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$NVDA LongNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) shows signs of a potential rebound based on Elliott Wave Theory and key technical indicators. The chart suggests that NVDA has likely completed a corrective Wave 4 and could be entering Wave 5, signaling a continuation of its primary bullish trend. Divergences in the Relative Strength Index (RSI), MACD, and Williams %R indicate that the recent pullback may be temporary. The RSI shows a bullish divergence, with higher lows on the indicator while the price made lower lows, a common precursor to upward momentum. The MACD has turned upward, with a bullish crossover suggesting increasing buying interest. The Williams %R, which measures overbought and oversold conditions, also shows a divergence, indicating the stock may have been oversold and could be ready to reverse. NVIDIA’s strong fundamentals, driven by increasing demand for AI infrastructure and GPUs, support this technical setup. Compared to gold and U.S. Treasury bonds, which have stabilized with minimal growth potential, NVIDIA offers significant upside as the chart signals a potential reversal and renewed bullish momentum.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FairValueBuffet
Is the AI Revolution Built on a House of Cards?In the treacherous landscape of technological ambition, Nvidia emerges as a cautionary tale of unchecked corporate hubris and potentially unsustainable growth. What appeared to be an unstoppable technological juggernaut now reveals deep fissures in its seemingly impenetrable facade, with mounting challenges threatening to unravel its carefully constructed narrative of AI dominance. Specific challenges underscore this fragility: comments from Microsoft's Satya Nadella suggest a potential moderation in AI chip demand, while Alphabet's Sundar Pichai has highlighted that "the low-hanging fruit is gone" in AI model development. Beneath the glossy veneer of technological innovation lies a troubling reality of regulatory scrutiny and market volatility. Nvidia faces a perfect storm of challenges: a potential slowdown in AI chip demand, an aggressive antitrust investigation by Chinese regulators, and growing skepticism from industry leaders. The competition is intensifying, with Amazon developing its own Trainium AI chips, and Broadcom positioning itself to capture significant market share with custom AI chip solutions projected to reach $90 billion in the next three years. OpenAI co-founder Ilya Sutskever's stark statement that "we've achieved peak data" further undermines the narrative of unbridled AI growth. The broader implications are profound and deeply concerning. Nvidia's struggles represent a microcosm of the larger technological ecosystem—a world where innovation is increasingly constrained by geopolitical tensions, regulatory challenges, and the harsh economic realities of diminishing returns. Despite massive capital expenditures by tech giants—with Microsoft nearly doubling its spending to $20 billion and Meta increasing expenses by 36%—only 4% of US workers use AI daily. This stark disconnect between investment and actual utility exposes the potential fragility of Nvidia's market position, with analysts suggesting that 2024 may have been the peak in terms of percentage increase for AI-related infrastructure spending.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by UDIS_View
NVIDIA's Declined over 10%, Why? When will be the Buy timing? NVIDIA fell nearly 4% today before narrowing the loss to 1.22%. Since hitting a record closing high of $148.88 in early November, the AI chip maker's stock has dropped over 10%. So, what is causing NVIDIA's decline? Firstly, Supply Chain Issues and Challenges NVIDIA faces multiple challenges in its supply chain, a significant factor in its stock decline. First, according to the latest data, the order volume and schedules for the GB200 and GB300 have been adjusted. Particularly, the mass production and shipment of GB series products have been postponed until after the Lunar New Year in February, increasing market uncertainty. Additionally, the small-scale production plans for GB300 face tight deadlines, putting pressure on GB200's mass production. Specific supply chain issues include CoWoS-L packaging technology, heating problems, copper cable connections, and leakage issues. These not only affect product yield rates but also increase system integration time costs. Consequently, NVIDIA has suggested customers purchase the B200 8-card HGX as a transitional solution, and clients like Microsoft are considering switching their orders. These supply chain issues affect NVIDIA's product delivery capabilities and reduce market expectations for its future performance. Secondly, Market Competition and Narrative Changes ASICs are gaining market recognition as a competitive narrative. ASICs are chips designed for specific tasks, akin to custom running shoes for a race. For certain tasks, ASICs outperform NVIDIA's GPUs (widely used for computing tasks) and are potentially cheaper. OpenAI co-founder Ilya and industry leaders like Microsoft's CEO Satya have started discussing the importance of not only training AI models but also ensuring they can quickly and accurately make decisions in real