SHORT Nvidia, Bearish Chart Setup, Resistance ConfirmedThe resistance from 21-May has been confirmed 28-May.
The same level has been working as resistance since 14-May.
After two weeks, this resistance level continues to hold and it is now confirmed.
In November 2024 NVDA produced a high.
Later in January 2025 NVDA produced an all-time high.
18-February 2025 NVDA went to produced a lower high; a rejection that led to a major drop.
The major drop resulted in a recovery and the recovery found resistance earlier this month. This resistance, the same from 14-May, 21 and 28-May, is also a lower high compared to the previous levels just mentioned.
The signal here is double: (1) Resistance confirmed and (2) a lower high.
There is one more. 28-May produced a volume breakout day. The day ended up closing red. So, Nvidia is confirmed bearish now.
Thank you for reading.
Namaste.
Nvidia
Nvidia Maintains Bearish Bias After EarningsNvidia released its quarterly earnings yesterday, and since then, market confidence triggered a significant bullish gap that pushed the stock price up by nearly 5%. However, in recent hours, a new bearish bias has started to emerge, steadily closing the gap as the market digests the company’s latest report.
Nvidia reported $44 billion in revenue, slightly above the $43 billion expected, while earnings per share (EPS) came in at $0.77, below the $0.87 forecast. Nevertheless, the most notable aspect of the report was the announcement of an estimated $8 billion revenue loss due to U.S. export restrictions. In response, CEO Jensen Huang strongly criticized these measures, warning that they could negatively impact the company’s performance in the coming months.
Uptrend Channel Remains Intact
Since early April, Nvidia has maintained a steady upward channel. Although a slight bearish bias has emerged recently, it is not yet strong enough to pose a threat to the broader bullish trend seen in recent months. Therefore, this technical structure remains the most important pattern for the upcoming sessions.
Technical Indicators:
RSI: The Relative Strength Index has begun to show signs of a possible bearish divergence, as lower highs on the RSI contrast with higher highs in the stock price. This mismatch could signal short-term corrective movements.
MACD: The MACD, meanwhile, continues to oscillate around the zero line, indicating a balance between buying and selling pressure. As long as the histogram remains near this level, it suggests neutral momentum in price direction.
Key Levels to Watch:
$140 USD: Current resistance level where short-term selling pressure may emerge.
$150 USD: Distant resistance around January highs. A breakout toward this level could support a stronger bullish channel.
$125 USD: Important support that coincides with the 200-period moving average. A bearish move toward this level could break the current bullish formation.
Written by Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
Nvidia - The breakout will eventually follow!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - will break out soon:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
Over the course of the past couple of days, we saw a quite strong rally of +50% on Nvidia. Considering the market cap of this company, such a move is quite impressive. Following this overall very strong bullish momentum, an all time high breakout is quite likely to happen soon.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVDA: Ascending triangle break, bull flag on S/R retestHey traders! I'm back and once again, I've spent almost the whole evening (lol) trying to figure out the odd, strange price action we've seen from NASDAQ:NVDA over the past few weeks, and especially today!
As we all know (I assume), Nvidia failed to disappoint on earnings once again, and we saw a HUGE gap up overnight, as far as up to the $143 mark. However, we soon began to see a dip. That's fair, as traders will likely sell and take profit.
However, the dip became a larger dip, and Nvidia finished the day basically at 3.2%. But it seems that the pullback may been pretty healthy.
Because as you can see from the chart, Nvidia has been forming an ascending triangle ever since the 14th May. That was after the sweet run it had prior to that. It has tested the £136-137 area as a major resistance line ever since until finally, a strong earnings report sent Nvidia above the line.
After the gap up, throughout the day, the stock went into a controlled, composed downward channel which what we like to call, a bull flag. This is taking into consideration market hours, not extended hours. This bull flag is bullish in its own way, but it is also a sign of a retest of the $136-137 resistance zone. This is officially a support zone now.
A successful retest from this support zone will cause a bounce, especially from the support trendline, and likely send the stock towards $140+, possibly extending its reach to $150 if broader market strength (Nasdaq) continues.
On the contrary, a dip below the support line and a crash below the red support trendline, would likely send the stock lower to $133 as next support.
As long as Nvidia maintains $136-137, the bulls are in control.
Note: Not financial advice. Please do your DD.
