WYSWYGThis week, NVDA reports earnings, confirming a couple of things: 1) whether it can sustain its sales, 2) whether it can increase them, and 3) who is distributing its chips( NASDAQ:SMCI , NYSE:DELL ). Similarly, today it signed an agreement with Google to develop quantum computing chips, a revolutionary step in the field of technology.
Technically speaking, we have a large symmetrical triangle(D) that has just invalidated any possibility of a drop. Right now, micro-patterns are forming(B,C), pushing the price up and down within a large descending flag(A). If the flag plays out, we could return to the resistance of the massive symmetrical triangle at $122 USD, which would then act as support. On the other hand, this flag could break, as there are several patterns that could quickly invalidate it. Therefore, I believe we’ll see movement in both directions on Wednesday, but ultimately trending higher and the symmetrical end price is $173
NVDA
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 137.39
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a good day today.
-------------------------------------
(NVDA 1W chart)
This is the stock with the highest trading volume among NAS100 stocks.
It showed a downward trend near 1 (150.20), which was expected to be touched.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 141.98.
If not, it is possible that it will fall to around 123.54.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 137.39 and rise above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
Accordingly, it is expected to continue the upward trend if it rises above 0.886 (143.44).
If not, if it falls below 137.39, it is likely to fall near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
--------------------------------------------------
NVIDIA in a Channel – Key Levels to WatchHey trading family, NVIDIA is moving in a channel, and the next breakout could set the tone. Here’s what I’m seeing:
Break below $137: This could trigger a correction down to $134, $132, $129, and possibly $120.
Break above $143: If we clear this level, NVIDIA could push up toward $154.
This channel setup gives us a clear roadmap for both upside and downside potential. What’s your game plan?
Like, comment, and share your thoughts! Got your own ideas or questions? Send me a DM – let’s chat about it.
Mindbloome Trading // Kris
Trade What You See.
AMD going for a FLUSH to 94 levelsThe chart for AMD is displaying a large symmetrical triangle formation , with the price breaking below the lower trendline. Symmetrical triangles often signify indecision in the market, but this breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control. The broader trend leading into the triangle and the breakdown signal a bearish continuation pattern. Oscillators and momentum indicators are skewed bearish, with no signs of reversal at this stage. Strong selling pressure confirms the potential for further downside. Declining volume during the triangle’s formation and a likely volume spike on breakdown signal a bearish continuation. Weakness in the tech sector or macroeconomic pressures could exacerbate the downward trend for AMD, watch closely for NVDA earnings to push this even lower.
Entry Strategy:
Short Position: Enter a short trade if the price stays below $134.90 with sustained volume confirming the breakdown.
Aggressive Entry: Traders could scale into shorts immediately, as the price has already breached the triangle support line.
Profit Target Calculation:
Triangle Height: $140.90 (top of the pattern) - $128.37 (bottom of the pattern) = $12.53.
Breakdown Target: Subtract the height ($12.53) from the breakdown point ($134.90):
Primary Target: $122.37
If bearish momentum continues, the price could retest the major support level at $106.48.
Further bearish extension may lead to $94.59 as a long-term target.
Place a stop-loss above the breakdown level, at $138.50, to account for potential false breakdowns or whipsaws.
A confirmed breakdown is expected to gain momentum within the next 1–2 weeks.
Watch for increasing volume to validate the breakdown.
I am going to take a position on Wednesday before NVDA ER.
Weekly Recap & Market Forecast $SPX (Nov 17th—> Nov 22th)SPX - Powell changed his narrative on rate cuts, He came out and said he doesn't expect any rate cuts next month because economy is strong and inflation is starting to tick up again. Market started to decline due to new narrative because small businesses desperately needs rate cuts and cheaper loans.
Next resistance: 6,003 and 6,017
Next support: 5,773 followed by 5,640
Weekly Sentiment: Bearish
NVIDA what next..!The chart displays NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on a daily interval with several indicators and clear support and resistance levels. Here is a detailed technical analysis:
1. Support and Resistance Levels:
Nearest Resistance Level: $150 (above the closing price).
Key Support Levels:
$140.75 (immediate support level).
$130.62 (secondary support level).
$127.21 (critical support level for the medium term).
2. Ascending Channel:
The chart shows movement within a clear ascending channel, with the stock nearing the lower boundary of the channel.
A drop below the lower support line of the channel (around $140) could indicate a trend reversal.
