the three months to July 28, Nvidia generated an adjusted gross margin of 75.7%, down from 78.9% the previous quarter. Full-year gross margins are projected to sit above 75% while total revenue is expected to hit $120 billion.
With Great Returns Comes Great Responsibility
Here’s a harsh truth: the bigger you become, the higher the expectations for more breakneck growth. Nvidia’s revenue blasted by a supercharged 265% in the previous quarter. And if 122% can’t keep shares above the flatline, then Nvidia’s rapid expansion has turned against it. And by the looks of it, that growth is going to be increasingly challenged. Large-cap rivals are threatening to chip away (pun intended) at Nvidia’s dominance, potentially taking from its market share, diminishing the profit margins and pulling some of its Big Tech clientele.
For the October quarter, Nvidia chief executive Jensen Huang projects revenue of $32.5 billion, which exceeds the average consensus of $31.7 billion. But, then again, it doesn’t exceed it by a lot — and that didn’t sit well with the overly optimistic investors out there.
Not everything was above market expectations. Nvidia’s next-generation AI chip — Blackwell — still hasn’t started shipping and that unnerves some stock holders. Huang tried to assuage investor fears during the earnings call, saying that despite some design-related delays , Blackwell will ramp up production as expected and will bring in “several billion dollars” still this year. In a move to instil confidence and maybe patch things up, Nvidia authorized a juicy $50 billion stock buyback, which is a mere 2% of its market cap.
What are you doing with Nvidia’s shares? Are you a long-term holder or looking for the right entry? Maybe buying this dip? Let us know in the comment section!
Nvidia still working on Minor B retracementWith earnings out and traders not getting the normal reward of new 52 week highs, we continue to subdivide lower in a primary circle wave 4 that will more than likely not bottom until next year, possibly longer. A primary wave 4 will consist of an intermediate ABC, and each intermediate label will consist of a minor ABC. We're still working on minor B...therefore, it's important that followers of my work be informed we've only just begun the primary wave 4 pattern.
In the short term, we will be in this general area for a while as it appears now we're working on a flat for Intermediate (A).
Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Fall Despite Strong EarningsNvidia (NVDA) Shares Fall Despite Strong Earnings
Yesterday, after the close of the main trading session, Nvidia released its second-quarter earnings report:
→ Earnings per share: actual = $0.67, expected = $0.647;
→ Revenue: $30.04 billion, expected = $28.737 billion;
→ The company also announced a $50 billion share buyback.
However, despite the strong results, Nvidia’s share price declined. While the closing price yesterday was above $125, in pre-market trading today, Nvidia's shares are down below $118.
The more than 6% drop may be due to:
→ The company’s future outlook not meeting investor expectations;
→ Waning bullish sentiment around AI adoption.
On 12 August, during a technical analysis of NVDA’s price chart, we noted:
→ The price was forming an upward channel (indicated in blue);
→ The $100 level was acting as support.
Assuming the bearish momentum from the earnings reaction continues, Nvidia’s shares may open trading today around $115, close to the lower boundary of the current upward channel.
New data provides crucial insights for further predictions:
→ After retreating from the $130 resistance level, the price is likely to form a broad bearish gap around the $120 level, which could act as a future resistance zone.
→ The median line of the blue channel may then act as resistance, increasing the likelihood of a bearish breakout below the channel’s lower boundary.
Meanwhile, analysts remain optimistic. According to a Tipranks survey, 33 out of 36 analysts recommend buying NVDA stock. While the average price target is $150 over the next 12 months, it’s possible that these estimates could be revised downward if bearish sentiment intensifies.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
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US30 Buy ZoneStep one
* Market creates a sell structure @ 41169
Step two
* Market breaks through support @ 40953
Step Three
* Market breaks towards low of 40750 and quickly recovers in price action. Rally?
Step 4
*Economic data sends the Dow jones back to the resistance zones in step 1 & 2. Recovers to rally to an all time high of 41,500 or 42,000 and quickly sells.
NVDA Earnings Results I believe in the next 24 hours we will see a $50 billion stock buyback to $137+ and then a major correction immediately after. I think the selling pressure will be a falling knife. Leading us back into the $100-$70 range. Shaking out retail investors. This is just a prediction. Good luck!!
