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A Traders’ Week Ahead Playbook: Buy the dip or sell the rip?We move on from a week where strong momentum markets (AI names, NAS100, JPN225, Mexican peso) were sold down hard, with traders better buyers of the VIX, US30, gold, CHF, USD, and defensive equities (utilities). Notably, the NAS100 recorded its worst week since November 2022, driven in part by market players part-liquidating an incredibly extended position in Nvidia, with 87m shares traded on Friday alone. Tesla and Super Micro Computers also seeing steep declines on the week, with Tesla remaining front and centre with Q124 earnings due after-market on Tuesday – many ask whether we see a fifth consecutive quarter where shares closed lower on the day of reporting? Long US30 / short NAS100 positions have worked well and remain a tactical play I like into the new week - although with so many heavyweight tech names reporting through the week, NAS100 shorts will watch the reaction to earnings closely and will be prepared to react if the market likes what they see from the respective outlooks. While sentiment has turned more negative, there is absolutely no panic at all and I’d to see if the buyer’s step in and support the S&P500 a little lower into 4935. That said, the price action and technical set-up suggests selling rallies in the US500 and NAS100 is the play – and if one is compelled to ‘buy dips’, then waiting for the rip after early traders buy the dip seems the higher probability play. Geopolitical headlines remain fluid and have been a key reason for keeping buyers of risk at bay – many will remain focused on these developments as we roll into the new week. The news flow was certainly a key reason why gold closed higher for a fifth straight week and at a new all-time closing high on Friday, as it was why the CHF was the star currency on the week. That said, with Brent crude closing the week 3.1% lower, one could argue it was the move higher in US bond yields – with the US 10yr Treasury pushing above 4.6% - that was really the big kicker that promoted rotation out of tech/AI names and supported the USD. Short GBPUSD and long USDMXN on any retracement remains a compelling trade on my radar. Watch US PCE inflation on Friday as the marquee risk on the data front – for a playbook, we could see outsized market moves on a US core PCE print above 0.4% m/m (USD up, gold, NAS100 down) or below 0.25% m/m (USD down, NAS100 and gold higher). A read above 0.4% m/m and the idea of a cut before the US Presidential election would be further dialled back. There will be a focus on the BoJ meeting, but it is too soon for them to alter policy, and the market gives a change in rates no chance at all. If we get a move in the JPY, it will likely come from any changes to the bank’s inflation forecasts and the post-meeting conference call. We remain on JPY intervention watch, and signs that we are getting closer to the point where Japanese authorities look to step up the fight against JPY's weakness. PMIs are due in the UK, EU, and US and they could move markets, notably if the service’s PMI outcome misses/beats expectations by a wide margin. Australia Q1 CPI poses a risk to AUD exposures, although, with such little priced into Aussie interest rate futures, it would need to big surprise to have a lasting effect on AUD pairs. Bitcoin moves past the highly anticipated halving and while we predictably didn’t get any kneejerk reaction in price, the set-up on the higher timeframes is starting to look more compelling from the long side. There was clear support from the market to buy on the move below $60k and this is a level many are guiding for stops on longs. An upside break of $66k could be the trigger for a push into the top of the range of $72k. Key event risk for traders to navigate: Monday • China 1 & 5-year Loan Prime Rate decision (11:15 AEST / 14:15 BST) – No change expected with the 1-year rate left at 3.45% and the 5-year rate at 3.95%. Earnings – SAP (Germany) – one to watch for clients trading the GER40, with SAP holding a 10% weight on the index. Central bank speeches – BoE’s Benjamin speaks (19:05 AEST / 10:05 BST) Tuesday • EU HCOB manufacturing and services PMI (18:00 AEST / 09:00 BST) – Service PMI eyed at 51.8 (from 51.5 in the prior