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Nvda_analysis

Nvidia's Downturn: Correction or Cyclical Shift?Nvidia, the undisputed leader in graphics processing units (GPUs), has hit a rough patch. After a stellar run that saw its stock price reach record highs, the company has entered correction territory, with its share price dropping over 10% from its peak. This sudden decline has sent shockwaves through the tech industry, prompting questions about the company's future and the broader health of the chip market. A Look Back: Nvidia's Meteoric Rise The past few years have been a golden age for Nvidia. Fueled by the surging demand for high-performance computing across various sectors, the company enjoyed phenomenal growth. • Gaming Boom: The surging popularity of video games, particularly during the pandemic lockdowns, led to a massive increase in demand for Nvidia's powerful GPUs, which are essential for delivering high-fidelity graphics experiences. • AI Revolution: The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) applications, from self-driving cars to facial recognition technology, created a growing need for Nvidia's specialized AI processing units (AIGPU). • Cryptocurrency Craze: The rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which rely heavily on GPUs for mining, further boosted Nvidia's sales. These factors combined to propel Nvidia's stock price to dizzying heights, culminating in an all-time high of $950 per share in late March 2024. A Rude Awakening: Entering Correction Territory However, the recent weeks have painted a different picture. As of April 10, 2024, Nvidia's stock price has fallen over 10% from its peak, officially entering "correction territory." This is typically defined as a decline of 10% to 20% from a recent high and is often seen as a sign of a market overcorrection or a fundamental shift in the company's prospects. Possible Causes for the Downturn: Several factors could be contributing to Nvidia's current woes: • Market Saturation: The gaming industry might be approaching a saturation point in terms of high-end PC sales. This could lead to a decline in demand for Nvidia's top-tier GPUs. • Cryptocurrency Volatility: The recent slump in cryptocurrency prices has led to a decrease in mining activity, potentially impacting Nvidia's sales to miners. • Supply Chain Concerns: Ongoing global supply chain disruptions could be hindering Nvidia's ability to meet production demands, leading to shortages and price hikes. • Analyst Cautiousness: Some analysts are expressing concerns about the sustainability of Nvidia's growth trajectory, particularly in the face of increasing competition from other chip manufacturers. Is This Just a Temporary Blip? Despite the recent decline, some experts remain optimistic about Nvidia's long-term prospects. Here's why: • The Metaverse Advantage: The burgeoning metaverse, a virtual reality-based online world, requires powerful graphics processing capabilities, which could be a major growth driver for Nvidia. • AI Adoption Continues: The adoption of AI across various industries is expected to continue at a rapid pace, ensuring a sustained demand for Nvidia's AIGPUs. • Innovation Powerhouse: Nvidia is known for its constant innovation and cutting-edge technology development. This could lead to new product categories and revenue streams in the future. Navigating the Uncertainty: What Investors Should Consider With conflicting signals emerging, investors are grappling with whether this is a buying opportunity or a sign of a more significant downturn. Here are some key considerations: • Market Sentiment: Keep a close eye on the broader tech market and overall economic conditions. Factors like interest rate hikes and inflation can impact investor confidence and, consequently, technology stocks. • Company Performance: Evaluate Nvidia's recent financial performance, future product roadmaps, and its response to emerging challenges. Are they taking steps to address supply chain issues or developing new markets? • Analyst Opinions: While not infallible, analyst ratings can offer valuable insights into the potential risks and opportunities for Nvidia. Beyond Nvidia: The Broader Chip Market The correction in Nvidia's stock price might be indicative of a broader slowdown in the chip market. Investors should monitor other major chipmakers like AMD and Intel to gauge the overall industry sentiment. Conclusion: A Crossroads for Nvidia Nvidia undoubtedly faces headwinds, with its stock entering a correction territory. However, the company's strong fundamentals and position in high-growth markets like AI and the metaverse suggest its long-term potential remains intact. Investors should carefully consider the company's future prospects, the broader tech market landscape, and their own risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The coming months will be crucial for Nvidia to navigate these challenges and demonstrate its ability to sustain its impressive growth trajectory.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by bryandowningqln
