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NVDA Predictive Modeling Outlook : Pre Earnings 11-20-24I thought I would have a little fun with my ADL Predictive Modeling system. This shows the Daily & Weekly predictive results for NVDA prior to the earnings data release. Have fun. This is really just to show you how the ADL system works and to test the outcome related to NVDA's earnings/outcome. Get some.. #trading #research #investing #tradingalgos #tradingsignals #cycles #fibonacci #elliotwave #modelingsystems #stocks #bitcoin #btcusd #cryptos #spy #es #nq #gold
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by BradMatheny
NVIDIA’s Next Move: Ready to Rally or Slip Lower?Good morning, trading family! Let’s take a simple look at NVIDIA (NVDA) and where it might be headed from here. We’re at an important crossroads, so here’s what we’re watching: If NVDA Moves Higher: If NVDA can hold its current position, it has room to drive up into the $150 range. This could signal that buyers are stepping in and momentum is building for a rally. If NVDA Moves Lower: A drop could take us to the following key levels: $144: First potential stop for support. $138–$137: A zone where buyers might try to step in. $132: A deeper pullback that could see some consolidation. $129 and $120: These are lower support areas to watch if selling pressure continues. How to Approach This: Mark These Levels: Add them to your chart for reference. Wait for Confirmation: Don’t rush in—see how NVDA reacts at each level. Trade What You See: Let the price action guide you, not your emotions. We’re at a moment where NVDA could make a strong move in either direction. Keep it simple, stay patient, and watch the levels. Let’s make it a great trading day! Mindbloome Trading // Kris
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
NVDIA - Arguments For BullsMedianlines (Pitchforks) do not forecast. They PROJECT the most probable path of price. At each moment in time, a "Medianline/Pitchfork Analyst" can relay on the rules and the framework they provide. In this case I see the following arguments for a continuation to the upside: - price is above the Center-Line - price did test the CL two times and hold - price was attempted to test the CL a third time, but was even too strong to reach it, and is now in this very momentum to the upside - when price trades towards a Medain-Line but can't reach it, it's a sign that price will continue the direction it had before (up in this case). The next Target is the "next" Medianline, which is the U-MLH (Upper-Medianline-Parallel) - price broke the blue-dashed A/R line to the upside All said, we have to keep in mind that there is also a opposite side of the Coin. I will provide another Chart Analysis with "Arguments For Bears".
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Tr8dingN3rd
What happened? $Nvidia surged nearly 5%!!!!Reason1: Cooling of Blackwell overheating issues boosts confidence. Concerns about overheating in Nvidia's latest high-end chip, Blackwell, had been widely discussed. However, multiple authoritative analysis firms and Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that these issues have been resolved. Industry analysts noted that such problems have been effectively mitigated, with negligible impact on chip performance and supply cadence. This clear positive signal has instilled confidence in investors regarding Blackwell’s stability and market prospects. Reason2: Technological advancements raise expectations. As Nvidia's most advanced chip to date, the complete resolution of design issues marks its research and production entering a mature phase. Coupled with its powerful computing capabilities and potential applications in AI and data centers, market expectations for the product's profitability have significantly increased, serving as a key driver of Nvidia's stock surge. Reason3: Professional analysis alleviates concerns. Semiconductor analysis firm-Semianalysis indicated that the supply chain adjustments related to the overheating issue were merely "minor modifications" with almost no effect on the chip's actual performance. This analysis helped the market move past excessive worries about Blackwell’s overheating issues, laying the groundwork for Nvidia to regain investor trust in the short term. Reason4: Stock price retraces to strong support levels. From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price moving in a bullish channel, recently retracing to an upward trend line and the 0.236 Fibonacci support level. This support has triggered a rise, indicating that previous movements were merely weak short-term corrections. Under the combined influence of these favorable factors, Nvidia's stock jumped nearly 5% in a single day, not only boosting its own valuation but also uplifting the tech sector and the broader market. However, whether this upward trend can continue in the short term will depend on today's earnings report. For specific operational strategies, please refer to my last post : "NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 Report."
