NVDA
$NVDA Algorithm Buy Alert June 11Our strategy is to wait for the large green dot to enter a long position. One June 11 2024 14:45, we got our large green dot buy alert. We never trade with emotion. By eliminating emotion, we can trade successfully and make huge profits that will pay for the software 10 times over. As of today we are still in Nvidia long position
Big Tech is nearly at All time High's. Just 3% away!It has doubled since the peak Recession fears of 2021
#BTC has also more than doubled
#SOL has 4 or 5 X'd
This chart is combined price chart of
#Googl
#Appl
#MSFT
#Amzn
#NVDA
#NFLX
#META
U can see the two head and shoulder tops in 2021
and also the inverse head and shoulders in 2022
The clean break and run.
And also the Bull Pennant which has already bullishly triggered 3 weeks ago.
From these levels if that Bull pennant target is to be met (log scale)
It seems this basket has another 30% move left in it.
Dow 'Big Yikes' moment as it gravely lags behind BigTech rallyA stock-market rally concentrated on an ever-narrowing cohort of tech stocks is leaving the Dow Jones Industrial Average behind as the Nasdaq Composite (IXIC), Nasdaq-100 hit records, making investors nervous.
The scope of the divergence on Wednesday, with the Nasdaq-100 finishing posting a 1.33% gain versus a 0.09% fall for the Dow DJIA was particularly troubling.
This is quite rare moment as the Dow posted a daily close more than 1.0 percentage points below Nasdaq-100 Index and more than 0.9% below S&P500 Index.
That is a 'Big Yikes' moment.
It's largely a statement on very bad breadth of the market, as we're incredibly reliant on just a very small number of names.
The rally more recently, he noted, has been driven largely by longtime AI favorite Nvidia Corp. (NVDA), and Apple Inc. (AAPL), which has surged nearly 9% this week as it outlined its own plans to add AI to its products.
The Super concentration is manifested in any number of breadth statistics, which track how many stocks in an index are participating in a move, including the percentage of stocks at 52-week highs versus 52-week lows and the percentage above their 200-day moving average.
For example, just one component of SP500 Index - that is Nvidia.. had accounted for 35% of the increase in the S&P 500's market cap in 2024.
Such a high concentration implies that if NVIDIA continues to rise, then things are fine and dandy.
But if it starts to decline, then the market will be hit hard.
Overall, presidential-election years tend to be strong ones for the market, particularly in the fourth quarter. And years that begin strong also tend to hold up.
But everything could end, earlier or later.
The main chart is the ratio between Nasdaq-100 (NDX) and Dow Jones (DJI) Indices. That indicates that June quarter posting an extremely new historical high between these two Major indices, first time over the past 25 years.
A very historical times we live.
Nvidia is Topping in the Near TermAlthough having reached my target for wave v of 5, we do not have any evidence of a top in place as of today's trading session. In the days or weeks to come I look for a breach of $116 to give us our initial indication we've topped, with confirmation coming with a breach of $106.
This would be a long term top.
Best to all,
Chris
Nvidia Races Ahead: Can It Lead After Apple Stock SplitNvidia Races Ahead: Can it Maintain the Lead After Apple's Stock Split?
The tech world is abuzz with the news of Nvidia's staggering outperformance of Apple's stock price in 2024. Annually, Nvidia has surged a remarkable 190+%, leaving Apple in the dust with a meager 19% gain. This stark contrast comes just ahead of Apple's highly anticipated 10-to-1 stock split, raising questions about the future performance of both tech giants.
Nvidia's Stellar Rise: A Chip Powerhouse on Fire
Nvidia's dominance can be attributed to its position as a leader in the booming semiconductor industry. The ever-growing demand for powerful graphics processing units (GPUs) for applications like artificial intelligence, gaming, and data centers has propelled Nvidia's growth. Their cutting-edge technology has made them the go-to choice for tech enthusiasts and professionals alike.
Apple's Stagnant Growth: A Maturing Giant?
While Apple remains a tech behemoth, its stock price hasn't mirrored the explosive growth seen in other sectors. This could be due to a number of factors. The smartphone market, a cornerstone of Apple's success, has reached a saturation point. Additionally, competition from other manufacturers, particularly in the Chinese market, has intensified.
Stock Splits: A Psychological Boost or a Price Trick?
