Nvidia Retracement Outside of the Standard Target BoxNvidia has moved higher outside of the standard retracements expected.
Due to the overlap we could be either dealing with a double zig zag for minor B which is common, or this is a series of nested 1-2's in the purple count. If this develops into the purple count, this will sub-divide towards the $1,100 region. As of this morning I am expecting in the minimum a micro iv and v to complete Minor B.
That also puts price in a position to potentially challenge the previous ATH and remain a corrective retrace...that will result in price revisiting the $760 area minimum in a flat for an extended ALT wave 4 in purple.
Best to all,
Chris
Nvidia
SPX 5500 BY 2025 ? REASONS WHY !!!
Optimistic Market Forecasts: Analysts and strategists, such as those from Deutsche Bank and Infrastructure Capital Advisors CEO, have made bullish predictions for the S&P 500. Deutsche Bank's forecast for the S&P 500 to reach 5,100 in 2024, and Infrastructure Capital Advisors CEO Jay Hatfield anticipates the S&P to reach as high as 5,500 points by the end of 2024.
These forecasts indicate a strong belief in the market's potential to continue its upward trend.
Strong Earnings and Valuations: The trailing 12-month P/E ratio for the S&P 500 of 25.7 is above the 5-year and 10-year averages. This suggests that investors are willing to pay a premium for stocks, which could be a positive sign for further market growth.
Historical Performance: The S&P 500 has already hit 23 new records in 2024 and has been performing above average historical years. This indicates strong market momentum and investor confidence.
Cumulative Weight of Top Stocks: The cumulative weight of the top 5 stocks in the S&P 500 has hit a 50-year high. This indicates that the market's performance is being significantly influenced by the performance of a small number of large-cap companies, which could potentially drive the index higher if these companies continue to perform well.
Market Resilience and Recovery: The market has shown resilience and recovery from the economic downturn, with the S&P 500 already up by 9.6% this year, which is above the average year since 1950. This resilience could be a sign of continued growth throughout the year.
Positive Outlook from Analysts: Analysts like CFRA Chief Investment Strategist Sam Stovall predict that the S&P 500 will hit 5,400 by year-end and 5,610 within the next 12 months, indicating a positive outlook for the market's performance.
Potential Rate Cuts: The expectation of rate cuts by the European Central Bank could provide a boost to the global economy and the U.S. markets, including the S&P 500.
Positive Market Sentiment: The overall market sentiment seems to be positive, with a bullish outlook on the S&P 500 from various analysts and strategists. This positive sentiment could drive further investment and growth in the market.
Technology Sector Performance: The technology sector has been a leading performer, soaring 50%, indicating strong growth in this sector, which could help drive the S&P 500 higher.
Economic Data Surprises: The U.S. economy has been showing positive surprises in economic data throughout 2023, suggesting that the economy is stronger than expected, which could support the market's growth.
Render (RNDR) & NVIDIA AI Conference With the rise of Artificial Intelligence , many projects are looking to capitalise on the massive potential that AI promises.
One of those projects is RENDER , the first decentralized GPU rendering platform launched in 2017, the Render network is built to provide a platform for a wide array of computation tasks - from basic rendering to artificial intelligence - which are facilitated swiftly and efficiently in a blockchain-based peer-to-peer network, free from error or delay, while ensuring secure property rights.
Nvidia is a Tech company that focuses on production of high end graphics cards and is a world leader in Artificial Intelligence computing with a Market cap of 2.25 Trillion Dollars. Nvidia are holding an AI conference 17-21 March, one of those talks is a talk on "production rendering on GPU" on the 20th March. I would predict that Render could get a mention as the RNDR network is integrated into Nvidia Omniverse, the VP of Nvidia Omniverse is also an advisor to RNDR, so could we see any further ties between the two companies? If so I think this would propel an already well performing coin that has recently entered into price discovery.
Fib targets after the breakout are shown o the chart and these are the areas to be interested in. I am not ruling out a retest of the break above the previous ATH however with the momentum that we are seeing I think this retest could come a much later stage.
With RNDR's MCap of $3.6B there is no reason why this project shouldn't break into the top 10 at some point this cycle, currently this would mean a 4.85x to displace SHIB at 10th place double that again if you compare to SHIB ATH MCap. This project is just getting started.
