Nvidia - Consolidation Before -50% Drop!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is preparing for the correction:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Nvidia is still creating pretty clear market structure and price action and therefore there is no reason to change direction or opinion. Following the previous cycles, a correction of roughly -55% is likely and Nvidia's recent consolidation is a first strong sign of bearish weakness.
Levels to watch: $120. $60
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVDA
Bullish on NVDA: Riding the AI Wave!In trading, understanding the probabilities is crucial. By analyzing historical price movements and applying mathematical principles, I can identify high-probability setups on my charts.
This mechanical strategy allows me to make informed decisions about entering long positions on NVDA.
Why probabilities?
They help me navigate the unpredictable nature of the market, ensuring that my trades are backed by solid data rather than just intuition.
Here are some key fundamentals currently supporting a bullish bias for NVIDIA (NVDA):
- Surging Demand for AI Chips: NVIDIA is at the forefront of the AI revolution, with its chips being essential for training large language models and powering generative AI applications. The company has seen a staggering increase in demand for its GPUs, particularly the H100 chip, which has become critical for tech giants like Microsoft, Google, and Meta.
- Impressive Financial Growth: NVIDIA's stock has surged over 150% this year, significantly boosting its market capitalization. Analysts expect continued strong revenue growth, with projections estimating a 75% increase in third-quarter revenue to approximately $31.69 billion. This financial momentum reflects the robust demand for its AI-related products.
- Strategic Positioning in Data Centers: As companies invest heavily in AI infrastructure, NVIDIA's GPUs are becoming indispensable for data centers. The projected global capital expenditure on data centers is expected to rise dramatically, benefiting NVIDIA as it supplies the necessary hardware.
- Innovative Developments: NVIDIA is actively developing new AI processors to comply with U.S. export regulations, ensuring it maintains a foothold in critical markets like China. This adaptability positions NVIDIA favorably against rising competition from companies like AMD and Huawei.
- Market Leadership: With its early investments in AI technology and continuous innovation, NVIDIA has established itself as a leader in the AI chip market. This dominance allows it to command premium prices and maintain high profit margins, which were reported at 79.1% in the first quarter of 2024.
These factors collectively create a strong foundation for a bullish outlook on NVIDIA as it continues to capitalize on the growing demand for artificial intelligence technologies.
Join me in this journey towards maximizing our potential gains as we ride the bullish wave!
12M:
2W:
1H:
NVIDIA | A Second Technical Entry Opportunity This Year
NVIDIA has presented two key technical entry points for investors in 2024.
The first entry came during a correction in early August around the $100 level, which was shared on my TradingView channel.
The second opportunity is now, following last week’s close at an all-time high level.
After NVIDIA's strong rally in 2024, there have been two technical opportunities to enter the stock. The first was during the correction in early August around the $100 mark , which I highlighted in my earlier TradingView post.
The second opportunity has emerged now, as last week's closing price marked the highest in history. While the stock hasn't officially hit an all-time high yet, it has broken through the critical $130 resistance level, which had been a barrier for the past four months. This breakout puts the stock in what is often called "open waters," where there is no significant resistance overhead.
It's important to note that while this presents a potential technical buy, fundamentals play a key role here. The resistance of four months is relatively short in terms of a breakout, and from a psychological perspective, buying at current highs can feel doubting. While the technicals suggest a reasonable entry, it’s crucial to have a clear thesis, a long-term holding plan, and solid fundamental research.
At this point, I would say that entering the stock now carries more risk. It’s not a good entry point for short-term gains, and I wouldn’t recommend an "all-in" approach at these levels. Only investors who are willing to add to their position during a pullback, and who have done their fundamental homework should consider buying now with a long-term perspective.
Summary
NVIDIA has presented two technical buying opportunities in 2024, with the latest one emerging after a modest breakout above $130. While there is potential for further gains, such as a move toward $150-$170, this is a riskier entry, especially for short-term traders. Investors should consider the current market environment, do their fundamental research, and only buy if they’re prepared to hold for the long term or add to their position in case of a pullback.
Regards,
Vaido
Opening (IRA): NVDA Nov 15th 83/98/143/158... for a 2.70 credit.
