NVDA Path to 270-280 - Good Swing or Options Trade?NVDA has provided pretty clear bias and momentum signals.
Hey, this isn't trade advice.
The upside target is 270-280.
This clicks with key 4D level as well as RDA projection zone (grey lines).
I teach simplicity and I ask 2 questions:
What Should Happen?
Bias and momentum should hold on 4D and D charts
Price should probably stall around 216 but ultimately close with a level above.
If price pulls back the ideal textbook reaction is a rejection at the 180 area. The creation of a level on the 4D chart above or around this. If that level gets tested it holds.
What Shouldn't Happen?
No 4D close below RDA
If price pulls back to the high probability reaction zone, it better create a level above one or all the momentum and bias indicators.
Overall this might provide a good swing or options trade. Especially if you a trader enters in a scale in strategy.
Nvdia
An overview of the markets Overview of many markets - tech may be the canary for the overall stock market, oil could continue to 84-87 area, Gold is at heavy resistance and Dollar is a strong support, Bonds still look strong and maybe a safe haven play, BTC may tag 30k before all is said and done.
Good luck!
NVDA - Cup and handle pattern breakoutWhat we can see on the chart is a cup and handle pattern. The price is just breaking out so it's a time to take a long position.
Target: 269 $
MACD looks very bullish on daily timeframe. Increasing bullish momentum and the bullish cross confirms a bullishness of NVDA.
Moreover, the price has been on a higher lows trajectory. Easy long.
Good luck
AI demand for NVIDIA Corporation may be highThe current price of NVDA is $273.36, with a change of 1.2221006% or $3.3004. The 1-month high of NVDA is $273.72, while the 1-month low is $204.21.
NVDA has a neutral Oscillators Rating and an Average Directional Index (14) of 24.3032124. The volume of NVDA is 3861534, with a Volume*Price of 1055588934.24. The Awesome Oscillator is 21.80404559, and the Average True Range (14) is 6.57088041. The Commodity Channel Index (20) of NVDA is 135.26327924.
The Bull Bear Power of NVDA is 28.90035763 which is not so great but still... and the Parabolic SAR is 244.2860477.
The volatility of NVDA is 4.47078553, with a volatility week of 4.02974793. The Relative Volume is 0.17944919, with a Technical Rating of Buy. The YTD Performance of NVDA is 84.03400444, while the Change 1M, % is 17.72437112.
Based on the data, AI demand for NVIDIA Corporation may be high, as the company's YTD Performance is significant and its Technical Rating is Buy. The high Relative Volume may indicate increased interest in trading NVDA, potentially due to the positive performance and technical indicators.
Google - A Manipulation Dump and an Antitrust Exit PumpIf you have a taste for anything like freedom of speech, neither Google nor YouTube are companies you will like. This thing started as a search engine that actually had the motto "Don't Be Evil" before it was corrupted by the Chinese Communist Party when "very smart people" wanted to get it into China.
You see, doing business with "China" right now always means licking the boots of the "Chinese Communist Party."
This means you have to toe the Party Line, and that means topics like the June 4 Tiananmen Square Massacre and the persecution against Falun Gong, and Hong Kong democracy have to be suppressed in accordance with whatever the regime says during the previous, current, and future 2 hour periods of each and every day.
It was then that Google developed a taste for its own form of shadowbanning and thought itself smart to roll out the CCP's ethos into its worldwide business model. When you search for content you get curated whatever gibberished and extreme leftist-establishment stuff it thinks it can give you to either attempt to nudge your opinion and values (DONALD TRUMP BAD!), or to just cover up the truth (try finding an update on the pandemic situation in China that isn't 2 weeks old).
As scary as all of that is, more terrifying is the way that Google is able to control the editorial direction of every single website on the planet, especially news media, by strictly controlling the web ads market, which it has controlled 90% of for many years.
Don't want to follow the Party's edicts on stuff like the Marxist revolutionary group Black Lives Matter destroying cities? Don't want to promote masking, social distancing, and mandatory vaccination during a "pandemic"?
Then they take your site's ad revenue away, for real.
Hint: there aren't many ways to make money with a website whose product is free words ("news") besides advertisements.
On Jan. 24 the US Department of Justice finally launched an antitrust suit against Google , seeking to financially penalize and force Google to divest its share of the markets.
What's scary about this for investors is that Google inked $209 billion in revenue from web ads in 2021. According to Q3 Financials, ~$167 billion of its $207 billion in revenue for the 9 months ending in September 2022 came from web advertisements.