All eyes on the Conference, I could see this potentially being a sell the news event as these things often are, however that would just open up a buying opportunity for DCA or long term holding.
Nvidia Q1 25 earnings preview – will the Kraken awake?Due to report shortly after market close on 22 May (typically 06:20 AEST / 21:20 UK).
“The most important stock in the world” - That was the label given to Nvidia (NVDA) throughout February as we geared up for its highly anticipated Q424 earnings results. Where, at the time, the sheer number of articles written on the stock was incredible – when you are a momentum stock, you need this sort of attention to fuel the beast.
Since March though the hype has settled, and we see reduced news flow. In fact, we’re seeing an increasing number of articles directing traders away from Nvidia and towards other smaller names in the AI-semi space that could potentially see explosive moves.
With the momentum in NVDA falling away since Nvidia’s last earnings, and with Nvidia lacking a near-term catalyst, amid some concern of an over-supplied chips market, market players have moved their attention towards quality defensive areas of the equity market and value as an investment factor, with utilities, energy, and materials all seeing strong outperformance of late vs the S&P500.
We can also see this lack of momentum in NVDA’s technical set-up and price action, with shares rallying in a $205 range between $947 to $756, and now finding a fair value around $900. Traders remain buyers of pullbacks, where the trigger for long positions seems to be when the shares fall 10% below the 50-day moving average.
Nvidia may not be the hot topic it was in February, is that about to change?
For a short period, absolutely, with the eyes of the trading world falling once again on NVDA’s quarterly earnings.
The options market is pricing a -/+8.9% on the first day of trade after earnings (i.e. the 23 May), which if priced correctly, from current levels, could see the stock trade into new all-time highs or see it closer to $820. With a current market capitalization of $2.260t, an 8.9% move would equate to $200b in gained/lost market cap in one day, which would essentially be larger than the market cap of 82 companies in the NAS100.
We can also go back over the past 8 quarterly earnings announcements and that Nvidia has seen an average move of 8.5% on the day of reporting, with shares closing higher in 6 of the past 8 quarters.
Many will recall the Q424 earnings (reported in February), where the share price closed +16.4% on the day and went on to rally a further 23.4% over the following 11 trading sessions.
Earnings pedigree – few do it better
Let’s not forget that few companies globally have NVDA’s form at beating analysts’ consensus expectations on earnings-per-share (EPS), revenue, or gross margins. Perhaps the bar is perennially set too low, but NVDA has beaten expectations for revenue for the reporting quarter, as well as on expectations for the upcoming quarter, on all but two occasions since 2018: Q32019 and Q2 2023 being the exceptions.
In the past 4 quarterly earnings reports, NVDA has beaten guidance on sales for the upcoming quarter by an average of 14% - remarkable form, especially when they have a CEO (Jensen Huang) who knows how to hit the sweet spot and say exactly what investors want to hear in the post-earnings conference call.
Earnings expectations for Q1 2025 – will they beat yet again?
Q125 EPS – $5.51 (Q2 25 guidance expectations - $5.96c)
Q125 revenue - $24.58b (Q2 25 guidance expectations - $26.617b)
Data centres revenue - $20.903b (Q2 25 expectations - $22.567b)
Gross Margins – 77.01% (Q2 25 guidance expectations - 75.61%)
Recall in the prior earnings call CEO Jensen Huang suggested AI was at ‘a tipping point, which was a big topic of discussion. Given that NVDA only recently held its GTC conference in March and explored the future across multiple touch points, this time around traders will react on news that isn’t already discounted into the stock - growth opportunities, maintain its monopolistic qualities, levels of capex, and future partnerships.
Traders have found opportunities outside of AI-related semi and while many feel Nvidia lacks a near-term catalyst, the element of surprise is always there. The idea of ‘as goes Nvidia, as goes the market’ has dissipated, but it could make a return – and with big movement expected, this is a key event for equity and index CFD traders to have on the radar.
COSTCO 820 Costco’s stock price has seen a significant increase recently, and there are several reasons behind this rise to $820:
Strong Sales Performance: Costco posted net sales of $19.8 billion for April, up 7.1% from $18.48 billion in the year-earlier period1. Net sales for the fiscal 35 weeks were $166.44 billion, up 7% from $155.62 billion a year earlier.