Stock splits themselves don't change the underlying value of a company. They simply increase the number of shares outstanding while proportionally reducing the share price. However, stock splits can have a psychological impact on investors. A lower share price can make the stock appear more affordable, potentially attracting new investors and boosting short-term trading activity.
Volatility Ahead: Will Apple Reclaim Its Throne?
Apple's upcoming stock split has the potential to introduce significant price volatility in the short term. The lower share price might entice retail investors, leading to a temporary surge. However, long-term performance will depend on Apple's ability to innovate and tap into new growth markets.
Beyond the Numbers: A Look at the Fundamentals
While the current stock price performance paints a clear picture, a deeper analysis of both companies' fundamentals is crucial for long-term investors. Here are some key aspects to consider:
• Product Pipeline: Both companies have a history of successful product launches. Analyzing their upcoming product lines and potential disruptions will provide insights into future growth prospects.
• Innovation: Continuous innovation is vital for sustained success in the tech industry. Evaluating each company's commitment to research and development will shed light on their ability to stay ahead of the curve.
• Market Expansion: Identifying new markets and customer segments that either company can tap into can be a significant growth driver.
The Verdict: A Tale of Two Tech Titans
Nvidia's current lead is undeniable, but Apple shouldn't be counted out. The stock split has the potential to reignite investor interest in Apple, and its brand loyalty remains unmatched. Ultimately, which company emerges victorious will depend on their ability to navigate the ever-evolving tech landscape, deliver innovative products, and expand into new markets.
For investors, this is an exciting time to be in the tech sector. By carefully analyzing both companies' fundamentals and long-term strategies, investors can make informed decisions about where to place their bets. The race between Nvidia and Apple is far from over, and the coming months will be a fascinating test of their respective strengths and resilience.
$NVDA - Majorly Bearish Macro StructureMy previous NVDA previous came in massively early. I think the stock made a 100% increase in value since the time of my original post, shown below. Despite this fact and the recent split, the overall macro formation of the chart has not changed. Although, I was earlier than I would have liked to have been, I fully believe the general sentiment and drastic nature of my prediction to be spot on.
NVDA has legs to climb up to $150-$200 possibly, but the tumble will be tremendous, over time. With 5 waves up, my fellow Elliotticians, we all know what follows.
Do I think NVDA is a crappy company? No.
Do I seriously think $2 will come? Yes
Nvidia Analysis After SplitThe Nvidia share price has never risen so steeply. Each rise lasted about 30 months and was followed by an average correction of 50%. I think we are getting close to the next correction. It will be an excellent buying opportunity. But until then we can even see $160 because of the FOMO and the new investors who came after stock split.
$AAPL $181 Target by the end of the next 20 trading daysVery simple. 10D candles show practically the same thing. I guessed the run up, now let's get the run down. Pullback neccessaryfor higher prices come late summer before another pullback come mid August. MACD has bearish divergence and also hitting resistance. RSI making lower highs as well.
NVIDIA $NVDA - Will NVIDIA hit $1,000 Today?NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA - Will NVIDIA hit $1,000 Today? What's next after that? Will Shorts come in? They say 'what goes up ,must come down.' Will this hold true for a juggernaut like NVDA? Also could this turn into a short squeeze? Will non-farm payroll fuel some volatility today? Will it be the perfect storm or just another day in the books? What are your thoughts?
NVDA Targets ExplainedLets be honest, NVDA rules the AI, Tech, and computing world. There is no reason to bet against it.
This analysis will be simple. After another bullish push to the upside, there is a buying imbalance above the volume profile. The best price action would be for it to retrace (pull-back) to $1,160, to backtest the Value Area High and sweep the liquidity below the local lows before moving higher. The next biggest area it can retrace to before moving higher would be $1,140.00, the Point of control which is the area the most volume is traded based on the FRVP pull.
Lets see how this plays out.
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Short NVDA After Stock SplitNASDAQ:NVDA shares will begin trading on a split-adjusted basis on June 10th. Nvidia has completed five other stock splits since its IPO in 1999, and shares have typically declined sharply during the next year.
Regarding reversion targets (pre-adjusted):
Correction: 200 Day, currently at $657.97
Long Term Correction: 200 Week, currently at $303.14
Once split-adjusted, historical price action is typically bearish after the bubble. This has implications for semis, the broader tech trade, and equities into year end.