This part of its business is pretty much what Google actually is. The search engine is really just there to dominate the Internet for the purposes of keeping the ad revenue train clutched in their own claws.
And curiously, when the DOJ made the suit's announcement, Google's share price only fell $6, and over the course of two days, before rebounding in the big tech short squeeze.
This is kind of a big deal because Google losing its web ad business means Google goes out of business, and US Government antitrust lawsuits aren't this kind of thing that they drop one day or that the courts or a jury will side against the administration on.
Google's Q4/FY22 earnings is Feb. 2 postmarket. This timing is especially significant considering that the FOMC rate hike is Feb. 1.
The question when facing a strange price action situation underwritten by big fundamental changes with multiple culminating timing catalysts is always: Is the stock going to go up or is it going to go down?
The thing about Google's monthly bars is there's a very small gap at $81.05, which was conveniently evaded in the October dump and kept off during the Nov-December market retrace.
The clearest view of overall price action is on the weekly candles:
My thesis is that Google will have a terrible earnings call, regardless of whatever data it puts out, because of the pending lawsuit. I suspect markets will bear trap with FOMC, regardless of the fundamentals. All of these come together to make me believe that February prints $79-$81.
Makes for a nice 25% short.
But when this arrives, I believe Google and the Nasdaq in general will actually turn around and really trend hard upwards, regardless of the fundamentals.
This makes for a nice 29.5% long if Google really only retraces into the $95 gap, and a 50%+ long if she goes into the $81 range.
I believe the reason a tech pump will happen is because the sector attracts the biggest suckers (retail, Robinhood, Reddit, Cathy Woods, Jim Cramer) and Wall Street will be using them to empty their bags.
Citadel and JPM and friends always buy low and sell high. They don't buy high and sell low. That's what you do.
If banks and funds did that, they'd be broke like you are, and we'd have Bear Sterns every month.
Once big tech starts to trend upwards, you have to be careful. The market will more or less do what Tesla did the last two weeks and just go uppy as weekly puts expire worthless.
And there will be no real sign of anything fundamental that should stop the train. Everyone will flip bullish for one reason or another (mah 200 DMA, meh trendlines, moh 76.321847234% Fibonacci) and it'll seem like it's time to get back to the good old days of 2021.
But it's not 2021. It's 2023, and everything is broken. Summer is going to be harsh, and Autumn will scare you.
And then the Chinese Communist Party will be destroyed by Wuhan Pneumonia seemingly overnight, and all the plans will be interrupted.
My advice to traders is to just risk a lot less and try to keep your risk within your winnings as much as possible. Also, if you really do see a black swan with China that crashes markets, don't buy that dip. Not even a scalp. It won't be like COVID hysteria was with 1,000 point up and down swings on the Dow this time. Everything will just gap down and stay down.
Liquidity will be a precious commodity.
One thing I've learned is that people never believe in what they think can't happen until it's unfolding in front of their face. Then they come back and are like "Wow it really did happen!"
Even I am subject to that flaw, because the length of time things take to unfold makes actually believing you are right very, very difficult.
That being said, I believe that we're looking at overall feverish bull market hysteria heading into May.
But what happens starting in May and heading into July is very likely going to change everyone's lives forever and ever.
Intel Corporation - Buy the Raid, Ride the WaveSemiconductors were supposed to be the "21st century oil," but they aren't. Whoever believed that was really not rational. Because oil is for heating stuff, making plastic, and fueling vehicles, while computers are just computers are just computers are just computers.
Intel has not been bullish, only trading within a $6 range since October. A lot of other tech/Nasdaq stuff has been a lot more interesting to trade, but I personally like these companies that are in the low double digits and usually don't do insane things in one day, because the premium and spread for the options market is usually much more sane, and risk management is really the most important thing.
Plus, once these kinds of equities go, they tend to surprise well and are a lot better than gambling on if you can catch the latest 10% day on Tesla (you won't. Mastodon's socialists told you ELON MUSK BAD).
Anyways, I am expecting that markets at large will bear trap in and around the beginning of February and FOMC. The next FOMC is 6 weeks away in the third week of March, which gives a lot of time to head fake and take traders in the direction they like seeing the least right now (up).
Thus, based on Intel's price action post-earnings after missing EPS estimates by 50% and yet only dumping $1.50, that the market makers' intention is to gun the October low.
I believe you can buy $23.50-$25 in anticipation of a marketwide pump that will ultimately prove to be an exit pump designed to unload bags, fill banks' "big short" strategy, and totally destroy the existing short sellers in the market, heading into roughly May and July of this year.