Shift in Consumer Behavior: Due to rising restaurant prices, many consumers are opting to buy groceries and cook at home instead. This shift in consumer behavior is benefiting grocery businesses like Costco.
Membership Model: Costco’s membership model is also a significant contributor to its success.
The warehouse club’s members pay $60 a year for a basic Gold membership or $120 for an Executive membership, which comes with 2% cash back up to $1,000.
Analyst Upgrades: After reviewing Costco’s strong April sales data, analysts have raised their price targets for the company. For instance, TheStreet Pro’s Chris Versace raised his price target on Costco to $830 from $800. Similarly, Loop Capital analysts raised the firm’s price target on Costco to $840 from $820.
Earnings Expectations: Costco is expected to report earnings on May 30, 2024, for the fiscal quarter ending May 2024. The consensus EPS forecast for the quarter is $3.69, which is higher than the reported EPS for the same quarter last year ($3.43). This positive earnings expectation could also be driving the stock price up.
Salesforce’s Stock Surge to $298.14 AFTER EARNINGS ?NYSE:CRM
Analyzing Salesforce’s Stock Surge to $298.14
Salesforce, a global leader in cloud-based software, has recently seen its stock price soar to an impressive $298.14. This significant increase is not a random occurrence but the result of a combination of factors that have played out in favor of the company.
Strong Earnings Reports: Salesforce has consistently reported strong earnings, demonstrating robust financial performance. These positive reports have instilled confidence in investors, leading to increased demand for the stock.
Innovative Product Portfolio: Salesforce’s diverse and innovative product portfolio has been a key driver of its success. The company’s offerings, ranging from sales and service automation to marketing and analytics, have kept it at the forefront of the industry.
Market Leadership: Salesforce’s position as a market leader in the Customer Relationship Management (CRM) space has contributed to its strong stock performance.
The company’s dominance in this sector has made it a preferred choice for investors looking for stable returns.
Strategic Acquisitions: Salesforce’s strategic acquisitions have also played a role in boosting its stock price. These acquisitions have not only expanded the company’s product offerings but also opened up new markets, contributing to revenue growth.
🚀💻 Nvidia (NVDA) Analysis 📈🔍Market Overview:
Nvidia's NASDAQ:NVDA recent rally has bolstered bullish confidence, driven by anticipated revenue and profit growth, and positive analyst outlooks, particularly from Goldman Sachs. The company's leading position in the AI-powered GPU sector further contributes to positive sentiment, with potential for continued uptrend supported by upcoming earnings reports.
Analyst Projections:
Goldman Sachs' raised target price of $1,100 per share reflects market optimism, fueled by revenue growth forecasts to $110 billion by 2025 and 8% annual profit growth through 2027.
Investment Outlook:
Long-Term Breakout: Investors are eyeing a potential long-term break above the $1,000 mark, aiming for sustained momentum beyond historical highs.
Risk Awareness: A break below the current upward trend line could disrupt the bullish scenario, leading to sideways movement or attempts to push the price lower.
📊🔍 Stay vigilant for signs of trend reversal or corrective movements while monitoring Nvidia's performance! #Nvidia #StockAnalysis 📉🚀
Nvidia - Another push higher from here?Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia .
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Explanation of my video analysis:
Nvidia stock has been trading in a rising channel formation for a couple of years. We saw the last retest of support in the beginning of 2023 which was followed by an unbelievable rally of 625% towards the upside. At the moment Nvidia is retesting the upper resistance but we might see a retest of the psychological $1.000 level first and then a correction.
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Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia's on the clockIs it possible Nvidia can muster the strength to get my final higher target of $927?
Possibly.
But time is running out for the chip/GPU maker. A breach of the $880 level makes that highly unlikely, and that could be our initial sign we're now headed to the $700 area. Nonetheless, even if we do manage to get that OMH (One More High)...I still have price visiting the $700 area or lower.
Best to all,
Chris
Nvidia Elliot Wave AnalysisNvidia on hourly candles respecting elliot impulse wave pattern for year 2024. Wave 2 was a classic 3 wave elliot correction wave pattern. This then breaks into wave 3 and is respecting a very tight channel upwards. Expecting 1000+, back to 900s, then price target of 1100+ post July.
