Dollar, VIX, Gold, Spy, NVIDIA ALL Right On TrackTraders,
As stated in my video on Sunday, all charts/indexes that we have been tracking and utilizing as leads for our crypto price predictions are still right on track.
A quick review (left to right) shows:
- The dollar has found support and, if my overall thesis is correct, could bounce here and travel up to that 107 target before dropping from our bearish ascending megaphone pattern
- The VIX has also found support and could likely bounce up from here.
- Gold (reppin' precious metals/commodities) has formed a gap above current price. Likely sooner rather than later, it will look to fill that gap and continue its upward trend to our target of 232 before pausing again.
- SPY (reppin' stocks) has touched the bottom of my red channel according to expectations and may now likely continue downwards into the orangish/yellow channel once DXY, VIX, GLD bounce and turn up again.
- NVDA (reppin' mega corp leaders) has a gap below which it will likely look to fill sooner rather than later.
If DXY, VIX, and GLD bounce while the stock market, lead by mega corps like NVidia, continues down, it will put pressure on our lead crypto Bitcoin which will likely follow. Alts, though as speculated previously may have formed their lows, would likely retest their recently printed lows as support.
Trade accordingly until one or more of our charts can prove me wrong.
If I am wrong about further pullback, a local bottom is likely in and we will continue our WAVE 5 blowoff top in stocks. Bitcoin will exaggerate this price movement. Alts will absolutely fly and blow minds.
We'll know soon.
Until then best on all your trades,
Stew
NVDA
Potential short term bounce in NVDAWill the anchored vWAP of $763.45 on the daily chart for NASDAQ:NVDA (anchored from the low on 3rd January 2024) be defended after Friday's close dipped beneath it? The 15 minute open at 4am this morning ($778.00) looks like a potential intraday key level at this stage...
Nvidia ($NVDA) Plunge 10% on Friday's Trading SessionThe recent tumultuous journey of this AI-chip giant has left both seasoned investors and keen traders on edge, prompting a closer examination of its trajectory and potential future movements.
The Magnificent 7 Retreat: A Sector Under Scrutiny
NVIDIA's recent 10% plunge, amidst broader market jitters, signals a sobering reality for the so-called 'Magnificent 7' of U.S. mega-cap tech stocks. As the first-quarter earnings season unfolds, concerns over stretched valuations and macroeconomic uncertainties have cast a shadow over the sector.
From Tesla to Meta, Microsoft to Alphabet, the tech behemoths are facing heightened scrutiny. NVIDIA's sharp decline, coupled with losses in other tech giants, underscores the fragility of market dynamics and the daunting challenges ahead.
Unraveling the Rout: Understanding the Catalysts
The catalysts behind NVIDIA's downward spiral are multifaceted. Super Micro Computer's decision to withhold preliminary earnings data served as a trigger, amplifying anxieties across the AI sector. The lack of guidance from related stocks and concerns over earnings reports have exacerbated the sell-off, eroding investor confidence.
Moreover, broader macroeconomic factors, including the Federal Reserve's stance on interest rates and geopolitical tensions, have added to the market's unease. The ripple effects of these uncertainties have reverberated through NVIDIA's stock price, intensifying the volatility.
Charting the Course: Long-Term Resilience Amid Short-Term Volatility
Despite the recent turbulence, NVIDIA's long-term charts paint a picture of resilience. From its origins in the Bitcoin mining frenzy to the post-COVID rally, the stock has weathered multiple bull runs and bearish phases. While short-term moves may sting, the long-term bullish trend remains intact.
For long-term investors, maintaining a keen eye on support levels, particularly the critical $660 mark, is imperative. Any breach of this level could signal a potential shift in sentiment and warrant reevaluation of investment strategies. However, as of now, the stock's upward trajectory remains promising for those with a patient outlook.
Balancing Risk and Opportunity
In the wake of NVIDIA's recent downturn, navigating the path ahead requires a delicate balance of risk and opportunity. Traders must exercise caution, particularly in short-term positions, while remaining vigilant for potential rebounds.
Establishing robust stop-loss measures and closely monitoring key resistance levels can mitigate downside risks and capitalize on potential upside opportunities. Whether considering long or short positions, prudence and foresight are indispensable virtues in the volatile realm of NVIDIA's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock.
Conclusion:
As NVIDIA's rollercoaster ride continues, finding stability amidst uncertainty is paramount. While the market may sway with each earnings update and geopolitical development, steadfast investors recognize the enduring value of NVIDIA's innovations and adaptability.
