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Did We Just Witness AI Black Monday? DeepSeek Shocks Tech StocksPanic sell, panic sell, panic sell! That’s basically how Monday went for Wall Street and those of you who hold Nvidia shares. Or just about any other tech stock — you name it, it likely fell nose first when a big and scary Chinese artificial intelligence startup unveiled its new AI model. DeepSeek. What in the world is DeepSeek and why do I hear about it now? DeepSeek, a Chinese artificial intelligence startup, may have just stripped Nvidia of its untouchable status as the go-to company that develops expensive chips to train AI models. DeepSeek announced it had trained its latest model, a rival of ChatGPT, for the negligible $5.6 million in computing costs. The story gets even crazier: it did it with 2,048 Nvidia H800 GPUs (bought before the US rolled out export restrictions). That’s a meager 5% of the $100 million OpenAI blew on training its GPT-4 model in late 2023. And, what’s even more, DeepSeek’s model, called R1, churns out responses that are scarily close to the advanced US-bred technology. Oh, and it’s open source, unlike OpenAI, which was originally open source but shut its doors to the public. It’s also free to use, unlike ChatGPT, which offers a paid tier between $240 and $2,400 a year. DeepSeek’s R1 model is quickly gaining traction among users as it made its way to the top of Apple’s App Store rankings. DeepSeek has factored in demand from corporations, too. While OpenAI hosts the model on its own platform, its Chinese rival allows you to host this beast on your own hardware, which is a big deal to lots of businesses that work with sensitive data. The stock market was so shocked by the news that you can get pretty much the same result for a fraction of the cost (and give it to users for free), it ran for the hills. The aftermath — Monday saw more than $1 trillion washed out from the valuation of the Magnificent Seven club. One company specifically took the biggest blow. Can DeepSeek deep-six Nvidia’s world dominance plans? Have companies been overpaying for Nvidia’s $30,000 chips? And have investors been overpaying for Nvidia’s shares? Nvidia NVDA pulled in a record $35 billion in Q3 , 2024 and struck a gross margin of 75% and net income of $20 billion. The Jensen Huang-led company on Monday showed it can also hit records in reverse. Closing down 17% for the cash session, it took the biggest L in history. This was the largest destruction of value for a single company ever — $589 billion . So why was Nvidia particularly hit by DeepSeek’s rise? Nvidia has been the primary beneficiary of the vast amounts of cash companies spent on AI. Simply because Nvidia makes the semiconductors used to train AI models. But if the same result (or just about the same) could be achieved through far less expensive means, why bother propelling Nvidia to the top echelon of the world’s biggest companies ? Nvidia has picked up roughly $131 billion over the past two years from the sale of data-center equipment, mostly AI chips. Its client list includes the biggest names in tech, such as Amazon AMZN , Microsoft MSFT , Meta META and Alphabet GOOGL . These four combined have shelled out $343 billion in AI-related capex (capital expenditures) over the past two years. Since the release of ChatGPT, Nvidia shares have surged more than 700%. Could we be looking at the good old supply and demand equation in play? If DeepSeek’s claims are true, and other companies can do the same (it’s an open-source model), then the scales could turn from undersupply to oversupply. Can we then see a market crash that’s beyond anything we’ve ever thought possible? Or is that freak-out an unjustified stretch? Share your thoughts in the comment section below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TradingView
15
NVDA's Historical Bounce Data - This Is The Way.Forget all the nonsense about deepseek and evidence surrounding the NVDA chinese financial psyop that crushed the market today (primarily before the market even opened). It's all smoke and mirrors. Putting your money in the middle when the odds are in your favor is how you come out on top. That being said, there's a 90% rebound rate for NVidia's 10 biggest drops over the last - hence the reason I'm sitting on 75 calls with a strike of 125 that expire this Friday. The average next day rebound is 4.4% with the median being 5.3%. NVDA closed at $118.58, meaning there's a 90% chance that tomorrow we will see the price settle in the following ranges: Bull Case: 60% probability: $124.50 - $126.90 Base Case: 30% probability: $120.95 - $123.30 Bear Case: 10% probability: $115 - $117 The DeepSeek Red Herring: Speculating on the DeepSeek nonsense, the release of DeepSeek's R1 seems like an attempt to make the narrative fit the story rather than anything