NVDA Analysis - Continuous, Just as the Markets !This is a Thread, so Follow for Technical Analysis performed with TrapZone Pro & UMVD Indicators.
* Trend is Based on TrapZone Color
* Bar Colors give us Momentum Green from strong Up Moves. Red Bars point to strong Down Moves.
* Red UMVD = Selling Pressure & Green UMVD = Buying Pressure. Purple is for Divergence = Battle of Supply & Demand
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1-18-2024
GREEN UMVD pushing the price UP with a strong Green TrapZone.
NVDA
Nvidia's GTC 2024: Unveiling Next-Gen AI Chips and SoftwareNvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), the titan of artificial intelligence semiconductors, kicks off its highly anticipated annual developer conference amidst fervent speculation surrounding new chip unveilings and software advancements. As Chief Executive Jensen Huang takes the stage for his keynote address, investors and tech enthusiasts alike await eagerly to witness the latest offerings that will shape the future of AI technology.
The Quest for Innovation:
At the heart of GTC 2024 lies Nvidia's relentless pursuit of innovation, epitomized by the unveiling of its next-generation AI processors. With competitors like Intel and Advanced Micro Devices vying for market share, Nvidia aims to solidify its leadership position by introducing the formidable B100 chip, poised to deliver significant enhancements over its heralded predecessor, the H100.
Beyond Chip Design:
While Nvidia's prowess in chip design is undisputed, the company's foray into software products further underscores its commitment to holistic technological advancement. Huang is slated to reveal a plethora of new software innovations, reflecting Nvidia's multifaceted approach towards shaping the AI landscape. With its software and services business reaching a remarkable annual run rate of $1 billion, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) demonstrates its capacity to drive innovation across both hardware and software domains.
Return to In-Person Engagement:
Amidst the backdrop of a post-pandemic world, Nvidia's decision to hold GTC in person for the first time since 2019 signifies a symbolic return to normalcy. With an expected attendance of approximately 16,000 individuals—double the figure of the last in-person event—GTC 2024 heralds a resurgence of interactive engagement and collaborative exchange within the tech community.
The Grand Stage:
Huang's keynote address, set against the backdrop of a Silicon Valley hockey arena, represents a fittingly grand stage for the unveiling of Nvidia's latest innovations. As the largest venue ever secured for such an event, it underscores the magnitude of anticipation surrounding Nvidia's announcements and the pivotal role the company plays in shaping the future of AI technology.
“Only Up” Trend coming to an END? NVDIA As you can see in the chart i have shared last time NVDIA hit these levels led to a significant move towards the downside of the channel.
It is easy to be blind right now and think “only up” but i am removing the emotions from my trading strategy and i believe we will see a move downwards incoming weeks/months on NVDIA i believe this will affect the whole markets even the crypto markets.
Just think with your head at this moment, we have been in a ranging only up trend for the past months/weeks. Of course you can attempt to milk out a little more gains but be careful…
Semiconductor Pullback Imminent?The semiconductor index has been one of the best performing areas of the market over the last few quaters, and has continued to be strong since the late October bottom.
The index is coming into overhead fibonacci resistance, and with weakening momentum starting to show up, similar to July last year, a pullback here looks likely.
It seems hard to imagine with all of the AI lead optimism, but this sector could see some retrace back to the 3100s to reset sentiment.
If the indicated resistance region is broken, the next likely targets are substantially higher.
Will be monitoring for a reversal pattern to emerge and confirm the time has come to exit longs and consider a short trade.
Nvidia uptrend may be running out of steam, where are the stops?Nvidia currently trading at 36 times sales and pricing in all the forward growth in earnings analysts can see. Many cheap stocks trade at 1-2 x sales, normal price to sales for growth stocks might be 5-10x sales. But 36 x times has a huge built in growth premium which makes holding these growth names risky. Its just like a premium on precious metals at the coin dealer, except the growth premium here far larger.
The trend is in tact as long as NVDA stays above 20 day moving average, in my opinion.
sox index and sox/gold may be showing waning momentums signals already.
EXPECT $500+ OUT of NVDAAt this point NVDA is unstoppable. It will not pull back until at least $500 - $520.
But even at that point it could easily turn the top of this upward channel trend
Into support and then we are looking at clear skies and smooth sailing until $1000.
I mean why not? NVDA could easily demand a more than 2 trillion dollar market
Cap. Especially considering when its quarterly revenue is at a whopping 7 billion,
giving the stock the admirable PE ratio of 213. This one has room to run. Insiders
might be dumping large blocks of shares but nothin g that should give investors
reason to be cautious. Fasten your seat belts because AI is in charge of this rally.
NVDA AT BEAUTIFUL SUPPORT!! EXPECTING A BOUNCE!There's a triple confluence here on NVDA, This is a massive support level with a developing 45min order block. With these confluence and a strong company leading the tech/AI world, I would expect higher prices to come unless we get a random negative event.