$NVDA Bull Flag Pattern A bull flag bullish pattern appears to be forming, suggesting potential upside momentum. The key question is whether Nvidia will break out following tomorrow's earnings report. If the results exceed expectations, it could serve as the catalyst needed to propel the stock higher, confirming the bull flag and potentially triggering a strong upward move. Traders will be closely watching for a decisive break above recent resistance levels, which could set the stage for further gains. #SPX500 AMEX:SPY NASDAQ:QQQ NASDAQ:NVDA #Nvidia #ES_F #NQ_F
NVDA New ATH Inbound Technical reasons for a move to the upside are as follows 1 - 1 Fib Extension gives us $155
TR Pocket pull gives us $154 - $157 for more confluence, and finally we have Pivots at $152. All aligning in the same region I expect price to eventually gravitate to the upside . Not necessarily all on earnings day but never say never . Market structure is also in a bullish uptrend HTF. With that in mind we have these strong technicals/confluence to expect all time highs to be taken out $140.76.*ATH come Earnings Release.
I dont advocate blindly longing up here though as the last opportunity to long was back in July but if you trade the INDEX Futures then you can use this as a potential compass into taking a Long * NQ for example .
I dont look at Fundamentals but it was brought to my attention that the CEO has been selling vast amounts of stock which is publicly displayed if you care to investigate .
So its possible that he knows something that we dont and maybe the results that are announced tomorrow dont meet expectations .
if thats the case then of course be prepared for a move to the downside before continuation to the upside but bear in mind that NVDA have beaten expectations 4 X previously and have lucrative partnerships in the tech space and AI is still in its infancy so anything can happen . I remain bullish on the sector and NVDA especially
Results are announced after market close Wed 29
Share and Like to support my work
Stock Surge Leaving Bitcoin Behind? Stock Surge Leaving Bitcoin Behind?
The longstanding correlation between the Nasdaq and Bitcoin took a hit today as the two markets diverged, signaling potential shifts in investor sentiment.
This breakdown could be a precursor to broader market volatility, particularly as Nvidia prepares to release its much-anticipated earnings report tomorrow.
Nvidia initially opened lower today but reversed course, closing up 1.6%. The stock has rallied nearly 10% in August, fueled by bullish commentary from customers who are continuing to invest heavily in data centers and Nvidia-based infrastructure. This optimism has set a high bar for tomorrow’s earnings.
Bitcoin, meanwhile, is trading at $62,000, about 25% above its lowest point this month. However, the cryptocurrency is potentially facing stiff resistance at $65,000. This struggle at a key technical level could be a signal of waning risk appetite.
The Federal Reserve’s potential rate cuts are also a double-edged sword for Bitcoin. While lower rates typically boost risk assets, there’s a growing concern that such a move could indicate deeper economic troubles ahead.
On the bullish side, Paul Christopher, head of global investment strategy at Wells Fargo, recently likened the current market environment to 1995, when the S&P 500 soared to 77 all-time highs. If history repeats itself, stocks could be on the cusp of a rally not seen in nearly three decades.
I am Bullish on Superintelligence Alliance coins
Considering the steroid from the upcoming NVIDIA earning call scheduled for tomorrow, there is a likely chance that FET may hit $1.58 to $1.8 now that it has broken the critical resistance trendline.
I am positive on Artificial Superintelligence Alliance coins
NVDA: The market anticipates Nvidia's Q2 earnings reportInvestors and analysts are keenly focused on Nvidia Corporation as it prepares to release its Q2 earnings this Wednesday. Nvidia, a powerhouse in the artificial intelligence industry, has been at the forefront of producing cutting-edge chips for data centres, which is crucial for developing AI models. The company's products are in high demand, serving a diverse customer base from tech behemoths like Microsoft to innovative startups like OpenAI.
For the second quarter, Nvidia's management has projected a staggering 28 billion USD in total revenue, following a robust Q1 performance during which the company garnered 26 billion USD, surpassing its initial 24 billion USD forecast. The market is optimistic, anticipating that the Q2 results might exceed expectations, similar to the previous quarter.
