NVDA
HUGE +1,522% in 2 days from $0.61 to $9.90 $ASSTIt was clear from the very start this one will go insane because of the volume. It traded 315 million shares on first day when I posted about it. I sent out a message premarket at the very beginning of the move and it already had tens of millions of shares volume at that time.
Then the next day it got to 241 million shares, you just don't see stuff like that in regular stocks.
Awesome profits made along the way, can't wait for a new catch like that!
NASDAQ:ASST
$SPY Its time according to my chart.. Lower high is the trigger I posted two charts for reference to the current situation. With a historic rally right into resistance and a fractal analog that matches, I have no choice but to remain bearish. These are my studies. Sometimes Impatience leads to things like Impulsive Entries and Exits, Revenge Trading, and at times, even Blown Accounts. Times like those should be followed by a regroup and a reset.
The 9 Count Sell Signal Triggered with a Reset is on Technical Inidators for a move lower. I do believe we are going to consolidate for several days but nothing further than the second week of May. Today Bulls got extremely bullish and still were not able to hold the highs into the close. The test of the 200 day SMA was rejected and several days near these leveles whether above or below, would prove the downside move more possible. The monthly on SPX is my biggest indicator, personally. If it follows the pattern I'm following then after a test of the 10WMA, we will roll back over on the next 10 day candle. The market ran through a death cross without stopping, which if anyone were to study for several minutes, they would be able to see any first attempt at a death cross to the upsde is almost immediately met with a selloff back to the lows of the breakout move. Good luck everybody.
NVIDIA: Breakout above ascending triangle, retest confirmationNVDA has been forming an ascending triangle over the past few weeks, with declining volume. Finally, it broke out yesterday, and today, we had a retest of the resistance line. NVDA was down about 1% earlier today however after a successful retest of the resistance line, it is now up 0.8% at the time of writing.
In terms of support, it seems the price has successfully bounced off the 50-Day SMA line. While an ascending triangle is bullish, the 200-Day SMA is likely going to be a point of resistance (around $125).
This is amid the renewed overall market strength and the news related to the reduced limitations of exporting AI chips - which is contributing to the momentum.
Please note: Not financial advice.
NVDA Trade Setup Eyeing the Bounce After the PullbackNVIDIA (NVDA) is currently trading around $117.06, pulling back from its recent highs of $153.13. With volatility kicking in and macro pressure (including renewed tariff talk from the Trump camp), NVDA is setting up for what could be a powerful rebound opportunity.
Here’s how I’m looking at it:
📥 Buy Zones (Scaling In):
$104 – Technical support zone where buyers may start stepping in.
$95 – Key psychological and chart-based support.
$90–$80 – Deep correction zone for high-conviction entries.
🎯 Profit Targets:
TP1: $125 – Strong short-term resistance.
TP2: $145 – Reclaiming mid-term momentum.
TP3: $153+ – All-time high retest if sentiment recovers.
💡 Why It Matters:
NVIDIA’s fundamentals are on fire: strong revenue, record margins, and leadership in AI and data center growth. Add in $25B+ in cash and minimal debt, and you've got a long-term juggernaut. Yes, it's volatile. Yes, it's overvalued on paper. But growth like this doesn’t come cheap.
📊 Risk Management:
Always use stops—especially in this kind of market. I’m keeping an eye on $90 as a make-or-break level and adjusting sizing to weather volatility.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. All trading involves risk. Do your own research or speak to a licensed financial advisor before making any financial decisions.
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-07NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-07)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals: Price $117.06 above all key EMAs; bullish MACD on 5-min and daily; RSI overbought short-term (75) but neutral daily (59); trading near upper Bollinger Bands. Sentiment: VIX elevated at 24.76; mixed news (AI rally vs. supply delays); max pain at $111 suggests some bearish undertone. Direction: Moderately bullish with caution for pullback. Trade: Buy naked $113 put (premium $0.59) anticipating pullback, stop if $119 breach, target 25–50% gain, 65% confidence.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: Strong intraday uptrend; bullish MACD and RSI neutral daily; immediate resistance at $117.68. Sentiment: Sector tailwinds, positive news, but VIX elevated and max pain at $111. Direction: Moderately bullish. Trade: Buy $121 call at $0.75, profit target 100% ($1.50), stop-loss 40% ($0.45), 65% confidence.
Llama/Meta Report
Technicals: Bullish MACD, overbought short-term RSI, mixed reversal risk. Sentiment: Mixed news; VIX rising; max pain theory. Direction: Moderately bullish but immediate entry risky—overbought, mixed signals. Trade: No trade recommended at open (confidence <60%).