Comments: 30-day IV remains fairly decent here at 48.9%. Going wider than I usually do from a delta standpoint, with the short option legs camped out at the 16 delta, but with the wings at standard width (1/10th the price of the underlying), knowing that I will probably adjust the setup at some point given its duration (56 DTE).
Earnings haven't been firmly announced yet, but are likely to occur right around mopex (~11/14), so will look to be out of the trade by then.
Metrics:
Buying Power Effect: 12.30
Max Profit: 2.70
ROC at Max: 21.95%
50% Max: 1.35
ROC at 50% Max: 10.98%
Will generally look to take profit at 50% max; roll in sides to delta balance.
We're almost here!We are now just a point from my long held target of a double top, in what I am counting as an irregular (B) of intermediate degree.
Since price is behaving accordingly, I will not expand on what I have been forecasting for some time except to say that if shorting Nvidia in this area (as with any trade) make sure you are using stops...but best to wait for 5 micro waves down, followed by a micro corrective retace for the ideal set-up.
QCOM DOWNWARD TREND BREAKOUT TO THE UPSIDE! 20% MOVE NASDAQ:QCOM DOWNWARD TREND BREAKOUT TO THE UPSIDE! 20% MOVE INBOUND!
NASDAQ:QCOM IS ON THE UP AND UP!
- Symmetrical Triangle Breakout
- Stochastic Curling Upward
- MACD Crossing Zero Line
- RSI Higher Highs
CATALYST: SEMIS ON THE RUN AGAIN!
Not Financial Advice!
NVDA - NVDLAfter big spring in the structure we just passed and retest the lower line in accumulation structure.
I am very optimistic with how the chart looks!
NVDA
WIN/LOSE 1.5:1
SL BELOW 113$
TARGET upper line structure 140$
NVDL
WIN/LOSE 3:1
SL BELOW 51$
TARGET upper line structure 90-91$
* will update if there is change in sentiment of the structure
* for any question drop them below, and HIT THE FOLLOW BUTTON
NVDA Set for a Rebound: Will It Hit $137.40 and Beyond?Hey, trading family! Today we’re diving into NVIDIA (NVDA) and its recent price action. Right now, we’re seeing a correction, but all eyes are on whether it can push back up toward that key resistance level of $137.40. Here’s what you need to watch:
Downside risk: If NVDA continues to correct, there’s potential for it to drop below $132. If that happens, we could see the price head even lower, testing support around $128-$130. Keep an eye on these levels, as breaking below them could signal further downside.
Upside potential: On the flip side, if NVDA finds support and buyers step in, we could see it climb toward $137.40. A strong move above this resistance could lead to a bigger breakout, setting the stage for a push higher.
Stay tuned to how NVDA reacts around these key levels—this correction might just present a great opportunity, depending on how the market moves. If this helped, drop a comment or share your thoughts on NVDA’s next move!
Very Bullish on NVIDIA ! Point of Interest at $140.76 but wait..NVDA: Our point of interest is 140.76, and breaking this point would confirm a change of character (CHOCH) or a break of the main structure.
But wait before that…
We have three validations, one of which is extremely important and needs to be analyzed.
The first validation is the break of the ascending channel. Whenever a candle completely exits the channel (body and wick), I consider it a 100% break. Here we have a candle that broke out with significant strength, and in the days that followed, it made a change of character or CHOCH, which is a break of the previous structure or previous swing.
The second validation is that the 8 and 21 EMA lines show strong divergence. This means that the price has enough strength to continue moving upward. However, we have not yet seen any pullback. Remember that price cycles are distinguished by 3 movements:
1. Momentum
2. Pullback
3. Impulse
We should always measure how much strength the price has by monitoring volume and the divergence of these two important EMAs.
My third validation is that we are approaching their earnings report, which could create buying pressure for NVDA before the report, as previous reports have favored the stock and driven the price upward.
BUT WAIT ! HOLD YOUR HORSES BEFORE THAT!!!