Heavy chop in wave 3 due to broader market uncertainties and pressures. This stock trades with higher volatilities than others with its market cap. Trade weeklies with caution.
Good long if you're 1yr+ long or 6M+ long option calls.
My personal take: Nvidia will be the world's first 10T dollar company by 2027 and will be the world's most powerful and sought after company. Their technologies will ensure continued world peace (including in taiwan) and will be an industry leader for the next quarter century.
Only invest money you can afford to lose, not investment advice. Goodluck everyone.
*disclaimer: I have a May 17 955C position.
Robinhood TP 23- 33 After earnings ? Reasons Why !!
In Q4 2023, Robinhood’s net revenues increased by 24% year-over-year to $471 million.
This growth was driven by higher net interest, transaction-based, and other revenues1.
The company reported net income of $30 million, a significant improvement from the net loss of $166 million in Q4 20221.
Adjusted EBITDA rose to $133 million, a 62% increase year-over-year1.
Customer Growth and Assets Under Custody (AUC):
Funded Customers increased by 420 thousand year-over-year to 23.4 million1.
AUC surged by 65% year-over-year to $102.6 billion1.
Market Expectations and Confidence
Robinhood’s ability to turn a profit in Q4, coupled with its record annual revenues, suggests that its strategic initiatives are paying off. The company’s innovative features and strong financial performance have instilled confidence in investors.
Remember that stock prices often respond to earnings reports. If the market believes a company is performing well, stock prices tend to go up. Conversely, if confidence wanes, stock prices may decline2.
Keep an eye on Robinhood’s upcoming earnings report on Wednesday, May 8th, 20243. It will provide further insights into the company’s performance and may impact its stock price.
Meta Invest a Whooping $30 Billion in NVIDIA GPUsMeta has invested $30 billion in 1 million NVIDIA GPUs to improve its AI model training capabilities and push technological boundaries in AI development. The acquisition, which includes a million GPUs, is one of the largest in the technology industry for such equipment and represents a major milestone in Meta's strategic direction towards the development of advanced AI technologies.
Meta's current AI activities focus on refining and training more advanced editions of their Llama-3 models, but the process is slow and time-consuming, justifying the necessity of the new GPU acquisition. Another 500,000 GPUs were acquired to result in a total of one million GPUs, which were used to optimize Meta's AI training operation.
John Werner's comparison to the Apollo program in the summit session emphasizes the scale of Meta and its financial investment. To surpass the computational achievements of former space missions, Meta's investment is set to stretch the limits that AI could achieve in terms of speed, efficiency, and complexity of tasks processed.
However, the AI industry still needs serious challenges in the supply and costs of required components such as GPUs. The demand for high-performance GPUs has risen, leading to an increase in prices and middlemen in distribution channels. Technological advancements in the scalability of learning algorithms that would be able to use multiple GPUs in parallel would reduce the cost and foster faster AI development, making AI more affordable and efficient.
Meta's approach to AI development includes hardware procurement and using the enormous data produced over its platforms. This approach seeks to improve and broaden AI functionalities, which can enrich user experiences on social media platforms such as Instagram and WhatsApp. By becoming more central to Meta's product development and overall strategy, AI will change the influence and role of the tech giant in the technology sector.
Nvidia Stock Drops 4.18% on Weak Forecast from AMDThe semiconductor industry, known for its dynamic nature, faced a tumultuous day as Advanced Micro Devices ( NASDAQ:AMD ) delivered an uninspiring outlook for the upcoming quarters. The repercussions of AMD's subdued guidance rippled across the market, with its main rival Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) feeling the heat, alongside other semiconductor giants like Skyworks Solutions. Let's delve into the details of AMD's forecast, its implications for Nvidia, and the broader semiconductor landscape.
AMD's Disappointing Guidance:
Despite meeting earnings expectations for the first quarter, AMD left investors wanting more with its revenue forecast. While the company raised its revenue target for the MI300 AI accelerator, it fell short of the market's ambitious expectations. Analysts had hoped for a more robust projection, aiming for figures closer to $4.5 billion to $5 billion. The disparity between AMD's forecast and market expectations triggered a significant sell-off, with AMD's stock plummeting over 9%.
