NVDA ~ Snapshot TA (Daily / Nov 2023)NASDAQ:NVDA chart mapping/analysis.
Breakout/bullish price momentum pushing higher within an ascending parallel channel (green).
Bull target(s)
Golden Pocker Fib
Ascending trend-line resistance (white dotted)
78.6% Fib (+1)
Bear target(s)
50% Fib (+1)
Descending trend-line support (white dotted) aka "return to scene of crime"
38.2% Fib (+1)
Underlying gap fill (~423.81) + lower range of ascending parallel channel (green) confluence support zone
23.6% Fib (+1)
Lower range of ascending parallel channel (light blue) + gap fill (~306.01) confluence support zone
NVDA
$NVDA downside gap-fill potential!NASDAQ:NVDA ,1D: Price dipped just below the 50% line and popped back up over the line after coming off the local lows at 403. Given the 'uncertainty' around the level and duration of a 'higher for longer' rate environment along with the market's general preference for 'clarity' over 'uncertainty', it would not be unreasonable to expect the 'increased volatility' that comes with 'uncertainty' until some level of 'clarity' can be established around the duration of the current 'higher rate environment'.
Further adding to the potential for 'market uncertainty' and 'lack of clarity' are the tenuous and ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and China around access to semi-conductor IP. NASDAQ:NVDA utilizes the cost benefits provided to its model from the 'cost efficiency' of both Chinese and greater Asia's manufacturing and production capacities. Were trade relations around semi-conductor IP between China and the U.S. to become 'less amenable', the deterioration of that relationship could adversely impact NASDAQ:NVDA 's margins.
If NASDAQ:NVDA had to re-establish production/manufacturing supply chain relationships elsewhere this could inject 'uncertainty' into the price discovery process. These are 'unknown unknowns' at this point and hard to factor into analysis, but at a minimum, they would increase the potential for 'market uncertainty' and the subsequent 'lack of clarity', which often leads to 'price volatility' until some level of 'certainty' could be re-established.
Looking at our 1 day RSI against price I am seeing a 'bearish divergence' whereby price makes 'higher-highs' and 'higher-lows' while the RSI prints 'lower-highs' and 'lower-lows'. This can be taken as a 'leveling off' of momentum that often precedes a change in price direction or, at a minimum, a significant pull back within a constructive trend. (see light violet curves)
I would expect that a downside 'gap fill' could be a 'necessary evil' at some point in time across the next 6 weeks or so, and before further gains to the upside could probabilistically be portended from a structural standpoint. The bottom of the gap fill is roughly in confluence with the YTD VWAP (peach).
NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALL STOCKS CAN GO TO ZERO.
NVDA: What to expect for earnings next week?This huge semiconductor has plenty of clout in terms of popularity with retail investors. HFTs are likely to gap on its earnings news which arrives on 11/21, next week.
Clearly there are many who are confident NASDAQ:NVDA will meet or beat analyst estimates despite setbacks and restrictions.
The run hit resistance and became overextended, so some profit taking is occurring for now. The stock is likely to shift to a tighter consolidation near the high of this platforming range.
TSLA NVDA MSFT AMZN AAPL GOOGL META Price Forecast00:00 QQQ Forecast
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Nvidia (NASDAQ: NVDA) Adds $200 Billion as Winning Streak Nvidia Corp. shares are poised to extend gains for a 10th consecutive session, their longest streak of advances since a record-setting dash in December 2016, as the world’s most valuable chipmaker updates its artificial intelligence processor.
Nvidia has climbed about 20% during the course of this latest rally, adding about $200 billion in market value, according to data compiled by Bloomberg. That’s as rivals are scrambling to come up with alternatives to challenge its AI dominance.
The stock has rallied more than 230% this year through Monday’s close, making it the best performing component on both the Nasdaq 100 and S&P 500 indexes as the AI-driven frenzy fueled rallies this year. The latest surge comes as technology stocks rebound amid hopes that Federal Reserve interest rates have peaked.
Update On Nvidia's Chip
Nvidia said its updated chip, called the H200, will get the ability to use high-bandwidth memory, or HBM3e, allowing it to better cope with the large data sets needed for developing and implementing AI.