Technical analysis of NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA)
Exploring potential trading opportunities based on Nvidia's stock performance ahead of the earnings report:
Timeframe : Hourly (H1)
Current trend : the stock is showing an upward trend on a daily scale, with prices consolidating in a narrow range on the hourly chart as the market waits for the earnings announcement
Short-term target : the immediate upside target is set at the resistance level of 130.00 USD
Medium-term target : breaking past the 130.00 USD resistance could open the pathway to further gains, potentially reaching the yearly high of around 140.00 USD
Key support : currently established at 123.00 USD
Reversal scenario : if the price drops below the critical support level at 123.00 USD, it could negate the bullish outlook and lead to a potential decline towards the next support level around 115.00 USD
Market impact
The upcoming earnings report from Nvidia is poised to influence market sentiment significantly and could catalyse movements across the broader US stock market. A report surpassing expectations may propel Nvidia's stock and lift broader market indices, while a disappointing outcome could trigger a corrective phase in Nvidia shares and dampen market sentiments. Investors should stay tuned for the earnings release, which will provide critical insights into Nvidia's financial health and its impact on stock market dynamics.
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Navigating NVIDIA Earnings Led Volatility with S&P 500 OptionsNVIDIA will announce its Q2 2025 results on 28th August. The semiconductor giant is expected to deliver USD 28.6 billion in revenues. Even a mild shortfall can send its stock prices tanking. The firm is slated to scale even greater heights on continued AI hardware demand & explosion in data centres.
ANALYSTS REMAIN BULLISH
NVIDIA enjoys buy rating with 12-month price targets ranging from USD 90 to USD 200 per share across 52 analysts.
Forty-seven analysts have strong buy rating followed by nine buys and five holds based on 61 analysts issuing ratings over the last three months.
The firm has a commanding position in the AI-driven chip market. Booming demand for GPUs in data centres and cloud computing serve as relentless tail winds.
NVIDIA EXPECTED TO DELIVER INCREDIBLE RESULTS ON GROWING AI DEMAND
AI demand is palpable. This demand is vindicated by eye popping financial performance. Few can deliver higher earnings without comprising margins. NVIDIA has crushed both.
Its revenues have risen 5.6x since 2019 while its net income has risen 10.6x during the same period. Its net income margins have expanded two-fold from 25.6% to 48.9% in the same time frame.
Little surprise that its shares are up 162.71% so far this year far surpassing S&P 500, Nasdaq 100, and other mega caps.
NVIDIA IS EXPECTED TO EXTEND ITS DOMINATION
Tech firms are in early stages of AI hardware adoption, driving demand for NVIDIA’s chips. Its data center business is a key revenue driver, benefiting from growing AI workloads.
Source: Statista
NVIDIA’s AI GPUs are crucial for machine learning and neural network tasks. GPUs will contribute to 40% of its total revenue in 2024.
The firm continues to expand its CUDA software ecosystem. CUDA enables developers to optimize AI workloads. Combination of hardware and software makes its ecosystem extremely sticky. It locks in developers & clients contributing to long-term revenues.
Furthermore, NVIDIA’s long-term roadmap includes innovations in AI chips designed for specific tasks, such as inferencing and deep learning, areas where its competitors have struggled to gain traction.
RECAPPING NVIDIA’S RECORD SHATTERING Q1 2025 EARNINGS
The firm delivered record quarterly revenues of USD 26 billion (up 18% QoQ & 262% YoY), primarily driven by a 427% surge in Data Center business. Its net income of USD 14.88 billion and diluted EPS of USD 5.98, marked 21% and 629% increase respectively YoY. The gross margin rose to 78.4%, up 2.4% QoQ & 13.8% YoY.
The firm also announced ten-for-one forward stock split effective 7th June. It increased quarterly dividend by 150% to $0.10 per post-split share. On such stunning results, its share prices rose 9.3% after announcement.
Even though NVIDIA share prices have risen, its price-to-earnings ratio have come off thanks to even sharper rise in its earnings.
The price paid for each dollar of earnings is cheapest over the last eight quarters based on P/E ratio. The P/E ratio is down to 51x as of Q1 2024 compared to 144x as of Q1 2023.
EARNINGS SURPRISES & SHOCKS AND ITS IMPACT ON STOCK PRICES
NVIDIA’s quarterly earnings has crushed expectations 21 out of the last 22 quarters since 2019. Beating earnings has become par for the course for this firm. Even mild shocks can cause tremors in its share prices.
It is no surprise then that the 12-month rolling beta of the firm is 2.78x making it highly volatile. Beta measures share price sensitivity to the overall market. It quantifies price moves of a stock to the broader index.