Nvidia Earnings Boost, Trade Tariffs Legitimacy, NQ trade ideaCME_MINI:NQ1!
Big Picture Context: .
NQ futures rallied after NVIDIA posted an earnings beat and after the Manhattan-based Court of International Trade blocked President Trump's Liberation Day tariffs.
Goldman Sachs noted that the ruling on Liberation Day tariffs gives the administration 10 days to halt tariff collection, but does not affect sectoral tariffs. The administration can still impose across-the-board and country-specific tariffs under other legal authorities.
Jobless claims and continuing claims have come in higher.
What has the market done?
The rally faded in the overnight session. However, the catalysts provided energy for prices to move higher. Currently, price is trading above the prior week’s high, yesterday’s high, and it is also trading above the yearly open, and 2025 VPOC and mcVPOC for the last 3 weeks.
What is it trying to do?
The market is negating the recent bear market territory sell-off and negating a bear market rally. It is propelling higher.
How good of a job is it doing?
The market has created good structure and micro composites, despite some gaps left open, and it has created higher lows since last Friday.
What is more likely to happen from here?
Scenario 1: Long Continuation
In this scenario, we are looking for NQ to turn at the immediate 2025 LVN support area. If it edges higher, we will be looking for potential long opportunities above the 21710–21720 area, targeting overnight highs and potentially the next HVN.
Scenario 2: Gap Close and Reversal
In this scenario, we are looking for a pullback, testing pHi and pWk-Hi. We will look for a rounded base that consolidates here on a lower timeframe, such as the 5-minute timeframe, and look for a reversal back towards the 21710–21720 level.
pWk-Hi: prior Week's High
pHi: prior Day's High
HVN: High Volume Node
LNV: Low Volume Node
VPOC: Volume Point of Control
C: Composite (prefix before VAL, VAH, VPOC, VP, AVP)
mC: micro-Composite (prefix before VAL, VAH, VPOC, VP, AVP)
$NVDA – Earnings Super Bubble?🚨 Nvidia is reporting earnings tomorrow, and the market is waiting with bated breath.
While analysts pile on with hyper-bullish predictions extrapolating the AI super bubble, they seem to ignore one glaring fact:
👉 The last time Nvidia beat earnings, the stock crashed -45% shortly after.
Technical view:
We’re near resistance at the previous post-earnings high.
RSI sits at 63.80, hinting at possible exhaustion.
Volume spikes hint at indecision, not confirmation.
This could be a make or break moment for NASDAQ:NVDA and by extension, the entire Tech sector.
ALTCOIN ROADMAP: REVISITED!!! Ethereum vs NvidiaOne of the most insightful ratio charts that provides a remarkable glimpse into the vitality of Altcoins and the appetite for risk is when Ethereum outshines one of the fastest rising stars in the stock market, #NVDA!
The conventional Altcoin index indicates how many of the top 100 Altcoins are outperforming #BTC.
This is indeed a valuable metric that we can rely on for identifying peaks.
However, I believe that if we broaden our perspective and examine the ETH ratio against a Tech Titan, we can truly pinpoint the timing of the banana zone. When it starts and when it is confirmed violent uptrend.
My interest in this ratio was sparked when ETH was still a proof of work coin, validated through GPUs; it seemed like a natural starting point to assess whether the ETH price was overvalued or undervalued.
Even after the transition to POS, I still think it’s worth analysing, as shown by the recent double bottom on the ratio!
The next crucial question is when we can break the multi-year downtrend to genuinely confirm the Banana zone. Because without ETH, there’s no party.
If we enter a big strong banana zone, I believe the ratio could swiftly trend towards 100, so we will be keeping a close eye on it!
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought NVDA before the previous earnings:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 131usd strike price Puts with
an expiration date of 2025-6-20,
for a premium of approximately $7.00.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
I`m overall bullish long term on NVDA.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
This 3 Step System Will Show You The Trending StockThis is a powerful chart for you to watch.
Because its following the Rocket booster
strategy.
The Rocket booster Strategy has 3 Steps;
1-The price has to be above the 50 EMA
2-The price has to be above the 200 EMA
3-The price should gap up or trend up.
In order for us to know whether the price
will trend up we are using the ADX indicator.
We make sure that the Blue line
Is rising between the Green line
and the Red line .