Intel's long term price action is prime for this, as we have a large volume gap spanning 7 years in the $42 to $37 range, most evident on the monthly.
You may not see another run below the $24.87 low, since it was taken months ago.
But since Intel has yet to bounce, but has also proven to not actually be very bearish, a raid below the lows seems more likely than not.
The problem from a risk perspective is that a raid may not really be a raid. Intel can just be on its way to $0, but at the same time, the company really is the biggest processor manufacture for all the computers normal people use, and is "only" market capped at present at $116 billion.
Rival Taiwan Semiconductor TSM has a similar breadth pattern, but never took a previous low, and has bounced vigorously into a volume gap of its own from 2021.
Right now, the world is not okay. The pandemic situation in China with Wuhan Pneumonia is countless times more dire than mainstream media and social media are leading you to believe. It's really serious, as many individuals, corporations, and governments are tightly wed to China.
But unfortunately, many of those weddings weren't with "China" but the heinous and unforgivable "Chinese Communist Party."
The situation in this world can change overnight and all long trades have significant risk of total liquidation, no matter the appearance.
Make sure you take good care of yourselves and your families. Remember, money is a thing that you can't take with you.
NVDA STOCK BEGINS MAJOR DRAWDOWN - ELLIOTT WAVE SCIENCEThroughout the past 2 decades (22 years), NVIDIA has made impressive runs, increasing its share value by 822% over that timeframe. With 5 overlapping and continually extending waves being complete, the beginning of the 3 wave breakdown is already underway. From November 2021 until October 2022, this major market player experienced a 69% ($242) drawdown for what will likely prove to be Wave A of the 3 wave correction (3 wave corrections are labeled as ABC in Elliott Wave Science).
With A wave trending downwards, we can expect B wave to go against the direction of A wave, usually by 38-79% (in the form of another smaller, 3 wave move). This B wave corrective move is in motion at this very moment. (Knowing that B wave is a 3 swing move), considering the strength of its first (A) wave, it seems unlikely that a 38% retracement will satisfy the need for this form. Buyers are still adamant that the stock can see a higher price in the months ahead. The true test of this sentiment may come near $221 or $272.
Should the bulls fail to ascend above $221 and/or $272 and convert it into a supportive zone, price action suggests that the share value of this company will plummet. Within a 3 wave correction, specifically a 5-3-5 zig-zag type wave, we can expect the length of Wave's A and C to lean towards equality, its also fairly common for C wave to become slightly longer the length of Wave (by 1.618%). The main catalyst for NVDIA's market structure (being the 5 wave overlapping diagonal move seen in orange) suggests that its highly common for the correctional move/retracement to return down to the 0.618 fib level. The fibonacci tool shows that this level would equate to roughly $5.06.
The timing of Wave A within Wave 2 took approximately 11 months. We can expect a similar timeframe or slightly longer for the completion of Wave C. Wave C should be at least $242 in length but indications are that it will likely be longer.
There is good chance that NVDA drops below $10/share before/during the 2025 calendar year. This timing depends on how long the B wave correction takes to reach the final upside battle-zone.
NVDIA Rejected on the 1D MA100. Needs to break otherwise new LowNVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) opened on more than +2.00% today but as it almost made contact with the 1D MA100 (green trend-line), it got rejected. This is far from ideal for the uptrend that started on the October 13 Low as the previous Lower High of this 12 month Bear Market was done again on the 1D MA100 (August 15).
With the 1D RSI entering its Resistance Zone since March 29, it becomes obvious that unless the stock closes above the 1D MA100, those bearish factors will start to weigh drastically and push the price even to a new Low on the Internal Lower Lows trend-line.
A closing above the 1D MA100 though, should push to the ultimate bullish test of this Bear Cycle on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), though it will still have to overcome the Internal Lower Highs trend-line. However the horizontal Resistance Zone of June (196.60 - 193.50) will be the last barrier, but with the 1W MACD on a Bullish Cross (if it manages to stay on this cross), most likely it will find enough barriers to break it and basically turn the long-term trend back to bullish and into a new Bull Cycle.
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NVIDA: DOWNSIDE CONTINUATION POSSIBLE🔸️Ticker Symbol: NVDA 🔸️Timeframe: 4 Hour 🔸️4X Bear Pattern 🔸️Investment Stratey: Short
TECHNICAL ANALYSIS: NVDIA Is currently in what I call 4X bear pattern meaning all 4 of our indicators are pointing in a bearish momentum decline in the stock. The linear regression indicator is decreasing, our money momentum "white line" is shifting lower we have a red dot representing a key ema crossover to the downside and our middle band on the dashboard has now switched over to red meaning bear market momentum. If this continues I can see NVIDA testing $177 by the end of week.
