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Nvidia

NVDIA: An unpopular opinion that won't win us any friends.NVIDIA has been perhaps the tech sector's best poster child for 2023 but (along with the rest of the market) has found itself on a two month pullback. Despite that, the technical outlook on the 1M timeframe remains heavily bullish (RSI = 63.906, MACD = 76.990, ADX = 41.089) due to the enormous logarithmic Channel Up it has been trading in over the years, with the 1M MA50 supporting through the Inflation correction, as well as COVID, Trade wars etc. As the title says, this is an unpopular idea that won't win any friends here but we may see this correction extend to at least near the 0.382 Fibonacci level (rounded estimate $300.00) as the 1M RSI got rejected near the seven year LH trend-line, which makes a giant bearish divergence. In any case, this chart is for the long term investor who is looking for year on year opportunities like this to enter on low risk. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by InvestingScope
SPX ES - Welcome To The Fourth Quarter RodeoWhether you want to look at these markets like an American football game or the National Finals Rodeo/Calgary Stampede bull riding, this final quarter of the year is set up to be quite the fireworks show. The new JP Morgan fund options collar is illustrated on the chart, but let's put it into text: JPM is the seller of 41,000 calls with a strike of 4,515 JPM is the buyer of 41,000 puts with a strike of 4,055 JPM is the seller of 41,000 puts with a strike of 3,420 Expiry is December 29, 2023. So if you believe that JP Morgan, the pinnacle systemically important bank in the United States, is the market maker, the crude logic is that the bank is incentivized to: 1. Keep price away from 4,515 2. Drive price towards/under 4,055 3. Keep price away from 3,420 Now, this is cool, but last quarter was an identical setup at similar strikes, and JP Morgan paid the calls it sold at 4,600~ and its own puts at 4,200 expired worthless. A collar from a big fund is just a position and you should always remember the banks have the money to hedge, and hedge, and overhedge. And their overhedges, when combining with the psychological effect on both retail and fund-level market participants, can produce greater profits than the simple cashing in of their ostensible public positions. The problem for SPX and equities bulls right now is that if a new all time high was to be set, we should have bounced to start October. The meaning of this is that filling in the range of the giant June uppy candle is actually bearish. Because it's fundamentally bearish, we have no reason to believe that downside pivots are not the target. Ergo, we have no reason to justify long trades as more than a single-or-intraday scalp until a significant low is taken. And that low should involve the May 4,062.25 target. A raid below that, a consolidation above 4,000, a manipulation raid slightly under 4,000 to eat stops, and then a rip back to take out "resistance" at the 4,634 double top before the end of the year AND possible run the all time high, is absolutely the trade thesis. A raid on 4,062 happens to put JPM's long puts directly in the money and they'll be free to exit with profit. Then, the bank can pay or mitigate the buyers of its 4,515 calls before expiry, all while making bears hate their life. If this all plays out as anticipated, 2024 will be significantly dark clouds. Always keep in mind that 2023 opened in a straight line uppy, and year candles VERY rarely repeat their patterns twice. What is "the bear thesis" really predicated on? It's not the Federal Reserve or such and such recession. It's the situation in Mainland China. There's a total worldwide media blackout on what's going on inside China. But how much longer can the Chinese Communist Party and the boundless and eternal sins of organ harvesting Falun Dafa's 100 million students at the hands of Jiang Zemin since July 20, 1999 continue forward? The Wuhan Pneumonia pandemic has claimed millions and millions of lives inside the Mainland, and that's before the catastrophes from the Party's corrupt officials itself, and all the flooding and economic damage. In short, the CCP will soon fall before our very eyes, and everything will change. 2024 Presidential Election theatre in the United States won't really matter. If you want to have a bright future and happiness, you need to turn off the television, turn off the radio, turn off YouTube, get off TikTok, and go outside and be in your community in real life. You need to cut the brainwashing and start valuing virtue again, start living like humans again, start thinking like a human again. Heaven is watching to see who can stand against the Red Demon of the Chinese Communist Party's international "United Front" parasite campaigns. Whoever can't is considered the worst kind of loser. But for now, fade the so-called "bottom" at 4,250 and strongly consider buying 3,985. Just make sure you dump it, dump it again, and cash out at 4,700 or 4,800. The happy days humans dream of not only never existed, but are forever gone. Everything is about to become stringently serious.