This confirms the last step of the rocket booster
strategy.Also remember that the NASDAQ is up-trending.
Rocket boost this content to learn more.
Disclaimer;Trading is risky please use a simulation account
for trading before you trade with real money.
Also learn risk management and profit taking strategies.
Nvidia Stock 5-Day Consolidation Breakout - Uptrend or Pullback?Trade Duration: Intraday
Trade Type: Breakout
- Nvidia is currently consolidating tightly between $132 and $136, forming a narrow range that reflects a balance between buyers and sellers unwilling to relinquish control. This range-bound action signals indecision, but it won’t last indefinitely.
- Typically, the longer the consolidation, the more significant the subsequent move. As new participants enter the market, a breakout—whether upward or downward—can trigger a powerful surge.
- This move is often amplified by breakout buyers joining in and stop-loss orders of trapped traders being triggered, creating an ideal setup for an intraday breakout trade.
- I plan to initiate either a buy or sell position depending on the breakout direction, capitalizing on the momentum generated by this tight consolidation phase.
Upside Targets : 138$ and 141$
Downside Targets : 128$ and 126$
My buy view for NVDAMy buy view for NVDA.
Nvidia has made a significant push up after the meltdown following the new US tariff news.
The push-up is likely cooling off for this baby.
If the current consolidation continues to be sustained by the support zone (TL) in this zone, we are likely to see NVDA rally to $149 and $152 as TP1 and TP2, respectively.
My SL will be around $128.9 zone for both.
RR of 1:4 and 1:4.8
Trade with care
$NVTS is up 125%, but they might not be done yet!NASDAQ:NVTS Could see more upside if...
We close the week above $4.66 Double Bottom Breakout. This would lead us to the following targets...
🎯$6📏$7.76
- Bullish cross on H5_L indicator
- Volume shelf launch with GAP
- NASDAQ:NVDA Partnership
- Small Cap
- High Short Float
Nvidia - The bullish consolidation flag!Nvidia - NASDAQ:NVDA - is still quite bullish:
(click chart above to see the in depth analysis👆🏻)
After Nvidia retested a major horizontal support just last month, we witnessed an extremely strong bullish reversal candle which resulted in a strong +50% rally. Considering the bullish flag consolidation, a breakout is much more likely, but not in the immediate future.
Levels to watch: $150
Keep your long term vision!
Philip (BasicTrading)
NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🚀💻 NVIDIA – Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now) 🔥🧠
Hey everyone! Back in 2021, I called NVIDIA the best buy of the decade, and in 2023, we followed up as NVDA rocketed to my target of $143. Now in 2025, it’s time for Part 3 — and the case for NVDA being a generational play just got even stronger. 💪
✅ On April 4th, I re-entered around $96.85, right at my alert level. The setup? A rounded bottom reversal pattern forming with 4 strong bullish divergences on key indicators (Stoch, CCI, MOM, MFI). Target levels ahead:
📍 $143
📍 $182
📍 $227
📉 Yes, Nvidia took a 6% hit after announcing a $5.5B impact from U.S. export restrictions on its H20 chip to China — a reminder that macro & geopolitical factors still matter. But…
💡 The company just launched DGX Spark and DGX Station, bringing AI supercomputing to the desktop — powered by Grace Blackwell architecture. That’s next-level innovation, not just for enterprises, but for developers, students, and researchers alike. A true desktop AI revolution.
🇺🇸 And most importantly: NVIDIA will now manufacture AI supercomputers on U.S. soil — in Arizona and Texas — aiming to produce $500 billion worth over the next four years. This initiative is a bold move toward supply chain resilience, economic growth, and cementing NVIDIA’s leadership in the AI arms race.
⚠️ If we lose the $96 level, I’ll re-evaluate. But for now? The technical and fundamentals still say: Best Buy of the Decade (2 Years from now we will revisit this chart).
💬 What’s your outlook? Are you buying the dip or waiting on clarity?
One Love,
The FXPROFESSOR 💙
NVIDIA The 1W MA100 rebound is targeting $225 at least.NVIDIA Corporation (NVDA) broke last week above its 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) for the first time in 2.5 months and all this is generated by April's bottom rebound on the 1W MA100 (green trend-line).