read) & manufacturing at 46.5 (from 46.1) • UK S&P manufacturing and services PMI (18:30 AEST / 09:30 BST) - Services at 53.0 (53.1) & manufacturing at 50.4 (50.3) • US S&P Global manufacturing and services PMI (23:45 AEST / 14:45 BST) - Services at 52.0 (51.7) & manufacturing at 52.0 (51.9) Earnings – Tesla (after-market), Visa (after-market) Central bank speeches – BoE Haskel (18:00 AEST), BoE Huw Pill (21:15 AEST), ECB Nagel (22:30 AEST) Wednesday • Australia Q1 CPI (11:30 AEST / 02:30 BST) – The economist consensus looks for headline CPI at 0.8% QoQ / 3.5% YoY (4.1%), and the trimmed mean CPI measure eyed at 3.8% YoY (from 4.2%). With Aussie interest rate futures pricing in just one rate cut in 2024, it would take a big beat/miss vs consensus to drive significant volatility in the AUD, with the AUD more sensitive to geopolitical headlines and broad market sentiment. • Mexico Bi-weekly CPI (22:00 AEST / 13:00 BST) – the consensus is for headline CPI to come in at 4.49% (4.37%) and core CPI at 4.38% (4.41%) Earnings – Lloyds (UK), Boeing (before-market), IBM (after-market), Meta (after-market) Thursday Anzac Day – ASX200 closed. Earnings – Barclays (UK), Caterpillar (before-market), Alphabet (after-market), Intel (after-market), Microsoft (after-market) Central bank speeches – ECB’s Schnabel speaks (00:00 AEST and 17:00 AEST) Friday • Tokyo CPI (09:30 AEST / 00:30 BST) – headline CPI is eyed at 2.5% (2.6%) and core CPI at 2.2% (2.4%) – shouldn’t be a volatility event for the JPY or JPN225 • Bank of Japan meeting with updated GDP and inflation forecasts (no set time but likely between 12:00 and 15:00 AEST / 03:00 to 06:00 BST) – no change in policy expected, so the focus falls on the bank's inflation projections and the post-meeting conference call. • ECB 1- & 3-year CPI expectations (18:00 AEST / 09:00 BST) • US core PCE inflation (22:30 AEST / 13:30 BST) – headline PCE inflation is expected at 0.3% m/m and 2.6% y/y (from 2.5%) and core PCE at 0.3% m/m and 2.7% y/y (2.8%). Earnings – Exxon (Before market), Chevron
PEPPERSTONE:NAS100
by Pepperstone
1
NVIDIA April 24Nvidia, do your own M M Targeting Discount 50% fib ( 684 ) & 61.8 fib ( 615 )from LastLow 393 ~ HigherHigh 975 Buy plan, Purple -Range 725 ~ 663 -Fomo : buy at 1st touch -Safety but possible too late: buy at 2nd touch purple box or wait confirmation technical / news try to get the Avg holding at 700 or under, as long as the price D1 closed bellow 787 Escape plan, Blue -Avg Down, Range 628~600 to get Avg price under 690 -Cutloss / Partial sell : Nearest SBR base at 690 -2nd option, put into your Invest account, as long as the price W1 closed above 500, its still good for long term. Target Plan, Green-Purple -Head of HH range: 897~975 -To continue up trend , W1 need to closed above 975. No retrace if the NVIDIA boosted by news. Otherwise Buy price Avg Up could be at 930. And keep the Avg holding price under 833 when doing avg up
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Raiden_R
Nvidia - Struggling at the highs!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than 6 years Nvidia stock has been trading in a pretty obvious rising channel formation. At the moment Nvidia stock is actually retesting the upper resistance trendline. Considering that Nvidia stock also rallied 650% over the past couple of months, it is quite likely that we will see at least a short term correction towards the downside, retesting the previous all time high. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDA
by basictradingtv
11
BLACKROCK TP 806 As of the most recent data, the stock price for BLK is approximately $803.981. Here are some relevant points to consider: Analyst Consensus Price Target (2024): The average consensus price target for BlackRock is $796.00, with a range from $542.00 (low) to $938.00 (high). This indicates a potential upside of approximately 0.60% from the current price. Long-Term Forecast (2025): Based on technical indicators, the current sentiment is bearish, but BLK could still hit $1,167.96 by 20252. Keep in mind that trading in bearish markets can be challenging and may result in losses. Long-Term Price Forecast (2050): Analysts predict that by 2050, the median target price for BLK could be $4,462.69, representing a substantial increase from the current price.
