Nvidia Flexes Bold Guidance but Can the Chipmaker Deliver on It?Chief Jensen Huang showed hubris on the earnings call right after Nvidia NVDA reported another blockbuster quarter with record sales and soaring profits. He said that demand for the new Blackwell chip is “amazing.”
“Well, I'm more enthusiastic today than I was at CES We have some 350 plants manufacturing the 1.5 million components that go into each one of the Blackwell racks, Grace Blackwell racks. Yes, it's extremely complicated,” Huang said. “Nothing is easy about what we’re doing, but we’re doing great.”
Everyone and their dog was glued to the screen after-hours Wednesday, waiting to hear what the most important person for the stock market was going to say. And many were hoping it’ll be good and Nvidia will save us from the recent selloff that spilled from tech stocks to all stocks .
And indeed, it was another stellar performance by Nvidia. For the fourth quarter ended January 26, the chipmaking giant pulled in record revenue of $39.3 billion, up 80% from a year ago, topping analyst estimates for $38 billion. Earnings per share reached $0.89 against Wall Street guidance for $0.84 a pop. Net income landed at $22.1 billion, up 80% from a year earlier.
Without a doubt, Nvidia continued its string of record-shattering results. And, what’s more, that’s also what Nvidia thinks will happen with the current quarter. The company projected revenue of $43 billion for the first three months of 2025, up 65% from the year-ago quarter when sales hit $26 billion .
To get to that figure, and keep the growth going, Nvidia will need to retain all its deep-pocketed clients like Amazon AMZN , Meta META , Microsoft MSFT and Alphabet GOOGL . These four alone make up about half of Nvidia’s revenue. Other customers with buckets of cash include ChatGPT parent OpenAI and Elon Musk’s Tesla TSLA .
As to the share price, investors didn’t really cheer the upbeat guidance or the double beat on both earnings and revenue. The stock showed virtually no reaction in extended trading — could it be that markets expected an even bigger blowout performance?
Or maybe they don’t believe in Nvidia’s business model after DeepSeek achieved for mere millions what OpenAI achieved for hundreds of millions? Year to date, Nvidia, the second-largest company in the world , is down 5% to $3.2 trillion. It’s drifted about 10% away from the all-time high hit in early January.
And with this, make sure to closely watch the earnings calendar for other hot reports as AI history is being made before our eyes.
What’s your take on Nvidia’s future? Do you think its Big Tech clients will soon whip up their own AI chips? Or is Nvidia’s AI dominance set in stone? Share your thoughts in the comment section!
NVDA
Breaking: Nvidia ($NVDA) Surges 4% on Earnings BeatNvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ), the U.S.-based semiconductor giant, has once again outperformed market expectations, reporting $39.3 billion in Q4 revenue, a 2.7% increase beyond analyst projections. While its dominance in AI chips remains unchallenged, a surprising growth driver has emerged: its automotive and robotics segment. With demand for driver-assist technology soaring, this segment is poised to become Nvidia’s next multi-billion-dollar business.
The Rise of Nvidia’s Automotive Business
Nvidia’s automotive and robotics revenue surged by 103% year-on-year, reaching a record $570 million in Q4 FY2025. This brings its total segment revenue for the fiscal year to $1.69 billion, marking the second consecutive year above the $1 billion threshold.
Although automotive contributes just 1.45% to Nvidia’s total revenue, analysts predict exponential expansion as real-world applications of autonomous driving and robotics continue to develop.
Technical Analysis
As of the latest session, NASDAQ:NVDA closed up 3.67% and continued its positive momentum, rising 2% in premarket trading. From a technical standpoint, Nvidia is approaching a bullish breakout, supported by the following indicators:
- RSI at 48: This suggests the stock is neither overbought nor oversold, leaving ample room for an upward push.
- Key Fibonacci Levels: In case of a pullback, the 65% Fibonacci retracement level serves as a strong support zone, providing a potential rebound point.
- Breakout Potential: A move above the 1-month high could signal further bullish momentum, paving the way for new highs.
With AI-driven demand surging, and Nvidia's automotive and robotics division gaining traction, the company is well-positioned for long-term profitability. Investors should keep a close watch on technical breakouts and fundamental milestones, as Nvidia continues to redefine the future of AI and autonomous technology.
Nvidia (NVDA) Share Price Dips Slightly After Earnings ReportNvidia (NVDA) Share Price Dips Slightly After Earnings Report
Following the close of the main trading session yesterday, Nvidia released its quarterly earnings report, exceeding analysts' expectations:
→ Earnings per share: Actual = $0.89, Expected = $0.84
→ Revenue: Actual = $39.3 billion, Expected = $38.1 billion (a 78% increase year-on-year)
It was also revealed that Nvidia’s latest AI chip family, Blackwell, generated $11 billion in sales for the quarter. This eased concerns that transitioning to the Blackwell chip series could lead to a decline in revenue.
How Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Reacted to the Earnings Report
Despite the strong earnings, Nvidia’s share price did not benefit significantly. Post-market trading saw heightened volatility, with NVDA shares fluctuating between $126 and $136 in the first few minutes after the report’s release.
As volatility subsided, NVDA stabilised around $129, slightly below Wednesday’s closing price of $131.37, reflecting a decline of approximately 1.7%.
Technical Analysis of NVDA Stock Chart
In February, NVDA’s share price continued to hold below the lower boundary of its previous upward trend channel after failing to break the psychological barrier at $150. Specifically:
→ The lower channel boundary has now acted as resistance (indicated by the arrow).
→ A downward trend channel (marked in red) is becoming increasingly apparent.
As a result, NVDA shares have not shown the ability to recover from the panic sell-off on 27 January, when Nvidia and other leading AI companies saw their stocks plummet following the success of Chinese startup DeepSeek.
NVDA Share Price Forecast
Analysts remain optimistic, possibly due to the expected increase in AI-related capital expenditure by major tech firms in 2025. Additionally, the upcoming GTC conference could serve as a bullish catalyst, likely featuring new product announcements within the Blackwell family.
According to TipRanks:
→ 33 out of 36 analysts recommend buying NVDA shares.
→ The 12-month average price target for NVDA is $177.
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NVIDIA to $228If Nvidia were truly done for, why is it impossible to find their latest 5000 series GPUs?
Even if someone wanted to buy one, they simply can't.
The reason lies in Nvidia's commitment to fulfilling the soaring demand from AI data centers, which has left them unable to produce enough H100 and H200 models.
This situation also allows Nvidia to increase their profit margins significantly, capitalizing on the disparity between demand and the media frenzy surrounding them.
DeepSeek serves as a prime example of how out of touch mainstream media can be.
All DeepSeek did was replicate Chat GPT.
Training models requires substantial computing power. The panic surrounding Nvidia and other semiconductor companies is quite amusing; the demand for computing power is skyrocketing!
The gap between the reality of the AI mega-trend and the narrow focus of mainstream media is staggering! It's astonishingly out of touch! Just as out of touch as Cramer was when he declared META was done at $100, or when he thought Chat GPT would obliterate Google at $88.
Stock prices fluctuate between being overvalued and undervalued. While we have metrics like EGF and PE ratios to assess valuation, indicating that Nvidia is currently inexpensive, this doesn't guarantee it won't drop further. However, it is generally wiser to buy stocks when they are cheap rather than when they are costly.
The greater the deviation from the high then the greater the BUYING OPPORTUNITY being presented for the very best leading companies.
The key takeaway is that the deeper Nvidia falls during its corrections, the more advantageous it could be.
Those who are experiencing anxiety during these declines may find themselves selling at a loss, or for a marginal profit possibly around previous highs, while the stock has the potential to rise to $228 and beyond.
The potential for growth is significant; the $228 Fibonacci extension may not represent the peak. Attempting to predict a top for Nvidia could be misguided. Once it reaches $228, Nvidia might maintain a valuation similar to its current $130 level.
NVDA XABCD Best Level to BUY/HOLD 30% gains🔸Hello traders, today let's review recent price chart for NVDA.
Well defined swings in progress, expecting further downside before
the tide finally turns for NVDA bulls. Currently it's recommended to stay out.
🔸Speculative XABCD defined by points: X 150, A 115, B 140, C 120, D 160.
most points validated already, C/D pending.
🔸Well defined swings in progress, so expecting a low near 120 before
reversal and new swing higher.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for correction to complete at/near 129 usd in March 2025 and get ready to BUY/HOLD low, this is a swing trade setup, so will take longer to hit target, patience required. final TP is 160 USD, 30% upside from point C/buy entry. good luck traders!
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NVDA expected to remain volatile near term before bullish move!!Expecting to see sellers resume control at 135-136 levels near term, to take price back to 118-120$ gap fill target for liquidity purposes.
After that, looking for price advancement to 158-165 buy-side target levels for final high on weekly buy cycle.