In the face of short-term fluctuations, the long-term trajectory of NVIDIA's stock offers a beacon of hope for those willing to weather the storm. By charting a course guided by diligence and insight, investors can navigate the turbulence and emerge stronger on the other side.
NVDA - the way it's meant to be played™Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NVDA has been overall bullish from a long-term perspective, trading above the blue trendline which is acting as a non-horizontal support.
After breaking below the last low marked in red, NVDA has been in a correction phase from a medium-term perspective.
Moreover, the green zone around $650 is a strong demand zone.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand zone and blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NVDA approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
$USO August 23' Rally similar to today's PACompare said time frames and you will see the similarities in RSI and MACD although if it fails, new lows could be on the way. If a B/O occurs , look for $100 sooner than later. Will revisit later. I will attach the next post to this one for continued reference.
$META 13 Count ending Friday April 12th9-13 Reversal Possible. If Price Action remains stable, the 13 count 10D candle will end on Thursday, April 11th. For now, stay patient while price chops around this area. Loses $500, will head for 480s. Hourly suggests a pullback to $498 based on MACD plateau.
NVIDIA (NVDA) Slumps 10% Consecutively for 5 Days NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), a prominent AI technology firm, has experienced a significant 10% decline in its stock over the past five days, leading some to speculate that the company's AI bubble may be bursting. This downward trend could be indicative of a broader bear season in the AI ecosystem.
One potential cause of NVIDIA's recent decline is the disruption of its business model. The company does not directly manufacture chips; instead, it designs semiconductors that are produced by the Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company. Some of NVIDIA's key clients, including Meta, Amazon, OpenAI, and Microsoft, have recently begun designing their own AI chips, resulting in a loss of market share for NVIDIA. Intel and Google have also recently launched competing AI chips, including Gaudi 3 and Axion, further threatening NVIDIA's position in the market.
Despite these challenges, some analysts argue that the AI bubble has not yet burst. Bryan Beal, a top business executive, has suggested that NVIDIA's recent decline is not indicative of broader market trends. Rather, it is a reflection of the company's specific challenges. Moreover, NVIDIA's market capitalization, which reached $2 trillion in February 2024, remains higher than that of Alphabet and Amazon, making it the third-most valuable firm in the United States.
However, the recent economic data and inflation reports have caused markets and policymakers to lower their expectations for interest rate cuts, which has in turn caused tech stocks, including NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), to waver. At present, NVIDIA's stock is trading at $762 on Nasdaq, having experienced a 10% decline in the last 24 hours and a decline of over 14% over the past five days.
Overall, while NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) may be facing challenges in its AI business, it is still a major player in the market and is likely to continue to play an important role in the development of AI technology.
Study MSTR Study NVDA - Call Option The Panic - MSTR VS NVDA
Is Bitcoin going to do what some outlandish people think?
Remember the ones who were anti semiconductors and Ai LLM?
Skeptics with MSTR are going to go through the same treatment the NVDA shorts had to.
MSTR has performed a successful break of the companies entire history showing Michael Saylor has caught onto a new trend.
MSTR Volume supports the run, there's still large short interest on MSTR from the 100-200 range still stuck.
Puts continue to pile onto MSTR as apparently the Spot ETF volumes have "peaked" at 54b AUM.
The MACD is showing a launch coiled up beyond what NVDA was.
MSTR Notional Value 1.72B
NVDA Notional Value 66.48B
Both Bitcoin & MSTR are making a retest of the long term price trend, if this fails to break back under we will see a reversion of the both.
NVIDIA April 24Nvidia, do your own M M
Targeting Discount 50% fib ( 684 ) & 61.8 fib ( 615 )from LastLow 393 ~ HigherHigh 975
Buy plan, Purple
-Range 725 ~ 663
-Fomo : buy at 1st touch
-Safety but possible too late: buy at 2nd touch purple box or wait confirmation technical / news
try to get the Avg holding at 700 or under, as long as the price D1 closed bellow 787
Escape plan, Blue
-Avg Down, Range 628~600 to get Avg price under 690
-Cutloss / Partial sell : Nearest SBR base at 690
-2nd option, put into your Invest account, as long as the price W1 closed above 500, its still good for long term.
Target Plan, Green-Purple
-Head of HH range: 897~975
-To continue up trend , W1 need to closed above 975.
No retrace if the NVIDIA boosted by news. Otherwise Buy price Avg Up could be at 930.