Nvidia's Response and Market Reaction:
The impact of AMD's lackluster guidance extended beyond its own stock, as Nvidia, its primary competitor, also experienced a sharp decline. Nvidia, renowned for its dominance in the AI chip market, saw its stock retreat by approximately 5%. The correlation between the performance of these two tech titans underscores the intense rivalry and interdependence within the semiconductor space.
Skyworks Solutions Caught in the Crossfire:
Skyworks Solutions, a wireless-chip manufacturer heavily reliant on the smartphone market, faced its share of challenges amidst the semiconductor turbulence. Despite a modest beat in the March quarter, the company's guidance for the June quarter fell well below expectations. This disappointing forecast led to a staggering 15.4% drop in Skyworks stock, highlighting the vulnerability of companies exposed to rapidly evolving consumer trends.
Broader Market Implications:
The Philadelphia Semiconductor Index (SOX), a barometer of semiconductor performance, mirrored the turbulence witnessed by individual companies. The index, comprising the 30 largest semiconductor stocks in the U.S., slid by 3.9%, reflecting investor concerns about the industry's short-term outlook. The widespread sell-off underscores the sensitivity of the semiconductor market to company-specific forecasts and broader economic factors.
Does Nvidia have the Strength to Get OMH in the target box?Nvidia has been weak as of the last month, after a major run-up in the stock. Since we have no catalysts on the short term horizon, I am forecasting a fall back towards $700. However, in the short term we can get as high as $927 before falling back towards my target of $700.
To get this sort move in the stock I will remove the purple alternative path of the stock being in a wave 4, with a near term push into the $1,000 area. I will warn followers that my longer term target for Nvidia is closer to $400 as I am counting this as a cycle wave II decline.
Best to all,
Chris
AMAZON 189 AFTER OR BEFORE EARNINGS ?Reasons Why !!
Key Financial Insights:
Stock Price: Amazon’s stock reached a peak of $189.77 on April 11, 2024, showcasing a remarkable uptrend1.
Market Performance: The company’s strong market performance is evident as the stock price hovers close to its 52-week high.
Behind the Surge:
Amazon continues to dominate the e-commerce space with innovative strategies and a customer-centric approach.
The company’s expansion into new markets and consistent investment in technology and infrastructure contribute to its financial health.
Investor Confidence:
The rise to $189 signifies a vote of confidence from investors who are optimistic about Amazon’s direction and leadership.
Analysts remain bullish on the stock, with projections of further growth and a positive outlook for the company’s profitability
NVDA Nvidia LONG T1 900 T2 950NVDA Nvidia LONG T1 900 T2 950
Stop Loss is explained in the video with partial exit when price breach Horizontal support TL towards downside and remaining exit when green sloping TL breaches towards downside.
However, probability of NVDA reaching T1 = 900 and T2 = 950 is very high
COIN 260 - 273 AFTER EARNINGS ?Why Coinbase Could Soar to $260 Post-Earnings
Coinbase, the renowned cryptocurrency exchange platform, has been making headlines with its impressive financial performance. As we approach the next earnings release, there’s a palpable buzz around the possibility of the stock price hitting the $260 mark. Here are some compelling reasons why this could become a reality:
Strong Earnings Report: Coinbase recently reported earnings per share (EPS) of $1.04 for the quarter, significantly surpassing analysts’ consensus estimates1. This positive surprise is a testament to the company’s robust revenue generation and cost management strategies.
Revenue Growth: The company’s net revenue reached $905 million in the fourth quarter, marking a 45.2% increase from the previous quarter2. This surge in revenue reflects Coinbase’s ability to attract and retain a substantial user base, despite the volatile nature of the cryptocurrency market.
Profitability: For the first time since the fourth quarter of 2021, Coinbase reported a net income of $273 million2. This return to profitability could be a strong indicator of the company’s financial health and operational efficiency.
Market Position: With a mission to increase economic freedom worldwide, Coinbase has established itself as a leading platform in the crypto economy3. Its comprehensive suite of services, including trading, staking, and safekeeping, positions it well to capitalize on the growing interest in cryptocurrencies.
