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Nvdashort

Shorting NVDA. Try #2!If at first you don't succeed.... Traders, You know I tried this once already. Got stopped out for a loss and honestly, I've been annoyed since. So yeah, this is kind of an revenge trade. Not a good example of how you should trade kids. But again, this is all for your entertainment anyways as I've said all along. Anywho. Here we are at the bottom of my channel. Patent retest! Also, I've redrawn the H&S neckline in a way that does not show confirmation on the daily. That right shoulder looks wonky (sometimes it does), but still appears to be forming. Am I a product of my own confirmation bias. Probably. Time will tell. 30%+ Potential profit on this trade. $460 Entry $317 Target $480 SL 7/1 RRR Def not fin advice. LFG! Stewdamus
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by stewdamus
21
NVDA Pullback - Ichimoku Time Analysis Long time viewer of ideas, first time posting. I am in no way an experienced expert in any sort of Technical Analysis, let alone Advanced Ichimoku theory, but have spent the last two years learning Advanced Ichimoku where I can. Have been practicing general TA for the past 5 years otherwise. Posting this idea is intended to be part of my educational journey, and I would love to hear any pointers/feedback/corrections/questions the community might have for me. Brief Explanation before technical analysis: This chart pairs Heiken-Ashi candles with Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Time Analysis. The timeframe is 1y/1d. I marked 8/24/23's high of $502.66 as the beginning of our analysis. You can see it is marked with a red "+" symbol above it. I created an Ichimoku Analysis indicator in pinescript that: a) plots additional "+" symbols to mark basic & complex numerical values cited by Kinko Hyo time analysis. These values are essentially predicted "turning" dates where volatility may cause a reversal or reinforce a trend. b) calculates 4 targets based on prices of wave peaks + valleys. Now on to why I think we're looking at a pullback. Techical Analysis: Price Action: - Increased strength in downward movements since NVDA's big pop on 5/24/23, which was due to strong earnings. We are forming somewhat of a megaphone pattern. I have lightly highlighted these movements. Trend Analysis: Heiken-Ashi candles are great when it comes to visualizing trends. Pairing completed formation of one or more trend breaking candles with other supporting factors (MACD, volume, etc) greatly increases chance of timing reversals, or hopping in/out of existing trends. We have completed two trend breaking candles, and are looking at the potential development of a bearish MACD cross. Ichimoku Analysis: - Price breaking and closing below tenkansen + means we may retreat to the kijunsen line at the $448 mark. For confirmation I would like to see a candle both open and close below the kijunsen. - The orange line below point C is the NT-Target calculated from Points A-C. Seeing that we never reached the NT-Target during this last move, I wouldn't be surprised if we saw NVDA reaching the $375 area in this next move. Friday the 24th was also a date where we can experience a reversal, as indicated by the blue "+" under Point D. Our next "turning" date is 12/20/23. Speculation & Sentiment: This is more of how I feel personally, and incredibly simplified. I think that NVDA continuing to report fantastic earnings is nothing surprising to the big money out there. I think big money has been sitting on some amazing gains over the last few months, and they are itching to lock those in. I think the fall on earnings was confirmation to big money that NVDA will continue to be a great investment for them to dump money into, and now that they have this confirmation it's time to find a better entry. By dropping the price, big money can dump more money in later to increase their holdings and, well, make even more money. Isn't that always the goal? There's honestly so much more to address here, including positioning of the components of the ichimoku cloud, but I've already listed the parts of my technical analysis I feel is most important. I've been trading as a hobby for the past five years and have found that these aspects have worked best for me personally. TL;DR: (my predictions) 1. "Tis but a flesh wound." We could fall down to and bounce off of the tenkansen (currently ~$448) and continue upwards to the E & V-Targets located at $540 - $560. This should be in motion if not complete by 12/20/23. 2. "Robert it go down." I think this is the most likely scenario. We fall to our NT-Target of ~$375 by 12/20/23. I think after this it is very likely big money starts adding some buy pressure, and we will revisit $500 soon(ish) after.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by nappelgate