based on actual news: *As someone that works w/ AI every day, DeepSeek v3 has been out for a long time, and R1 was released over a week ago. There isn't anything new about this story. *This likely points to a coordinated dump of NVDA by 'whales' during premarket hours to push price action, and China has enough sway in the US markets to perform such a sway after hours. More than 12% of the 16.9% drop occurred in a short period before the market opened - limiting the influence/access of retail investors and thereby maximizing their leverage/power over the market. *This could be a preemptive move by China in a financial cold war that has been developing. Trump recently touted investing $.5T in stargate (ai), and has proposed tariffs of 10% on all chinese goods starting in just 4 days (Feb 1st) *NVDA is the perfect target to send a message. Most of their production is in Taiwan, and we know how China feels about that. The fact that China can't purchase their super chips is a big slap in the face. It'd be like China growing a bunch of crops in Idaho, only to not sell any food to the US while the US is starving. *It's a known fact that bots place the majority of trades on the US market these days. China is a master at reverse engineering tech (if not outright stealing it). Knowing what triggers market bots would be easier than supplying a fake narrative. Nothing about DeepSeek being the reason for the drop passes the smell test if for no other reason than from a logical standpoint...a couple If/Then scenarios: 1) If Deepseek did develop a model for $6M (which would be both insane and extremely unlikely) using outdated tech - Then NVDA's response that they should have their export restrictions removed and the 2nd largest AI market open to them is legitimate. Sales would skyrocket. 2) If this is Chinese misinformation and they're lying about using the A100 chips or the development costs, then why would they do that? 3) If China can't develop their own model without the A100s, what would they do to gain access to them? Then I think they steal the model - either the o1 (openAI) or llama (meta) model and tinkered with it just enough to optimize it as it's performance results are almost identical to openAI's o1 model - DeepSeek's Founder admits "there are no secrets in AI". While models can run on outdated hardware, you can't develop new models in a timely fashion on anything other than the A100s because they're 20x more powerful than the previous chips. The question is was this China's attempt to trigger a black swan event in the US markets prior to the tariffs being enacted - a financial cold war if you will.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DontListenToThisClown
30
Nvidia Shares Plunge More Than 17% Nvidia’s stock has experienced a significant drop in price in recent hours due to growing concerns about new competition from China, represented by the startup DeepSeek. This Asian startup is positioning itself to offer services similar to those of current AI industry leaders but at a much lower cost. Additionally, its open-source model, unlike competitors such as OpenAI , has generated high expectations, marking a new competitive challenge from China to the U.S. in this sector. Nvidia has led the steep declines in the tech sector in the short term. Range Breakout: Recent selling pressure has caused a breakout from a consistent lateral range that had been in place since late October 2024. The movement has been so aggressive that the price has also broken below the 100-period moving average and is now struggling with the 200-period moving average. If the strong bearish pressure continues in the coming sessions, it could jeopardize the long-standing upward trend visible on the daily chart prior to this event. RSI: The RSI indicator line has quickly adopted a bearish slope, moving decisively away from the neutral level of 50. However, recent price action has brought the line closer to the oversold zone at 30 , suggesting that the momentum of the current decline is significantly imbalanced. This could pave the way for small upward corrections in the short term. Key Levels: $114: Current support level corresponding to neutral zones from August and September 2024. Bearish oscillations breaking below this level could strengthen selling pressure and establish a sustained bearish bias in the market. However, this zone could also trigger new upward corrections in the coming sessions. $131: The nearest resistance level, coinciding with the 100-period moving average. Oscillations near this level could restore market neutrality and potentially lead to a new lateral channel. $144 : Distant resistance level. Oscillations reaching this level again would bring the strong long-term bullish trend back into focus. By Julian Pineda, CFA - Market Analyst
NASDAQ:NVDA
by FOREXcom