Nvidia Enters Correction Zone After Plummeting by 10%Chipmaking giant Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) finds itself navigating the stormy seas of correction territory. With shares down 10% from their recent all-time highs, investors are left wondering: what lies ahead for this AI powerhouse? Nvidia's ascent to prominence has been nothing short of remarkable, fueled by the insatiable demand for its graphics processing units (GPUs) in the era of artificial intelligence. From powering compute-intensive AI applications to serving as the backbone of data centers, Nvidia's chips have been instrumental in driving the AI revolution forward. However, as the dust settles and the euphoria of past gains fades, investors are left pondering the reasons behind Nvidia's recent downturn. One catalyst could be the unveiling of Intel's new AI chip, Gaudi 3, which promises to rival Nvidia's most advanced offerings. Boasting superior power efficiency and faster AI model processing capabilities, Intel's chip represents a formidable challenge to Nvidia's dominance in the AI space. Moreover, analysts at D.A. Davidson have raised concerns about a potential cyclical downturn on the horizon for Nvidia. They point to factors such as the shrinking size of AI models and increased competition from alternative solutions, which could dampen demand for Nvidia's stock in the coming years. Despite these headwinds, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) remains a titan in the world of AI technology, with a track record of delivering stellar financial performance. The company's recent earnings report showcased a staggering 486% jump in non-GAAP earnings per diluted share, underscoring the continued strength of its business. As investors grapple with the uncertainty of market corrections and the evolving landscape of AI technology, Nvidia stands at a crossroads. Will it weather the storm and emerge stronger than ever, or will it succumb to the pressures of increased competition and shifting market dynamics? Only time will tell. In the meantime, investors would be wise to keep a close eye on Nvidia's strategic moves and technological advancements, as they may hold the key to its future success in an ever-changing landscape. Technical Outlook Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock is in a downward Trend with the stock closing at 2% loss in Tuesday's trading session. With a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 44.99 paving way for further decline. Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) 4-month price chart shows a three-black bearish crow candlestick pattern further attesting to the bearish trend of this thesis. In conclusion, while Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) may be facing challenges in the present moment, its long-term prospects remain promising. As it adapts to the evolving demands of the AI market and navigates the complexities of correction territory, Nvidia has the potential to emerge as a resilient and enduring force in the world of technology.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by DEXWireNews
Introducing Nvidia's Next Generation AI Hardware and Software OfNvidia has officially introduced its next generation AI hardware and software offering, setting a new standard in the industry. With cutting-edge technology and innovative solutions, Nvidia is paving the way for the future of artificial intelligence. This new offering promises to revolutionize the way we approach AI, providing faster, more efficient, and more powerful solutions than ever before. With Nvidia's state-of-the-art hardware and software, traders can expect increased performance, improved accuracy, and enhanced capabilities to stay ahead in the market. Now is the time to invest in Nvidia and take advantage of this groundbreaking technology. Don't miss out on the opportunity to be a part of the future of AI. Join us in long Nvidia today and be a part of the next generation of innovation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by bryandowningqln
NVIDIA 1000$?The AI chips make NASDAQ:NVDA makes a lot of noise, for those who can wait for price pullback wait below The idea is Buy, but if you want to short this be on your own, This is only my view on this stock, we might see 1000$ or not. if algo can manipulate the 9 number then this valid, if not were going lower. To a stock trader trade at your own risk, to longterm stock holder we wait below. Follow for more. My ideas is always out of your trading basis, so this might not your typical charts for stocks. If youre following me since then you might understand, not all of my ideas is working. Were not perfect so stop blaming someone on your losses. Trade it or own it. Follow for more.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by D1GITALTRADES
7
Nvidia - Volatility At The TopHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For a decent period of time, Nvidia has been trading in an obvious rising channel formation. We had the last retest of support in 2022 so the rally of +600% towards the upside was actually quite expected. Nvidia is now approaching the upper resistance of the rising channel so there is a quite high chance that we will see at least a short term bearish rejection soon. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by basictradingtv