DeepSeek Report
Technicals: Bullish breakout, expanding bands, RSI overbought M5 but room on daily. Sentiment: Positive AI policy news; VIX manageable; max pain unlikely to derail strong technicals. Direction: Strongly bullish (70% confidence). Trade: Buy $122 call at $0.56, target $1.12, stop if $115.86 break, size 3–5% of capital.
Gemini/Google Report
Technicals: Strong uptrend but very overbought short-term. Sentiment: Mixed news with supply concerns; VIX rising; max pain $111 adds caution. Direction: Neutral/unclear for immediate trade (confidence <60%). Trade: No trade recommended at market open. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreements
All models see a strong intraday and daily uptrend with price above key EMAs and bullish MACD. Short-term RSI is overbought, suggesting potential for pullback or consolidation. VIX is elevated (~24.8), signaling caution. Max pain at $111 introduces a bearish tether toward expiration.
Disagreements
Trade selection: Grok favors a bearish put; Claude, DeepSeek favor bullish calls; Llama and Gemini hold off. Confidence: DeepSeek is most bullish (70%), Grok and Claude are moderately bullish (65%), Llama and Gemini see too many conflicting signals for immediate action. Strike selection varies widely: $113 put, $121 call, $122 call, or no trade. Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately bullish for the week, with elevated short-term risk of pullback.
Recommended Trade
Strategy: Single-leg naked call Instrument: NVDA weekly options (expiry 2025-05-09) Strike: $122.00 Call Premium: ~ $0.56 Entry Timing: At market open Profit Target: $1.12 (100% gain) Stop-Loss: $0.34 (40% loss) Confidence: 70%
Key Risks and Considerations
M5 RSI overbought (75) risks a short-term pullback. Elevated/rising VIX may induce whipsaws. Max pain suggests potential downward drift into expiration. Monitor any fresh supply-chain or sector news at open.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "call", "strike": 122.0, "expiry": "2025-05-09", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.12, "stop_loss": 0.34, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.56, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-07 20:16:47 UTC-04:00" }
Disclaimer: This newsletter is not trading or investment advice but for general informational purposes only. This newsletter represents my personal opinions based on proprietary research which I am sharing publicly as my personal blog. Futures, stocks, and options trading of any kind involves a lot of risk. No guarantee of any profit whatsoever is made. In fact, you may lose everything you have. So be very careful. I guarantee no profit whatsoever, You assume the entire cost and risk of any trading or investing activities you choose to undertake. You are solely responsible for making your own investment decisions. Owners/authors of this newsletter, its representatives, its principals, its moderators, and its members, are NOT registered as securities broker-dealers or investment advisors either with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission, CFTC, or with any other securities/regulatory authority. Consult with a registered investment advisor, broker-dealer, and/or financial advisor. By reading and using this newsletter or any of my publications, you are agreeing to these terms. Any screenshots used here are courtesy of TradingView. I am just an end user with no affiliations with them. Information and quotes shared in this blog can be 100% wrong. Markets are risky and can go to 0 at any time. Furthermore, you will not share or copy any content in this blog as it is the authors' IP. By reading this blog, you accept these terms of conditions and acknowledge I am sharing this blog as my personal trading journal, nothing more.
NVIDIA Corporation: Bullish ConsolidationThe NVDA stock is facing resistance at the 0.5 Fib. extension level. This resistance was met after a higher low and above 0.618 Fib. While this is a confirmed resistance zone, market conditions are bullish.
The RSI is now above 50. It is at its highest on a rise since late January earlier this year.
Local resistance on the RSI has been broken and this oscillator is trading straight up. This is a positive and strong signal. Here is the chart:
The yellow horizontal line is the local resistance which has been broken. On a drop, this same line would now work as support. A "magic" line I should say. :D
It is magical because it helps us predict the future with a high level of accuracy and certainty; so far so good.
These dynamics: The higher low, the small stop at resistance, the bullish RSI and overall bullish market conditions are all part of a bullish consolidation period.
Let me break it down for you; the market will continue to consolidate for a while, for as long as it needs, before moving higher to hit a new high. The conditions revealed by this chart setup is that the low that was hit 7-April remains the bottom. The market can shake, NVDA can go down, it can go up but this low will never be challenged, you can set your stop-loss below it. Any short-term movements against you is just noise. Wait patiently and eventually it will grow.
If you have any questions leave a comment it will be my pleasure to answer.