NVDA LESSON Now We Hunt For A DISCOUNT Nvidia⚪️ NVDA Another example of traders getting trapped at the high. ⚪️ Also a prime example of traders entering pre 150 break. We don't need level 2 data to know how HUMANS WILL ACT. HUMAN BEHAVIOUR IS PREDICTABLE. ✅️That is an edge we can use too................ 🟢 Every trend starts with a breakout and yes if you take everyone you will never miss the NEXT BIG MOVE BUT..... 🟢 By doing so you will inevitabley give up a high win rate, and the fact is that most humans would rather be RIGHT than make MONEY. ⭐️THAT IS JUST SIMPLE HUMAN BEHAVIOUR.⭐️ IT'S STRANGE BUT TRUE⭐️ 🌎Most traders would rather sacrifice more profit for a HIGHER WIN RATE🌍 Some of the most PROFITABLE TRADERS & INVESTORS in the WORLD have a WIN RATE BELOW 50%.❕️ ❗️LET THAT SINK IT...❗️ ⚠️ 🟢SeekingPips🟢 SAYS SAVE THIS GOLD LESSON NOW YOU CAN THANK ME LATER⚠️
NASDAQ:NVDA
by seekingpips
NVIDIA: Crashed on the 1D MA200 after 2 years. Last stand.NVIDIA is approaching oversold valuations on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 35.351, MACD = -0.820, ADX = 27.301) following the DeepSeek news and breached its 1D MA200 for the first time in 2 years. It was January 13th 2023 when we last saw the price trading on this trendline. The 1W MA50 is just a click under and there is no other way to put it than this being NVDA's last hold. The stock is at -23% from its ATH and the pattern that has to hold in order to provide an immediate rebound is the Megaphone whose LL trendline we just hit today. As long as this holds and the 1D RSI starts reversing near the oversold level, NVIDIA should technically test the 153.00 Resistance in a month or so. Failure to hold this pattern and a weekly candle closing under the 1W MA50, may result in a bubble burst and test of the 101.50 and 91.50 support levels. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by InvestingScope
3
NVIDIA This is the final call for $240.NVIDIA corporation (NVDA) has been trading within a Channel Up for the past 2 years and just last Monday it made contact with its bottom (Higher Lows trend-line). As long as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) remains intact, the bullish trend will be maintained. On top of that, the price action has just completed a pattern, which in the last two times we saw it (Q3 2024 and Q4 2023), it initiated a rally. With the Channel's Bullish Legs being at least of a +86.50% increase, we expect NVIDIA to target at least $240 by May. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by TradingShot
7
Nvidia. Analysis and Price Forecast: A Strategic OutlookIntroduction: Nvidia Inc. (NASDAQ: NVDA) continues to be at the forefront of the AI and semiconductor revolution, showcasing robust innovation and a compelling business model. This analysis leverages advanced tools such as TheWaved™ and utilizes VSA Analysis, Technical Indicators, Price Action, and Fundamental Analysis to craft a comprehensive forecast. Recent Price Movements and Key Patterns: 1. Candle Pattern Analysis: From the provided patterns sequence data: January 13, 2025, 14:00: Pattern: "Increased Buy Volumes" Movement: +6.69% from open to close, suggesting strong buyer activity and market confidence. January 10, 2025, 16:00: Pattern: "Buy Volumes Take Over" Movement: -5.7%, indicating potential sell-offs after profit-taking. These patterns highlight the recent tug-of-war between buyers and sellers, creating opportunities for strategic entries and exits. 2. Key Levels and Trend Analysis: From technicals: Current Price: $135.19 Resistance Levels: Short-Term: $139.48 (MA200 on the hourly chart) Mid-Term: $141.15 (MA100) Support Levels: Immediate: $127.30 Key Support Zone: $123.69-$127.30 Nvidia's price is trading below critical moving averages (e.g., MA50 and MA200), suggesting a potential rebound or consolidation phase before further directional movement. Multi-Dimensional Analysis: 1. Volume Spread Analysis (VSA): Analysis: Strong buy patterns are evident, with significant volume upticks near critical support zones. This implies institutional interest in accumulation phases. Prediction: Anticipate continuation of buying pressure if price stabilizes above $135. Resistance at $140 may pose challenges in the short term. 2. Fundamental Insights: Nvidia’s Q4 earnings report showed record revenue driven by AI GPU demand. Major customers in cloud computing and automotive industries continue to bolster growth. However, rising interest rates and potential geopolitical risks (e.g., China’s tech policies) might pressure valuations. 