3. Indicators:
Moving Averages:
The 50-period moving average (green) is above the closing price, supporting the continuation of the uptrend.
The 150-period moving average (dark green) is far below the current price, indicating strong long-term support.
CCI (14):
The current value is -2.96, indicating a nearly neutral state but slightly leaning bearish.
Volume:
Higher-than-average volume on the last day suggests significant selling pressure.
4. Candlestick Analysis:
The last candlestick is a large red bearish candle, reflecting a strong daily bearish sentiment.
The candlestick formation shows bearish pressure but is close to a significant support level.
5. Risk Assessment:
The risk level is moderate since the stock is near a clear support level but experiencing strong selling pressure.
Position Recommendation:
Entry: Around $140.75 (near the immediate support level).
Stop-Loss: Below $138 (approximately 2% below the entry point).
Profit Target: $147 (around a 5% increase from the entry point).
Summary:
The stock's trend over the past two weeks is bullish, but the last day indicates a potential correction.
It is recommended to monitor the price reaction near the $140.75 level and evaluate the strength of the support.
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip recently:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 150usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-22,
for a premium of approximately $3.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NVDA Approaching Key Support Levels: Potential Pullback AheadFor NVIDIA (NVDA), heading into Monday, 11/18, the key support level to watch is $140.31. If the price breaks below this level, it could signal further downside, with the next significant support zone around $133.46. This would be a critical area for bulls to defend in order to prevent a deeper correction.
On the technical side, NVDA's recent price action suggests overbought conditions, as indicated by various momentum indicators such as the RSI and possibly the MACD nearing a bearish crossover. This setup raises the likelihood of a pullback or a consolidation phase as traders lock in profits or await fresh catalysts.
Nvidia Q325 Earnings Preview - What traders need to knowWhile so much attention from equity and index traders has recently been on US election trades and the flow-on effect into markets from Trump 2.0, attention now switches towards Nvidia and the volatility that is expected from its Q325 earnings.
As many who have traded Nvidia’s prior earnings will attest, earnings are historically where big moves play out on the day, with the AI-giant influencing sentiment towards the broader semiconductor space, as well having a big effect on the NAS100 and S&P500.
Key timings:
Nvidia report after-market on 20 November (20 Nov at 21:20 GMT / 21 Nov 08:20 AEDT)
Nvidia options imply another big move on earnings
While pricing is dynamic and may well change by Wednesday, Nvidia options currently imply an -/+8% move on the day of earnings. This is clearly a punchy implied move for any stock, let alone one with a $3.6t market cap.
Guiding expectations for the implied move is the form guide, where we can see that Nvidia has seen average (absolute) moves on the day of reporting quarterly earnings of 9.3%.
Such elevated levels of expected movement can be a drawcard for traders who are attracted to sizeable intraday moves in equity and want the liquidity that is seen in Nvidia’s order book.
However, large implied moves are also a major consideration for one’s risk management and when assessing position sizing and the distance to the stop loss.
Reviewing consensus market expectations
The extent of the rally/sell-off is typically a function of the outcome of earnings, and the guidance for the following reporting quarter, relative to market expectations and positioning.
For this reporting quarter (Q325), the analysts’ consensus expectations (shown below) are largely in line with the guidance Nvidia provided in the prior Q225 earnings report (seen on 28 August).
For example, we see expectations for Nvidia’s group revenue at $33.08b, just 2% above the guidance provided in the Q225 earnings. The market then expects guidance for the next reporting quarter (Q425) of $36.77b, representing a potential increase of 11% q/q, with the data centres segment representing the large percentage of those sales.
Nvidia has such an incredible pedigree in beating their own guidance (and consensus expectations) on sales and earnings that traders have become conditioned to blockbuster numbers, which always beat – subsequently, market participants historically position for better-than-expected numbers and that raises the bar even further.
Reduced expectations for a significant beat to consensus expectations
In this earnings report, expectations are set lower than in past reports, and forecasts from analysts and investor positioning sit at the lowest premium to prior company guidance for many years. In theory, this newfound confidence to model and forecast sales, margins and earnings suggests the real potential for Nvidia to deliver an upside surprise, which could promote a significant move in the share price.
Of course, the company guidance for the following reporting quarter (i.e. Q425) will also determine the extent of move in Nvidia’s share price on the day. The market lives in the future, so the collective will want new intel that suggests that sales growth is not just on track but could be higher than consensus forecasts.