NVDA Earnings - Must Watch EarningsNVDA Earnings Wednesday after market
This is crazy that 1 stock may be the pain or gain for the markets in 2025
Glass Half Full
-NVDA is a revenue monster
-Earnings trend continues to point higher
-Demand for chips remains high (minus DeepSeek scare and uncertainty)
-19% weight on SMH
-7% weight on SPY
-8% weight on QQQ
-NVDA bullish can single handedly lift the markets and renew optimism and risk appetite
Glass Half Empty
-NVDA is overvalued
-NVDA hasn't hit all-time highs since Nov 2024 (with fakeout in Jan 2025)
-NVDA's reign is over and competition is heating up in the chips space and AI arms race
-NVDA bearish can be the wave of risk off that confirms current market concerns and fears
It's a big deal - plan and trade accordingly. Thanks for watching!!!
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NVDA before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 150usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2025-9-19,
for a premium of approximately $13.35.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
$SPY $SPX Pullback to Gap Fill? I've been waiting for a rocket to AMEX:SPY $630 but my monthly tells me that February wants to close red. Here is my daily with a fib that we cant seem to hold above although today we did close above once I have been waiting patiently in this box unlike others, I have constantly reiterated, don't try to be a hero inside of the box. Now that the Box seems to be pushing towards the upside, I can't help but notice we continue printing bearish candles regardless of direction. Today we closed with a Hangman, which begs the question, could we perhaps lean bearish for two of the most bearish weeks of the year in comparison? I'd like to think I'm not wrong here and we will get a spill before anyone gets an expected blow off top. Be careful out there, volatility remains present and the VIX was above the 50DMA last time I checked. If we can get this gap fill and start moving back up, I will be confident in the gap fill being bottom. Seeing as $593 AMEX:SPY alert for bottom never filled, I will have to assume it's still a possibility. Taz out.
$SMCI - Does SMIC file their 10k by 420pm EST today? Doubt it. Not a single company has ever waited until after market close to file their 10k on the day of an EXTENDED deadline to file their 10k. Not one. Ever.
Is SMCI nvda's 3rd or 4th largest customer? Yes.
Does SMCI's failure to get a cpa firm willing to sign off on the 10k mean it will affect nvda?
Buckle up chuck.
$NVDA Earnings SetupNASDAQ:NVDA
Nvidia needs to absolutely dominate the market with both earnings and guidance. Last time they beat by 10% and sold off. Right now is a very difficult time in the market. Many tech companies are beating earnings, then selling off. Shay expects Nvidia to report strong earnings, however, he sees Nvidia having a pullback quarter but the timing is uncertain. As long as it holds the 200 MA, he remains in position. Nvidia has cemented its position in the AI and quantum computing thematics, with its CUDA platform and NVDL Link being essential for future workloads. Doubt remains though about lowered AI cloud workloads due to compute restraints. Demand is still way higher than supply, but questions remain surrounding easing of supply constraints and whether Nvidia has another leg left for exponential growth.
Here are our key levels to watch through earnings:
Under bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $114.
Over bullish trendline and $130.56, aim for $140.
NVDA | $100 supportNASDAQ:NVDA update on how price action is looking like compared to the last post. We mainly saw price stalling out around $120 after the gap was made, and then a anticipation for movement back to resistance.
After analyzing how buyers did over time we expect more strength in sellers as buyers lost a bit of steam and also created lower highs.
Could imagine a selloff back to $100 then a quick move back up to resistance once again.
A bit too soon to tell but will keep an eye out.
XRP on Sale?As posted before we are in a bullish liquidation zone on xrp between $2.30-2.69. XRP completed a bearish butterfly pattern in the recent market liquidation this past weekend. I now expect it to settle around the support of $2.30 and trend upward towards $2.69, $3, $4, $5.
This is NFA. Good luck! 🤠
- R2C
S&P500 Index Goes 'Floundering', ahead of Bearish HarvestWhile the S&P 500 is generally expected to perform well in 2025, with forecasts suggesting gains ranging from 9% to 14.7% depending on the source, there are several factors that could lead to a less favorable performance or even a decline:
High Valuations: The S&P 500 is currently trading at high valuations, with a P/E multiple of 22 times projected earnings, which is above historical averages. This elevated valuation increases the risk of market downturns if there are negative economic shocks.
Economic Uncertainties: The economic landscape is filled with uncertainties, including potential inflation increases and geopolitical tensions. These factors can impact investor confidence and lead to market volatility.
Interest Rates and Bond Yields: Higher bond yields can reduce the attractiveness of stocks compared to bonds, potentially leading to a decline in stock prices.
Earnings Growth Expectations: While earnings are expected to grow, there is a risk that actual growth may not meet these expectations, which could negatively impact the market.
Policy Risks: Changes in trade policies, such as tariffs, and shifts in fiscal policy could also affect the market's performance.
Historical Patterns: Achieving three consecutive years of high returns (above 20%) is rare for the S&P 500, suggesting that 2025 might not see such strong gains.