Thank you for reading again.
See you tomorrow, or the next day, or yesterday-more again.
Make sure to follow. My main focus is Cryptocurrency but I also do the SPX, NVDA and TSLA. (And sometimes Gold which is bearish now.)
Namaste.
Nvidia Shows Signs of Recovery -but the Bearish Channel Remains Over the last five trading sessions, Nvidia’s stock has gained more than 9%, and short-term bullish momentum remains intact as the tech giant appears to benefit from expectations of a potential easing in trade war tariffs. Notably, the company’s CEO, Jensen Huang, recently stated that the Chinese market for artificial intelligence chips could reach $50 billion within the next two years — highlighting the importance of maintaining access to this market. This reinforces the view that a diplomatic resolution to the trade conflict is crucial for Nvidia to sustain a steady recovery.
It’s also important to note that Nvidia is scheduled to release its next earnings report on May 28, with market expectations pointing to earnings of approximately $0.88 per share. Should results meet or exceed projections, this could reignite a bullish sentiment that has been largely absent from the stock over the past several months.
Bearish channel still in play:
Since early January of this year, Nvidia’s stock has formed a steady downward channel, pushing the price even below the $100 mark at times. While a consistent upward correction is underway, it remains insufficient to confirm a definitive breakout, meaning this bearish channel is still the dominant technical structure in the short term.
ADX:
The ADX indicator has been fluctuating below the neutral 20 level, signaling a decline in volatility over the average of the last 14 sessions. As long as this continues, the current phase of price neutrality may persist.
RSI:
The RSI is showing a similar picture, hovering near the 50 level — indicating a balance between buying and selling momentum in recent sessions, and reinforcing the lack of a clear short-term trend.
Key levels to watch:
$113: Current resistance level, aligned with the upper bound of the bearish channel and the 50-period simple moving average. Continued price action in this area may extend the current phase of consolidation.
$125: A critical resistance point tied to the 200-period simple moving average. A breakout toward this level could signal the end of the bearish channel.
$100: A key psychological support level in the short term. A move below this threshold could reinforce the bearish bias and trigger a deeper downtrend within the current price structure.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
$MSFT BEST TRADE EVER? SUB $400 incoming by Mid JuneHey everybody, I hope that rally didn't kick your arses the way it did mine. You know, it's like I'm allergic to taking upside atm due to how bearish the MACRO is. Of course, with time, I'm going to assume I get most of my downside Price Targets in the next several years.
If you refer to the previous 23% Run to the 200DMA from the 50day in 2023 , NASDAQ:MSFT produced a 9 COUNT SELL SIGNAL , RALLIED for a week, and then dropped to new lows. That is what I am expecting here.
NASDAQ:MSFT looks absolutely ripe for the taking. We just rallied 17% and got the 9 COUNT SELL SIGNAL . Mind you, Gaps galore below. The Monthly and the Weekly both have Gaps . Charts do not like that, let me tell ya. I'm excited if you can't tell. NASDAQ:META and NASDAQ:AVGO look great as well. I'm still cautious about a spike out but I figure if we continue higher, i will have opportunity to grab more for cheaper as I am very confident in this move. The price moved above the DEATH CROSS and above the 200DMA . Not ever a healthy move if it moves Vertically from the 50 day and Crosses above both MA's without a stop. Mid June NASDAQ:MSFT should be at new lows.
My buy view for NVIDIA stock explained My buy view for NVDA.
If positive fundamentals continue to outweigh bad news, we are likely to see NVDA push further up towards $120, $130, $140, and then its previous peak of $150.
Trade with care if you are day trading, but this baby is still selling at discount in my view
NVIDIA 1D — When “Head & Shoulders” Aren’t Just for the GymOn the daily chart, NVDA has broken out of the descending channel and reclaimed the 50-day moving average (MA50), triggering a classic inverted head and shoulders formation. Price is now holding above the key $113–$114.50 zone, confirming a structural shift. As volume picks up, buyers are eyeing the next levels of resistance.
Near-term upside targets: – $119.80 (0.5 Fibonacci) – $127.62 (0.382) – $137.28 (0.236) — primary resistance zone – Extended target — $152.91 (1.0 Fibonacci projection)
Technical setup: — Breakout from channel + above MA50
— Inverted head and shoulders pattern completed
— $114.50–$118.00 now acts as buyer support
— EMA and MA convergence supports trend reversal
— Increasing volume on rallies supports bullish momentum
Fundamentals: NVIDIA remains the AI and semiconductor sector leader. Growing demand for high-performance GPUs in AI and data centers positions NVDA as a core tech play. Expectations of strong earnings and continued institutional accumulation support the bullish narrative.