CME_MINI:ES1!
by LordWrymouth
4
NVDA - Playing (with?) the crowdBesides all the crazy news, I don't believe this company what they say. IMO they just play with the crowd and make nice gains from the News they spread via the media. That's just my opinion, and I'm maybe wrong. But what about the information we can gather from the chart? I have hidden the huge GAP so that we can focus on the last weeks and days. There is a big bounce from the top that to me looks like a Flag, steering in my face. Bulls would argue that is a huge Long signal, right? OK, so be it... But what do my eyes see that makes me wake up at night? Price broke out of this Flag/bounce and within one single bar it was able to reach the Center line. This is not the norm, it's not natural. Second, watch the volume in bar 1 and 2. Should volume not explode if such a breakout is real? Well, it was not real in my trading world. The Market Maker just opened price higher, that's it. No real buyers there, just another GAP to push the price of NVDA higher. Maybe someone will appreciate this and unload it's stock? Hmmm... And where did it stopped? Right at the CL. As I always say: You can fake it, but you can't hide. §8-) My current conclusion? 1. NVDAs price is way too high. The company is not worth the current price. 2. Volume does not confirm higher price. It was made artificially by open higher and push it upwards. 3. The Center line is reached. Price found it's current balance. So, should we short it? Absolutely NOT! Without any clear indications after earnings, I don't touch this bad Boy §8-) I just watch this movie and learn...
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Tr8dingN3rd
2
Nvidia Stock Takes a Hit as Biden Administration Targets Chin...Nvidia Stock Takes a Hit as Biden Administration Targets Chinese Access to AI Chips Nvidia Corporation, a renowned fabless designer of graphics processing units (GPUs), witnessed a 3% dip in its stock price on Friday in response to actions taken by the Biden administration to restrict Chinese access to state-of-the-art computer chips used for artificial intelligence (AI). Specifically, Nvidia's H100 Tensor Core GPU is expected to be affected by these new regulations. Nvidia's stock movement ran counter to the Dow Jones, which experienced gains attributed to robust earnings results from JPMorgan, Citigroup, and Wells Fargo, outperforming Wall Street consensus. Meanwhile, the NASDAQ Composite and the S&P 500 seemed unaffected by the banks' success and moved in the opposite direction. Nvidia's Stock and Chinese AI Chip Bans: Last autumn, the Biden administration initiated a ban on the export of Nvidia's H100 and A100 GPUs to mainland China, both of which play pivotal roles in generative AI and military applications. Advanced Micro Devices' MI250 accelerator chip was also impacted by this ban. At the time, Nvidia estimated that the new regulations could result in up to $400 million in lost sales. However, recent reports by Reuters reveal that the administration has identified mainland companies accessing AI chips via a loophole that allows overseas units of Chinese corporations to continue procuring these products. These foreign subsidiaries either illicitly transport the chips to the mainland or facilitate remote access to the chip technology, despite operating far outside China's borders. According to Reuters: " he very chips barred by US regulations could be purchased from vendors in the famed Huaqiangbei electronics area in the southern Chinese city of Shenzhen." Complete Restriction Challenges: It remains uncertain how Washington can effectively block China from accessing AI technology. Chinese corporations are already finding ways to access this technology through third-party channels, including Amazon Web Services, which employs these chips in its cutting-edge data centers. As of the time of writing, Nvidia's stock has decreased by 0.8%, trading at $465 per share. However, investors need not be overly concerned. Nvidia's stock has been on an upward trajectory since it hit a low of just below $410 on September 21. This steady ascent, spanning over three and a half weeks, shows no immediate signs of slowing down. Nvidia continues to navigate the complex terrain of international regulations and the ever-evolving tech industry, making it a company to watch closely in the coming months.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by FOREXN1
19
NVDA Can Fall NVDA Can Fall: NVIDIA hit the 161.8 Fibonacci extension and took a little correction. It has been consolidating for some time but also forming a diamond pattern. Although this pattern is not one of the strongest, if it plays out, the market can fall below the FCP zone. Or even the previous high level with a 200sma (daily time frame) confluence and trend line. This can have a knock-on effect on NASDAQ 100 (US100). Something to watch out for. If you found this post useful or information please support this analysis by liking and sharing. 👍✔ Also us for more.