3. Price Action Analysis: Recent bullish engulfing candles near $127 indicate buyer confidence. Price may revisit $130 before testing $140. Breaking $140 could pave the way to retest $150 (January’s absolute high). Projections: Short-Term (1 Week): Target: $138.50 Stop-Loss: $132.00 Rationale: A breakout above MA50 ($136.93) will signal short-term bullish momentum. Mid-Term (1 Month): Target: $145.00 Stop-Loss: $130.00 Rationale: Stabilization above $140 supported by institutional buying and potential macroeconomic support. Long-Term (3-6 Months): Target: $160.00 Stop-Loss: $125.00 Rationale: Continued demand for Nvidia’s GPUs in AI and automotive applications combined with broader tech sector recovery. Strategic Recommendations: Support Levels: - 1. 127.3 2. 123.69 3. 113.9 4. 90.4855 5. 87.88 Resistance Levels: - 1. 127.3 2. 123.69 3. 113.9 4. 90.4855 5. 87.88 Powerful Support Levels: - Powerful Resistance Levels: - 1. 89.599 2. 89.599 3. 63.974 4. 63.974 5. 48.462 Above $160: Consider reducing positions to hedge against potential market corrections. 3. Stop-Loss & Risk Management: Strict stop-loss at $130 for short-term trades. Trail stops to lock profits as price moves favorably. Tools and Insights: Analysis powered by TheWaved™, leveraging decades of professional experience and cutting-edge analytics. Key insights have been shared to align with both retail and institutional perspectives. Call to Action: For personalized queries or deeper insights into Nvidia’s price action, feel free to reach out via direct message. Explore our tools and indicators through the link in our profile. Concept of Rays Explanation of the "Rays from the Beginning of Movement" Concept Core Idea My proprietary analysis method is based on using rays constructed on Fibonacci mathematical and geometric principles. These rays create a system of dynamic levels that help predict precise asset movements and identify key zones where price interactions occur. Price interaction with these rays signals probable scenarios: either a reversal or a continuation of movement, but only after interaction and the appearance of dynamic factors and patterns. Why Predicting Specific Levels is Not Possible Financial markets are nonlinear systems, where price movement is determined by numerous variables, including market volumes, liquidity, macroeconomic factors, and participant psychology. Instead of attempting to predict specific levels, I propose analyzing probabilities of price reaction at pre-calculated key zones. Price interaction with rays provides additional insights into the direction and strength of movement. Disclaimer: This analysis reflects the author’s perspective based on available data and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risks; ensure proper due diligence. Follow TheWaved for more actionable insights!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by brandlabelden
1
Nvidia at $220 in 2025 ?Key Drivers for NVIDIA's Growth: Surging AI Demand: NVIDIA's GPUs are integral to training sophisticated AI models. The company's latest Blackwell GPUs are sold out for the next 12 months due to unprecedented demand from major tech companies, underscoring NVIDIA's pivotal role in AI advancements. Data Center Expansion: NVIDIA's data center revenue has experienced remarkable growth, with a 409% increase driven by the escalating need for AI chips. This trend highlights the company's dominance in the data center GPU market. Strategic Collaborations: NVIDIA's involvement in Project Stargate, a significant U.S. AI infrastructure initiative led by SoftBank and OpenAI, is expected to drive future revenue and alleviate concerns about peak compute demand, contributing to NVIDIA's long-term growth. Analyst Confidence: The consensus among Wall Street analysts is a "Strong Buy" rating for NVIDIA, with an average 12-month price target of $176.86, indicating a 20.3% upside from the current price. Bullish Price Target: Considering these factors, a bullish price target for NVIDIA over the next 12 months could easily be $220. This projection aligns with the high forecast among analysts and reflects confidence in NVIDIA's sustained growth trajectory. Conclusion: NVIDIA's strategic positioning in the AI sector, robust data center growth, and strong market sentiment make it a promising investment for those seeking exposure to the burgeoning AI industry. Please note that this is just my view and is not financial advice.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Charts_M7M
Nvidia: FluctuationOver the past two weeks, NVDA has exhibited increased fluctuation within the boundaries of the current key levels: the resistance at $152.89 and the support at $126.34. Initially, the price seemed to favor our alternative scenario, but it managed to reverse just in time. Following a dip to $129, the stock rebounded swiftly. Our primary assumption remains that the beige wave III should eventually break above the $152.89 resistance. However, there is still a 33% chance that the expected rises will be delayed by a new low of the blue wave alt.(IV). This alternative scenario will prevail if the stock falls below the $126.34 support level.