NYSE:BLKLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
Nvidia's Downturn: Correction or Cyclical Shift?Nvidia, the undisputed leader in graphics processing units (GPUs), has hit a rough patch. After a stellar run that saw its stock price reach record highs, the company has entered correction territory, with its share price dropping over 10% from its peak. This sudden decline has sent shockwaves through the tech industry, prompting questions about the company's future and the broader health of the chip market. A Look Back: Nvidia's Meteoric Rise The past few years have been a golden age for Nvidia. Fueled by the surging demand for high-performance computing across various sectors, the company enjoyed phenomenal growth. • Gaming Boom: The surging popularity of video games, particularly during the pandemic lockdowns, led to a massive increase in demand for Nvidia's powerful GPUs, which are essential for delivering high-fidelity graphics experiences. • AI Revolution: The rapid advancement of artificial intelligence (AI) applications, from self-driving cars to facial recognition technology, created a growing need for Nvidia's specialized AI processing units (AIGPU). • Cryptocurrency Craze: The rise of cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin and Ethereum, which rely heavily on GPUs for mining, further boosted Nvidia's sales. These factors combined to propel Nvidia's stock price to dizzying heights, culminating in an all-time high of $950 per share in late March 2024. A Rude Awakening: Entering Correction Territory However, the recent weeks have painted a different picture. As of April 10, 2024, Nvidia's stock price has fallen over 10% from its peak, officially entering "correction territory." This is typically defined as a decline of 10% to 20% from a recent high and is often seen as a sign of a market overcorrection or a fundamental shift in the company's prospects. Possible Causes for the Downturn: Several factors could be contributing to Nvidia's current woes: • Market Saturation: The gaming industry might be approaching a saturation point in terms of high-end PC sales. This could lead to a decline in demand for Nvidia's top-tier GPUs. • Cryptocurrency Volatility: The recent slump in cryptocurrency prices has led to a decrease in mining activity, potentially impacting Nvidia's sales to miners. • Supply Chain Concerns: Ongoing global supply chain disruptions could be hindering Nvidia's ability to meet production demands, leading to shortages and price hikes. • Analyst Cautiousness: Some analysts are expressing concerns about the sustainability of Nvidia's growth trajectory, particularly in the face of increasing competition from other chip manufacturers. Is This Just a Temporary Blip? Despite the recent decline, some experts remain optimistic about Nvidia's long-term prospects. Here's why: • The Metaverse Advantage: The burgeoning metaverse, a virtual reality-based online world, requires powerful graphics processing capabilities, which could be a major growth driver for Nvidia. • AI Adoption Continues: The adoption of AI across various industries is expected to continue at a rapid pace, ensuring a sustained demand for Nvidia's AIGPUs. • Innovation Powerhouse: Nvidia is known for its constant innovation and cutting-edge technology development. This could lead to new product categories and revenue streams in the future. Navigating the Uncertainty: What Investors Should Consider With conflicting signals emerging, investors are grappling with whether this is a buying opportunity or a sign of a more significant downturn. Here are some key considerations: • Market Sentiment: Keep a close eye on the broader tech market and overall economic conditions. Factors like interest rate hikes and inflation can impact investor confidence and, consequently, technology stocks. • Company Performance: Evaluate Nvidia's recent financial performance, future product roadmaps, and its response to emerging challenges. Are they taking steps to address supply chain issues or developing new markets? • Analyst Opinions: While not infallible, analyst ratings can offer valuable insights into the potential risks and opportunities for Nvidia. Beyond Nvidia: The Broader Chip Market The correction in Nvidia's stock price might be indicative of a broader slowdown in the chip market. Investors should monitor other major chipmakers like AMD and Intel to gauge the overall industry sentiment. Conclusion: A Crossroads for Nvidia Nvidia undoubtedly faces headwinds, with its stock entering a correction territory. However, the company's strong fundamentals and position in high-growth markets like AI and the metaverse suggest its long-term potential remains intact. Investors should carefully consider the company's future prospects, the broader tech market landscape, and their own risk tolerance before making any investment decisions. The coming months will be crucial for Nvidia to navigate these challenges and demonstrate its ability to sustain its impressive growth trajectory.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by bryandowningqln
NVIDIA (NVDA): Why $1,077 Could Be Just the Beginning!NVIDIA (NVDA): NASDAQ:NVDA In our last analysis of NVIDIA, we presented an alternative scenario. However, given NVIDIA's relentless momentum, we find ourselves needing to adjust this scenario once more. We are now inclined to believe that we are still within a subordinate Wave 3 of the overarching Wave (3), anticipating that the price must reach at least the $1,030 mark, particularly considering the subordinate Wave ((iii)) precisely hit the 461.8% level. Following a rapid sell-off to Wave (a), we've observed the formation of Wave (b) with a three-wave structure right at the 100% mark. This leads us to position an entry for Wave (c) or Wave ((iv)), as we theoretically should achieve the 100% mark here too, aligning with the minimum 23.6% level for a Wave 4 around the 100% mark, thus establishing our entry point. Moreover, the gap present, along with the underlying support zone, could be crucial. Hence, we're setting our stop-loss just below this zone. For the upward movement, we anticipate that the subordinate Wave ((v)) of Wave 3 could reach at least up to $1,077, fitting within our minimum target range for Wave 3 and aligning well with our expectations. Should the price drop below this level, other zones could potentially accommodate a Wave ((iv)), but such a scenario would not be as rule-compliant, making this current scenario more likely than others. Considering NVIDIA's recent performance, this setup presents a favorable risk-to-reward ratio for a short-term trade. R:R - 6.3 Risk: max. 1%