NVIDIA is at balance. Here are my long/short scenariosWhen you trade the Model of the Medianlines/Pitchforks, you know now that price of NVDA is at balance. Why? It's at the Center-Line. From here Chances for up or down are equal weighted Details? Well, price closed above the CL. This is bullish. Price usually pull back to it. Then it should continue to the other extreme, which is the Upper-Medianline-Parallel. If it fails it's target and instead open and close below the CL, we have a short at hand. OK, so how could we play either side? LONG: After the pullback to the CL, I watch for a upside continuation. I want price closing above a previous candle. Stop/Loss goes below the CL. Profit target is the U-MLH. SHORT: After a open/close below the CL, I'm short immediately and my stop is above the highest Bar above the CL. Profit target is the L-MLH. Save trading4all
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
$NVDA downside gap-fill potential!NASDAQ:NVDA ,1D: Price dipped just below the 50% line and popped back up over the line after coming off the local lows at 403. Given the 'uncertainty' around the level and duration of a 'higher for longer' rate environment along with the market's general preference for 'clarity' over 'uncertainty', it would not be unreasonable to expect the 'increased volatility' that comes with 'uncertainty' until some level of 'clarity' can be established around the duration of the current 'higher rate environment'. Further adding to the potential for 'market uncertainty' and 'lack of clarity' are the tenuous and ongoing negotiations between the U.S. and China around access to semi-conductor IP. NASDAQ:NVDA utilizes the cost benefits provided to its model from the 'cost efficiency' of both Chinese and greater Asia's manufacturing and production capacities. Were trade relations around semi-conductor IP between China and the U.S. to become 'less amenable', the deterioration of that relationship could adversely impact NASDAQ:NVDA 's margins. If NASDAQ:NVDA had to re-establish production/manufacturing supply chain relationships elsewhere this could inject 'uncertainty' into the price discovery process. These are 'unknown unknowns' at this point and hard to factor into analysis, but at a minimum, they would increase the potential for 'market uncertainty' and the subsequent 'lack of clarity', which often leads to 'price volatility' until some level of 'certainty' could be re-established. Looking at our 1 day RSI against price I am seeing a 'bearish divergence' whereby price makes 'higher-highs' and 'higher-lows' while the RSI prints 'lower-highs' and 'lower-lows'. This can be taken as a 'leveling off' of momentum that often precedes a change in price direction or, at a minimum, a significant pull back within a constructive trend. (see light violet curves) I would expect that a downside 'gap fill' could be a 'necessary evil' at some point in time across the next 6 weeks or so, and before further gains to the upside could probabilistically be portended from a structural standpoint. The bottom of the gap fill is roughly in confluence with the YTD VWAP (peach). NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE. ALL STOCKS CAN GO TO ZERO.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Firewalker_Charts
2
NVDA - AnalysisNVDA W1 - There is a double top, which may indicate a fall in price. After breaking through the trend line, the nearest target will be at level 345, if the price consolidates beyond the level of 401, it will be possible to consider a change in trend and in the global movement of the target to 269.83 The trend line may also be broken and the uptrend will continue What can you expect? Movement to levels 401 - 345.02 - further correction and formation of the next pattern is possible to understand the picture and how to act Short Targets – 401 - 374.59 - 345.02 Long-term perspective (retest needed\3rd wave) – targets 345.02 - 306.34 - 269.83 Long - will be considered when the situation changes.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Trade_Hive_Signals
NVDA has topped. Sell it now.2023 has been an incredibly strong year for stocks. The Nasdaq rallied 38% in the first six months for one of the best starts to a year in history. This rally has been primarily led by an AI/tech theme that has been responsible for the bulk of these gains. That part of the rally is likely over, however… at least for now. Every bull market has a “theme” with leading stocks that set the pace. In the late 90s that was the dot-com bubble. In the 2009-2020 bull market that was big tech like Facebook, Amazon, Netflix, Apple and Google (hence the FAANG stocks moniker). The 2020-2021 bull market was led by “work-from-home” stocks like Zoom, Teladoc and Peloton. The 2023 bull market has been led by artificial intelligece. The leading stocks have been Meta, Microsoft, Dynatrace, MongoDB, Palantir, AMD, and the biggest leader of them all, Nvidia. Over the last 4-6 weeks we have witnessed many of these leading names roll over and retrace beneath their 50-day moving average – a key level that generally supports top stocks through the move higher. Despite the recent pullback in the market, Nvidia has held at its highs. Wednesday after the close, Nvidia reported earnings. And the results were better than anyone could have expected. Earnings $2.70 per share versus estimates of $2.08. Sales were $13.5 billion – 20% above expectations. And the company raised forward