Nvidia in symmetrical triangle.Trade idea
NVIDIA - 48h expiry - We look to Buy at 870.50 (stop at 846.50)
As this corrective sequence continues we look to set longs on a dip at better risk/reward levels.
This has resulted in a large symmetrical triangle formation being posted on the intraday chart.
Trend line support is located at 870.
The bias is to break to the upside.
The primary trend remains bullish.
Trading close to the psychological 1000 level.
Trading has been mixed and volatile.
Our profit targets will be 930.50 and 940.50
Resistance: 905.50 / 924.08 / 938.50
Support: 890.00 / 870.00 / 850.10
Nvda_analysis
NVDA's White Support Line for a Potential Rebound Today is day 2 of the NASDAQ:NVDA GTC conference, NASDAQ:NVDA had a bearish day yesterday even though it was day 1 of the event. I think there was actually a lot of great news for NASDAQ:NVDA , but surprisingly there was little upside in terms of price action. So far NASDAQ:NVDA has been bearish since reaching the yellow trendline, and I think the momentum has been bearish. For now NVDA is near a white support line and bulls are looking for a rebound here so that NVDA has some upside for day 2 of the GTC event.
EXPECT $500+ OUT of NVDAAt this point NVDA is unstoppable. It will not pull back until at least $500 - $520.
But even at that point it could easily turn the top of this upward channel trend
Into support and then we are looking at clear skies and smooth sailing until $1000.
I mean why not? NVDA could easily demand a more than 2 trillion dollar market
Cap. Especially considering when its quarterly revenue is at a whopping 7 billion,
giving the stock the admirable PE ratio of 213. This one has room to run. Insiders
might be dumping large blocks of shares but nothin g that should give investors
reason to be cautious. Fasten your seat belts because AI is in charge of this rally.
NVIDIA - Has the bubble been burst?After the sharp drop that NVIDIA had on Friday, what consequences can we observe?
Has the bubble been burst? Are we going to attend strong corrective phases?
Following the line with the price at maximums on February 12 and 23, we can see that when it reached that resistance line last Friday, the price fell sharply.
Since then it has moved laterally, above the support of the 823 zone.
I think this is not a figure of exhaustion, but a stop and a lateral movement.
Microsoft started the sideways move before NVIDIA, and has been eating up time without hurting the price level.
For me, the trend is still bullish.
Guys, what do you think? Leave a comment with your thoughts.
Support lines in $NVDAMy view of NASDAQ:NVDA support lines.
When looking at the support lines in NASDAQ:NVDA , I think of them in three tiers of defence:
The first line of defence: If the market holds this line, it's likely just a minor correction in the overall trend. In this case, it's recommended to buy the dip.
The second line of defence: If the market holds this line, it may take a bit longer for the correction to occur, but it's still considered a minor correction. Again, buying the dip is recommended.
The third line of defence: This is the last line of support. If the market breaks this line, it's a sign that the trend is changing. For those who follow Elliott wave theory, this would mean that a 5 waves impulse up is done. For other technical analysts, stage 3 has begun.
If you want to know more about my strategy, follow me.
Legal Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is solely for informational and educational purposes only and does not serve as financial advice.
NVDA Reaches Key $940 Resistance, Monitor for Strong RejectionAfter NASDAQ:NVDA managed to beat extremely high earnings expectations, I made a post-earnings analysis video discussing how NVDA has the potential to reach this strong resistance level around $940. Just a few short weeks later and NVDA has already risen to this price target. I think this will be extremely strong resistance, and I have concerns that NVDA could have a strong rejection and pullback here. The Magnificent 7 is quickly deteriorating with AAPL, GOOGL, and TSLA already showing a lot of weakness. I think if NVDA starts a strong downtrend here this could spell a lot of trouble for the U.S. stock market.
I gave an important NASDAQ:NVDA update about NVDA approaching a key resistance target. This yellow trendline is sloped upwards and increases over time. I said $920s as my price target earlier and in previous updates. There has been a slight increase to $940-942. This will be an extremely important price target to monitor for NVDA and the U.S. stock market.
The RSI is overbought and the conditions are good for a pullback. For the record, I have not been shorting NVDA and I think shorting NVDA has been a bad idea throughout this bullish rally. However, this strong resistance level is an interesting price target for me to consider shorting.
NVIDIA: Large MovesOverview
My first two publications on this idea were removed and I was banned for a day so let's try this out again:
... I finally gave in and started looking into NASDAQ:NVDA and I'm glad I did. If I was going to comfortably invest in derivatives or shares of the tech company, I needed to perform a full evaluation and determine pragmatic price targets.
Price Projections
I have two macro projections and one micro projection that I would like to share with you. On the 1D chart I've established two Fibonacci retracements: one representing uptrend (green) and the other representing a downtrend (red).