Analyst Optimism: Some analysts have set high price targets for Coinbase, with predictions reaching as high as $2764. This optimism is fueled by the company’s consistent performance and the expanding adoption of crypto assets.
Technological Edge: Coinbase is not just a marketplace for crypto transactions; it’s also a technology provider that enables developers to create innovative crypto products3. This dual role could be a key driver in the company’s future growth and stock price appreciation.
Macro Factors: The broader financial market’s sentiment towards cryptocurrencies and blockchain technology can significantly impact Coinbase’s stock. Positive developments in the crypto space often translate into increased trading volumes and higher revenues for exchanges like Coinbase.
Copper overboughtCopper has been in an uptrend since february 2024.
Price is currently outside Bollinger bands (50 period).
Some of the reasons copper has been rising is near term demand and shortages, some articles pointing out to data center demand for copper for the AI boom.
With Nvidia, intc, amd and other tech stocks showing weakness in last week, my opinion is that it might be a good time to look for shorts in copper, with tight stops.
Potential short term bounce in NVDAWill the anchored vWAP of $763.45 on the daily chart for NASDAQ:NVDA (anchored from the low on 3rd January 2024) be defended after Friday's close dipped beneath it? The 15 minute open at 4am this morning ($778.00) looks like a potential intraday key level at this stage...
A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook: Buy the dip or sell the rip?We move on from a week where strong momentum markets (AI names, NAS100, JPN225, Mexican peso) were sold down hard, with traders better buyers of the VIX, US30, gold, CHF, USD, and defensive equities (utilities).
Notably, the NAS100 recorded its worst week since November 2022, driven in part by market players part-liquidating an incredibly extended position in Nvidia, with 87m shares traded on Friday alone. Tesla and Super Micro Computers also seeing steep declines on the week, with Tesla remaining front and centre with Q124 earnings due after-market on Tuesday – many ask whether we see a fifth consecutive quarter where shares closed lower on the day of reporting?
Long US30 / short NAS100 positions have worked well and remain a tactical play I like into the new week - although with so many heavyweight tech names reporting through the week, NAS100 shorts will watch the reaction to earnings closely and will be prepared to react if the market likes what they see from the respective outlooks.
While sentiment has turned more negative, there is absolutely no panic at all and I’d to see if the buyer’s step in and support the S&P500 a little lower into 4935. That said, the price action and technical set-up suggests selling rallies in the US500 and NAS100 is the play – and if one is compelled to ‘buy dips’, then waiting for the rip after early traders buy the dip seems the higher probability play.
Geopolitical headlines remain fluid and have been a key reason for keeping buyers of risk at bay – many will remain focused on these developments as we roll into the new week. The news flow was certainly a key reason why gold closed higher for a fifth straight week and at a new all-time closing high on Friday, as it was why the CHF was the star currency on the week.
That said, with Brent crude closing the week 3.1% lower, one could argue it was the move higher in US bond yields – with the US 10yr Treasury pushing above 4.6% - that was really the big kicker that promoted rotation out of tech/AI names and supported the USD.
Short GBPUSD and long USDMXN on any retracement remains a compelling trade on my radar.
Watch US PCE inflation on Friday as the marquee risk on the data front – for a playbook, we could see outsized market moves on a US core PCE print above 0.4% m/m (USD up, gold, NAS100 down) or below 0.25% m/m (USD down, NAS100 and gold higher). A read above 0.4% m/m and the idea of a cut before the US Presidential election would be further dialled back.
There will be a focus on the BoJ meeting, but it is too soon for them to alter policy, and the market gives a change in rates no chance at all. If we get a move in the JPY, it will likely come from any changes to the bank’s inflation forecasts and the post-meeting conference call. We remain on JPY intervention watch, and signs that we are getting closer to the point where Japanese authorities look to step up the fight against JPY's weakness.
PMIs are due in the UK, EU, and US and they could move markets, notably if the service’s PMI outcome misses/beats expectations by a wide margin. Australia Q1 CPI poses a risk to AUD exposures, although, with such little priced into Aussie interest rate futures, it would need to big surprise to have a lasting effect on AUD pairs.
Bitcoin moves past the highly anticipated halving and while we predictably didn’t get any kneejerk reaction in price, the set-up on the higher timeframes is starting to look more compelling from the long side. There was clear support from the market to buy on the move below $60k and this is a level many are guiding for stops on longs. An upside break of $66k could be the trigger for a push into the top of the range of $72k.
