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NVDA

NVDA has topped. Sell it now.2023 has been an incredibly strong year for stocks. The Nasdaq rallied 38% in the first six months for one of the best starts to a year in history. This rally has been primarily led by an AI/tech theme that has been responsible for the bulk of these gains. That part of the rally is likely over, however… at least for now. Every bull market has a “theme” with leading stocks that set the pace. In the late 90s that was the dot-com bubble. In the 2009-2020 bull market that was big tech like Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Apple and Google (hence the FAANG stocks moniker). The 2020-2021 bull market was led by “work-from-home” stocks like Zoom, Teladoc and Peloton. The 2023 bull market has been led by artificial intelligece. The leading stocks have been Meta, Microsoft, Dynatrace, MongoDB, Palantir, AMD, and the biggest leader of them all, Nvidia. Over the last 4-6 weeks we have witnessed many of these leading names roll over and retrace beneath their 50-day moving average – a key level that generally supports top stocks through the move higher. Despite the recent pullback in the market, Nvidia has held at its highs. Wednesday after the close, Nvidia reported earnings. And the results were better than anyone could have expected. Earnings $2.70 per share versus estimates of $2.08. Sales were $13.5 billion – 20% above expectations. And the company raised forward guidance (how much they expect to bring in next quarter) from $12 billion to $16 billion. They also announced a $25 billion share buyback which should act to propel the stock price even further. Investors got everything they wanted and then some. NVDA stock shot up 10% after hours. The news was so good, the entire Nasdaq index shot up 1% on the news. But Thursday, in the first few hours of trading, all of those gains were gone. The Nasdaq opened higher, and immediately began selling off. It fell 3% during the session. And NVDA was back where it closed the day before. This, to me, is a clear signal that the 2023 rally in tech stocks is over. The high was likely made on July 19th, and I doubt we see that level again this year. In a bear market, like we had in 2022, what you want to see is the market going UP on BAD news. This is the sign that the low is in, and buyers are coming back in. We saw this on October 13, 2022. After a government inflation report revealed the worst numbers yet – far worse than expectations – the market gapped down and opened a full 3% lower than it was the day before. However, stocks immediately began to rally, and the index surged 5% that day. This was the signal that the low was in. On the other hand, in a bull market, we want to watch for times when the market goes DOWN on GOOD news. This often signals a top. And I believe we saw that on Thursday. Nvidia was the only stock that could have reversed this pullback. The earnings report was better than even the most optimistic investor had hoped. This should have absolutely put an end to the pullback and caused the market to rally higher. Instead, we saw the opposite. So, what does this mean? First of all, and let me be clear on this, I am NOT saying the market is about to crash. I simply believe the “easy money” stage is over. I expect to see fairly choppy conditions for the next few weeks or months, and investors can no longer rely on the bull market to push everything higher. I believe tech stocks have seen their highs for 2023. Those with large open gains in stocks like Meta, Amazon, Apple, Google, Nvidia and the like may consider selling to lock in those gains here. There will still be stocks that go up, some of them by substantial amounts. But I believe this is now a more selective stock picker’s market. Personally, I sold the index funds in my long-term account and moved to cash ( I also went short the Nasdaq via QID). As of yesterday, those index funds funds were up 37% year-to-date. That is a phenomenal year, and I do not want to risk giving those gains back. To me, this is a low-risk decision. The worst-case scenario is that I am wrong or something material changes that propels stocks higher. If this happens, and the Nasdaq makes new highs this year, I will simply buy those funds back. All I will have missed is a 6% move.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by rossgivens
79
$INTC - Rising Trend Channel [MID-TERM]🔹Between support 32.86 and resistance 37.24 in Rectangle Formation. 🔹In case of a NEGATIVE reaction, it has support at approximately 33. 🔹Technically POSITIVE for the medium long term. Chart Pattern: ◦ DT: Double Top | BEARISH | 🔴 ◦ DB: Double Bottom | BULLISH | 🟢 ◦ HNS: Head & Shoulder | BEARISH | 🔴 ◦ REC: Rectangle | 🔵 ◦ iHNS: inverse head & Shoulder | BULLISH | 🟢 Verify it first and believe later. WavePoint ❤️
NASDAQ:INTCLong
by wavepoint99
NVIDIA AI MANUEVER 550$ MAXIMUMMore traders trap on this move on NVDA, The deviation on previous high is trapping the buyers. Now the sellers are trap too. Real moves has make new trendline on daily. The heatmap shows nothing burger or sellers being spotted. Im expecting 550$ to its high. but Fibonacci at 161 percent since this move price would be 670$. But im not expecting that high. This idea base on both sellers and buyers deviation. As we can see the bulls keep pushing its price. If youre a shorts. wait for a deviation again. with lower high and LOwer Low to be made. This is not a financial advice. Follow for more
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by D1GITALTRADES
Call Me Crazy But....NVDA LOOKS EXHAUSTEDNVDA has been the golden child of '23 for sure but I believe it's time for it to take a breather. I don't think such a large gap will go untouched for too much longer. I know I'm not the only one seeing this, so I'd expect there to be some games being played before we get there, either way I'll be positioned well for this fall. The higher it goes, the better the payout for me when it's all said and done. I might sound confident, but of course I could be completely wrong. Only Time Will Tell...
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by MrxMvP
3
NAS100 - is the skew of risk tilted for a re-test of 15,800?The current flow suggests this is the risk. On the daily chart, we see price closing above the 61.8 fibo of the July/Aug sell-off, as well as the 24 Aug highs. We see price holding above the 3-day EMA, with this ultra-ST moving average pulling above the 8-day EMA. Momentum accounts would be increasing net long positions on this move. On a micro level, Nvidia is eyeing a new high, and Apple is also showing good buying interest again and as long as those stocks, along with Microsoft, attract new buyers, then the skew of risk is that the NAS100 re-visits 15,800. Happy to cut longs upon a 3- & 8-day EMA bearish crossover, flipping to shorts on a daily close below 14,687.
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100Long
by Pepperstone
Nvidia -> 100% New All Time Highs!Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nvidia 💪 A couple of months ago Nvidia perfectly retested the lower support trendline of the major monthly rising channel and the next resistance towards the upside is roughly at the $750level. You can see that Nvidia still looks a little bit overextended on the weekly timeframe but therefore I do expect the bullish momentum to continue for the next couple of weeks. With the recent break and retest of the $470 daily structure zone, market structure on Nvidia is now back to bullish and it will just be a matter of days until Nvidia creates a new all time high. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
28