NVDA short should drop in price to 190-195NVDA SHORT 21/04/22 07:00 GMT
14 year old English trader trading on demo accounts currently gaining experience in the markets.
NASDAQ:NVDA should drop to around the 200-205 price mark because of many factors such as inflation, monetary policy tightening, and current market sentiment.
NVDA has been deeply affected by the current market sentiment dropping 19.65% in the last month. This large price drop was caused by many things such as inflation, inflation usually negativity impacts growth stocks and positively or neutrally impacts value stocks and as NVDA is a high growth stock it has some of the best growth aspects in its sector. So, inflation has caused a large downfall for NVDA and the way the fed is aggressively trying to combat inflation suggests there is a hard landing coming for the markets. Soring electricity prices has caused NVDA to have higher operating costs. One single semiconductor factor takes up 100 megawatts per hour and usually run between 10-12 hours in a day taking around 1,100 megawatts per day. Which means it could deeply affect their earnings this quarter causing their stock price to fall. NVDA will continue to drop because of these reasons and as the Ukraine war continues on NVDA earnings will continued to be affected. NVDA is a strong buy for longer term but during this bear market with potential of recession of 35% in the next to year (predicted by Goldman Sachs) and the aggressive fed combating inflation has never been done before without a full-blown recession which suggests a tough period for the market is coming as well as NVDA
Market wrap 9:00 GMT
NVDA is currently at 20.65 which I predicted earlier the chance that NVDA ends up in the positive quite high as it is classed as oversold by the RSI which could pick up a lot of potential buyers but I can see NVDA trading between 205-195 price region over the next few days. The main reason why NVDA’s stock dropped 6.05% today was because of the death cross which is when the 50-day moving average moves below the 200-day moving average which suggest this bear market is here to stay and NVDA’s stock will continue to drop. This suggest to us that this market is not going to be short term and as the us ten-year bond rose 2.93% today which will negatively impact stocks because they usually are inversely propionate. This is why I believe NVDA should drop even further to around the 190-195 price level which could be another opportunity for a buy position I believe over the next few days the stock could rally 3 or 4% which could be a good opportunity to short.
Semiconductors stocks such as AMD or intel. AMD has dropped by 22.05 % in the last month and suggests a strong sell signal as it hit below 90 per share today. Intel has dropped 2.03% in the last month but as it is a more mature company this is expected. This suggests to us that the semiconductor market is set to fall even further as the reason I mentioned early about high energy prices causing semiconductor companies to have a negative impact on their earnings. Causing people to take short positions in these companies. This also shows the impact of inflation on growth stocks as I talked about earlier
To conclude I do not believe that NVDA will have a complete trend reversal against the S&P in this current bear market and will continue to fall has an influx of negative news continues to be delivered on inflation and energy prices. As well as the increasing fear of a recession approaching.