4X 🟢 Bull Pattern Confirmation Requirements
✅️ Linear Regression Indicator Increasing
✅️ Money Momentum Shifting Higher
✅️ Green Dot: Key EMA Crossover to Upside
✅️ Green Middle Band: Bull Market Momentum
4X 🔴 Bear Pattern Confirmation Requirements
🔻 Linear Regression Indicator Declining
🔻 Money Momentum Shifting Lower
🔻 Red Dot: Key EMA Crossover To Downside
🔻 Red Middle Band: Bear Market Momentum
🔔 Follow for daily stock, crypto and forex technical analysis.
⚠️ Trading is risky and I understand nothing is guaranteed. Proper risk management should be in place at all times to minimize losses. Please consult a financial advisor before trading. All Inclusive Trading LLC is not a financial advisor and may not be held liable for any losses which may occur.
NVDIA consolidating above its 4H MA200. Long-term target $445.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke and closed above its 4H MA200 (green trend-line) last Thursday and in a surprising display of bullish strength, it has managed to hold it as a Support and consolidate. That was the first series of 1D candle closings above the 4H MA200 since January 14.
If this fails and the stock closes 2 or more 1D candles below the 4H MA200, we expect a pull-back to the big support cluster provided by the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and the 1W MA50 (red trend-line). This has been the ultimate long-term Support Zone and buy level since September 2019. At the same time, the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line), has turned sideways, and is the medium-term Support level.
The first target is the $346 All Time High and the long-term one is the 1.5 Fibonacci extension at $445.
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$NVDIA testing the channel high $NVDIA is possibly reflecting the market conditions the best, it is reaching the long-term channel up high in a narrow range channel. We have 5 days till the next earnings announcement and the expectations are quite high. Fundamentally P/E ratio of the $NVDIA at the moment is almost 90. Someone would say that this is usual for a tech company but it should be quite rational to question the ability of the stock to outperform more as the technical bulls are expecting, this is not just a question only for this stock this is a question for the market in whole, not just this stock. I would look to short this kind of the market not to go long, or in other words those that were buying need to take their profit.
NvdiaAnalisa trend
========
Jangka panjang = trend menaik
Jangka sederhana = trend menurun
Paras halangan utama
=============
Garisan trend atas USD284.70
Paras sokongan terhampir
================
Dip 1 USD267.86 (no action)
Dip 2 USD251.60 (action)
Dip 3 USD238.00 (action)
Idea perdagagangan
=============
Kita ingin melihat harga mencuba paras support di DIP2.
Aggressive entri
==========
Buy ketika harga di zon DIP2 USD251.50
Conservative entri:
===========
Buy ketika harga di zon DIP2 USD237.00
Absolute SL
=======
USD220.00
TP level
=====
TP1 USD280
TP 2 USD300.00
Risk
===
2%
Semoga bermanfaat.
Highlight
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Still-Bullish Morgan Stanley Tamps Down Expectations For Nvidia's Turing GPUs
Benzinga Wayne Duggan ,Benzinga•September 21, 2018
Nvidia shares fall after Morgan Stanley says the performance of its new gaming card is disappointing
CNBC Tae Kim ,CNBC•September 20, 2018
STM to rebound with new iphone?STM has been beaten down as Apple supplier for ASIC chips and new iphone release this fall should jump start this.
It's down 27% from high and await good entry.
Viewers come to own opine. The Cboe VIX which started to uptick yesterday from 10-11 to 14. Trade war with
China as another factor.
Nvidia and it's moving average spread. Pay a close attention. This stock is extremely pumped up. I will be very cautious and take profit at these levels if I were you. It's always not worth it to hold a stock hoping for extra 5% when the risk is getting higher. I believe greed itself will crash the share prices of Nvidia back to $70s over the next 12 months.
AMD for 10,41$OK, I got to admit, AMD ist one of my always.heroes and as fanboy I suffered a lot, that their graphic devices chased nvidia and intel ones. But this move on the lows of 2009 can't be luck. AMD now has one step ahead intel and (!!!) nvidia- the first time by the way. Many of you are more experts than me. But just look the GPU structure of RX470/RX480 and this mother of a beast AMD Zen.
I think the cooperation with microsoft is not quite reasonable for this rally. As many of you know that can change fast.