Nvidia Scores a Knockout: Chipmaker Topples AppleNvidia Scores a Knockout: Chipmaker Topples Apple to Reach $3 Trillion Throne
In a stunning shift of the tech world's power dynamics, Nvidia Corporation (NVDA) has dethroned Apple (AAPL) as the world's most valuable company by market capitalization. Surpassing the $3 trillion mark for the first time ever, Nvidia's meteoric rise signifies the transformative power of artificial intelligence (AI) and the chipmaker's strategic positioning at the heart of this technological revolution.
From Graphics Giant to AI Powerhouse
Nvidia's journey to the top isn't a tale of overnight success. The company built its reputation on high-performance graphics processing units (GPUs) - the workhorses behind smooth gameplay and stunning visuals. However, a fortuitous discovery changed the game. These same GPUs, designed for complex graphics calculations, proved remarkably adept at handling the intricate computations demanded by AI. This adaptability propelled Nvidia into the AI arena, where its chips are now powering a vast array of groundbreaking applications.
Fueling the AI Engine
Several factors have converged to create a perfect storm for Nvidia's growth:
• The AI Explosion: The global AI market is on an exponential growth trajectory. As AI infiltrates diverse industries from healthcare to finance, the demand for Nvidia's powerful GPUs is expected to skyrocket. Self-driving cars, facial recognition systems, advanced medical research – these are just a few examples of the areas where Nvidia's technology plays a critical role.
• Gaming Goes Beyond the Console: The gaming industry, a long-standing customer base for Nvidia, is experiencing a renaissance fueled by cloud gaming and virtual reality (VR). These advancements necessitate ever-more powerful graphics processing, further solidifying Nvidia's position within this lucrative market segment.
• The Crypto Craze: While a volatile factor, the ongoing cryptocurrency boom has undeniably boosted demand for Nvidia's GPUs, as they are well-suited for cryptocurrency mining. This additional demand has contributed to Nvidia's recent surge.
Can Nvidia Maintain its Momentum?
While Nvidia's current market valuation is a testament to its success, questions naturally arise about its ability to sustain this extraordinary growth trajectory. Here are some key considerations for the future:
• The Competitive Landscape: Nvidia's success has attracted the attention of rivals like Intel (INTC) and AMD (AMD), who are pouring resources into developing their own AI-focused chips. Maintaining its technological edge will be crucial for Nvidia to stay ahead of the pack.
• Market Fluctuations: The tech sector is notorious for its sensitivity to market movements. An economic downturn or a shift in investor sentiment could potentially trigger a correction in Nvidia's stock price.
• Innovation as the Lifeblood: The rapid pace of technological advancement demands constant innovation. Nvidia must prioritize research and development to ensure its products remain at the forefront of AI technology.
A New Era for Chipmakers
Nvidia's ascension to the $3 trillion mark signifies a pivotal moment for the semiconductor industry. It underscores the immense potential of AI and the critical role chipmakers play in driving technological innovation. As the world embraces AI at an ever-increasing rate, Nvidia stands poised to play a central role in shaping the future. However, the company's continued success hinges on its ability to navigate a competitive landscape, prioritize innovation, and weather potential market fluctuations.
NVDA long from $1200 to $1600 - easy 30% - pure technical playNVDA is in an incredibly strong bull market - it looks very good both fundamentally (rising revenue and profits, virtual monopoly on AI chips) and technically.
Current wave that started in Nov 23 is yet far from being done and it's very unlikely it would conclude before hitting at least $1600 maybe will even go much further to $2k area.
(NVDA) nVidia "so close"Custom indicator to track volume against median levels diverting levels of highs and lows. Basically the indicator looks to measure something that offers a view of the direction of shares and whether the shares are pulling or pushing against the price of the stock, or crypto. In this case nVidia is running eerily close to the zero hline. The split is coming up and there will be 10x more shares. Even though the stock split shows definite signs of continued growth and future gains in mcap the timing is correlated as such. The image is on the week length because I couldn't fit the entire image one the day length of time with my computer. The purple line falls as the price gains. The purple line works against the movement of the graph chart in any sense of the word.
NVDA - Antitrust Scrutiny and AI Market MilestonesMarket Chatter: Antitrust Scrutiny and Milestones in the AI and Tech Industry
Antitrust Scrutiny for AI Dominance
Microsoft ( NASDAQ:MSFT ), OpenAI, and Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) are facing antitrust investigations over their dominant roles in the artificial intelligence industry, according to The New York Times. The Federal Trade Commission (FTC) and the Justice Department have agreed to proceed with these investigations. The Justice Department will lead the investigation into Nvidia, while the FTC will focus on OpenAI and Microsoft.