guidance (how much they expect to bring in next quarter) from $12 billion to $16 billion. They also announced a $25 billion share buyback which should act to propel the stock price even further. Investors got everything they wanted and then some. NVDA stock shot up 10% after hours. The news was so good, the entire Nasdaq index shot up 1% on the news. But Thursday, in the first few hours of trading, all of those gains were gone. The Nasdaq opened higher, and immediately began selling off. It fell 3% during the session. And NVDA was back where it closed the day before. This, to me, is a clear signal that the 2023 rally in tech stocks is over. The high was likely made on July 19th, and I doubt we see that level again this year. In a bear market, like we had in 2022, what you want to see is the market going UP on BAD news. This is the sign that the low is in, and buyers are coming back in. We saw this on October 13, 2022. After a government inflation report revealed the worst numbers yet – far worse than expectations – the market gapped down and opened a full 3% lower than it was the day before. However, stocks immediately began to rally, and the index surged 5% that day. This was the signal that the low was in. On the other hand, in a bull market, we want to watch for times when the market goes DOWN on GOOD news. This often signals a top. And I believe we saw that on Thursday. Nvidia was the only stock that could have reversed this pullback. The earnings report was better than even the most optimistic investor had hoped. This should have absolutely put an end to the pullback and caused the market to rally higher. Instead, we saw the opposite. So, what does this mean? First of all, and let me be clear on this, I am NOT saying the market is about to crash. I simply believe the “easy money” stage is over. I expect to see fairly choppy conditions for the next few weeks or months, and investors can no longer rely on the bull market to push everything higher. I believe tech stocks have seen their highs for 2023. Those with large open gains in stocks like Meta, Amazon, Apple, Google, Nvidia and the like may consider selling to lock in those gains here. There will still be stocks that go up, some of them by substantial amounts. But I believe this is now a more selective stock picker’s market. Personally, I sold the index funds in my long-term account and moved to cash ( I also went short the Nasdaq via QID). As of yesterday, those index funds funds were up 37% year-to-date. That is a phenomenal year, and I do not want to risk giving those gains back. To me, this is a low-risk decision. The worst-case scenario is that I am wrong or something material changes that propels stocks higher. If this happens, and the Nasdaq makes new highs this year, I will simply buy those funds back. All I will have missed is a 6% move.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by rossgivens
79
Generating Income from NVDA ConsolidationDescription NVDA has seen consistent gains following the upside break of its descending intermediate trendline on 17JAN. Now it seems to have settled into a consolidation pattern (Ascending Triangle) following the event-related runaway gap up through an ATH on 25May. Ascending triangles represent a healthy demand for a stock with a planned distribution at a particular price, which appears to be 480, and now we are now seeing the second rejection of the upper boundary of the pattern @482. At the same time, DIA, SPY and IXIC have all seen retests and rejections of their 50D EMAs today. In general, I expect the continued fall in the indexes to keep NVDA in consolidation, despite consistent earnings outperformance. Technical Indicators to signal the entry: Ascending Wedge upper boundary second rejection. Technical Risk Factors: MACD 12 over 26 bullish cross The expected price is <482 until breakout of the pattern. I will be using short dated call credit spreads to: Limit upside risk while maintaining a neutral position take advantage of skewed earnings IV Call Credit Spread Levels on Chart SL: 482 / or a minor that does not reach the ascending trendline at the bottom of the pattern PT: <482 TP: @ expirations *Stops based off underlying stock price, not mark to market loss The Trade BUY 8/25 487.5C SELL 8/25 482.5C R/R & Breakevens vary on fill. Manage Risk Only invest what you are willing to lose I warrant that the information created and published by me on TradingView is not prohibited, doesn't constitute investment advice, and isn't created solely for qualified investors.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by BarnardR
Call Me Crazy But....NVDA LOOKS EXHAUSTEDNVDA has been the golden child of '23 for sure but I believe it's time for it to take a breather. I don't think such a large gap will go untouched for too much longer. I know I'm not the only one seeing this, so I'd expect there to be some games being played before we get there, either way I'll be positioned well for this fall. The higher it goes, the better the payout for me when it's all said and done. I might sound confident, but of course I could be completely wrong. Only Time Will Tell...