At the current moment of this publication, an ascending triangle is beginning to form on the hourly and daily charts. This leads me to believe that the markets haven't had their fill yet and that NVDA is most likely gearing up for another rally. If this breakout does occur, I believe that a price target of $750 is reasonable as this value rests around the 161.8% Fib level.
For my second macro projection: a correction to the low $300s, or even mid $200s, is a reality as both of these values rest around or near a 50% or 61.8% Fib retracement level. The market does not appear to feel bearish on NVIDIA and a correction like this would require the current ascending triangle to become invalid which is unlikely without an external catalyst -- which is most definitely in existence. I explain this concept in more detail later in this article; you can find it under "NVIDIA Outsourcing."
And finally, for those of us that want to make all the short and medium-term trades in-between, I've attached a copy of my projections within the ascending triangle and attempted to match them to the market's sentiments. This led me to project a double bottom within the current pattern. There is a possible second ascending triangle forming at the moment so I am remaining cognizant of significant support around the $470-480 range in the chance that this causes an invalid double-top (M pattern) and a potentially earlier breakout.
About the CEO
Jensen Huang is the CEO and President of NVIDIA and has held his title since 1993 when he first co-founded the company. He has a Master of Science in Engineering from Stanford University and, from what I've seen in a couple of his interviews, is very intelligent and self-aware. I'd like to regard him as a more stable version of Elon Musk or Steve Jobs.
NVIDIA Outsourcing
The impression I received during my research is that a lot of the semiconductor chips used in NVIDIA's A.I. projects are sourced from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC). As you probably already guessed, TSMC is located in Taiwan. The reason I believe that this can be problematic for the company is because, as of late, China has become more outspokenly aggressive towards Taiwan whom it believes it holds sovereignty over. Should China choose to invade the nation I believe this will result in a choke on NVIDIA's production which -- on top of market reactivity -- will drive the share prices downward.
To touch on another geopolitical issue very briefly, Huang has made it clear that they supply China with limited-capacity chips to uphold National Security concerns in regards to artificial intelligence. This could very well serve as a motivator for China to want to gain control of TSMC as it would then obtain an advantage over NVIDIA: "give us fully capable chips or else." This is just my opinion and I came to this conclusion from my own research and from my limited knowledge on human psychology.
Second red flag for outsourcing, TSMC requires the use of a specific technology that is only delivered by a Dutch company called Advanced Semiconductor Materials Lithography (ASML). I won't dive into the full details but their technology has yet to be reverse-engineered or produced at the same efficiency. ASML provides TSMC the ability to create an end product for NVIDIA. I think it goes without saying, that if NVIDIA does not figure out how to create an equally efficient manufacturing technology, or at least close to, then if ASML one day decides to stop providing said technology -- a market crash will occur for NVIDIA.
Fundamental Analysis
Time for the dry stuff. According to NVIDIA's Q3 Earnings Call, the following data is assumed to be true:
Current Ratio (current assets/current liabilities) = 3.59 --> a 2% increase since January 29, 2023.
Cash On-Hand has increased by 62.85% since January 29, 2023.
Total Assets outpaced Total Liabilities with assets increasing by 31.49% while liabilities increased by 9.44% since January 2023.
Retained Earnings increased by 100.18% since January 29, 2023.
Long-Term Debt decreased by 12.84% since January 29, 2023.
Other notes:
NVIDIA is presently undergoing several class action lawsuits filed in the United States District Court for Northern District of California, for the District of Delaware, and in the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware. The lawsuits claim that certain NVIDIA executives made misleading statements related to channel inventory (product in between the manufacturing and reseller inventory stages) and impact of cryptocurrency mining on GPU demand between May 2017 and Nov 2018.
There has been significant insider liquidation in 2023. In total, executives from NVIDIA – including Huang – have liquidated upwards of $786.8M in company shares within the calendar year. I would typically consider this a red flag but not a sign for impending declines; securing profits may be the only motivation.
NVIDIA’s Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program up to $25.24B. Approximately 800K shares ($366M) were repurchased by the company from October 30 - November 17, 2023. This coincides with a relatively large rally followed by a 10% dip immediately after the Q3 Earnings Call.
NNOX To The Moon!!I have been in NNOX Calls for about a week now. I added to my position after reviewing the 15m chart this morning. Both ups and downs did not bottom out, they stayed strong and brought a higher high as you can see with both low white lines in my chart. Moving upwards, It seems to me that it broke the level of support and now has huge potential to gap up to the $12.25 - $14 range. If i see this stock breakout past the $14.50 mark, i am doing heavy $20c with small $10p
The AI Crypto Boom: Is This the Beginning of a New Era?2023 has witnessed a significant surge in AI-related cryptocurrencies . This boom can be partly attributed to the explosive growth of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock, a leader in the graphics processing unit (GPU) industry, which are used to train AI models.