applications. This shift in perspective gives ASICs an advantage in some scenarios, as they are designed for rapid, precise execution of tasks. This raises questions about the cost of NVIDIA's GPUs. While powerful, they are expensive and require significant electricity and cooling. As ASICs perform better at lower costs for some tasks, there's consideration of replacing NVIDIA's GPUs with ASICs. Additionally, changes in scaling law narratives and the strengthening of inference narratives pose threats to NVIDIA. Scaling laws suggest that increasing AI model size (e.g., more neurons or layers) typically improves performance, but these gains are not infinite and require significant computational resources. This means NVIDIA must continually invest resources to improve product performance, potentially increasing costs. Moreover, companies like BTC, Tesla, and Google are investing heavily in their own AI chips or solutions. This intensifies market competition and challenges NVIDIA's leadership. Thirdly, Market Sentiment and Capital Flows Market sentiment and capital flow significantly impact NVIDIA's stock price. As the year ends, retail investors, ETFs, and institutions adjust their portfolios. Fluctuations in tech giants like Microsoft, Apple, and Google affect tech stocks like NVIDIA. Investors are more cautious, favoring stable, promising companies. Given these conditions, NVIDIA faces pressure on its stock price due to supply chain issues and competition. Lowered expectations for NVIDIA's future performance lead to capital outflows and stock price declines. Fourthly, Future Outlook and Catalysts Despite current challenges, NVIDIA has opportunities for a turnaround. First, NVIDIA needs to resolve supply chain issues, improve product yield, and delivery capabilities. Second, strengthening its presence in software and applications is crucial to addressing market competition. Additionally, NVIDIA should explore new computing narratives to expand its computing potential. Fifthly, Technical Analysis and Price Divergence Previously, prices rose continuously, but volume and KDJ began to decline, showing divergence. Without capital support, upward momentum was insufficient, leading to a short-term adjustment and a break below the mid-term trend line, resulting in a mid-term callback. When Might a New Rally Occur? From a technical analysis perspective: After two prior mid-term adjustments, breaking the downward trend line may signal the start of a new rally. Thus, this new rally must first break the resistance line. From a catalyst perspective: While January's CES and the earnings release in late February may not bring major surprises, March's GTC is worth anticipating. NVIDIA needs to showcase new technologies and products at this event to restore market confidence. If NVIDIA can introduce groundbreaking innovations, a stock rebound is possible.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by xugina78
NVIDIA - Arguments For BearsAs in my last post "Arguments For Bulls" I do my Analysis for NVDA with eyes of a Bear. We see the red down sloping Pendulum Swing Pitchfork. Because the A-Point is LOWER than the C Point, it's a Pullback Fork that would give us the potential downfall target at the Center-Line, before the Pendulum of price would swing to the upside again. - the "Trend Barrier Dow" was breached - price reacted to the tick multiple times at the U-MLH (White Rectangle) (Upper-Medianline-Parallel). This is clear resistance. - Price just filled the GAP from 3 Days ago, so it can continue in the opposite direction (down) again. So, that's it. You have 3 ways to play this: Long, Short, Flat. Earnings of such a Market influential underlying is a pure gamble. I grab some Pop-Corn and watch the show and see, which of the cases is wrong and right. §8-) Happy Profits all
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
Nvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Falls to a Two-Month LowNvidia (NVDA) Stock Price Falls to a Two-Month Low While the Nasdaq 100 index (US Tech 100 mini on FXOpen) climbed to an all-time high, Nvidia's (NVDA) stock price dropped below $131 during yesterday's trading session for the first time since mid-October. This bearish behaviour suggests a weakening of Nvidia's leading position. What is the reason? A key driver could be the significant surge in Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) shares, a competitor to Nvidia. Following a roughly 20% price increase for AVGO in one day, another growth day followed, as we anticipated yesterday. As a result, amid Broadcom's strong forecast for 2025, AVGO shares have risen by 54% since early December, and investors may be reallocating their portfolios, selling NVDA and buying AVGO. Technical analysis of Nvidia's (NVDA) stock chart reveals a concerning picture — bears may break the lower boundary of the blue channel, which has acted as support throughout 2024. Importantly, bears managed to push the price downwards both from the $150 level and the $140 level (indicated by arrows). According to the Nasdaq exchange, NVDA's stock price in today's pre-market trading has fallen below $130. If this does not trigger demand for the stock of one of the leading companies in the AI boom, it will be another worrying signal. According to TipRanks, analysts remain optimistic for now: → 37 out of 40 analysts recommend buying NVDA shares. → The average price target for NVDA is $177 within 12 months. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