The 1W MA100 has been intact since January 23 2023, so this rebound technically initiates a new Bullish Leg. Since the December 2018 bottom (previous U.S. - China Trade War), the minimum rise on such a Bullish Leg has been +156.11%. As a result, NVIDIA can now target $225 at least before the end of 2025.
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Nvidia —Resistance Turns Support Support Confirmed—ATH 260-194This week closes as a full green candle. A rising window or gap was left along the way. This is a bullish development.
The full green candle comes after a rounded bottom and double-bottom long-term. Coming from a resistance level turned strong long-term support.
Keeping it simple, NVDA has been rising and the chart shows potential for additional growth. There can be retraces and corrections; Any retraces and corrections are an opportunity to buy-up, rebuy and reload.
In the case of a strong correction, always, we will end up with a higher low compared to the 7-April weekly session. This session marks the bottom of the correction.
A higher low means the bullish structure remains intact. A bullish structure means a bullish trend. A bullish trend means rising prices which will end up with a new All-Time High in late 2025.
Two new All-Time Highs possible and highly probable in 2025. 194 (mid-term) & 260 (long-term).
Thank you for reading.
Support boost and follow.
Namaste.
NVIDIA (NVDA) 4H Outlook – May 2025Price has recently shown multiple Breaks of Structure (BoS) to the upside, suggesting a potential shift in market sentiment. After a liquidity sweep of the prior low, price began forming higher highs and higher lows.
Currently trading around $116.62, NVDA may revisit the demand zone between $107.99–$110 (highlighted in green) before resuming bullish momentum. If that level holds, we could see a continuation towards the $129.41 target zone, aligning with prior market structure and supply.
This setup aligns with smart money concepts—monitor for confirmation at the demand zone before entering long.
$NVDA Hits Key Inflection Zone – Breakdown or Breakout?📍 We’ve arrived.
NASDAQ:NVDA has reached the key reversal zone where sellers previously took control. This is the third touch, and markets rarely leave these zones without a fight.
🔍 Technical Setup:
Price has retraced to prior breakdown level.
MACD is trying to cross bullish — momentum building.
Sellers should defend here… but the recent AI narrative and Gulf chip deals could fuel a breakout.
If sellers fail to show up, we may blow straight through this level toward new highs.
$NVDA In, $AAPL Out – AI Supercycle May Be Just Starting🚨 JUST IN: NASDAQ:NVDA surpasses NASDAQ:AAPL to become the second-largest company in the world, right behind $MSFT.
And if that wasn’t enough:
Trump calls Nvidia’s Huang "my friend"
Hints that Nvidia replaces Apple as his go-to tech ally
Meanwhile, Bloomberg reports Nvidia could ship 500,000 AI chips yearly to the UAE until 2027 under revised export rules.
Jensen Huang also confirmed Saudi Arabia is building massive GPU factories, describing them as “energy in, intelligence out” systems.
⚠️ The market may be waking up to the reality that AI is not as cyclical as many feared.
🔍 On the chart:
NASDAQ:NVDA broke to a higher high (HH)
NASDAQ:AMD testing lower high (LH) breakdown resistance
Could AMD follow Nvidia’s breakout? The setup is there.
NVDA New 2025 All-Time High Explained, 153 Next Followed by 194The NVDA stock just hit its highest price since March. Today it moved above resistance while producing a perfect ascending triangle pattern.
This is a major development because the resistance level that was broken today, 114, rejected growth a total of 4 times. NVDA moving above this level confirms the continuation of the bullish move coming from a technical analysis perspective.
Just to be unbiased, I have to mention that there is still one final level to conquer before the chart truly points to a new All-Time High.
The resistance is not a single price but a range, the resistance zone. This range sits between 114 and 123. Once NVDA closes decisively above 123, say a full daily or weekly candle with really high volume, we have a test of the All-Time High as resistance confirmed.
Depending on how the market reacts once the ATH is challenged we can determine what will happen next.
For example, if the ATH produces a very strong rejection with really high bearish volume, we know that a major correction will follow and even a lower low becomes possible. But, on the other hand, if challenging the ATH results in a mild market reaction, a normal drop/retrace then immediately we know that additional growth will happen after a higher low.
The truth is, Nvidia will move up, fight a little bit at the ATH and then continue growing. Just as we predicted the bottom we can predict what will happen next based on the chart. The chart is saying up long-term and this means a new All-Time High in 2025. Rest easy.