NASDAQ:NVDA
by xugina78
NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 ReportPre-Earnings Strategy: First things first—know the key numbers and the market expectations. But keep in mind, NVIDIA’s revenue recognition can get tricky, so don’t be surprised by unpredictable results. This is why a solid strategy, proper positioning, and downside protection are essential going into the report. 1. Core Numbers & Expectations Where do Buy-Side Expectations Come From? NVIDIA has been beating guidance by around $2 billion each quarter and then raising guidance by another $2 billion (last quarter they raised it by $2.5 billion). For Q3, the guidance given in Q2 was $32.5B. Based on the trend, buy-side expectation bumps that up by another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , so the real expectation for Q3 is $34.5B. Looking ahead to Q4, buy-side is expecting GETTEX:39B (Q3 actual $34.5B + $2.5B + another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B ). To make the buy-side comfortable with this, the Q4 guide needs to come in at least at $38B (realistically, even FWB:37B could suffice). Key Takeaway for a Big Beat: Q3 revenue needs to hit $34.5B, and Q4 guidance should be at $38B, with Blackwell contributing over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in Q4. 2. What the Analysts Think This is a mega-cap stock, so pretty much every sell-side analyst has a report. But let’s just focus on the key voices from Goldman (Hari), UBS (Arcuri), and Morgan Stanley (Moore), aka the “HAM Trio.” For Q3: Moore: Bearish—expects $32.5B Hari & Arcuri: Neutral-Bullish—expect around $34.3B For Q4 Guidance: Moore: Bearish—expects $35.3B Hari: Bullish—expects $39.2B Arcuri: Bullish—expects $38.9B 3. Q4 Blackwell Revenue Breakdown Management previously mentioned Q4 Blackwell revenue could be “several billion.” If it’s $2-3B, that’s below expectations. $5-6B would be a strong beat. Moore: Expects $5-6B (bullish on Blackwell) Arcuri: Expects only SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B (more conservative) 4. Summary of Analyst Divergence There’s a clear split among the top analysts, particularly around the Q4 guidance. This divergence sets up potential volatility. 5. Trading Strategy 1. Pre-Earnings Positioning: If the stock dips ahead of earnings, consider adding to the position. If there’s a rally, trim some to lock in profits. 2. Post-Earnings Reaction: If it tanks, be ready to add more, since Q1 of FY25 is expected to be a breakout quarter. 3. Hedging with Options: Use options to protect existing stock positions—don’t go into earnings unhedged. Implied Move Post-Earnings: The options market is pricing in about a 9% move, which puts the stock between $128-$153 (current price is around $141). Options Strategies Bullish Play (Betting on a Big Rally): Buy calls, but keep it small—treat it as a high-risk, high-reward play. If it goes to zero, it won’t hurt too much. Lower-Cost Bullish Play: Consider a call spread (buy a lower strike call, sell a higher strike call). This caps your upside but reduces the cost. Protecting Existing Long Stock Positions: Use covered calls. If the stock tanks, you get some downside protection from the premium. If it rallies, you still make money up to the strike price, plus the premium collected. The downside is losing the stock if it gets called away above the strike. Want to Buy the Dip After Earnings? Sell puts. If the stock drops, you get assigned shares at a lower price and keep the premium. If it rallies, you pocket the premium.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by xugina78