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by vikinsa
1
[EN] Shooting star Nvidia. Target: 195$ // GaliortiTrading NASDAQ:NVDA has its very mature uptrend in an exhausted five-wave cycle on 3-month candles . It is currently developing a shooting star at all-time highs . It is highly likely to develop a corrective pattern in its long-term uptrend. Probably in a wave A, B, C pattern. The top of the previously broken bullish channel , its accelerated trendline and the level of 61.8% of Fibonnaci constitute the target of this correction ($195). Large bearish divergence with RSI indicator
NASDAQ:NVDAShort
by GaliortiTrading
Nvidia (NVDA) -> Path Ahead Is ClearMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️ I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise. This is how you build real long term wealth! In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Nvidia. After Nvidia - just a couple of months ago - perfectly retested the bottom support trendline of the rising channel at the $120 level Nvidia stock pumped more than 300% towards the upside. We do have next resistance coming in at the $600 level and although Nvidia looks quite overextended, I do expect more bullish continuation to retest the upper channel trendline. - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy. Keep the long term vision🫡
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by basictradingtv
50
Nvidia's Highs, Lows, and the Journey AheadNvidia, a renowned tech industry stalwart, is navigating through market turbulence, having witnessed its stock soar to record highs and subsequently decline, leaving investors pondering its future trajectory. On August 24th, the stock marked a record $502, but the $500 level acted as a psychological barrier, triggering a 15% retreat from its peak as it likely represented a pinnacle for investors. This decline has momentarily stabilized above $400, with buyers striving to elevate the price amidst prevailing market forces. The low at $403 on August 14th is pivotal; breaching it could see the price descending to $400 and potentially to the next substantial support at $346, mirroring November 2021’s high. Despite these oscillations, Nvidia boasts a year-to-date gain of 184%. If the current support sustains, a revisit to the $500 level is plausible. The ongoing scenario raises questions—Is this downturn transient, or does it herald a prolonged decline? Observing upcoming market trends and Nvidia’s performance will be crucial in deciphering the longevity of this downturn.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Sublime_Trading
NVDA, AI MARKET Volatility-DRIVER, Prospects and Considerations!Hello There! Welcome to my analysis about NVIDIA on several timeframe perspectives. The fourth industrial evulotion is accelerating massively with many stocks adopting the AI technology and others, the ones that are still operating on old economy level and do not adopt the new technology seems to depreciate and do not move forward with the rally similar as it has been seen within the dot-com bubble where 90% of the stocks within the market have been burned and did not recovered. Now, a major question is if NVDIDIA is catching the same fate and if it is ripe for a huge bearish bubble burst or it continues to print solid continuations and upside potential as it made within the recent times. In this case the main AI Stock Index is a important indication as well as the fact that NVIDIA is continuing with the trend dynamics here. Especially as NVIDIA already moved faster and approached the all-time-high it has room for further continuations similar as it is within the wave developing within the AI Stock Index. This means that NVIDIA is having the target-zones within the upper boundary of the channel at around 1000. Once these have been reached it could turn out to be a major bearish distribution zone if the market changes and interest rates climb to higher levels. Therefore it will be important how and if NVIDIA shows up with bearish momentum because this is going to alter the dynamics. In this manner, thank you everybody for watching, support is greatly appreciated, all the best! VP
NASDAQ:NVDA
by VincePrince
5
XLK - Bullish Weekly CrossFor the third time in XLK price history we have had a crossover of the 50 weekly MA & 100 Weekly MA. the previous 2 times coming out of the Dot com crash and GFC when this happened it resulted in a quick multi week double digit rally. Will this rally happened again? XLK could rally while other aspects of the market rollover. Why? simply the cash moats of some of the Mega Cap companies insulate them more from rising yields. Im expecting a bounce off the support level.
AMEX:XLK
by Trading-Capital