1
Nvidia in symmetrical triangle.Trade idea NVIDIA - 48h expiry - We look to Buy at 870.50 (stop at 846.50) As this corrective sequence continues we look to set longs on a dip at better risk/reward levels. This has resulted in a large symmetrical triangle formation being posted on the intraday chart. Trend line support is located at 870. The bias is to break to the upside. The primary trend remains bullish. Trading close to the psychological 1000 level. Trading has been mixed and volatile. Our profit targets will be 930.50 and 940.50 Resistance: 905.50 / 924.08 / 938.50 Support: 890.00 / 870.00 / 850.10
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Signal_Centre1
NVDA's White Support Line for a Potential Rebound Today is day 2 of the NASDAQ:NVDA GTC conference, NASDAQ:NVDA had a bearish day yesterday even though it was day 1 of the event. I think there was actually a lot of great news for NASDAQ:NVDA , but surprisingly there was little upside in terms of price action. So far NASDAQ:NVDA has been bearish since reaching the yellow trendline, and I think the momentum has been bearish. For now NVDA is near a white support line and bulls are looking for a rebound here so that NVDA has some upside for day 2 of the GTC event.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by realchartchamp
EXPECT $500+ OUT of NVDAAt this point NVDA is unstoppable. It will not pull back until at least $500 - $520. But even at that point it could easily turn the top of this upward channel trend Into support and then we are looking at clear skies and smooth sailing until $1000. I mean why not? NVDA could easily demand a more than 2 trillion dollar market Cap. Especially considering when its quarterly revenue is at a whopping 7 billion, giving the stock the admirable PE ratio of 213. This one has room to run. Insiders might be dumping large blocks of shares but nothin g that should give investors reason to be cautious. Fasten your seat belts because AI is in charge of this rally.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Goontata84
46
NVIDIA - Has the bubble been burst?After the sharp drop that NVIDIA had on Friday, what consequences can we observe? Has the bubble been burst? Are we going to attend strong corrective phases? Following the line with the price at maximums on February 12 and 23, we can see that when it reached that resistance line last Friday, the price fell sharply. Since then it has moved laterally, above the support of the 823 zone. I think this is not a figure of exhaustion, but a stop and a lateral movement. Microsoft started the sideways move before NVIDIA, and has been eating up time without hurting the price level. For me, the trend is still bullish. Guys, what do you think? Leave a comment with your thoughts.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by tradingconmike
3
Support lines in $NVDAMy view of NASDAQ:NVDA support lines. When looking at the support lines in NASDAQ:NVDA , I think of them in three tiers of defence: The first line of defence: If the market holds this line, it's likely just a minor correction in the overall trend. In this case, it's recommended to buy the dip. The second line of defence: If the market holds this line, it may take a bit longer for the correction to occur, but it's still considered a minor correction. Again, buying the dip is recommended. The third line of defence: This is the last line of support. If the market breaks this line, it's a sign that the trend is changing. For those who follow Elliott wave theory, this would mean that a 5 waves impulse up is done. For other technical analysts, stage 3 has begun. If you want to know more about my strategy, follow me. Legal Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is solely for informational and educational purposes only and does not serve as financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by WavesInvesting
NVDA Reaches Key $940 Resistance, Monitor for Strong RejectionAfter NASDAQ:NVDA managed to beat extremely high earnings expectations, I made a post-earnings analysis video discussing how NVDA has the potential to reach this strong resistance level around $940. Just a few short weeks later and NVDA has already risen to this price target. I think this will be extremely strong resistance, and I have concerns that NVDA could have a strong rejection and pullback here. The Magnificent 7 is quickly deteriorating with AAPL, GOOGL, and TSLA already showing a lot of weakness. I think if NVDA starts a strong downtrend here this could spell a lot of trouble for the U.S. stock market. I gave an important NASDAQ:NVDA update about NVDA approaching a key resistance target. This yellow trendline is sloped upwards and increases over time. I said $920s as my price target earlier and in previous updates. There has been a slight increase to $940-942. This will be an extremely important price target to monitor for NVDA and the U.S. stock market. The RSI is overbought and the conditions are good for a pullback. For the record, I have not been shorting NVDA and I think shorting NVDA has been a bad idea throughout this bullish rally. However, this strong resistance level is an interesting price target for me to consider shorting.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by realchartchamp