WYSWYGThis week, NVDA reports earnings, confirming a couple of things: 1) whether it can sustain its sales, 2) whether it can increase them, and 3) who is distributing its chips( NASDAQ:SMCI , NYSE:DELL ). Similarly, today it signed an agreement with Google to develop quantum computing chips, a revolutionary step in the field of technology. Technically speaking, we have a large symmetrical triangle(D) that has just invalidated any possibility of a drop. Right now, micro-patterns are forming(B,C), pushing the price up and down within a large descending flag(A). If the flag plays out, we could return to the resistance of the massive symmetrical triangle at $122 USD, which would then act as support. On the other hand, this flag could break, as there are several patterns that could quickly invalidate it. Therefore, I believe we’ll see movement in both directions on Wednesday, but ultimately trending higher and the symmetrical end price is $173
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by AllAboutMoney
8
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 137.39 Hello, traders. If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly. Please click "Boost" as well. Have a good day today. ------------------------------------- (NVDA 1W chart) This is the stock with the highest trading volume among NAS100 stocks. It showed a downward trend near 1 (150.20), which was expected to be touched. Accordingly, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 141.98. If not, it is possible that it will fall to around 123.54. - (1D chart) The key is whether it can receive support near 137.39 and rise above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator. Accordingly, it is expected to continue the upward trend if it rises above 0.886 (143.44). If not, if it falls below 137.39, it is likely to fall near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart. - Have a good time. Thank you. --------------------------------------------------
NASDAQ:NVDA
by readCrypto
NVIDIA in a Channel – Key Levels to WatchHey trading family, NVIDIA is moving in a channel, and the next breakout could set the tone. Here’s what I’m seeing: Break below $137: This could trigger a correction down to $134, $132, $129, and possibly $120. Break above $143: If we clear this level, NVIDIA could push up toward $154. This channel setup gives us a clear roadmap for both upside and downside potential. What’s your game plan? Like, comment, and share your thoughts! Got your own ideas or questions? Send me a DM – let’s chat about it. Mindbloome Trading // Kris Trade What You See.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
AMD going for a FLUSH to 94 levelsThe chart for AMD is displaying a large symmetrical triangle formation , with the price breaking below the lower trendline. Symmetrical triangles often signify indecision in the market, but this breakdown suggests that sellers are gaining control. The broader trend leading into the triangle and the breakdown signal a bearish continuation pattern. Oscillators and momentum indicators are skewed bearish, with no signs of reversal at this stage. Strong selling pressure confirms the potential for further downside. Declining volume during the triangle’s formation and a likely volume spike on breakdown signal a bearish continuation. Weakness in the tech sector or macroeconomic pressures could exacerbate the downward trend for AMD, watch closely for NVDA earnings to push this even lower. Entry Strategy: Short Position: Enter a short trade if the price stays below $134.90 with sustained volume confirming the breakdown. Aggressive Entry: Traders could scale into shorts immediately, as the price has already breached the triangle support line. Profit Target Calculation: Triangle Height: $140.90 (top of the pattern) - $128.37 (bottom of the pattern) = $12.53. Breakdown Target: Subtract the height ($12.53) from the breakdown point ($134.90): Primary Target: $122.37 If bearish momentum continues, the price could retest the major support level at $106.48. Further bearish extension may lead to $94.59 as a long-term target. Place a stop-loss above the breakdown level, at $138.50, to account for potential false breakdowns or whipsaws. A confirmed breakdown is expected to gain momentum within the next 1–2 weeks. Watch for increasing volume to validate the breakdown. I am going to take a position on Wednesday before NVDA ER.