Nvidia Set To Report Earnings On Nov. 21
Nvidia, which had been under pressure last month as new US rules banned the sale of its cutting-edge chips to China, is scheduled to report earnings on Nov. 21.
Price Momentum
NVDA is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
What does this mean?
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum. This is a positive sign for the stock's future value.
TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price Forecast00:00 QQQ Forecast CPI
11:11 Sp500 ETF analysis
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13:59 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
15:07 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
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17:42 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
18:40 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
DXY, VIX Down = SPY, STONKS UP. Blowoff Top Continues!Traders,
It has been an amazingly bullish last couple of weeks both in the stonk world and in cryptos. In this video I cover what has occurred from a technical basis and what I think the charts are now showing us. In short, stonks look to continue their upward trends but crypto is less certain. I also wanted to explain why I went short on a few trades. What was I thinking then and what I am thinking now? Was I too early on my entries or just plain wrong?
Stewdamus
NVDA Analysis: Share Price Reaches 2-month High on News of New CLess than a month ago, US officials tightened rules on sales of high-end artificial intelligence chips to China. And yesterday, from the SemiAnalysis newsletter, it became known that Nvidia has developed new chips called HGX H20, L20 PCIe and L2 PCIe, which are not subject, in whole or in part, to existing export restrictions to China.
The news about the new chips gave bullish momentum to the Nvidia stock market.
The NVDA stock price chart shows that:
→ the price crossed the peak on October 12 (this is peak D, the formation of which we assumed in the analysis of the NVDA stock price on September 14);
→ NVDA share price shows bullish dynamics after a false breakout of the psychological level of USD 400 per share at the end of October;
→ the price dropped at the end of yesterday's trading day, forming a potential false breakout of the October peak. It seems that the bears have become more active, trapping overly optimistic buyers. The 4-hour chart shows a bearish engulfing pattern.
Note that the market was extremely volatile at the end of August, as evidenced by the ATR indicator. In this active market, large participants had enough counter liquidity to cover long positions (take short positions). And now, with the price rising to the levels of this important August range, the bulls may exhaust their confidence. To overcome it, strong drivers are needed, which can happen during the publication of the company's report for the 3rd quarter — it is scheduled for November 21.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NVDA forging the pathway?Today we are showcasing our dear and favourite NASDAQ:NVDA . Suprisingly latest FOMC news delivered a strong 15% move only in a couple of days.
I have structured a descending channel that forms withing a triangle formation.
Resolution of both is coming soon, expected before EoY.
$SMH Weekly Cup with Handle FormationNASDAQ:SMH could be a big beneficiary "if" interest rates level out or even start dropping. This Cup w/ Handle formation is also about a 2 year base suggesting that if / when it breaks out, it could have a big run. All TBD.
See Notes on chart for more of my thoughts. Ideas, not investing / trading advice. Comments always welcome.
Nvidia: Checked out🏨✅NVDA stock did not miss the opportunity to head for our last relevant target zone in line with our primary assumption. As soon as the minimum requirement was reached, the stock immediately launched a 17% surge, confirming the anchoring of the low of the green wave within this zone. Those who used this zone to enter the long side can now tighten the stop to the entry level. From here, the price should rise significantly and soon break through the resistance at USD 521.39.