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by freeguy_by_wmc
Nvidia Enters Correction Zone After Plummeting by 10%Chipmaking giant Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) finds itself navigating the stormy seas of correction territory. With shares down 10% from their recent all-time highs, investors are left wondering: what lies ahead for this AI powerhouse? Nvidia's ascent to prominence has been nothing short of remarkable, fueled by the insatiable demand for its graphics processing units (GPUs) in the era of artificial intelligence. From powering compute-intensive AI applications to serving as the backbone of data centers, Nvidia's chips have been instrumental in driving the AI revolution forward. However, as the dust settles and the euphoria of past gains fades, investors are left pondering the reasons behind Nvidia's recent downturn. One catalyst could be the unveiling of Intel's new AI chip, Gaudi 3, which promises to rival Nvidia's most advanced offerings. Boasting superior power efficiency and faster AI model processing capabilities, Intel's chip represents a formidable challenge to Nvidia's dominance in the AI space. Moreover, analysts at D.A. Davidson have raised concerns about a potential cyclical downturn on the horizon for Nvidia. They point to factors such as the shrinking size of AI models and increased competition from alternative solutions, which could dampen demand for Nvidia's stock in the coming years. Despite these headwinds, Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) remains a titan in the world of AI technology, with a track record of delivering stellar financial performance. The company's recent earnings report showcased a staggering 486% jump in non-GAAP earnings per diluted share, underscoring the continued strength of its business. As investors grapple with the uncertainty of market corrections and the evolving landscape of AI technology, Nvidia stands at a crossroads. Will it weather the storm and emerge stronger than ever, or will it succumb to the pressures of increased competition and shifting market dynamics? Only time will tell. In the meantime, investors would be wise to keep a close eye on Nvidia's strategic moves and technological advancements, as they may hold the key to its future success in an ever-changing landscape. Technical Outlook Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) stock is in a downward Trend with the stock closing at 2% loss in Tuesday's trading session. With a weak Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 44.99 paving way for further decline. Nvidia's ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) 4-month price chart shows a three-black bearish crow candlestick pattern further attesting to the bearish trend of this thesis. In conclusion, while Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) may be facing challenges in the present moment, its long-term prospects remain promising. As it adapts to the evolving demands of the AI market and navigates the complexities of correction territory, Nvidia has the potential to emerge as a resilient and enduring force in the world of technology.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by DEXWireNews
NVIDIA SL 850 TO 1000 ENTER BETWEEN THIS LEVELS Dominance in AI and Software Solutions: NVIDIA stands out as a leader in software and AI solutions. Its technology is crucial for various applications, including AI training, autonomous driving, and the metaverse. The company’s strong position in these areas provides a solid foundation for growth1. Beat-and-Raise Potential: NVIDIA is expected to deliver a strong earnings report. Despite high demand for its artificial-intelligence hardware, the company may still outperform expectations. Analysts anticipate a beat-and-raise scenario, which could drive the stock price higher1. Long-Term Tailwinds: The secular trends favoring AI, autonomous driving, and the metaverse are long-term tailwinds for NVIDIA. As these technologies continue to evolve, NVIDIA’s revenue streams from software and AI solutions are likely to grow consistently1. Trade Strategy Entry Point: Consider entering the trade when NVIDIA’s stock price is around the current market price (approximately $434.86). Stop Loss: Set a stop loss at $850. If the stock price drops to this level, exit the position to limit losses. Take Profit: Aim for a take profit target of $1000. If the stock reaches this level, consider selling to lock in profits.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
2
Nvidia - Entering a bear market!Hello Traders and Investors, today I will take a look at Nvidia. -------- Explanation of my video analysis: For more than 6 years, Nvidia stock has been trading in a long term rising channel formation. We had the last retest of support in 2021 which was then followed by a +650% rally towards the upside. As we are speaking Nvidia stock is retesting the upper resistance of the channel and we might see a short term correction towards the downside to retest the previous all time high. -------- Keep your long term vision, Philip (BasicTrading)
NASDAQ:NVDA
by basictradingtv
64
BITCOIN 80000 ? SOON !! ?Reasons Why !! Market Optimism: Bitcoin experienced a remarkable 128% surge in 2023, outperforming traditional investments like stocks, gold, and bonds. Experts predict further gains in 2024, which could propel it to new heights. Spot Bitcoin ETF: The anticipated launch of a spot Bitcoin ETF in early 2024 is expected to revolutionize the crypto landscape. This move could attract significant capital from both retail and institutional investors, fueling Bitcoin’s ascent. Halving Event: Scheduled for April or May 2024, the next Bitcoin halving will reduce the yearly supply of new Bitcoin. If demand outstrips supply, it could drive prices higher.