Thank you for reading.
Your support is appreciated.
Namaste.
"God of AI" How does Nvidia make money?"God of AI" How does Nvidia make money?
NVIDIA is really at the center of the AI and data center boom right now. With these industries growing so quickly, it looks like NVIDIA’s sales and profits will keep going up for quite some time. Some experts even predict that by 2029, the company could be making over $300 billion just from its data center business.
What’s also impressive is how NVIDIA keeps rolling out new and better AI chips, staying ahead of the competition when it comes to technology. And they’re not just sticking to AI-they’re also moving into exciting areas like self-driving cars, the cloud, robotics, and even the metaverse. This kind of diversification gives them even mo NASDAQ:NVDA re ways to grow.
As for the stock price, most analysts seem to agree that there’s still a lot of potential for it to climb higher, even though there are some risks to watch out for-like increased competition, supply chain hiccups, or short-term market swings.
NASDAQ:NVDA
Intel Corporation | INTCIntel reported second quarter earnings on Thursday, showing a return to profitability after two straight quarters of losses and issuing a stronger-than-expected forecast. the stock rose 7% in extended trading.
Here’s how Intel did versus Refinitiv consensus expectations for the quarter ended July 1:
Earnings per share: 13 cents, adjusted, versus a loss of 3 cents expected by Refinitiv.
Revenue: $12.9 billion, versus $12.13 billion expected by Refinitiv.
For the third quarter, Intel expects earnings of 20 cents per share, adjusted, on revenue of $13.4 billion at the midpoint, versus analyst expectations of 16 cents per share on $13.23 billion in sales.
Intel posted net income of $1.5 billion, or 35 cents per share, versus a net loss of $454 million, or a loss of 11 cents per share, in the same quarter last year.
Revenue fell 15% to $12.9 billion from $15.3 billion a year ago, marking the sixth consecutive quarter of declining sales.
Intel CEO Pat Gelsinger said on a call with analysts the company still sees “persistent weakness” in all segments of its business through year-end, and that server chip sales won’t recover until the fourth quarter. He also said that cloud companies were focusing more on securing graphics processors for artificial intelligence instead of Intel’s central processors.
David Zinsner, Intel’s finance chief, said in a statement that part of the reason the report was stronger than expected was because of the progress the company has made toward slashing $3 billion in costs this year. Earlier this year, Intel slashed its dividend and announced plans to save $10 billion per year by 2025, including through layoffs.
“We have now exited nine lines of business since Gelsinger rejoined the company, with a combined annual savings of more than $1.7 billion,” said Zinsner.
Revenue in Intel’s Client Computing group, which includes the company’s laptop and desktop processor shipments, fell 12% to $6.8 billion. The overall PC market has been slumping for over a year. Intel’s server chip division, which is reported as Data Center and AI, saw sales decline 15% to $4 billion plus Intel’s Network and Edge division, which sells networking products for telecommunications, recorded a 38% decline in revenue to $1.4 billion.moreover Mobileye, a publicly traded Intel subsidiary focusing on self-driving cars, saw sales slip 1% on an annual basis to $454 million and Intel Foundry Services, the business that makes chips for other companies, reported $232 million in revenue.
Intel’s gross margin was nearly 40% on an adjusted basis, topping the company’s previous forecast of 37.5%. Investors want to see gross margins expand even as the company invests heavily in manufacturing capability.
In the first quarter, the company posted its largest loss ever as the PC and server markets slumped and demand declined for its central processors. Intel’s results on Thursday beat the forecast that management gave for the second quarter at the time.
Intel management has said the turnaround will take time and that the company is aiming to match TSMC’s chip-manufacturing prowess by 2026, which would enable it to bid to make the most advanced mobile processors for other companies, a strategy the company calls “five nodes in four years.” Intel said on Thursday that it remained on track to hit those goals.
Nvidia has had an amazing run, but any emerging technology, such as AI, which is bottlenecked by a single company will have issues in growth. Consulting firm McKinsey has pegged the AI market to be worth $1 trillion by 2030, but also that it was in an experimental and in early phases of commercial deployment.
While Nvidia will likely retain its leadership in GPU hardware as applied to AI for the foreseeable future, it is likely that other hardware solutions for AI systems will also be successful as AI matures. While technologist may quibble on specifics, all major AI hardware today are based on GPU architectures, and as such I will use the terms and concepts of AI hardware and GPU architecture somewhat interchangeably.