Focus will also fall on CEO Jensen Huang views in the post earnings call, where he’ll offer his take on how the business is tracking, the rollout of Blackwell and other GPUs and new developments in the pipeline. Huang will no doubt be incredibly positive and upbeat, and there are few CEO’s who know how to hit the right notes with investors.
The market wants clarity on the direction of margins
Q325 gross margins are expected to drop to 75.01% and are expected to continue falling towards 73% over the next two quarters. These are still obviously incredibly healthy margins for any business, but the market is now well conditioned to such impressive margins that the investment case resides on its ability to sustain these margins and offset any deterioration with increased volumes.
The jury is out on whether margins are in longer-term decline or due to rise once again.
A more stringent regulatory response is a potential landmine and one that is hard to model. Competition is also likely to increase, which could impact margins as the AI giant may need to become more competitive in its pricing.
Conversely, the supply constraints that have held sales of Blackwell GPUs back will soon ease and should result in stronger sales growth in the quarters ahead. It could also see margins pushing back towards 75% in the Q226 results.
Either way, the fact Nvidia currently trades at ATHs, despite greater attention on US election expressions, shows the broad collective still love the story and view Nvidia as the best-in-class AI/semi play.
Put Nvidia 24-hour CFD on the radar
Traders can pre-position for Nvidia’s earnings and react dynamically to the news or the price action through Pepperstone’s Nvidia 24-hour CFDs. 24-hour CFDs offer around-the-clock pricing (5 days a week) for traders to take a position and manage exposures before, through and after Nvidia’s earnings.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Targeting $166 amid AI momentumNVIDIA continues to dominate the AI and computing landscape, with a significant development in Japan: SoftBank’s telecom unit will soon receive Nvidia’s advanced Blackwell chip design for its supercomputers. The upcoming earnings report on November 20 is critical in sustaining NVIDIA’s exceptional growth trajectory.
CEO Jensen Huang’s company has projected third-quarter revenue of approximately $32.5 billion, propelled by substantial demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs. These GPUs are crucial for strengthening NVIDIA’s data center segment, which currently operates with an impressive 68% margin. Priced between $30,000 and $40,000, Blackwell chips are already seeing high demand, with production scaling in Q4 2024.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:NVDA still has room to grow, with a targeted area of $166 or higher in the short term. We are closely monitoring the stock for either a move into this target or a shift in market structure that could change the outlook.
Stay tuned for updates as we approach the earnings call and as NVIDIA continues to set new milestones in the tech space.
Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Consolidating Below $150Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Consolidating Below $150
On October 22, while analysing Nvidia (NVDA) stock charts, we noted:
→ The stock had reached the $140 level;
→ A long-term ascending channel (shown in blue) was mapped;
→ Potential for price growth along the Quarter Line was suggested, dividing the lower half of the channel.
Bullish sentiment remains around Nvidia, one of the leading stocks of 2024, with the price now just below the $150 psychological mark about 29 days later. Nvidia’s technical analysis reveals that:
→ Price fluctuations are narrowing, forming a tightening triangle (illustrated with black lines), which may suggest consolidation as bulls hesitate before challenging a significant level;
→ Meanwhile, bears appear unable to gain momentum, as attempts to push prices down on wider candles (highlighted with red arrows) have not succeeded in setting a continued downtrend.
This indicates a balanced situation between demand and supply, with a slight edge for buyers. The sustainability of this buyer advantage will be tested if there’s an attempt to break above $150.
According to TipRanks:
→ 32 out of 42 analysts recommend buying NVDA stock;
→ The average price target for NVDA over the next 12 months is $157.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Elliott Wave View Expects NVDA (Nvidia)To Extend HigherShort Term Elliott Wave View in NVDA (Nvidia) suggests further upside in daily bullish sequence. It is trading in bullish weekly sequence at all time high and expect continuation against August-2024 low. In 4-Hour, it placed (1) at $131.26 high and (2) correction at $100.95 low. Above there, it favors upside in (3) of impulse sequence. It placed 1 of (3) at $120.79 high, 2 at $112.78 low, 3 at $144.50 high and 4 at $132.11 low. Currently, it favors upside in 5 of (3) from 31-October low and expect one more push higher to finish it, while dips remain above $143.57 low.