BETA HEDGING NVIDIA STOCKS WITH S&P 500 MICRO INDEX OPTIONS
Portfolio Managers holding NVIDIA stocks can cleverly use deeply liquid CME Micro E-Mini S&P 500 Index Options (CME Micro S&P 500 Options) to hedge against potential earnings linked price shocks.
Holding NVIDIA shares while hedging the holding via CME Micro S&P 500 Put Options helps to build effective portfolio resilience.
Investors are assumed to hold one-hundred shares for illustration. The notional value of NVIDIA shares is calculated using close of market price on 23rd August.
Trading View publishes twelve-month rolling beta for each stock. It can be used for calculating the required number of S&P 500 index puts to hedge against downside price risk.
We suggest adjusting the beta upwards (“Earnings Linked Beta”) by 50% to cater for earnings linked excess volatility.
The notional value of options is calculated using Earnings Linked Beta. Two lots of CME Micro S&P 500 Options are required to hedge 100 NVIDIA shares.
The table below demonstrates overall Beta Hedged P&L based on various price scenarios for NVIDIA share prices and S&P 500 futures price after earnings.
Single stock options can be used to hedge. The cost of hedging using them would be expensive due to elevated IV levels during earnings. Investors must balance cost savings against basis risks.
Please note that beta hedging involves basis risks. If the stock and index prices fail to move in tandem as expected, then beta hedge may not provide adequate protection from adverse price moves.
The table below illustrates Beta Hedged P&L if index moves in a muted manner which is unlikely.
The table below illustrates Beta Hedged P&L if index moves inversely to NVIDIA share prices. This scenario is a highly unlikely but is included for clarity of understanding and illustration purposes only.
Investors can consider exploiting elevated implied volatility in NVIDIA options by selling calls to partly fund the purchase of index put options.
By selling a 25-delta options expiring on 30th August, the investor creates a covered call strategy on the underlying NVIDIA stocks. A 25-delta call translates to a 142 strike and the last traded price on 23rd August was USD 2.70 per share. Investors can view up-to-date pricing sheets along with various options analysis tools on CME QuikStrike .
The P&L of beta hedge plus covered call assuming expected index moves is as shown below:
MARKET DATA
CME Real-time Market Data helps identify trading set-ups and express market views better. If you have futures in your trading portfolio, you can check out on CME Group data plans available that suit your trading needs tradingview.com/cme .
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NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the the recent dip on NVDA:
nor before the big rally:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 138usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-1-17,
for a premium of approximately $15.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
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NVDA Near Historic Highs: Awaiting Key Breakout SignalsI’m sharing a weekly chart analysis for NVDA, focusing on its current position near historical highs at $129 after a bounce from $90.
From the logarithmic scale chart, it's clear that NVDA has been in a long-term progression channel since July 2015. Currently, the price is positioned on the upper deviation line of this channel, indicating a potential resistance area. Given this position on the logarithmic scale, I am leaning towards a short bias as it suggests we could see a pullback or correction.
I’ve also identified two cup & handle patterns, each with their respective targets. However, these patterns will only be validated based on the next price movements.
While there is still a blue support trend and a red resistance trend in play, the price near its historical highs and its proximity to the upper boundary of the progression channel suggest that a downward movement could be more likely. However, due to the large time scale of the weekly chart, we should wait for further confirmation of a downtrend before taking a short position.
For now, I recommend caution and suggest waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current channel before making any decisive trades. I’d love to hear your insights and thoughts on this setup.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Wave 1 Nearly Complete – New Entry Opportunity?After a break, we’re taking another look at NVIDIA, which is now around $100 — which sounds like a much more attractive level compared to $1100. But it isn't, as in the meantime we witnessed a stock split. We still see more upside for NVIDIA as we believe we are in Wave (5) of the current cycle, if our count is correct.
Zooming in, the past surge doesn't need much commentary as it was mostly upward movement without significant corrections. Now, it looks like we’re getting into the intra-wave structure. We expect Wave 1 to finish after one last leg up to complete the five-wave cycle for Wave 1.
Afterward, we could look for entry points at the end of Wave 2. If this scenario plays out with the bearish divergence on the RSI, we will update you on how we plan to position ourselves.