The confirmed breakout and inverted H&S setup mark a clear structural reversal. As long as price stays above $114.50, the path toward $127–$137 remains the primary target zone, with $152.91 in sight if momentum continues.
This AI-Backed IPO Is Just Warming Up — Next Stop: 86% Gains?CoreWeave is showing classic IPO 'honeymoon phase' price action, with early liquidity swept and bullish structure forming.
🔍 Price swept the daily sell-side liquidity at $35.70
📈 Now pushing higher — next major buyside targets at $55.04 and $65.22
🤖 Backed by NVIDIA, adding serious momentum and credibility
🧠 Expecting strong continuation as institutions begin to build exposure
If price maintains structure, this could be one of the strongest IPO moves of 2025.
NVIDIA Massive bullish break-out after 4 months of selling.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) made a critical bullish break-out yesterday (in the aftermath of Meta's and Microsoft AI capex numbers) as it didn't just break above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) that has been intact as a Resistance since February 27 but also above the top of the Channel Down that has been the dominant pattern throughout this correction since the January 07 All Time High (ATH).
The 1D RSI is on an Inverse Head and Shoulders (IH&S) pattern, which is always bullish and if NVDA closes a 1D candle above the 1D MA50 next, then our short-term Target will be 143.50, which is just below Resistance 1 and the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
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NVDA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025NVDA Day Trade Plan for 04/29/2025
📈 111.90 109.90
📉 105.90 103.90
Thanks to all my followers! Truly appreciate the support!
Please like and share for more ES/NQ levels Tues & Thurs 🤓📈📉🎯💰
*These levels are derived from comprehensive backtesting and research and a quantitative system demonstrating high accuracy. This statistical foundation suggests that price movements are likely to exceed initial estimates.*
If you think the 2025 bottom is in you couldn't be more wrongIf you think the bottom for 2025 is in and it's only up from here let me have what you're smoking.
Just a puff, please!
About 80% of social media retail traders are confidently calling a bottom, that's a major contrarian signal.
Herding equals danger!
If everyone is bullish, most are already positioned long leaving a few buyers to push prices higher.
It's known as "pain trade" where markets often move in the direction that causes the most discomfort.
Many of loudest voices are retail traders influencers chasing engagement, not portfolio managers or data driven strategists.
AMEX:SPY SP:SPX NASDAQ:QQQ AMEX:DIA NASDAQ:META NASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:MSFT NASDAQ:GOOG NASDAQ:AAPL NASDAQ:AMZN
NVDA - BullishForecast a break-out up as the price increased by 3.3% in the after hours.
- The price area in a falling wedge, almost a descending channel.
- The MACD indicator in the Weekly frame shows an uptrend after a rare day of oversold (04.04.2025).
The price today (04.30.2025): $108.92.
Price target: $135.00.
Stop loss: $95.00.
IMO, amateur trader.
NVIDIA: Don't turn your back on the A.I. darling yet.NVIDIA has turned neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 48.902, MACD = -2.040, ADX = 28.815) as it has recovered a portion of the 2 month correction. April's low was exactly on the 1W MA100 just like the Low of the 2024 consolidation phase has been near the 1W MA50. The pattern is recurring and the rallies naturally get weaker each time as we approach the end of the Cycle this year. The 1st rally was +358%, the 2nd +257% so the 3rd one now is expected to be +157%. That gives a $225 target. The next Top will most likely start a new correction (Bear Cycle) for a 3rd Bottom on the 1W MA200.
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REJECTION OF $292Tesla's stock ( NASDAQ:TSLA ) has faced multiple rejections at key resistance levels. To establish a strong upward trend, it may require forming a triple bottom pattern. This would indicate a solid foundation for potential growth. It is anticipated that the stock will retest the $270 and $250 levels before making a decisive move.
April 29, 2025 - Waiting for the Crash or the Miracle?Hello everyone, it’s April 29, 2025. Yesterday’s market session was about as exciting as watching paint dry. After months of Trump-fueled chaos, investors seem almost relieved that… nothing happened. Indices barely moved: TVC:DJI up 0.28%, SP:SPX up a pathetic 0.06%, CME_MINI:NQ1! down 0.10%. In short: we’re falling from a 150-story building, and so far, so good — but we know the real pain comes when we hit the ground.