I'm bullish and looking to break $1,000 in the next few months.
Let me know your thought sin the comments below
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NVIDIA - Has the bubble been burst?After the sharp drop that NVIDIA had on Friday, what consequences can we observe?
Has the bubble been burst? Are we going to attend strong corrective phases?
Following the line with the price at maximums on February 12 and 23, we can see that when it reached that resistance line last Friday, the price fell sharply.
Since then it has moved laterally, above the support of the 823 zone.
I think this is not a figure of exhaustion, but a stop and a lateral movement.
Microsoft started the sideways move before NVIDIA, and has been eating up time without hurting the price level.
For me, the trend is still bullish.
Guys, what do you think? Leave a comment with your thoughts.
Nvidia may have finally topped in Primary wave 3Off the Friday reversal (which was stunning over 100 points in range) I can now count 5 waves down in the micro timeframes. Whether this is a wave 1 or just an a-wave, we should get a retrace slightly higher before descending in a wave 3 or c-wave.
On any descent, Nvidia needs to hold $770. A breach of $770 brings $647 into view. I am currently
Best to all,
Chris
NVIDIA (NVDA) Inverse H&S Breakout ConfirmedPretty self explanatory. Not usually a fan of inverse H&S any more but this one has all the classic hallmarks without the questionable slanty neckline or asymmetrical shoulders.
NVDA stock looks ready to rock following recent U.S legislation limiting what semiconductors can be exported to China + Nvidia chips expected to be a major component in the growing AI industry, with tech giants like Microsofts investing $10 bill in ChatGPT.
Also, yknow, Pelosi has NVDA bags so that helps too.
See how this one goes.
The Legal Quagmire: NVIDIA's Copyright Woes and the Future of AIIn the high-stakes world of technology and artificial intelligence, the recent legal entanglement of NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), a powerhouse in AI chip manufacturing, has sent shockwaves throughout the industry. The emergence of a copyright infringement lawsuit against NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), spearheaded by three authors, Brian Keene, Abdi Nazemian, and Stewart O’Nan, has not only cast a shadow over the company's integrity but also raised pertinent questions about the ethical use of intellectual property in AI development.
The crux of the matter lies in NVIDIA's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) AI NeMo development, which allegedly relied on a vast array of copyrighted works, including the aforementioned authors' books, to train its generative AI model. This revelation has ignited a firestorm of controversy, with the authors accusing NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) of unauthorized usage of their literary creations, thus infringing upon their copyrights.
At the heart of the lawsuit is the assertion that NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), knowingly or unknowingly, incorporated these copyrighted materials into its AI platform, thereby reaping the benefits of others' intellectual labor without proper attribution or compensation. This not only raises serious legal implications but also underscores the ethical dilemma surrounding the exploitation of creative works in the pursuit of technological advancement.
The ramifications of this legal battle extend beyond the courtroom, reverberating across the AI industry and financial markets alike. NVIDIA's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shares witnessed a significant dip of about 5.5% in value following the news of the lawsuit, signaling investor apprehensions about the company's legal liabilities and potential financial repercussions. Moreover, the lawsuit has cast doubt on NVIDIA's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) reputation as a frontrunner in AI innovation, with stakeholders questioning the company's adherence to ethical standards and intellectual property rights.
Amidst the legal wrangling and market volatility, one cannot overlook the broader implications for the future of AI development and its intersection with copyright law. As AI continues to evolve and permeate various aspects of society, the need for robust legal frameworks to govern its usage and safeguard intellectual property rights becomes increasingly urgent. The outcome of this lawsuit could set a precedent for how tech giants navigate the complex terrain of AI development while upholding ethical and legal standards.
In response to the allegations, NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has remained tight-lipped, opting not to comment on the matter publicly. This silence has only fueled speculation and uncertainty, leaving stakeholders grappling with unanswered questions about the company's involvement in the alleged copyright infringement.
As the legal saga unfolds, it serves as a sobering reminder of the intricate ethical and legal considerations inherent in AI development. Beyond the courtroom drama and market fluctuations, it prompts a critical reflection on the responsibilities of technology companies, the rights of content creators, and the broader implications for society at large. In the ever-expanding landscape of AI innovation, navigating the fine line between progress and ethical integrity remains a paramount challenge—one that requires collective vigilance and unwavering commitment to upholding the principles of fairness, transparency, and respect for intellectual property.
Bitcoin Ethereum & Crypto - are you ready for the next move?Bitcoin & crypto have been flying in the wake of semiconductor strength & the approaching halving.
As crypto has entered the stratosphere, and BTC at double top are we likely going to see some profit taking?
Double tops typically act as strong resistance, especially since there's been minimal consolidation leading into the move.