NASDAQ:AMDShort
by EssieQuantumTrader
2
NVIDA what next..!The chart displays NVIDIA (NVDA) stock on a daily interval with several indicators and clear support and resistance levels. Here is a detailed technical analysis: 1. Support and Resistance Levels: Nearest Resistance Level: $150 (above the closing price). Key Support Levels: $140.75 (immediate support level). $130.62 (secondary support level). $127.21 (critical support level for the medium term). 2. Ascending Channel: The chart shows movement within a clear ascending channel, with the stock nearing the lower boundary of the channel. A drop below the lower support line of the channel (around $140) could indicate a trend reversal. 3. Indicators: Moving Averages: The 50-period moving average (green) is above the closing price, supporting the continuation of the uptrend. The 150-period moving average (dark green) is far below the current price, indicating strong long-term support. CCI (14): The current value is -2.96, indicating a nearly neutral state but slightly leaning bearish. Volume: Higher-than-average volume on the last day suggests significant selling pressure. 4. Candlestick Analysis: The last candlestick is a large red bearish candle, reflecting a strong daily bearish sentiment. The candlestick formation shows bearish pressure but is close to a significant support level. 5. Risk Assessment: The risk level is moderate since the stock is near a clear support level but experiencing strong selling pressure. Position Recommendation: Entry: Around $140.75 (near the immediate support level). Stop-Loss: Below $138 (approximately 2% below the entry point). Profit Target: $147 (around a 5% increase from the entry point). Summary: The stock's trend over the past two weeks is bullish, but the last day indicates a potential correction. It is recommended to monitor the price reaction near the $140.75 level and evaluate the strength of the support. Disclaimer: This analysis is for educational purposes only and does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any financial instrument. Please conduct your own research or consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by davidezra22
1
NVDA Approaching Key Support Levels: Potential Pullback AheadFor NVIDIA (NVDA), heading into Monday, 11/18, the key support level to watch is $140.31. If the price breaks below this level, it could signal further downside, with the next significant support zone around $133.46. This would be a critical area for bulls to defend in order to prevent a deeper correction. On the technical side, NVDA's recent price action suggests overbought conditions, as indicated by various momentum indicators such as the RSI and possibly the MACD nearing a bearish crossover. This setup raises the likelihood of a pullback or a consolidation phase as traders lock in profits or await fresh catalysts.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by CryptocurrencyWatchGroup
Nvidia Q325 Earnings Preview - What traders need to knowWhile so much attention from equity and index traders has recently been on US election trades and the flow-on effect into markets from Trump 2.0, attention now switches towards Nvidia and the volatility that is expected from its Q325 earnings. As many who have traded Nvidia’s prior earnings will attest, earnings are historically where big moves play out on the day, with the AI-giant influencing sentiment towards the broader semiconductor space, as well having a big effect on the NAS100 and S&P500. Key timings: Nvidia report after-market on 20 November (20 Nov at 21:20 GMT / 21 Nov 08:20 AEDT) Nvidia options imply another big move on earnings While pricing is dynamic and may well change by Wednesday, Nvidia options currently imply an -/+8% move on the day of earnings. This is clearly a punchy implied move for any stock, let alone one with a $3.6t market cap. Guiding expectations for the implied move is the form guide, where we can see that Nvidia has seen average (absolute) moves on the day of reporting quarterly earnings of 9.3%. Such elevated levels of expected movement can be a drawcard for traders who are attracted to sizeable intraday moves in equity and want the liquidity that is seen in Nvidia’s order book. However, large implied moves are also a major consideration for one’s risk management and when assessing position sizing and the distance to the stop loss. Reviewing consensus market expectations The extent of the rally/sell-off is typically a function of the outcome of earnings, and the guidance for the following reporting quarter, relative to market expectations and positioning. For this reporting quarter (Q325), the analysts’ consensus expectations (shown below) are largely in line with the guidance Nvidia provided in the prior Q225 earnings report (seen on 28 August). For example, we see expectations for Nvidia’s group revenue at $33.08b, just 2% above the guidance provided in the Q225 earnings. The market then expects guidance for the next reporting quarter (Q425) of $36.77b, representing a potential increase of 11% q/q, with the data centres segment representing the large percentage of those sales. Nvidia has such an incredible pedigree in beating their own guidance (and consensus expectations) on sales and earnings that traders have become conditioned to blockbuster numbers, which always beat – subsequently, market