Above $132.11 low, it placed ((i)) of 5 at $139.99 high, ((ii)) at $135.35 low, ((iii)) at $149.95 high and ((iv)) at 143.57 low as double correction. Within ((iv)), it placed (w) at $146.26 low, (x) at $148.85 high and (y) as ((iv)) ended at $143.57 low. Above ((iv)) low, it favors pullback in (ii), while placed (i) at $146.49 high and expect continuation in ((v)), which confirm above $149.95 high. It expects ((v)) to extend towards $151.47 – $153.90 area as minimum extension to finish (3) started from 6-September low. Alternatively, if it breaks below $143.57 low, it should extend ((iv)) before resuming higher in ((v)) to finish (3). Later, it should pullback in (4) in 3, 7 or 11 swings sequence and buyers expect to enter again from extreme areas to resume daily bullish sequence. Alternatively, if it extends higher and erase the momentum divergence, then it should turn out to be nest in (3) and see more upside.
Nvidia Daily UpdateNvidia Daily Update – We’ve broken out of a triangle pattern, and now the market is pulling back. If we see a breakout from the top of this pullback, it could present a strong entry point. My projected target for this move is the green level. Let’s keep a close watch on this setup!
NVIDIA at a Crossroads: $141 Dip or $155 Push?Alright, trading family, let’s break down NVIDIA. Here’s the game plan:
1️⃣ If we break below $144, we could see a dip to $142, maybe even $141 before looking for a bounce.
2️⃣ If the market pushes up from here, the next target is $153–$155. That’s the zone to watch for momentum to keep rolling.
Stay calm, trade what you see, and let NVIDIA show you the way. Whether it’s a dip or a pop, there’s always a wave to catch.
Mindbloome Trading/ Kris
Still counting this advance as an irregular (B) waveI have long stated that the upcoming earnings catalyst will develop into a sell event. When I last updated I was anticipating an incremental new high and possible double top for intermediate (B) into the confluence area of the larger and shorter term 100.0% fibonacci extension areas.
Although we have exceeded that area for a double top, we're still in the target box I had included on the chart. With the markets acting somewhat parabolic to the upside, I think it says volumes that the AI standard bearer has only marginally benefitted.
Next Wednesday will certainly be interesting. I am expecting price to make it's way down closer to $100 area...if not, then my alternative purple count is playing out and complete the larger wave I for a long term top in Nvidia.
Best to all,
Chris
Nvidia Bearish again! [S2]----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.***
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
I called the top last time, and now I call it again. Last time we hit TP1 and going towards TP2 but then the election interfered. Now lets see what will happen!
Nvidia is bearish once again, the TA remains the same. Got some bear flags showing along with bearish divergences. Also some custom indicators are pointing down as well.
Nvidia pumped and made a new high thanks to Donald J. Trump.
But I believe the FOMO in the market caused from the election is weaning down plus TA is point down too we should see a decent dump.
$146.50-$148.50
TP1: $142.93
TP2: $134.65
TP3: $131.75
Tight Stop Loss: $149.50
Good Stop Loss: $151.25
Loose Stop Loss:$154.50
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.***
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Can AMD hit 240 USD in Q1 2025? 100% BUY/HOLD for the bulls.🔸Time to update the AMD trade setup, this is a speculative bull flag
with pole setup in progress, with 100% upside potential.
🔸AMD massively trailing behind NVDA entire year in 2024, expecting
AMD to catch up next few months. Currently price action compressing
withing bull flag, based on measured move projection expecting price
target is 240 USD, so this 100% upside from the entry price for the bulls.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: expecting pullback to complete near 120 USD in December going into holiday seasons, limited downside beyond 120 USD. BUY/HOLD near 120 TP bulls is 240 USD, which is 100% upside. Expecting target to get hit in Q1 2025. good luck traders.
🎁Please hit the like button and
🎁Leave a comment to support our team!
RISK DISCLAIMER:
Trading Futures , Forex, CFDs and Stocks involves a risk of loss.
Please consider carefully if such trading is appropriate for you.
Past performance is not indicative of future results.
Always limit your leverage and use tight stop loss.
NVDA Set to Make Waves: Big Levels Ahead!Update:
Good morning, trading family. Here to break this down nice and easy for you. Let’s ride the NVDA waves together:
1️⃣ First scenario: NVDA climbs to $154–$156. From there, it could either break higher or pull back to $150, maybe lower. Watch for a bounce if it dips.