pt 2 TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price ForecastTSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price Forecast
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04:08 QQQ Forecast
10:28 Sp500 ETF analysis
13:40 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
16:26 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
19:00 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
22:13 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
25:22 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
27:04 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
29:23 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
pt1 TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price ForecastTSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price Forecast
00:00 Rate hike Data, Sentiment Data, Earnings, Economic data
04:08 QQQ Forecast
10:28 Sp500 ETF analysis
13:40 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
16:26 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
19:00 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
22:13 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
25:22 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
27:04 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
29:23 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price Forecast00:00 QQQ Forecast
05:58 Sp500 ETF analysis
07:58 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
10:20 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:37 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
15:16 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
17:16 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
18:46 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
19:55 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
pt2. TSLA NVDA AAPL MSFT AMZN META GOOGL Price Forecast00:00 QQQ Forecast
05:58 Sp500 ETF analysis
07:58 Tesla Stock TSLA Forecast Technical Analysis
10:20 Nvidia Stock NVDA Forecast Technical Analysis
13:37 Apple Stock AAPL Forecast Technical Analysis
15:16 Amazon Stock AMZN Forecast Technical Analysis
17:16 Google Stock GOOGL Forecast Technical Analysis
18:46 Microsoft Stock MSFT Forecast Technical Analysis
19:55 Meta Forecast Technical Analysis
Strongest Recession Signal EverThe yield curve has inverted to the most extreme degree ever, which is a warning that a recession is coming. In this video, I analyze the charts for the AMEX:SPY S&P 500, NASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia, NASDAQ:AAPL Apple, and the yield curve on U.S. Treasurys to see what they're telling us about future price action.
In the video, I mention that the bull rally following the Great Recession was primarily due to the Fed's monetary easing. The chart below shows evidence of this. When the value of the assets added to the Fed's balance sheet is compared against the value of the S&P 500, the stock market appears to have essentially moved horizontally. This shows that the primary reason for the stock market's rally is the central bank's extreme expansion of its balance sheet.
If you enjoyed this post, I would greatly appreciate it if you leave a boost! If you have any questions or would like to share your thoughts, feel free to leave them in the comments below.
Important Disclaimer
Nothing in this post should be considered financial advice. Trading and investing always involve risks and one should carefully review all such risks before making a trade or investment decision. Do not buy or sell any security based on anything in this post. Please consult with a financial advisor before making any financial decisions. This post is for educational purposes only.
Nasdaq Futes - You Wanted a Dip For That 'Santa Rally,' Aye?The equities markets have spent the last three months liquidating bulls, and then liquidating bears, and then liquidating bulls, because the markets are primarily a scam for big money to sell options and have them expire worthless.
No matter what system you use or whose ideas you follow, you're always just guessing, because the computers can take price and do whatever they want at any time, because there's more stocks than there are money and more money than there are stocks, all concentrated in the hands of a few select banks and funds that are really just running crowdsourced cloud algos that communicate with time stamps and decimal fractions.
It's just another scam to bankrupt people and then blame you for being bankrupt.
There's nobody this society hates more than poor people and depressed people, and no Communist Party-funded causes are paid to campaign on behalf of the poor and sad, unless it's to lead them to "Medical Assistance In Dying" (MAID; see Canada).
2023 started off uppy in a straight line, and there's no reason to believe that's going to correct until the timestamp on the market making algorithms has a year date of 2024.
Which means that this bearish impulse is just that, a bearish impulse, that may be seeing its likely finale as early as this coming week to end the October monthly bar, as the next FOMC rate decision is October 31 and November 1.
I'll provide my warning to bears and bulls alike at the early stage of the post, because I know social media and drugs have given people the attention span of children addicted to sugar and cartoons.
Did you know that Li Keqiang, former Premier of China and second in command of the Chinese Communist Party behind Xi Jinping died on October 27, "of a heart attack"?
I have been warning for years of two things:
1. The CCP is actually about to fall, and is almost entirely certain to take Xi, an idiot, to its grave with it.
2. The death toll from the Wuhan Pneumonia pandemic (not to be confused with SARS-CoV-2/COVID-19) is insanely scary and completely covered up by the regime.
And now we're seeing public evidence that even the Xi Faction's main network are being dropped. Keqiang was only 68 years old, which is not very old for a CCP member.
Former Chairman Jiang Zemin, the architect of the persecution and organ harvesting genocide against Falun Dafa's 100 million students, allegedly lived to 96, by comparison, before turning to a pile of crematorium ashes and being thrown out of the very Cosmos by the Wind itself.
All of the above is to say that the year end rally is likely arranged by "the controllers," and yet they're just mice and men, and what can actually unfold before we see 2024 is entirely in the hands of Heaven Himself.