Markets are clinging to hopes that Trump’s trade war with China might get a Hollywood-style happy ending. He’s calmed down a bit. Stopped slamming Powell, flirted with diplomacy, and softened up on auto tariffs. But with an avalanche of critical economic data coming (Consumer Confidence, GDP, PCE, Jobs) and Magnificent Seven earnings, no one’s taking big bets right now. Everyone’s waiting to see if the economic parachute opens, or if we get pancaked on impact.
Meanwhile, US macro isn’t looking great. Confidence is sinking — 53% of Americans say their finances are worsening, a record since COVID. Consumer spending is stalling, companies like NASDAQ:AAL and NASDAQ:DPZ are canceling forecasts, and the real estate market is coughing. Even hardcore Trump supporters are starting to sweat. The US might still technically be growing, but psychologically, the recession has already started.
OANDA:XAUUSD is holding strong at $3,321, BLACKBULL:WTI is around $61.57, and BINANCE:BTCUSDT is cruising near $94,400. Futures this morning are flailing between -0.6% and +0.2%, dancing to the tune of whatever headline drops next.
On the political front, Trump pulled a classic backpedal on auto tariffs: no double penalties for carmakers, partial refunds on tariffs already paid, and promises of time for US production reshoring. Nice words but rebuilding car factories will take years.
As for NASDAQ:NVDA , it’s under pressure after China banned sales of its H20 chips. Huawei’s Ascend 910D chip is stepping in — good for China, but too slow and too pricey for the rest of the world. Nvidia stays king globally for now, but the tech war is heating up.
Today, eyes are on key numbers: US Consumer Confidence (expected 87.7) and JOLTS job openings (expected 7.49M). Also, a heavy lineup of earnings: NYSE:V , NASDAQ:SBUX , NASDAQ:COKE , NYSE:PFE , NYSE:SNAP , and more.
For now, we’re still in free fall, hoping there’s a giant crash pad waiting at the bottom. Hang tight — it’s going to be another wild one.
Bad News from NVDA and ASML Put Pressure on AI StocksTwo pieces of bad news hit the chip sector in a single day.
First, the U.S. announced new restrictions on Nvidia, blocking the sale of its H20 chip to China. H20 was the only AI chip Nvidia could legally sell to China under existing regulations. The company stated the new restrictions could cost up to $5.5 billion.
The second blow came from ASML’s earnings report. ASML is the sole producer of EUV machines, which are critical for manufacturing advanced chips, including those used in AI. ASML's revenue miss, combined with the Nvidia news, weighed heavily on technology stocks. However, there is a silver lining: the revenue miss was due to weaker DUV machine sales, which are used for more basic chips. EUV sales actually beat market expectations by 33.54%, indicating that investment in AI infrastructure remains strong.
Nvidia shares are down more than 6% in premarket trading. This downward pressure may continue after the market opens. If the price drops below 100, it could present a buying opportunity for medium- to long-term investors. AI investment continues globally, and countries outside the U.S. are likely to accelerate their efforts to catch up. Despite the recent negative sentiment, there is no major change in the long-term outlook for the sector.
$SPX Sell in May, Go Away, $5k, Dead Cat to $5.3k, $4.8k by EOMAlrighty. My forecast is as follows. I made a video explaining just a quick thought and here's the video in a written version for the most part. Basically, I'm a pattern chart trader and I spend the majority of my days looking for specific candlestick patterns that match candle for candle. I cannot find anything remotely close to today's Price Action besides October 2001. I have been and will continue to be doubted and that's okay. I am not here for anyone except myself and anyone that wants to gain a fresh unbiased perspective. People have called me a Permabear but that only pertains to my personality, which is that of a realist. I do not believe investing for the next 20-50 Years will work for everyone. You'd have to do it well and continuously contribute even during the down days. Either way. This is the analog I will be following. Fib is Extended way beyond Blow Off Top measurements imo. The market gained 50% in One Year and Three Months. I'd like to think that the uncertainty being priced in will cause these Deeper Fib Retracements. We already crashed down to the 1.61 GOLDEN POCKET from above and now bounce back to Secon Golden Pocket at 2.61. Based on the past behavior, now we move back to 2.0 for a move to the original extension of the 1.00 Fib. If we lose this, we start moving back to the 1.27 near $4.74k on SPX where I will then be looking for one final dead cat to $5300 by mid August, Every July dip being grabbed up ... Final Sell in August for an End of Year Crash to Mark 2025 as one of the worst years ever in Life as far as the Market goes. Good Luck everyone. Tips always welcome.