Overall, while there are positive forecasts for the S&P 500 in 2025, these potential risks could lead to a less robust performance or even a decline if they materialize.
// While salmon make up the bulk of their diet, Coastal Brown Bears also enjoy a fresh flounder now, and again.
Best wishes,
PandorraResearch Team 😎
$SMH is in undecided watersMany Wall Street analyst will say there are no bull markets without the Semis. We have been going sideways for a few months. We are in a range within a major upward trend in the markets and the NASDAQ:SMH ETF. The same looks in the charts of NASDAQ:NVDA , NASDAQ:AVGO etc.
In this chart we plotted an upward trending parallel channel. The NASDAQ:SMH price have been within the parallel channel sweeping the upper and lower bound in this multiyear bull market. This is also evident here. But since hitting an ATH in July 2024. It has been sideways since then. It is forming a consolidating wedge pattern which can break either way. But usually, such consolidation pattern breaks in the direction of the underlying market trend.
Long NASDAQ:SMH now and here when in consolidation pattern.
NVDA Near Historic Highs: Awaiting Key Breakout SignalsI’m sharing a weekly chart analysis for NVDA, focusing on its current position near historical highs at $129 after a bounce from $90.
From the logarithmic scale chart, it's clear that NVDA has been in a long-term progression channel since July 2015. Currently, the price is positioned on the upper deviation line of this channel, indicating a potential resistance area. Given this position on the logarithmic scale, I am leaning towards a short bias as it suggests we could see a pullback or correction.
I’ve also identified two cup & handle patterns, each with their respective targets. However, these patterns will only be validated based on the next price movements.
While there is still a blue support trend and a red resistance trend in play, the price near its historical highs and its proximity to the upper boundary of the progression channel suggest that a downward movement could be more likely. However, due to the large time scale of the weekly chart, we should wait for further confirmation of a downtrend before taking a short position.
For now, I recommend caution and suggest waiting for a confirmed breakout or breakdown from the current channel before making any decisive trades. I’d love to hear your insights and thoughts on this setup.
Can ES Hold Steady? This week’s data and Nvidia earnings (Feb 26) are pivotal.
Options Positioning
Volume: High, with daily averages ~1.5M contracts (CME data trends). Expect ~1.7M this week due to macro catalysts.
Call vs. Put Skew: Call-heavy (1.4:1), reflecting hedging against a pullback and speculative upside bets.
Key Strikes:
NTM (6,000–6,050): GEX high (+$300M), IV ~25%, DEX balanced. Gamma pinning likely keeps NYSE:ES stable early week (Feb 24–25) unless data shifts sentiment.
OTM Calls (6,100–6,150): GEX moderate (+$150M), VEX positive, IV 30%. Heavy OI (40,000 contracts) at 6,100 suggests a volatility spike target if Nvidia beats and PCE cools.
OTM Puts (5,900–5,950): GEX low (+ LSE:80M ), VEX flat, IV ~20%. Put buying reflects downside hedges if PCE surprises hot (>2.7%).
Term Structure: March futures (~6,050) in slight contango, but a volatility event (e.g., Nvidia miss) could flip to backwardation, boosting OTM call IV.
Key Data Releases and Impact
Feb 25 – Consumer Confidence: <110 lifts NYSE:ES to 6,000; >115 pushes to 6,100.
Feb 26 – Q4 GDP: <2.5% supports 5,950–6,000; >3% pressures to 5,900 on inflation fears.
Feb 26 – Nvidia Earnings: Beat holds 6,050–6,100; miss drops to 5,900–5,950.
Feb 28 – PCE: <2.5% lifts to 6,150; >2.7% sinks to 5,900, spiking OTM put volume.
Forecast: Range: 5,900–6,150. Base case: 6,000–6,050 unless PCE or Nvidia disrupts.
Nebius - A MASSIVE 113% Upside Potential!NASDAQ:NVDA recently bought shares of NASDAQ:NBIS
I'm riding as I see a 113% upside to $85! 🎯
- Bullish Channel
- Inverse H&S Breakout-retest-HIGHER!
- At Green Support Beam
- At Volume Shelf
- At Previous resistance to flip into support.
Not financial advice
+$413,000 profit on 918% move $1.15 to $11.71 $MLGOMultiple Buy Alerts 1st at $2.27 yesterday after hours with plan to hold overnight
Then 3 new Buy Alerts in $3 - $5 range today with $9 - $10 max target 🎯
Massive win on extremely strong buying all along
I repeatedly mentioned it in public chats as well especially during easiest swings $7.50 to $11.50 in minutes