2️⃣ Second scenario: A move to $168 is on the table, but expect a pullback to $164 before the next push higher. If the pullback goes deeper, it’s just a chance to reset.
3️⃣ Third scenario: If NVDA powers through all those levels, $179 is next, with a potential correction back to $168 along the way.
Mindbloome Trading/ Kris
Trade What You See
Navigating the Surge: Entry Now or Await a Pullback ?Overview: NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA)
Current Price: $146.43 (as of November 7, 2024)
Sector/Industry: Technology / Semiconductors
NVIDIA has experienced a significant surge, reaching new highs. Investors are now contemplating: Is it prudent to enter at current levels, or should one wait for a potential pullback to optimize the risk/reward profile?
Key Levels and Price History
52-Week Range: $108.13 - $146.43
One-Month Range: $130.25 - $146.43
Support Level: $135.00
Resistance Level: $150.00
Upcoming Dates to Watch
Next Earnings Date: December 15, 2024
Dividend Payment Date: December 20, 2024
Ex-Dividend Date: December 5, 2024
Valuation and Metrics
P/E Ratio: 65.55 (above industry average)
Free Cash Flow:
Recent Quarter: $1.5 billion
TTM: $6 billion
Dividend Yield: 0.02%
Institutional Holdings: 70%
Short Interest: 3% of float
Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators
Weekly Trend: +5%
Monthly Trend: +10%
RSI: 68 (approaching overbought territory)
Moving Averages:
50-Day: $140.00
200-Day: $125.00
MACD: Positive divergence, indicating upward momentum
The RSI nearing overbought levels suggests caution, as a pullback may be imminent.
Comparative Valuation
P/E Ratio (NVDA): 65.55 vs. Industry Average: 30.00
P/B Ratio (NVDA): 20.00 vs. Industry Average: 8.00
EV/EBITDA (NVDA): 40.00 vs. Industry Average: 15.00
NVIDIA's premium valuation underscores its growth potential but also indicates higher risk if market sentiment shifts.
Growth & Financial Health
Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 25%
Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 20% annually
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.3 (moderate leverage)
Cash Reserves: $10 billion
Current Ratio: 2.5
Notable News & Social Sentiment
News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – NVIDIA announced a strategic partnership with a leading cloud provider, boosting investor confidence.
Social Buzz: Positive discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, with investors optimistic about NVIDIA's future prospects.
Competitive Comparison
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD): $145.07, P/E 40.00, Revenue Growth 30%
Intel Corporation (INTC): $24.95, P/E 15.00, Revenue Growth 5%
Investment Analysis: Entry Now or Wait for a Pullback?
1. Entry at $146.43 (Current Price)
Target Price (TP): $160.00
Potential Upside: $160.00 - $146.43 = $13.57
Percentage Gain: ~9.27%
Stop Loss (SL): $135.00
Potential Downside: $146.43 - $135.00 = $11.43
Percentage Loss: ~7.80%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 9.27% (reward) / 7.80% (risk) ≈ 1.19
Entering at $146.43 offers a moderate risk/reward ratio, with potential gains slightly outweighing potential losses. However, the proximity to overbought RSI levels suggests a cautious approach.
2. Entry at $135.00 (Wait for Pullback)
Target Price (TP): $160.00
Potential Upside: $160.00 - $135.00 = $25.00
Percentage Gain: ~18.52%
Stop Loss (SL): $125.00
Potential Downside: $135.00 - $125.00 = $10.00
Percentage Loss: ~7.41%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.52% (reward) / 7.41% (risk) ≈ 2.50
Waiting for a pullback to $135.00 provides a more favorable risk/reward ratio, offering greater potential gains relative to potential losses. This strategy aligns with a more conservative investment approach.
Price Forecast Scenarios
Optimistic: $160.00 (assuming continued bullish momentum)
Neutral: $150.00 (aligning with current resistance levels)
Pessimistic: $125.00 (testing lower support levels)
Conclusion
NVIDIA's recent performance reflects strong growth and positive market sentiment.
Aggressive Entry (Today's Price, $146.43): Offers potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to near overbought conditions.
Conservative Entry (Pullback to $135.00): Provides a better risk/reward balance, ideal for those seeking a more cautious approach.
Verdict: While both strategies have merit, waiting for a pullback to $135.00 offers a more balanced entry point, allowing investors to capitalize on NVIDIA's growth potential with reduced risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.