NVIDIA: Large MovesOverview My first two publications on this idea were removed and I was banned for a day so let's try this out again: ... I finally gave in and started looking into NASDAQ:NVDA and I'm glad I did. If I was going to comfortably invest in derivatives or shares of the tech company, I needed to perform a full evaluation and determine pragmatic price targets. Price Projections I have two macro projections and one micro projection that I would like to share with you. On the 1D chart I've established two Fibonacci retracements: one representing uptrend (green) and the other representing a downtrend (red). At the current moment of this publication, an ascending triangle is beginning to form on the hourly and daily charts. This leads me to believe that the markets haven't had their fill yet and that NVDA is most likely gearing up for another rally. If this breakout does occur, I believe that a price target of $750 is reasonable as this value rests around the 161.8% Fib level. For my second macro projection: a correction to the low $300s, or even mid $200s, is a reality as both of these values rest around or near a 50% or 61.8% Fib retracement level. The market does not appear to feel bearish on NVIDIA and a correction like this would require the current ascending triangle to become invalid which is unlikely without an external catalyst -- which is most definitely in existence. I explain this concept in more detail later in this article; you can find it under "NVIDIA Outsourcing." And finally, for those of us that want to make all the short and medium-term trades in-between, I've attached a copy of my projections within the ascending triangle and attempted to match them to the market's sentiments. This led me to project a double bottom within the current pattern. There is a possible second ascending triangle forming at the moment so I am remaining cognizant of significant support around the $470-480 range in the chance that this causes an invalid double-top (M pattern) and a potentially earlier breakout. About the CEO Jensen Huang is the CEO and President of NVIDIA and has held his title since 1993 when he first co-founded the company. He has a Master of Science in Engineering from Stanford University and, from what I've seen in a couple of his interviews, is very intelligent and self-aware. I'd like to regard him as a more stable version of Elon Musk or Steve Jobs. NVIDIA Outsourcing The impression I received during my research is that a lot of the semiconductor chips used in NVIDIA's A.I. projects are sourced from Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC). As you probably already guessed, TSMC is located in Taiwan. The reason I believe that this can be problematic for the company is because, as of late, China has become more outspokenly aggressive towards Taiwan whom it believes it holds sovereignty over. Should China choose to invade the nation I believe this will result in a choke on NVIDIA's production which -- on top of market reactivity -- will drive the share prices downward. To touch on another geopolitical issue very briefly, Huang has made it clear that they supply China with limited-capacity chips to uphold National Security concerns in regards to artificial intelligence. This could very well serve as a motivator for China to want to gain control of TSMC as it would then obtain an advantage over NVIDIA: "give us fully capable chips or else." This is just my opinion and I came to this conclusion from my own research and from my limited knowledge on human psychology. Second red flag for outsourcing, TSMC requires the use of a specific technology that is only delivered by a Dutch company called Advanced Semiconductor Materials Lithography (ASML). I won't dive into the full details but their technology has yet to be reverse-engineered or produced at the same efficiency. ASML provides TSMC the ability to create an end product for NVIDIA. I think it goes without saying, that if NVIDIA does not figure out how to create an equally efficient manufacturing technology, or at least close to, then if ASML one day decides to stop providing said technology -- a market crash will occur for NVIDIA. Fundamental Analysis Time for the dry stuff. According to NVIDIA's Q3 Earnings Call, the following data is assumed to be true: Current Ratio (current assets/current liabilities) = 3.59 --> a 2% increase since January 29, 2023. Cash On-Hand has increased by 62.85% since January 29, 2023. Total Assets outpaced Total Liabilities with assets increasing by 31.49% while liabilities increased by 9.44% since January 2023. Retained Earnings increased by 100.18% since January 29, 2023. Long-Term Debt decreased by 12.84% since January 29, 2023. Other notes: NVIDIA is presently undergoing several class action lawsuits filed in the United States District Court for Northern District of California, for the District of Delaware, and in the Court of Chancery of the State of Delaware. The lawsuits claim that certain NVIDIA executives