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by MrxMvP
3
Sell NVDA NowNVDA stock has topped. The run is over. And institutions are using Wednesday's earnings beat as a final chance to sell their shares while they can. Over the last 4-6 weeks we have witnessed many of these leading names roll over and retrace beneath their 50-day moving average – a key level that generally supports top stocks through the move higher. Despite the recent pullback in the market, Nvidia has held at its highs. Wednesday after the close, Nvidia reported earnings. And the results were better than anyone could have expected... Earnings $2.70 per share versus estimates of $2.08. Sales were $13.5 billion – 20% above expectations. And the company raised forward guidance (how much they expect to bring in next quarter) from $12 billion to $16 billion. They also announced a $25 billion share buyback which should act to propel the stock price even further. Investors got everything they wanted and then some. NVDA stock shot up 10% after hours. The news was so good, the entire Nasdaq index shot up 1% on the news. But Thursday, in the first few hours of trading, all of those gains were gone. The Nasdaq opened higher, and immediately began selling off. It fell 3% during the session. And NVDA was back where it closed the day before. This, to me, is a clear signal that the 2023 rally in tech stocks is over. The high was likely made on July 19th, and I doubt we see that level again this year. The 2023 high is in - both for the Nasdaq and Nvidia stock. Institutional sellers are very clearly selling into the good earnings news and using the demand as a chance to exit their multi-billion-dollar positions. Do not make the mistake of buying here. The party is over.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by rossgivens
1
NVDA Short: End of 5th Wave and huge reversal candleFrom my chart, it should be very obvious that the euphoria for NVDA has ended. We all know that this stock is over-priced. Yes, it is earning a lot more from the data centers (please see their financials if you are interested, but I don't trade from fundamental analysis). What we also know is that their executives have been selling into this price movement up. While a lot of the bears were heavily damaged during the past 5 months, I am here announcing that the end is here. The fabulous results from NVDA also triggered a lot of upgrades of price targets from major banks and other financial institutions. What I can say is, this is definitely an attempt at liquidity for the strong hands to exit. Good luck! Get the word out there!
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by sngyuchao
NVDA Earnings Outlook:High Premium, Potential Post-Earnings DropNASDAQ:NVDA trades at a premium, with a P/E ratio of 277, towering over the sector median P/E of 25.56 and the S&P 500's P/E of 24.50. Its EV/EBIT is also remarkably high at 207.38 against the sector median of 19.45, signaling significant market sentiment. The options market's pricing in a potential $50 move,trading well above recommended levels 50-day EMA, suggesting that it might be overbought. While there may be a continued run-up leading to earnings, a post-earnings drop is anticipated. Target levels post-earnings could be $433, $419, and $400. Play the run-up but be cautious to sell the news.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Solidified
NVDA crash July 10 weekDid you ever feel like you missed out on NVDA? Don't worry, you can make up for some of that and ride the price on its way down (aka, short selling or put options). The bear is coming for the market this week and it's going to ravish the tech. NVDA price is at a pitchfork resistance level and so is its RSI. Additionally see the divergence between the price highs and the RSI highs which also indicate a bearish outlook. These (as well as insights from my own unpublished indicators) tell me that a significant price drop will come this week.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by TradersForecast
4
NVDA - Why And When I Short Nvidia Yes, NVDA is stretched. Price got so pumped with all the AI (fake?) news that it looks now like a Pump & Dump pattern. However, it's not a reason to play Lotto. We better wait for facts. What are the actual facts in the eyes of a TA? a) Pendulum Swings give context b) the daily chart reveals where price has a high potential to turn sour. It's when price is opening within the Pitchfork, where we will short it and ride down to the Center Line. c) RSI gives context about a strong divergence and underpins the story. So, no no need to rush here. And if we miss it? Then there's always another trade §8-)
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by Tr8dingN3rd
3
Nvidia -> Slowing Down And Now?Hello Traders and Investors , my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nvidia 💪 Looking at the monthly timeframe you can see that after Nvidia retested previous support and the 0.786 fibonacci retracement at the $110 level, there was a solid rally towards the upside. Also on the weekly timeframe you can see that we had a juicy inverted head and shoulders reversal pattern and I pointed out all the reasons why I do expect the upcoming pump of roughly 120% towards the upside. Looking at the daily timeframe now you can see that Nvidia is a little bit overextended is also slowing down with momentum so there might be the possibility that we will see a short term correction after Nvidia actually breaks the current uptrend line. Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint 📈 Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow! My previous analysis of this asset:
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by basictradingtv
62