1
Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades. QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low IWM - Green today but similar to DIA Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move. WATCHLIST: Bullish : NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2 Bearish : NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other" NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15): ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
AMEX:SPYShort
by Alanger17
Daily Watchlist (12/17/24) + Market NotesSPY - Failing attempts all over to reclaim highs and lows, so we are making new intraday Broadening Formations. The current one as seen in the chart, is looking to potentially head back through previous range if unable to continue to the upside pivots around 608.40 and 609. Given we have FOMC news Wednesday, I am not expecting too much to happen tomorrow as we are stuck in previous range and keep seeing failed attempts to reclaim pivots. Of course anything can happen, but I will strictly be watching individual names only for trades. QQQ - New ATH again today. Nothing special to note besides the fact that tech is obviously leading things this week DIA - Polar opposite of QQQ. Industrials getting slammed again this week as DIA puts in its 8th consecutive Daily lower low IWM - Green today but similar to DIA Overall market notes: Its clear that the market continues to see cyclical names move higher while more defensive and noncyclical names continue lower. In light of FOMC this week, it doesn't seem like any sectors are making too big of shifts besides financials finally seeing some buying again. Mainly just concerned with what SPY does this Wednesday as it seems like usual we are waiting for the news before making the next significant move. WATCHLIST: Bullish : NASDAQ:PLTR - Potential 3-2U daily with a potential 3-1-2U 4HR to trigger the day. FTFC green, but week is inside with lots of room to go for either side to go 2 Bearish : NYSE:UBER - Potential 2-1-2D Daily. Shooter inside day to put week 2D and confirm Q attempting to go 3 after hitting hammer revstrat upside magnitude earlier this Q NYSE:PFE - Potential 3-2D daily to put week 3-2D. Weekly reversal occurred at Q exhaustion, but failed 2 upside attempts now. "Fail one side, target the other" NYSE:PINS - Potential 3-2D Daily to confirm Weekly 3-2-2D in force with magnitude left Notable winners from weekly watchlist (posted Sunday 12/15): ETSY, RBLX, RKLB, OXY, WMT
AMEX:SPYShort
by Alanger17
$AMD DOUBLE BOTTOM EASY $175 BY NEXT EARNINGA double bottom pattern is a traditional technical analysis chart formation that signifies a significant trend reversal and a shift in momentum from a previous downward movement in market trading. It depicts a security or index experiencing an initial decline, followed by a rebound, then another decline to a level similar to the initial drop, and finally a subsequent rebound that may lead to a new uptrend. - PlayStation 6 Processor Contract : NASDAQ:AMD has secured the contract to supply processors for the upcoming PlayStation 6, surpassing Intel. This agreement ensures the sale of millions of custom chips and generates billions in revenue, solidifying AMD's position in the gaming console market. - Strong Financial Performance: NASDAQ:AMD reported remarkable revenue growth, with a 17.57% increase in the third quarter of 2024. This performance underscores AMD's robust market position and profitability. -AI and Semiconductor Supercycle: The semiconductor industry, including NASDAQ:AMD , is poised to benefit from the rising demand for AI-related products and services. This trend is expected to drive further growth and profitability for AMD. Positive Analyst Ratings: Numerous analysts have given NASDAQ:AMD a "Strong Buy" rating, with price targets ranging from $155 to $250. This optimistic outlook suggests significant potential gains in AMD's stock value. AS OF 12/16/2024 RSI (14) 33.31 52W Low 3.99%
NASDAQ:AMDLong
by sej4974
NVDA Falling Wedge Pattern Setup: $127 SL - $153 TargetA falling wedge pattern has formed on NVDA's daily chart, with price action contained between two converging downward trendlines. The stock shows a potential bullish reversal setup after reaching recent highs around $145. Volume has been declining during the pattern formation, which is characteristic of a falling wedge. The setup offers a clear risk-reward with stop loss at $127 and target at $153, with entry planned on a break above the upper trendline.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by sun_finance1
Nvidia: Gradual ProgressNvidia’s stock has made slight progress toward fulfilling our primary scenario. We still anticipate -wave sell-offs down to the support level at $90.69, where the blue wave (IV) correction should finally conclude. However, our alternative scenario of an already finished wave alt. (IV) remains in play. In this case, the stock would resume its ascent as part of blue wave alt. (V), pushing well above the resistance at $152.89 to reach new highs and, thus, complete the overarching green wave alt. (probability: 37%).
