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$SPY $SPX Pullback to Gap Fill? I've been waiting for a rocket to AMEX:SPY $630 but my monthly tells me that February wants to close red. Here is my daily with a fib that we cant seem to hold above although today we did close above once I have been waiting patiently in this box unlike others, I have constantly reiterated, don't try to be a hero inside of the box. Now that the Box seems to be pushing towards the upside, I can't help but notice we continue printing bearish candles regardless of direction. Today we closed with a Hangman, which begs the question, could we perhaps lean bearish for two of the most bearish weeks of the year in comparison? I'd like to think I'm not wrong here and we will get a spill before anyone gets an expected blow off top. Be careful out there, volatility remains present and the VIX was above the 50DMA last time I checked. If we can get this gap fill and start moving back up, I will be confident in the gap fill being bottom. Seeing as $593 AMEX:SPY alert for bottom never filled, I will have to assume it's still a possibility. Taz out.
SP:SPX
by TazmanianTrader
$NVDA Earnings SetupNASDAQ:NVDA Nvidia needs to absolutely dominate the market with both earnings and guidance. Last time they beat by 10% and sold off. Right now is a very difficult time in the market. Many tech companies are beating earnings, then selling off. Shay expects Nvidia to report strong earnings, however, he sees Nvidia having a pullback quarter but the timing is uncertain. As long as it holds the 200 MA, he remains in position. Nvidia has cemented its position in the AI and quantum computing thematics, with its CUDA platform and NVDL Link being essential for future workloads. Doubt remains though about lowered AI cloud workloads due to compute restraints. Demand is still way higher than supply, but questions remain surrounding easing of supply constraints and whether Nvidia has another leg left for exponential growth. Here are our key levels to watch through earnings: Under bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $114. Over bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $140.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by PennyBois
NVDA | $100 supportNASDAQ:NVDA update on how price action is looking like compared to the last post. We mainly saw price stalling out around $120 after the gap was made, and then a anticipation for movement back to resistance. After analyzing how buyers did over time we expect more strength in sellers as buyers lost a bit of steam and also created lower highs. Could imagine a selloff back to $100 then a quick move back up to resistance once again. A bit too soon to tell but will keep an eye out.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Nathanl19
2
S&P500 Index Goes 'Floundering', ahead of Bearish HarvestWhile the S&P 500 is generally expected to perform well in 2025, with forecasts suggesting gains ranging from 9% to 14.7% depending on the source, there are several factors that could lead to a less favorable performance or even a decline: High Valuations: The S&P 500 is currently trading at high valuations, with a P/E multiple of 22 times projected earnings, which is above historical averages. This elevated valuation increases the risk of market downturns if there are negative economic shocks. Economic Uncertainties: The economic landscape is filled with uncertainties, including potential inflation increases and geopolitical tensions. These factors can impact investor confidence and lead to market volatility. Interest Rates and Bond Yields: Higher bond yields can reduce the attractiveness of stocks compared to bonds, potentially leading to a decline in stock prices. Earnings Growth Expectations: While earnings are expected to grow, there is a risk that actual growth may not meet these expectations, which could negatively impact the market. Policy Risks: Changes in trade policies, such as tariffs, and shifts in fiscal policy could also affect the market's performance. Historical Patterns: Achieving three consecutive years of high returns (above 20%) is rare for the S&P 500, suggesting that 2025 might not see such strong gains. Overall, while there are positive forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025, these potential risks could lead to a less robust performance or even a decline if they materialize. // While salmon make up the bulk of their diet, Coastal Brown Bears also enjoy a fresh flounder now, and again. Best wishes, PandorraResearch Team 😎
CBOE:SPX
by PandorraResearch
$SMH is in undecided watersMany Wall Street analyst will say there are no bull markets without the Semis. We have been going sideways for a few months. We are in a range within a major upward trend in the markets and the NASDAQ:SMH ETF. The same looks in the charts of NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AVGO etc. In this chart we plotted an upward trending parallel channel. The NASDAQ:SMH price have been within the parallel channel sweeping the upper and lower bound in this multiyear bull market. This is also evident here. But since hitting an ATH in July 2024. It has been sideways since then. It is forming a consolidating wedge pattern which can break either way. But usually, such consolidation pattern breaks in the direction of the underlying market trend. Long NASDAQ:SMH now and here when in consolidation pattern.