Let's look at monthly bars:
Three mediocre red months after a series of bigly big green months isn't bearish. To the contrary, it's bullish, but it's a question of how you can finance your timing to stay solvent while the market is irrational.
Weekly bars give us more clarity:
What we're really dealing with is a meagre 12% dump over 15 weeks.
And you're going to say to yourself that 12% is actually a lot on the indexes, and I will agree with you. However, it's really not when you take a look at a pair of twin 6-7% bounces that occurred over the span of 6 and 10 trading days in the mix.
And when you pair this with the reality that the market turning around and taking out the July high is just a paltry 17% rally from the 13,750 potential reverse point, over the course of two months, bears are set up to get absolutely annihilated before the real show starts in 2024.
Nothing about the way the markets have traded indicated we have bottomed *yet*. So what we do is, instead of GoInG LoNg oN ThE DiP and getting into the same trap as Disney, Paypal, and AT&T longtards, we simply look for reversals at 13,750, because it's the August of 2022 high, and 13,480-13,550, because 13,500 is a psychological number, and go long on a reversal pattern.
If this theory pans out, not only will the indexes take out the July high, but, the Nasdaq especially, may very well take out the All Time High.
If you were to have bought a QQQ $380 call on Friday expiring January, it would have cost you ~$3.25 ($325) with a 19% delta.
If we get another 4% dump on the indexes, you can pick one up for a little more than $2 and be looking at $9-12~ after theta decay for it to be merely at the money by the end of November.
That's equivalent to going long on some penny garbage like MULN or Gamestop and lotterying into a 4 bagger on the MoThER oF aLl ShOrTSqUeEzEs.
The above is to tell you to stop following Wall Street Bets, Wall Street Silver, Stocktwits, and other public relations firm/marketing department-managed dumpster fires, stop gambling on 0DTEs, make less trades, go outside more, and enjoy your life while this planet still lasts.
Once everything is gone, it's gone forever.
Just like Atlantis, the Mayans, and the Dinosaurs.
NVDA Possible short opportunityNvidia stock, though being of the leaders in the chip and AI markets, is making a strong possible short opportunity.
When we look at the Weekly chart, we see a nice Head and Shoulders formation in the making. Points to consider if taking this opportunity:
1. I will be waiting for NVDA to drop below $400 mark, to be more precise, $398. I need this down pump for the entry to be valid.
2. When the play starts, I will set my SL close to $411 level. Why there you may ask? If the drop in price happens, $411 will be the level where 10EMA will be on the Daily time frame, and since this will be a short sell, I don't want to give the market the opportunity to test the higher part of the Neckline. The Neckline of the Head and Shoulders will be my exit point, if the price breaks above the neckline, I will most likely be closing the trade manually.
3. For the TP level , I am looking at couple of possibilities. First one, is the entire length from the Head to the Neckline which is in range of some $100 price movement. The second possibility, the more conservative one, will be the previous Higher High of the movement, sitting around $346.61 price level which is also where the 200EMA is currently at. The third one, is of course the 200EMA itself. As the price keeps moving, it will move as well, and if there is no strong market movement and price makes the second guess on whether or not it will go down, the 200EMA will be my "get out quick" point.
Of course, as always, this is no financial advice. This is just my humble opinion.
NVDA Analysis — Stuck in Island AloneGreetings dear comminity!
In the vast sea of stock prices, NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shines distinctively.
💜 If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜
Presently priced at $408, it finds itself ensnared in an intriguing Island Pattern formation. This pattern implies an imminent pullback, with a likely destination being the gap level at $318.
For astute investors eyeing long-term positions, this impending dip could offer an enticing entry point. However, a word of caution hangs in the air – tread carefully. While potential gains loom, the risk is equally palpable.
Risk Management is Key:
Avoiding excessive risk is non-negotiable. Prudent investors should keenly observe the price action as it unfolds towards the $318 mark. Analyze each movement, gauge market sentiment, and only then consider making your move.
In the volatile realm of stocks, knowledge is power, and careful strategy is your shield. As NASDAQ:NVDA navigates this intriguing pattern, wise investors stand vigilant, ready to capitalize on opportunities while safeguarding their investments.
Happy investing!