Key event risk for traders to navigate:
Monday
• China 1 & 5-year Loan Prime Rate decision (11:15 AEST / 14:15 BST) – No change expected with the 1-year rate left at 3.45% and the 5-year rate at 3.95%.
Earnings – SAP (Germany) – one to watch for clients trading the GER40, with SAP holding a 10% weight on the index.
Central bank speeches – BoE’s Benjamin speaks (19:05 AEST / 10:05 BST)
Tuesday
• EU HCOB manufacturing and services PMI (18:00 AEST / 09:00 BST) – Service PMI eyed at 51.8 (from 51.5 in the prior read) & manufacturing at 46.5 (from 46.1)
• UK S&P manufacturing and services PMI (18:30 AEST / 09:30 BST) - Services at 53.0 (53.1) & manufacturing at 50.4 (50.3)
• US S&P Global manufacturing and services PMI (23:45 AEST / 14:45 BST) - Services at 52.0 (51.7) & manufacturing at 52.0 (51.9)
Earnings – Tesla (after-market), Visa (after-market)
Central bank speeches – BoE Haskel (18:00 AEST), BoE Huw Pill (21:15 AEST), ECB Nagel (22:30 AEST)
Wednesday
• Australia Q1 CPI (11:30 AEST / 02:30 BST) – The economist consensus looks for headline CPI at 0.8% QoQ / 3.5% YoY (4.1%), and the trimmed mean CPI measure eyed at 3.8% YoY (from 4.2%). With Aussie interest rate futures pricing in just one rate cut in 2024, it would take a big beat/miss vs consensus to drive significant volatility in the AUD, with the AUD more sensitive to geopolitical headlines and broad market sentiment.
• Mexico Bi-weekly CPI (22:00 AEST / 13:00 BST) – the consensus is for headline CPI to come in at 4.49% (4.37%) and core CPI at 4.38% (4.41%)
Earnings – Lloyds (UK), Boeing (before-market), IBM (after-market), Meta (after-market)
Thursday
Anzac Day – ASX200 closed.
Earnings – Barclays (UK), Caterpillar (before-market), Alphabet (after-market), Intel (after-market), Microsoft (after-market)
Central bank speeches – ECB’s Schnabel speaks (00:00 AEST and 17:00 AEST)
Friday
• Tokyo CPI (09:30 AEST / 00:30 BST) – headline CPI is eyed at 2.5% (2.6%) and core CPI at 2.2% (2.4%) – shouldn’t be a volatility event for the JPY or JPN225
• Bank of Japan meeting with updated GDP and inflation forecasts (no set time but likely between 12:00 and 15:00 AEST / 03:00 to 06:00 BST) – no change in policy expected, so the focus falls on the bank's inflation projections and the post-meeting conference call.
• ECB 1- & 3-year CPI expectations (18:00 AEST / 09:00 BST)
• US core PCE inflation (22:30 AEST / 13:30 BST) – headline PCE inflation is expected at 0.3% m/m and 2.6% y/y (from 2.5%) and core PCE at 0.3% m/m and 2.7% y/y (2.8%).
Earnings – Exxon (Before market), Chevron
NVIDIA April 24Nvidia, do your own M M
Targeting Discount 50% fib ( 684 ) & 61.8 fib ( 615 )from LastLow 393 ~ HigherHigh 975
Buy plan, Purple
-Range 725 ~ 663
-Fomo : buy at 1st touch
-Safety but possible too late: buy at 2nd touch purple box or wait confirmation technical / news
try to get the Avg holding at 700 or under, as long as the price D1 closed bellow 787
Escape plan, Blue
-Avg Down, Range 628~600 to get Avg price under 690
-Cutloss / Partial sell : Nearest SBR base at 690
-2nd option, put into your Invest account, as long as the price W1 closed above 500, its still good for long term.
Target Plan, Green-Purple
-Head of HH range: 897~975
-To continue up trend , W1 need to closed above 975.
No retrace if the NVIDIA boosted by news. Otherwise Buy price Avg Up could be at 930.
And keep the Avg holding price under 833 when doing avg up