NASDAQ:SMHLong
by RabishankarBiswal
NVDA Near Historic Highs: Awaiting Key Breakout SignalsI’m sharing a weekly chart analysis for NVDA, focusing on its current position near historical highs at $129 after a bounce from $90. From the logarithmic scale chart, it's clear that NVDA has been in a long-term progression channel since July 2015. Currently, the price is positioned on the upper deviation line of this channel, indicating a potential resistance area. Given this position on the logarithmic scale, I am leaning towards a short bias as it suggests we could see a pullback or correction. I’ve also identified two cup & handle patterns, each with their respective targets. However, these patterns will only be validated based on the next price movements. While there is still a blue support trend and a red resistance trend in play, the price near its historical highs and its proximity to the upper boundary of the progression channel suggest that a downward movement could be more likely. However, due to the large time scale of the weekly chart, we should wait for further confirmation of a downtrend before taking a short position. For now, I recommend caution and suggest waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current channel before making any decisive trades. I’d love to hear your insights and thoughts on this setup.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Eymen-GUVEN
Can ES Hold Steady? This week’s data and Nvidia earnings (Feb 26) are pivotal. Options Positioning Volume: High, with daily averages ~1.5M contracts (CME data trends). Expect ~1.7M this week due to macro catalysts. Call vs. Put Skew: Call-heavy (1.4:1), reflecting hedging against a pullback and speculative upside bets. Key Strikes: NTM (6,000–6,050): GEX high (+$300M), IV ~25%, DEX balanced. Gamma pinning likely keeps NYSE:ES stable early week (Feb 24–25) unless data shifts sentiment. OTM Calls (6,100–6,150): GEX moderate (+$150M), VEX positive, IV 30%. Heavy OI (40,000 contracts) at 6,100 suggests a volatility spike target if Nvidia beats and PCE cools. OTM Puts (5,900–5,950): GEX low (+ LSE:80M ), VEX flat, IV ~20%. Put buying reflects downside hedges if PCE surprises hot (>2.7%). Term Structure: March futures (~6,050) in slight contango, but a volatility event (e.g., Nvidia miss) could flip to backwardation, boosting OTM call IV. Key Data Releases and Impact Feb 25 – Consumer Confidence: <110 lifts NYSE:ES to 6,000; >115 pushes to 6,100. Feb 26 – Q4 GDP: <2.5% supports 5,950–6,000; >3% pressures to 5,900 on inflation fears. Feb 26 – Nvidia Earnings: Beat holds 6,050–6,100; miss drops to 5,900–5,950. Feb 28 – PCE: <2.5% lifts to 6,150; >2.7% sinks to 5,900, spiking OTM put volume. Forecast: Range: 5,900–6,150. Base case: 6,000–6,050 unless PCE or Nvidia disrupts.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by QuantumEdgeAnalytics
SMCI BONANZA HOW SUPERMICRO GOES BANANA-STANDING AGAINThe Great Banana Republic of Bananadom 🍌 In a world where sunshine dripped like honey and the very air smelled of sweet ripeness, lay the Great Banana Republic of Bananadom. Here, houses were carved from colossal banana peels, their smooth yellow surfaces gleaming. The roads? Paved with dried banana chips, providing a satisfying crunch with every step. The citizens, known as Bananadomites, were a cheerful bunch, their skin naturally tinted a warm yellow. They wore clothes woven from banana fiber, adorned with intricate patterns of banana leaves and blossoms. 🍌 Our protagonist was Bananabelle, a spirited Bananadomite with a crown of woven banana leaves atop her head. Bananabelle wasn't just any Bananadomite ; she was the Royal Banana Baker, famed throughout the republic for her innovative banana-based delicacies. From banana bread that sang sweet melodies when sliced to banana smoothies that granted temporary flight, her creations were legendary. 🍌 Life in Bananadom was idyllic, a continuous cycle of harvesting, baking, and celebrating the glorious banana. But one day, a shadow fell upon this sunny paradise. The Great Banana Tree, the source of all bananas in Bananadom, began to wither. Its leaves drooped, its fruit shriveled, and the air lost its sweet fragrance. Panic gripped the republic. Without the Great Banana Tree, Bananadom would cease to exist. 🍌 Bananabelle, known for her courage and ingenuity, stepped forward. She proposed a daring quest: to venture beyond Bananadom, into the uncharted lands rumored to exist beyond the seemingly endless banana plantations that surrounded their republic. Legend spoke of a mystical Banana Oasis, a hidden paradise where the first banana seed sprouted, and where the secret to eternal banana growth resided. 