One likely candidate for AI related growth may be AMD (AMD), which has had GPU products since acquiring ATI in 2006.However, unlike Nvidia, which had a clear vision for of general-purpose GPU products (GPGPU), historically, AMD had largely kept its focus on the traditional gaming applications. AMD has developed an AI architecture called XDNA, and an AI accelerator called Alveo and announced its MI300, an integrated chip with GPU acceleration for high-performance computing and machine learning. How AMD can and may evolve in the AI may be subject of a different article.
Another contender for success in the AI applications using GPU is Intel, who is the focus of this article. Intel has maintained a consistent, if low key focus on GPU hardware focused on AI applications over the last decade. Intel’s integrated HD Graphics is built into most modern processor ICs; however, these are insufficient compared to dedicated GPUs for high-end inferencing or machine learning tasks.
It has 2 primary GPU architectures in production release:
In 2019 Intel Corporation acquired Habana Labs, an Israel-based developer of programmable deep learning accelerators for the data center for approximately $2 billion. Habana Labs’ Gaudi AI product line from its inception focused on AI deep learning processor technologies, rather than as GPU that has been extended to AI applications. As a result, Gaudi microarchitecture was designed from the start for the acceleration of training and inferencing. In 2022 Intel announced Gaudi2 and Greco processors for AI deep learning applications, implemented in 7-nanometer (TSMC) technology and manufactured on Habana’s high-efficiency architecture. Habana Labs benchmarked Gaudi2’s training throughput performance for the ResNet-50 computer vision model and the BERT natural language processing model delivering twice the training throughput over the Nvidia high end A100-80GB GPU. So, Gaudi appears to give Intel a competitive chip for AI applications.
Concurrent with the Habana Labs’ Gaudi development, Intel has internally developed the Xe GPU family, as dedicated graphics card to address high-end inferencing or machine learning tasks as well as more traditional high-end gaming. Iris® Xe GPU family consists of a series of microarchitectures, ranging from integrated/low power (Xe-LP) to enthusiast/high performance gaming (Xe-HPG), data center/AI (Xe-HP) and high-performance computing (Xe-HPC). The architecture has been commercialized in Intel® Data Center GPU Flex Series (formerly codenamed Arctic Sound) and Intel® Arc GPU cards. There is some question on Xe GPU future and evolution. Intel has shown less commitment to the traditional GPU space compared to Gaudi. Nonetheless, it does demonstrate Intel ability to design and field complex GPU products as its business requires.
Intel has many other AI projects underway. The Sapphire Rapids chips implements AI specific acceleration blocks including technology called AMX (Advanced Matrix Extensions), which provides acceleration inside the CPU for efficient matrix multiplications used in on-chip inferencing and machine learning processing by speeding up data movement and compression. Intel has supporting technologies such as Optane, which while cancelled as a production line, is available for their needs of a high-performance non-volatile memory, one of the intrinsic components in any AI product.
Based on the above, Intel appears to have competitive hardware solutions, however if we look at Nvidia success in AI, it is a result of a much a software and systems focus as it is the GPGPU hardware itself. Can Intel compete on that front. Ignoring for the moment that Intel has a huge software engineer (approx. 15,000) resource, it also has- access to one of the leading success stories in perhaps the most competitive AI application – self driving cars.
Mobileye, who was acquired by Intel in 2017, has been an early adopter and leader, with over 20 years of experience in automotive automated driving and vision systems. As such, Mobileye has a deep resource of AI domain information that should be relevant to many applications. Mobileye has announced that it is working closely with Habana, as related divisions within Intel. While Intel is in the process of re-spinning out Mobileye as public company, Mobileye Global Inc. (MBLY), at present Intel still owns over 95% of shares, keeping it effectively an Intel division.
In looking at Intel, we have a company with the history, resources, and technology to compete with Nvidia and infrastructure. They have made significant investment and commitment to the emerging AI market, in times when they have exited other profitable businesses. It should also be understood that AI related product are a small percentage of overall Intel revenues (INTC revenue are more than twice NVDA, even if NVDA has 6x its market cap), and continues to keep its primary business focus on its processor and foundry business.