Nvidia's Market Cap Controversy
Nvidia Corp. ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has achieved a new milestone, surpassing a $3 trillion market capitalization for the first time and briefly overtaking Apple’s valuation. However, this milestone has reignited debates about its true value. Aswath Damodaran, a professor at New York University Stern School of Business and known as Wall Street’s "Dean of Valuation," believes that Nvidia’s intrinsic value does not justify its current price tag. He acknowledges the company's compelling narrative and market momentum but remains cautious about its lofty valuation.
Short-Term Bets on Nvidia Ahead of Stock Split
As Nvidia's stock split approaches, traders are making short-term bets on the stock's movements. Data from Cboe Global Markets shows that 19 out of the 20 most actively traded options tied to Nvidia are set to expire by the end of this week. This frenzy is reminiscent of the activity seen around Tesla's stock split in 2020. On Tuesday alone, Nvidia options worth around $283 billion were traded, dwarfing the $18.7 billion traded for Apple.
Nvidia's Ascent in Market Valuation
Nvidia has rapidly climbed the ranks of the world's largest companies. Earlier this year, it surpassed Amazon to become the third-largest US company. Recently, Nvidia overtook Apple, securing the second spot with a market value of $3.01 trillion. Nvidia's shares closed at a record $1,224.40 each. The company now aims to challenge Microsoft for the number one position, needing to gain approximately $150 billion in market value to do so.
These developments highlight the dynamic nature of the tech and AI industries, with significant market movements and regulatory scrutiny shaping the landscape.
Nvidia Drives S&P 500 Market Cap Surge with 36% ContributionThe price has reached our target, as mentioned yesterday, with a gain of +1.20%, approximately $60.
The SPX has recorded a new all-time high and continues to gain. It may retest down to 5347 before pushing up to 5378.
Overall, it could potentially reach 5320 if it stabilizes below 5347. As long as it trades above 5320, an uptrend towards 5423 is expected.
Bullish Scenario: If the price trades above 5347, it will continue its bullish trend toward 5378, and above that, it could reach 5423.
Bearish Scenario: If it stabilizes below 5347, it may drop to 5320. Stabilizing below 5320 on a 1-hour candle could lead to a decline to 5301.
Pivot Line: 5347
Resistance Lines: 5378, 5400, 5423
Support Lines: 5320, 5302, 5260
The price is expected to move between the support level of 5320 and the resistance level of 5423.
previous idea:
Nvidia Drives S&P 500 Market Cap Surge with 36% Contribution in 2024
Shares of US-based chipmaker Nvidia Inc. have had a stellar 2024, soaring nearly 150% and reaching new all-time highs. This impressive performance has significantly contributed to the $4.49 trillion (12%) increase in the S&P 500’s market capitalization, which now stands at $47.16 trillion.
Nvidia’s remarkable gains have been a major driving force behind the S&P 500’s record-breaking achievements. The chipmaker's contribution alone accounts for 36% of the index’s market cap surge this year, highlighting its pivotal role in the broader market’s upward trajectory.
In addition to Nvidia's impact, the S&P 500 has been bolstered by favorable economic indicators, including cooling jobs data, which has alleviated some inflationary pressures and supported continued market growth.
As the S&P 500 hits new records, Nvidia's milestone of reaching a $3 trillion market cap underscores the significant influence of leading tech companies in shaping market trends and driving substantial gains across the board.
Analyzing NVDA's Breakout Patterns and Strategic Trading InsightDuring the last breakout, NVIDIA (NVDA) surged by 300 points before experiencing a sharp decline of 134 points within two days. This current situation bears a striking resemblance to the previous occurrence. Reaching 1282 would position NVDA as the most valuable company globally, contingent upon Microsoft's valuation. I possess additional market capitalization levels for comparison with Microsoft. I anticipate NVDA's final ascent towards becoming the world's most valuable company, followed by a significant pullback.
This scenario echoes Tesla's (TSLA) behavior when it announced its first stock split: a substantial run-up leading into the split date, followed by a rapid 30%+ decline over a few days.
Currently, I hold long call options for the upcoming day. I purchased 1200C on Monday, sold the majority, and retained one position overnight. My plan is to transition to put options when NVDA reaches the 1282-1300 level.
Trade Idea: 1200P 6/14 at 1282.