Factors Driving the Growth
NVDA's Rise: NVDA's price has been on a tear, forming a bullish manipulative pattern. This bullish trend has inspired investors to have similar expectations for AI-related coins.
AMD's Accumulation-Manipulation-Distribution Pattern: AMD is not a competitor of NVDA in this context, but rather an example of a successful "accumulation - manipulation - breakout" pattern.
This pattern is characterized by a period of accumulation, where investors slowly buy up a coin, followed by a period of manipulation, where the price is artificially inflated, and finally a breakout, where the price rises sharply due to increased demand.
Effect on Other Coins:
The bullish trend in NVDA and the successful breakout of AMD's accumulation-manipulation-breakout pattern have led to a surge in AI-related coins such as RNDR, THETA, NEAR, and FET.
A Look at Promising Coins:
RNDR: Render Network utilizes a decentralized network for 3D graphics and video rendering. The rise of the metaverse could potentially drive demand for RNDR's services.
THETA: Theta Labs aims to revolutionize video streaming by providing a decentralized content delivery network. The growth of streaming content could make THETA an attractive investment.
NEAR: NEAR Protocol is a smart contract platform focused on scalability and speed. The growth of decentralized applications (dApps) could make NEAR a valuable choice.
FET: Fetch.ai is developing a decentralized network for exchanging data and machine learning models. The growth of AI could increase demand for FET's services.
Important Considerations:
The cryptocurrency market is volatile and unpredictable. It is crucial to conduct your own research before investing in any coin.
This article is not financial advice. Only invest what you can afford to lose.
Conclusion
AI-related cryptocurrencies are experiencing impressive growth. While it is impossible to say for certain whether this is the beginning of a new era, the possibilities of AI in the crypto space are worth considering. However, it is important to conduct thorough research and understand the associated risks before investing.
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NVDA before the previous earnings:
Then analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 710usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-2-23,
for a premium of approximately $48.65.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
A top in $NVDA? I know it is very brave of me to call a top in NASDAQ:NVDA here with all is going on in AI right now. But I can only analyse what the market is telling me right now.
And the market is telling me that a top might be in place. And here are 5 reasons why :
1. Fibonacci golden ratio on a weekly timeframe we are almost there. We see how the golden ratio it's splitting the 5 waves impulse up.
Even in Wave 5 we have a Fibonacci Golden ratio. This time is 0.618/0.382. They all point out to the same zone.
2. Bearish divergence between the price and MACD- Histogram and MACD lines
3.Kangaroo tail
The last bar is a sign of worry for the bulls.
4. Outside upper channel line
5. Quite a gap to the value zone. Which on a daily is between $675-$716.
and as bonus reason Steve Weiss just bought NASDAQ:NVDA
Of course there are a few reasons for the bulls as well. and NASDAQ:NVDA could go to the Moon.
What do you think. Bull or bear here?
Legal Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is solely for informational and educational purpose and does not serve as financial advice.
Nvidia - It Is Finally TimeHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
In 2019 Nvidia stock started creating a long term rising channel and retested the lower support trendline the last time in 2022 before we saw a massive +600% rally on this stock. Nvidia is now retesting the upper channel resistance which I mentioned in the analysis and there is a quite high chance that we will see at least a short term correction towards the downside from here.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
Bullish Momentum For NVIDIANVIDIA's stock is soaring to new heights, and there's no sign of slowing down!
After several attempts, finally broke through a major resistance level at $500 and gearing move make another surge on the upside.
With a powerful combination of AI innovations and impressive market performance, this tech giant is taking the world by storm. 🌍💡
In the past week, NASDAQ:NVDA has hit multiple all-time highs, and its options volume is breaking records!
The future looks bright for NVIDIA, and we're all aboard this unstoppable train! 🚂💰
Swing Position - 1 ITM Contract NVDA 3/15/2024 Call $530 🏌️♂️
Riding the Long Trend:Nvidia (NVDA) Analysis on the 6-Hour Chart
Title:
Riding the Long Trend: Nvidia (NVDA) Analysis on the 6-Hour Chart
Analysis:
Hello Traders,
Nvidia (NVDA) continues its upward trajectory with impressive momentum on the 6-hour chart! Volume indicators suggest strong participation, indicating a continuation of the long trend.
NASDAQ:NVDA
Volume and Momentum Analysis:
Volume trends on the 6-hour chart are robust, reflecting increasing market activity and confidence in NVDA 's price movement. This surge in volume aligns well with the ongoing upward momentum, reinforcing the likelihood of the uptrend persisting.
Technical Analysis:
The 6-hour chart reveals a clear picture of NVDA 's bullish momentum, with price action consistently favoring upward movement. This sustained uptrend, coupled with robust volume, provides a strong foundation for further price appreciation.