And keep the Avg holding price under 833 when doing avg up
NVDA | SHORT NASDAQ:NVDA
Possible Scenario: SHORT
Evidence:
The asset has moved outside of the Keltner channel on a monthly timeframe and is overbought across all timeframes. We are currently in the AI Bubble Era, with the economy facing potential challenges such as the possibility of a debt crash, a commercial real estate crash, or a regional banks crash, among others.
Target Prices:
TP1: $600
TP2: $400
TP3: $270
A 70 to 90 percent retracement is not an unusual scenario when a bubble bursts, similar to what occurred with many companies during the dot-com bubble.
Conclusion:
The stock market is at risk of collapsing due to the AI bubble.
Nvidia - Struggling at the highs!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
For more than 6 years Nvidia stock has been trading in a pretty obvious rising channel formation. At the moment Nvidia stock is actually retesting the upper resistance trendline. Considering that Nvidia stock also rallied 650% over the past couple of months, it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term correction towards the downside, retesting the previous all time high.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
🗓️Weekly Report: Key levels & Trade IdeasGENERAL MARKET REVIEW
Concerns over a potential military attack by Iran on Israel triggered a gap down in the market at the beginning of trading on Friday. Following these events, there was a surge in oil prices, which then led to widespread sell-offs across the board. Virtually all stocks took a hit, with growth stocks experiencing declines ranging from $2 to $72, notably including MicroStrategy NASDAQ:MSTR .
For this evening's analysis, we'll begin by examining the charts of the Nasdaq-100 (QQQ) and the S&P-500 (SPX).
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SPX-500
The SP:SPX has been movig lower and plundged to the 50-day Simple Moving Average (red) on Friday. Holding this line could lead to an oversold bounce on the market.
However, should a broader market selling start, then it is very possible that we test the 5000 psychological level or even the 4700 level that was rejected in August 2023 and February 2023.
💡Another interesting fact SP:SPX has created 22 all time highs this year (2024) and returned more than 25% over the past five months and has gone more than 1 year without experiancng a 1 day decling more than -2%. This is the 6th longest such streak since 1965. If you are wondering when are the other times:
2007, 1986, 1996, 2018, 1993. On average the index makes only 29 consecutive trading days without a 1 day that has more than -2% decline💡
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QQQ
Very similar as it is clinging on the 50-day Simple Moving Average. QQQ and SPX are holding much better than the IWM or DIA, which have been consistently underperforming on their Relative Strength against the SPX.
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META
Meta has earnings on 24April (Wednesday). It has been holding very well and is a constructive pattern. You can see a triangle forming. Pay attention to the volume pattern. When the stock is moving up in this base the volume bars are higher than when the stock is moving lower
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NVDA
Too choppy for anything more than a quick trade. Next Technical buy point for me is at the $974 on heavy volume. I could start nibble on it with a quarter or a half position size as it is making constructive formations within this forming base. Constructive formations = higher highs, tight pivots. This is very watched stock so it would have high correlation to the general market
$AMD Recognize where and whyThis is a chart I created several weeks ago. I find these points of inflection fantastic for support or resistance depending on the PA of course. I've drawn these on several tickers and the outcome is almost always the same. This is just information. Do what you want with it.
101% Option Play on NVDA Today! Just wanted to share our heck of a option play that we pulled this morning with NVDA, as a projected pullback from the recent bounce and reaction from the CPI/PPI/Unemply. Data that was release this weekend.
CNBC Analysts touted this as a safehaven, but I thought it was a false narrative based on the TA and what we were seeing on the charts going into the Aftermarket Session, yesterday.
Pullbacks are healthy, so we exact a rebound back to the north based on the past few trading sessions.
Stay Tuned for more as we move forward with providing you our Daily MyMI Option Playz at MyMI Wallet!
Weakening Patterns: NVDANASDAQ:NVDA is over-speculated on the short-term and intermediate-term trends. It has minimal support nearby for holding for a position trade.
Without retail groups or smaller funds, the price action is weakening at this time. Nvidia doesn't report until May 22 which is very late in the season but for now, it has some minor rotation going on.
If it continues to hold above the black line, then it can pattern out the excessive price gains. This is not a strong sell short opportunity, but it is important to keep an eye on this stock for the next couple of weeks.
Nvidia may have topped in it's corrective retracePrice has entered and exited the target box for this retracement. Although price could try to get higher in the target box, only a move that breaches the recent low of $830 will signal a confirmed top that could be long term in nature.
Best to all,
Chris