AMD Corrected Again- Buy the Dip Idea LONGAMD on the 15 minute chart breakout through anchord VWAP bands starting on February 29th
from the mean anchored VWAP support. Two days later finding itself extended to the second
upper VWAP band, price corrected over the next day down to the first upper band and then
after a few hours reversed and headed back toward the second upper band going somewhat
sideways and getting there two and a half days later. Price was rejected from that dynamic
resistance and fell into the first band which provided support to close the week.
The Luxalgo regression line forecast is for yet another more up to test the resistance of that
second upper band. I will take a long trade here recognizing that the forecast is for a 10-12%
move in the immediate term. If the forecast is accurate a stop loss will not be necessary. I will
set it at 204 to prevent anything other than an insignificant loss.
Is there any upside potential for the main 2023 leader? NVDA demonstrated astonishing move for market-type stock, gaining more than +230% since Jan 2023. Is there any upside left in the mid-term?
My analysis of the price structure suggest there at least on possibility for that in the mid-term, although...
... on Daily time-scale until price stays below 479 and Aug highs , I cannot rule out one more, potentially sharp and scary, move down to important mid-term support zone: 371-307 as per green count on the chart.
Under this scenario, the price needs to find support in this area and start building the bottom and the right side of the base/cup.
Alternatively, if price manages to consolidate above Sep low and create pivot around recent 476 highs, I would be eager to consider going long with price breaking above 479 with volume support.
Trading thesis: until price respects 479 short-term resistance area, I would lean towards the short side, with any consecutive lower-low being a shorting opportunity (orange circle on a chart above as a potential example) with stops above recent high.
Although mid-term analysis shows potential for at least one more leg up, in the short term we are in no mans land, with both sides (long/short) having technical arguments to support itself. I would wait for the dust to settle and high quality, low risk set-up to emerge before taking any decisive stance.
NVDA Nvidia Buy the Dip OpportunityNVDA and MSFT stood out as my top picks for 2023!
On the chart, you'll find some of my past buy recommendations, such as this one before the earnings:
In my view, the current retracement presents a favorable 'buy the dip' opportunity.
Utilizing the Fibonacci retracement tool, I've identified a buy zone between the 0.618 level and 0.5, ranging from $785 to $821.
My year-end price target is set at $1100!
Most likely, we'll see a stock split soon, a move that is statistically considered bullish!
Nvidia's Meteoric Rise: A Rally Cools Amid Market TurbulenceIn a stunning reversal, Nvidia Corp.,( NASDAQ:NVDA ) the behemoth in the semiconductor industry, witnessed its most significant one-day drop in nine months, sending shockwaves through the market and prompting questions about the sustainability of its blistering rally.
Traders scrambled to lock in profits following an astonishing surge that saw Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock skyrocket by over 19% in just six consecutive trading days. The chipmaker's shares tumbled by 5.6% on Friday, marking the largest single-day decline since May 31. The magnitude of the drop was staggering, erasing approximately $130 billion in market value—a feat rarely witnessed in the annals of US stock market history.
Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) meteoric ascent this year has been nothing short of breathtaking, fueled by buoyant optimism surrounding the relentless demand for its chips, particularly in the realm of artificial intelligence computing. Despite the setback on Friday, the stock has still managed to post staggering gains, boasting an impressive surge of over 70% since the beginning of 2024. With a market capitalization hovering around $2.2 trillion, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stands tall as the third-largest company in the S&P 500, trailing only behind tech titans Microsoft Corp. and Apple Inc.
However, signs of overheating were evident earlier in the session as Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shares surged by as much as 5.1%, pushing key momentum indicators to dizzying heights. The relative-strength index soared above 85, reaching levels not seen since November 2021, signaling that the stock was ripe for a correction. The rapid ascent had triggered warnings of potential market turbulence, underscoring the need for caution amidst euphoric sentiment.
The pullback in Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA stock price serves as a sobering reminder of the inherent volatility in the markets, punctuating a period of exuberance with a dose of reality. While the long-term growth prospects for Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) remain robust, investors are urged to tread carefully amidst heightened uncertainty and evolving market dynamics.
As Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) navigates through choppy waters, the focus shifts to the company's ability to sustain its growth trajectory and weather the storm of market fluctuations. With innovation at its core and a track record of resilience, Nvidia is poised to emerge stronger from the current setback, reaffirming its status as a stalwart in the ever-evolving landscape of technology and finance.
NVDIA: Is it finally correcting?NVDIA Corporation is having a -5.50% day so far and that was enough to make the 1D timeframe not overbought again (RSI = 69.907, MACD = 67.840, ADX = 37.914) for the first time since February 21st. On the 1W timeframe though it remains vastly overbought (RSI = 89.349), which means that on the long term the stock has considerable room for a downward correction.
However on this 1D chart, there are no signs of a bigger correction yet, just a 'standard' -21% to -26%, which gives a short term target on the middle of the 18 month Channel Up (TP = 775.00).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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