participants historically position for better-than-expected numbers and that raises the bar even further. Reduced expectations for a significant beat to consensus expectations In this earnings report, expectations are set lower than in past reports, and forecasts from analysts and investor positioning sit at the lowest premium to prior company guidance for many years. In theory, this newfound confidence to model and forecast sales, margins and earnings suggests the real potential for Nvidia to deliver an upside surprise, which could promote a significant move in the share price. Of course, the company guidance for the following reporting quarter (i.e. Q425) will also determine the extent of move in Nvidia’s share price on the day. The market lives in the future, so the collective will want new intel that suggests that sales growth is not just on track but could be higher than consensus forecasts. Focus will also fall on CEO Jensen Huang views in the post earnings call, where he’ll offer his take on how the business is tracking, the rollout of Blackwell and other GPUs and new developments in the pipeline. Huang will no doubt be incredibly positive and upbeat, and there are few CEO’s who know how to hit the right notes with investors. The market wants clarity on the direction of margins Q325 gross margins are expected to drop to 75.01% and are expected to continue falling towards 73% over the next two quarters. These are still obviously incredibly healthy margins for any business, but the market is now well conditioned to such impressive margins that the investment case resides on its ability to sustain these margins and offset any deterioration with increased volumes. The jury is out on whether margins are in longer-term decline or due to rise once again. A more stringent regulatory response is a potential landmine and one that is hard to model. Competition is also likely to increase, which could impact margins as the AI giant may need to become more competitive in its pricing. Conversely, the supply constraints that have held sales of Blackwell GPUs back will soon ease and should result in stronger sales growth in the quarters ahead. It could also see margins pushing back towards 75% in the Q226 results. Either way, the fact Nvidia currently trades at ATHs, despite greater attention on US election expressions, shows the broad collective still love the story and view Nvidia as the best-in-class AI/semi play. Put Nvidia 24-hour CFD on the radar Traders can pre-position for Nvidia’s earnings and react dynamically to the news or the price action through Pepperstone’s Nvidia 24-hour CFDs. 24-hour CFDs offer around-the-clock pricing (5 days a week) for traders to take a position and manage exposures before, through and after Nvidia’s earnings.
PEPPERSTONE:NVDA.US_24
by Pepperstone
NVIDIA (NVDA): Targeting $166 amid AI momentumNVIDIA continues to dominate the AI and computing landscape, with a significant development in Japan: SoftBank’s telecom unit will soon receive Nvidia’s advanced Blackwell chip design for its supercomputers. The upcoming earnings report on November 20 is critical in sustaining NVIDIA’s exceptional growth trajectory. CEO Jensen Huang’s company has projected third-quarter revenue of approximately $32.5 billion, propelled by substantial demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs. These GPUs are crucial for strengthening NVIDIA’s data center segment, which currently operates with an impressive 68% margin. Priced between $30,000 and $40,000, Blackwell chips are already seeing high demand, with production scaling in Q4 2024. From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:NVDA still has room to grow, with a targeted area of $166 or higher in the short term. We are closely monitoring the stock for either a move into this target or a shift in market structure that could change the outlook. Stay tuned for updates as we approach the earnings call and as NVIDIA continues to set new milestones in the tech space.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Consolidating Below $150Nvidia (NVDA) Shares Consolidating Below $150 On October 22, while analysing Nvidia (NVDA) stock charts, we noted: → The stock had reached the $140 level; → A long-term ascending channel (shown in blue) was mapped; → Potential for price growth along the Quarter Line was suggested, dividing the lower half of the channel. Bullish sentiment remains around Nvidia, one of the leading stocks of 2024, with the price now just below the $150 psychological mark about 29 days later. Nvidia’s technical analysis reveals that: → Price fluctuations are narrowing, forming a tightening triangle (illustrated with black lines), which may suggest consolidation as bulls hesitate before challenging a significant level; → Meanwhile, bears appear unable to gain momentum, as attempts to push prices down on wider candles (highlighted with red arrows) have not succeeded in setting a continued downtrend. This indicates a balanced situation between demand and supply, with a slight edge for buyers. The sustainability of this buyer advantage will be tested if there’s an attempt to break above $150. According to TipRanks: → 32 out of 42 analysts recommend buying NVDA stock; → The average price target for NVDA over the next 12 months is $157. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FXOpen
4