Hopefully for shareholders, Intel continues to push their AI technology and business efforts. Their current position is that this is strategic, but Intel is in a very fluid time and priorities may change based on business, finances, and of course the general interest and enthusiasm for AI. It is always worth noting that AI as a technical concept is mature, and appears to be cyclical, with interest in the technical community rising and falling in hype and interest once every decade or so. I remember working on AI applications, at the time labeled as expert systems in the 1980s. If we are currently at a high hype point, this may be temporary, based on near term success and disappointment in what AI does achieve. Of course, as always, “this time is different” and the building blocks of effective AI systems currently exist, where for previous iterations, it was more speculative.
NVDA Weekly Options Trade Plan 2025-05-07NVDA Weekly Analysis Summary (2025-05-07)
Model Summaries
Grok/xAI Report
Technicals: Price $117.06 above all key EMAs; bullish MACD on 5-min and daily; RSI overbought short-term (75) but neutral daily (59); trading near upper Bollinger Bands. Sentiment: VIX elevated at 24.76; mixed news (AI rally vs. supply delays); max pain at $111 suggests some bearish undertone. Direction: Moderately bullish with caution for pullback. Trade: Buy naked $113 put (premium $0.59) anticipating pullback, stop if $119 breach, target 25–50% gain, 65% confidence.
Claude/Anthropic Report
Technicals: Strong intraday uptrend; bullish MACD and RSI neutral daily; immediate resistance at $117.68. Sentiment: Sector tailwinds, positive news, but VIX elevated and max pain at $111. Direction: Moderately bullish. Trade: Buy $121 call at $0.75, profit target 100% ($1.50), stop-loss 40% ($0.45), 65% confidence.
Llama/Meta Report
Technicals: Bullish MACD, overbought short-term RSI, mixed reversal risk. Sentiment: Mixed news; VIX rising; max pain theory. Direction: Moderately bullish but immediate entry risky—overbought, mixed signals. Trade: No trade recommended at open (confidence <60%).
DeepSeek Report
Technicals: Bullish breakout, expanding bands, RSI overbought M5 but room on daily. Sentiment: Positive AI policy news; VIX manageable; max pain unlikely to derail strong technicals. Direction: Strongly bullish (70% confidence). Trade: Buy $122 call at $0.56, target $1.12, stop if $115.86 break, size 3–5% of capital.
Gemini/Google Report
Technicals: Strong uptrend but very overbought short-term. Sentiment: Mixed news with supply concerns; VIX rising; max pain $111 adds caution. Direction: Neutral/unclear for immediate trade (confidence <60%). Trade: No trade recommended at market open. Areas of Agreement and Disagreement
Agreements
All models see a strong intraday and daily uptrend with price above key EMAs and bullish MACD. Short-term RSI is overbought, suggesting potential for pullback or consolidation. VIX is elevated (~24.8), signaling caution. Max pain at $111 introduces a bearish tether toward expiration.
Disagreements
Trade selection: Grok favors a bearish put; Claude, DeepSeek favor bullish calls; Llama and Gemini hold off. Confidence: DeepSeek is most bullish (70%), Grok and Claude are moderately bullish (65%), Llama and Gemini see too many conflicting signals for immediate action. Strike selection varies widely: $113 put, $121 call, $122 call, or no trade. Conclusion
Overall Market Direction Consensus: Moderately bullish for the week, with elevated short-term risk of pullback.
Recommended Trade
Strategy: Single-leg naked call Instrument: NVDA weekly options (expiry 2025-05-09) Strike: $122.00 Call Premium: ~ $0.56 Entry Timing: At market open Profit Target: $1.12 (100% gain) Stop-Loss: $0.34 (40% loss) Confidence: 70%
Key Risks and Considerations
M5 RSI overbought (75) risks a short-term pullback. Elevated/rising VIX may induce whipsaws. Max pain suggests potential downward drift into expiration. Monitor any fresh supply-chain or sector news at open.
TRADE_DETAILS (JSON Format)
{ "instrument": "NVDA", "direction": "call", "strike": 122.0, "expiry": "2025-05-09", "confidence": 0.70, "profit_target": 1.12, "stop_loss": 0.34, "size": 1, "entry_price": 0.56, "entry_timing": "open", "signal_publish_time": "2025-05-07 20:16:47 UTC-04:00" }
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