Conclusion:
With volumes on the 6-hour chart indicating strong support for the ongoing uptrend, traders may consider riding the momentum in NVDA . However, it's essential to remain vigilant and adapt to any changes in market dynamics.
Don't Forget to Engage:
Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍ if you find this idea compelling! Feel free to share your insights and charts in the comments section below to enrich the discussion and help the idea reach a wider audience. Your engagement is invaluable!
Trading based on this analysis carries inherent risks. Conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions.
Happy trading!
NVIDIA to keep on this crazy rally?NVIDIA - Intraday expiry - We look to Buy a break of 710.15 (stop at 694.15)
Price action has formed a bullish ascending triangle formation.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Daily signals for sentiment are at overbought extremes.
In our opinion, this stock is overvalued.
A break of the recent high at 709.44 should result in a further move higher. The bias is to break to the upside.
Our profit targets will be 750.15 and 760.15
Resistance: 709.44 / 720.00 / 740.00
Support: 693.50 / 680.00 / 663.00
Nvidia - How Long Will It LastHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia.
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Explanation of my video analysis:
All the way back in February of 2014 we saw a breakout of a long term symmetrical triangle on Nvidia. This breakout was followed by an insane +9.500% rally towards the upside. Right now Nvidia is trading in a solid ascending channel and is approaching the upper resistance trendline. I do expect a (short term) pullback from there to retest the support mentioned in the analysis.
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I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
Nvidia Monumental Divergence- Nvidia seems ready for a bigger retracement.
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Trading Parts
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Short Zone : 400$ ish ( Now )
TP1 : 275$ ish
TP2 : 200$ ish
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- Stay S4fe!
Happy Tr4Ding !
$NVDA COMPLETE ELLIOT WAVE ANALYSISI have identified all the wave counts visible on the weekly chart, and while they make sense to me, I acknowledge the possibility of errors, given my relatively new exposure to Elliott Wave analysis. It's evident that we are currently within wave B in the overarching wave count. Anticipating an elongated wave B due to various sub waves, my expectation is for wave B to reach the designated green pivot area before completing wave C well below the 2022 low.
Nvidia's Dance with ControversyThe Underground Market for Banned AI Chips in China"
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) finds itself at the center of a storm as reports surface regarding the illicit trade of its advanced AI chips in China. Despite a U.S. ban on exporting these chips to the country, Chinese military entities, state-owned AI research centers, and universities have reportedly been actively acquiring batches of Nvidia semiconductors. This raises concerns about the efficacy of U.S. efforts to restrict China's access to critical AI technology and the potential implications for national security.
The Chinese Quest for Nvidia's Banned Chips:
According to a comprehensive analysis, various Chinese entities, including elite universities like the Harbin Institute of Technology and the University of Electronic Science and Technology of China, have been identified as purchasers of Nvidia's banned A100 and H100 chips. Even chips specifically developed for the Chinese market, the A800 and H800, faced a ban in October. The relentless demand for these chips underscores the challenges faced by the U.S. in cutting off China's access to advanced AI technology, vital for breakthroughs in artificial intelligence and high-end military applications.
Regulatory Quandaries:
While the U.S. ban prohibits the direct export of these chips to China, the emergence of an underground market reveals a complex web of transactions. Chinese vendors reportedly acquire excess stock or import through companies incorporated in countries like India, Taiwan, and Singapore. Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ), however, maintains that it complies with export control laws and pledges to take action against customers engaging in unlawful resale. U.S. authorities are equally determined to close loopholes in export restrictions, but experts argue that achieving watertight control over small chips is unrealistic.
The Superiority of Nvidia's GPUs in AI:
Nvidia's graphics processing units (GPUs) have long been recognized as superior for AI-related activities, efficiently processing vast amounts of data crucial for machine learning. The persistent demand for these banned AI chips in China highlights the absence of satisfactory alternatives for Chinese firms, with local competitors like Huawei expected to lag behind in development.
National Security Concerns:
The intersection of technology and national security is a critical aspect of this controversy. The involvement of Chinese military entities and institutions with alleged affiliations to military bodies raises questions about the potential dual-use nature of these AI chips. The U.S. government faces the challenge of balancing its commitment to innovation with the imperative to safeguard sensitive technologies that could have military applications.
Conclusion:
Nvidia's entanglement in the controversy surrounding the underground trade of banned AI chips in China sheds light on the complexities of enforcing export restrictions in the tech industry. As geopolitical tensions continue to shape the landscape, the story of Nvidia's chips serves as a compelling narrative, emphasizing the delicate balance between technological advancement, economic interests, and national security. The evolving situation calls for a nuanced approach from both the U.S. government and technology companies to navigate these challenging waters.