CRYPTO:BTCUSDLong
by NYRUNSGLOBAL
1
Protective Puts to Ride SpeculationOverview SoundHound AI ( NASDAQ:SOUN ) doesn't appear to be fundamentally sound, however, its technicals support a potential spike to around $15.50. While the rest of the market also appears to be nearing a peak, there may be a few more weeks of squeezing which is where SOUN may find a second, yet short-lived, wind. Fundamentals SoundHound AI has experienced significant negative income the last three years. There was an increase in cash flow which appears to be from the solicitation of its company's shares. The company has also downsized by 40% which it annotates in the 10-K Annual Report for 2023. Overall, my impression is that SoundHound is struggling to find its balance and is shrinking. I believe that the only reason it has surged as it much as it has is due to the market's overwhelming interest in artificial intelligence. Strategy Unfortunately it's not enough to be right about the health of a company especially when the rest of the market is chasing a high. Despite SOUN's lack of a healthy fundamentals, I would not be surprised to see a spike to the 1.618 Fibonacci level. This gives me the desire to utilize protective puts in case the market euphoria ends sooner than expected.
NASDAQ:SOUN
by Shepherd_Investor
The fifth wave is left, then wait for the trend correctionDear analysts and traders, I hope you are doing well and are motivated for the week ahead. I wish you all the success in your business endeavors. Remember that success in trading lies in consistently defining and sticking to your rules. As someone interested in the Elliott Wave Principle, I find it to be an invaluable tool for market analysis. I have developed my approach by combining this principle with my personal experience and by considering different scenarios that are likely to occur in the market. It should be noted that I do not like to be surprised in the market, and that's why I have different market prospects. I follow them to be sure and recognize the structure that is forming so that I can 100% recognize it. I will share my analysis with you, but please note that I am not providing any buy or sell signals. My perspective on idea analysis is completely unbiased, so if the idea analysis meets your standards, you can use it as a guide to make an informed decision. I have attached my previous analysis of the same market so that you can compare and see the differences. All the details of my analysis are clearly labeled, making it easy for you to understand. However, having a basic familiarity with the Elliott Wave Principle theory will help you understand the analytical idea more easily. I have been studying the Elliott Wave Principle for almost three years now, and over time, my understanding of this knowledge and experience has grown. What I have achieved so far is the legacy of a genius called Ralph Nelson Eliot, and I am really happy with my progress. May peace be upon him. Thank you for your support so far. I will always remember your kindness. Please share your comments and criticisms with me. I hope my analysis will be useful to you in your business journey, and I wish you all the best. Sincerely, Mr. Nobody
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by mehdi47abbasi79
Introducing Nvidia's Next Generation AI Hardware and Software OfNvidia has officially introduced its next generation AI hardware and software offering, setting a new standard in the industry. With cutting-edge technology and innovative solutions, Nvidia is paving the way for the future of artificial intelligence. This new offering promises to revolutionize the way we approach AI, providing faster, more efficient, and more powerful solutions than ever before. With Nvidia's state-of-the-art hardware and software, traders can expect increased performance, improved accuracy, and enhanced capabilities to stay ahead in the market. Now is the time to invest in Nvidia and take advantage of this groundbreaking technology. Don't miss out on the opportunity to be a part of the future of AI. Join us in long Nvidia today and be a part of the next generation of innovation.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by bryandowningqln