made misleading statements related to channel inventory (product in between the manufacturing and reseller inventory stages) and impact of cryptocurrency mining on GPU demand between May 2017 and Nov 2018. There has been significant insider liquidation in 2023. In total, executives from NVIDIA – including Huang – have liquidated upwards of $786.8M in company shares within the calendar year. I would typically consider this a red flag but not a sign for impending declines; securing profits may be the only motivation. NVIDIA’s Board of Directors approved a share repurchase program up to $25.24B. Approximately 800K shares ($366M) were repurchased by the company from October 30 - November 17, 2023. This coincides with a relatively large rally followed by a 10% dip immediately after the Q3 Earnings Call.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Shepherd_Investor
2
The AI Crypto Boom: Is This the Beginning of a New Era?2023 has witnessed a significant surge in AI-related cryptocurrencies . This boom can be partly attributed to the explosive growth of NVIDIA (NVDA) stock, a leader in the graphics processing unit (GPU) industry, which are used to train AI models. Factors Driving the Growth NVDA's Rise: NVDA's price has been on a tear, forming a bullish manipulative pattern. This bullish trend has inspired investors to have similar expectations for AI-related coins. AMD's Accumulation-Manipulation-Distribution Pattern: AMD is not a competitor of NVDA in this context, but rather an example of a successful "accumulation - manipulation - breakout" pattern. This pattern is characterized by a period of accumulation, where investors slowly buy up a coin, followed by a period of manipulation, where the price is artificially inflated, and finally a breakout, where the price rises sharply due to increased demand. Effect on Other Coins: The bullish trend in NVDA and the successful breakout of AMD's accumulation-manipulation-breakout pattern have led to a surge in AI-related coins such as RNDR, THETA, NEAR, and FET. A Look at Promising Coins: RNDR: Render Network utilizes a decentralized network for 3D graphics and video rendering. The rise of the metaverse could potentially drive demand for RNDR's services. THETA: Theta Labs aims to revolutionize video streaming by providing a decentralized content delivery network. The growth of streaming content could make THETA an attractive investment. NEAR: NEAR Protocol is a smart contract platform focused on scalability and speed. The growth of decentralized applications (dApps) could make NEAR a valuable choice. FET: Fetch.ai is developing a decentralized network for exchanging data and machine learning models. The growth of AI could increase demand for FET's services. Important Considerations: The cryptocurrency market is volatile and unpredictable. It is crucial to conduct your own research before investing in any coin. This article is not financial advice. Only invest what you can afford to lose. Conclusion AI-related cryptocurrencies are experiencing impressive growth. While it is impossible to say for certain whether this is the beginning of a new era, the possibilities of AI in the crypto space are worth considering. However, it is important to conduct thorough research and understand the associated risks before investing.
RLong
by Yaroslav_Krasko
17
A top in $NVDA? I know it is very brave of me to call a top in NASDAQ:NVDA here with all is going on in AI right now. But I can only analyse what the market is telling me right now. And the market is telling me that a top might be in place. And here are 5 reasons why : 1. Fibonacci golden ratio on a weekly timeframe we are almost there. We see how the golden ratio it's splitting the 5 waves impulse up. Even in Wave 5 we have a Fibonacci Golden ratio. This time is 0.618/0.382. They all point out to the same zone. 2. Bearish divergence between the price and MACD- Histogram and MACD lines 3.Kangaroo tail The last bar is a sign of worry for the bulls. 4. Outside upper channel line 5. Quite a gap to the value zone. Which on a daily is between $675-$716. and as bonus reason Steve Weiss just bought NASDAQ:NVDA Of course there are a few reasons for the bulls as well. and NASDAQ:NVDA could go to the Moon. What do you think. Bull or bear here? Legal Disclaimer: The information presented in this analysis is solely for informational and educational purpose and does not serve as financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by WavesInvesting
13
Nvidia - It Is Finally TimeHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: In 2019 Nvidia stock started creating a long term rising channel and retested the lower support trendline the last time in 2022 before we saw a massive +600% rally on this stock. Nvidia is now retesting the upper channel resistance which I mentioned in the analysis and there is a quite high chance that we will see at least a short term correction towards the downside from here. -------- I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied. Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions. Keep your long term vision.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by basictradingtv
10