We cannot ignore the order block I have around $134. Be cautious there, as it’s a zone where the price previously had significant liquidity. My prediction is that we may see a retracement before a strong push to our point of interest.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
Best regards,
NVDA Breakout or Rejection? Major Levels to Watch NVDA is at a make-or-break point, and it’s time to pay attention! 🔥
Key Resistance:
👉 $137 is the line in the sand! A breakout above $137.49 could send NVDA rocketing higher. 📈
Key Support:
👀 If the rejection happens here, look for price to drop into the $132-$133 zone, where fresh opportunities might open for the bears. 📉
📌 Keep these levels on your radar — it’s shaping up to be a high-volatility move! Are you ready to take advantage? 🌊
MB Trader
Nvidia's Stellar Surge: A Reflection of AI's AscendanceNvidia's meteoric rise in recent months is a testament to the burgeoning artificial intelligence (AI) revolution. As tech giants race to integrate AI into their products and services, the demand for Nvidia's high-performance computing chips has skyrocketed. The company's stock has surged by an impressive 25% in the past month alone, and it's on the brink of breaking its all-time high.
Nvidia's dominance in the AI hardware market can be attributed to its cutting-edge graphics processing units (GPUs), which are ideally suited for the complex computations involved in AI tasks. These chips have proven to be indispensable for training and deploying large-scale AI models, such as those used in natural language processing, computer vision, and generative AI.
As tech earnings season approaches, investors are closely watching Nvidia's performance. The company's financial results will provide valuable insights into the strength of demand for its products and the overall health of the AI market. Analysts are anticipating a strong earnings report, fueled by continued growth in data center sales and increasing adoption of Nvidia's AI solutions.
One of the primary drivers of Nvidia's success has been the accelerated development of AI technologies by leading tech companies. Meta, Alphabet, Microsoft, Oracle, and OpenAI, among others, have been investing heavily in AI research and development. These companies are racing to introduce new AI-powered products and services, such as chatbots, virtual assistants, and generative AI tools. To support these initiatives, they require powerful hardware infrastructure, including Nvidia's GPUs.
The growing demand for AI chips has created a significant opportunity for Nvidia. The company has been expanding its manufacturing capacity and investing in research and development to maintain its technological edge. Additionally, Nvidia has been exploring new markets, such as autonomous vehicles and healthcare, where AI is expected to play a crucial role.
While Nvidia's future prospects appear promising, it's essential to acknowledge the potential risks and challenges that could impact the company's growth. These include intense competition from other chip manufacturers, fluctuations in the global semiconductor market, and the possibility of regulatory hurdles related to AI development.
Despite these risks, Nvidia's strong market position and the increasing importance of AI suggest that the company is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing technological revolution. As AI continues to transform industries and society as a whole, Nvidia's high-performance computing chips are likely to remain a critical component of the AI ecosystem.
NVIDIA 4 Hour -30 Minute Wave Counting Where are We Going ? Morning Traders
We are looking at if this market has finished making a wave 4 correction or are we in for a treat with either a small correction down before we punch up to the 137-138 target we have in our wave counting and projections.
The question is always be aware of the worst case scenario here and the best case scenario, take caution
Happy Trading
MB Trader
NIVIDIA 4 HR: Correcting back to 130.70 or We Pushing Higher UP Morning Traders
Quick update here, currently if we make a break above the 132.70 range the 137.30 is our goal and target however their are a couple hurdles along the way.
We can possibly still correct down to the 130.70 level
I go over the market from 4 hour to 30 minute giving you some levels to look for in today's trading day
Happy Trading
MB Trader
80% gains AMD/NVDA Pairs Trade: Best Level to BUY/HOLD AMD🔸Hello traders, today let's review 4hour price chart for AMD.
Price structure is bullish inverted H*S setup with reload zone bulls
near 150 usd, currently expecting rejection near overhead resistance.
🔸AMD is trailing behind NVDA so far this year, YTD gains of 17%, NVDA
YTD gains at 167%. AMD is trailing behind NVDA massively and expecting
mean reversion / catch up trade later in 2025. AMD market cap sits
at 250 bln USD so it's an easy double from here. Fair value for AMD
is 500 bln USD, NVDA is valued at 3 T right now, which is massive.
🔸Recommended strategy bulls: Bulls wait for rejection from overhead resistance to confirm IHS setup / near 175 usd and wait for pullback/correction into mirror S/R level at 150/155 USD. BUY/HOLD setup, SL fixed at 125 USD TP1 is 250 USD TP2 is 300 USD in 2025. This is a swing trade setup with 80%+ upside potential, naturally more patience required to hit targets.
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