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarketIntel
NVDIA Why buying in December is an excellent strategy.NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) has entered the 2nd half of December below its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). On any other occasion that would've been alarming, for NVDIA however this presents the best long-term buy opportunity in a while. The reason is simple and has to do with the amazing symmetry that the 2-year Channel Up (which NVDIA has been trading in) displays. Despite breaking below the 1D MA50, the price is still contained within the Channel Up, in fact it is very close to making direct contact with its Higher Lows trend-line. That would be a technical bottom, with the last Support marginally lower on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). On this pattern, we can see that the stock's price action is highly systemic and can be classified into the: a) Accumulation Phase (Rectangle) where the market engages into long-term long positioning again after the Channel Up tops (forms a Higher Highs) and b) the Bull Phase (green Channel Up) where the price enters the aggressive rally of the long-term Channel's Bullish Leg. As you can see, the previous two Bullish Legs have risen by roughly +257.68%, one from the bottom of the Accumulation Phase (Leg 2) and the other from its December bottom (Leg 1). It is also quite evident on this chart that the month of December plays a critical significance for NDVIA. On December 2022 and December 2023 the true rally sequences of the Bullish Legs started. As a result, we can expect this sideways, neutral price action that the company has been having lately to bottom by the end of December (2024) and initiate the hyper aggressive part of the new Bullish Leg (green Channel Up). Also, even if it repeats the less aggressive pattern of Leg 2 and rises by +257.68% from the Accumulation Phase's bottom, we can expect to see it rise by as high as $320 by this Summer. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
1
Nvidia - Launching The Final Bullrun!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) can still rally another +40%: Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻 After rejecting the channel resistance in June, July and August of 2024 and correcting about -40%, buyers immediately stepped in and pushed Nvidia much higher. There is a quite high chance, that we will see a final blow off rally, squeezing out the last remaining bears. Levels to watch: $200 Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
34
Cautious optimism to give way to December decline for NVDA The sentiment around NVIDIA (NVDA) over the past 72 hours has been mixed but leans slightly positive. Here's what we see: Analyst Views : Analysts remain bullish, with a strong "buy" consensus and an average price target suggesting a potential 21% upside from current levels. This reflects optimism about NVIDIA’s prospects, particularly with its leadership in AI and data center technology. Seasonal Trends : Historically, December has been a weaker month for NVIDIA’s stock performance, with shares declining in 60% of Decembers over the past decade. However, this is typically followed by strong recoveries in the new year. Investor Discussions: Investors 'round the Web are expressing cautious optimism. Some highlight concerns about high valuation and broader market headwinds, while others emphasize NVIDIA's long-term growth drivers like AI and semiconductor demand. The overall mood suggests near-term caution due to seasonal and valuation factors but confidence in NVIDIA's long-term trajectory. With all this said, we see cautious optimism leading to a rise to a key resistance level in the 144.00 price range, followed by a decline in December, fueled alongside the SPY's potential crumbling.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by JC7USA
2