🍌 Gathering a team of brave Bananadomites– a strong banana farmer named Bananabert, a wise old banana leaf weaver named Nana, and a nimble banana monkey named Chip – Bananabelle set off. Their journey was fraught with peril. They navigated through jungles of giant banana slugs, crossed rivers of banana pudding, and outsmarted grumpy gorillas guarding banana hoards. 🍌 Along the way, Nana shared ancient Bananadomite lore, revealing that the Great Banana Tree's decline was linked to a growing apathy among the Bananadomites. They had become complacent, taking the banana’s bounty for granted and forgetting the importance of gratitude and respect for nature. 🍌 Finally, after weeks of travel, they reached the Banana Oasis. It was a sight to behold: a lush valley teeming with every variety of banana imaginable. At its heart stood a shimmering waterfall of banana nectar, nourishing a single, glowing banana seed. 🍌 As Bananabelle approached the seed, a voice echoed through the valley. It was the spirit of the Great Banana Tree, reminding her of the importance of cherishing their blessings. Bananabelle, humbled, vowed to reignite the spirit of gratitude and respect in Bananadomite. She carefully collected a vial of the banana nectar and, with a renewed sense of purpose, led her team back home. 🍌 Upon their return, Bananabelle poured the nectar onto the roots of the Great Banana Tree. Slowly, miraculously, the tree began to revive. Its leaves unfurled, its fruit plumped, and the air filled with its sweet fragrance once more. The Bananadomites rejoiced, their hearts filled with gratitude. Bananabelle's bravery and wisdom had saved their republic. From that day on, the people of Bananadom celebrated the Banana Oasis Quest, a reminder to always cherish the gifts of nature and the power of community. And Bananabelle? She continued to bake her legendary banana treats, each one a testament to the enduring spirit of the Great Banana Republic of Bananadomite. 🍌🍌🍌 What's a Banana-tastic adventure 🍌🍌🍌
NASDAQ:SMCI
by PandorraResearch
NVIDIA Rejected on the most important Resistance of all.Last time we looked at NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) was just 20 days ago (January 29, see chart below) but we managed to get the exact bottom buy opportunity on the 1W MA50: As the stock reacted with an immediate and relentless rally of 10 straight green 1D candles, it hit yesterday its first hurdle, the All Time High (ATH) Lower Highs trend-line and closed in red. This Lower Highs trend-line is historically very important as every time a similar technical structure broke in the past 2 years, a strong rally followed. The early ones were stronger, which is natural to expect as the company was recovering from the 2022 Inflation Crisis and had enormous room to grow. On a side-note, the 1D RSI rebounded on its 34.00 Support, where the stock's last two bottoms were priced. As a result, we believe that if NVIDIA breaks and closes above the current Lower Highs trend-line, it should at least repeat the last rally from its bottom (+68.69%), which translates to a $190 medium-term Target. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
NVDA - Back again, now down again?The pattern seems to repeat. Again, we had a HAGOPIAN, which sais, that price goes back more than from where it came, and this rule was right. Up in here, I'm not that confident anymore that price will reach the Centerline. But, it's not about what I think, or how confident I'm are. I just have to follow my Strategy and act according to the Rules, the trading framework of the Medianlines. That said, we either shoot up on earnings, or we definitely tank down. For now, there is no trade, only a Gamble. I rarely gamble, so I'll sit on the sidelines and let it happen whatever will come out on earnings. As for a Lotto-Ticket, I would buy some Puts and just have fun to watch how they get burned, or how I get a Christmas Moment in the beginning of the new year §8-)
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
$TSLA poised for an EASY rise to $400 and beyond.BUY NASDAQ:TSLA NOW A falling wedge is a chart pattern suggesting a probable rise in a stock's price. This bullish pattern emerges during a downtrend, as the price range tightens and the trend lines converge. RSI: 35.02 as of 02/10/2025 NASDAQ:TSLA 's price began 2025 at $403.84. As of today, it stands at $350.73, reflecting a -13% decrease since the start of the year. By the end of 2025, it's projected to reach $692 , a year-to-year increase of +71%. This marks a +97% rise from today’s price. Mid-2025 predictions place Tesla at $477 . In the first half of 2026, the price is expected to climb to $805, and by year-end, add another $163 to close at $968, which is +176% from the current price. -Month Low $350.51 Low $350.51 Pivot Point 1st Support Point $346.59 Pivot Point 2nd Support Point $342.46 Price 1 Standard Deviation Support $334.84 Pivot Point 3rd Support Point $334.40 Thank you
NASDAQ:TSLALong
by sej4974