NASDAQ:NVDA
by MarketIntel
Market Analysis: NVDAMarket Analysis: NVIDIA Over the past three to four months, NVIDIA Corporation ( NASDAQ:NVDA NVDA) has demonstrated solid performance, with its stock price increasing by approximately 4.96%. This steady growth reflects the company’s strong position in the technology sector, driven by its dominance in GPU production, AI advancements, and cloud computing. The release of its latest financial results and continued demand for AI-related technologies have kept investor confidence high. However, market volatility and broader concerns in the tech sector may have tempered the pace of its gains. Overall, NVDA remains a key player to watch, especially as AI adoption accelerates globally. Why has the title been stuck in the same range for over 90 days? Let's always keep in mind that NVDA, from the low it reached in 2022, has now experienced an increase of about 1200%, so a sideways phase is completely normal, if not expected! Let’s take a look at the chart since May 25, 2023 (599 days // 317%) We can observe how the uptrend has always been accompanied by a very important trendline, which has now been retested and invalidated, all marked by a particularly unfavorable signal: a candle that opens higher, setting a new all-time high, and closes in the negative. Nonetheless, NVDA has consistently exhibited a similar pattern – large uptrends, leaving gaps open almost everywhere, and long sideways phases, which usually lead to a breakout driven by earnings announcements. Let’s look at the examples the market provides us: We have the first upward move (1st), driven by earnings results that cause a gap up of about 20%, followed by a wide trading range in which the price remains trapped. Later (2nd), a strong bullish phase, and finally another sideways phase (3rd), all with very wide ranges! Now, the current zone is a difficult one to analyze because initially it seemed to be a bullish zone, but now appears to be more of a consolidation… So, the situation we find ourselves in now is another moment for a buy or a trend change? Let us know your thoughts in the comments!
NASDAQ:NVDA
by TIMINGTRADE
NVIDIA - The best performing copany ,enjoy a Christmas RallyHi guys, we are looking into NVIDIA, the world's most successful company which has had a tremendeous year, looking to close it with fantastic results. Currently we are sitting in a low level oversold area on the RSI , which gives us a technical overview of forming an Ascending Channel from here onwards. Currently the Interest Rate decision by the FED will give us a necesasry boost to uplift the prices from this point forwards. Entry on market open: 134.03 Target 1: 140.98 Target 2: 150.78 As always my friends happy trading! P.S. If you have questions or inquiries about one of my existing set-ups or personal questions / 1 on 1 sessions consider joining my channel so you can follow up with me in private!
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by DG55Capital
What’s Next for NVDA: $142 or $123?Good morning Trading Family Here’s the game plan: if NVDA moves above $133.50, we could see it climb to $134.50, then correct back down to $123. If it breaks $129.33, it might drop to the $123 range. But if it pushes past $137, we could see it head toward $142. This Sunday, I’m hosting a webinar on how emotions can hurt your trading and how to take control of your mindset for better results. Send me a message or check out my profile for details. If this added value to your trading, like, comment, and share it with someone who needs it. Kris/Mindbloome Exchange Trade What You See
NASDAQ:NVDA
by Mindbloome-Trading
BUY NVDA (130-135)NVIDIA (NVDA) is currently trading within a well-defined channel and is approaching a strong support zone between $130 and $135, a level where buyers have historically stepped in. The recent rejection from the $155 resistance suggests a potential rebound from the lower range. This setup provides a bullish trade opportunity, with an entry around $130-$135 and a target of $170, offering a favorable risk-to-reward ratio. A stop-loss below $125 is recommended to manage risk. Signal: Buy Zone: $130 - $135 Target Price: $170 Stop-Loss: $125 If this analysis resonates with you, please like, follow, and share your insights in the comments to support more content like this.
PYTH:NVDALong
by Quinn901
1
Nvidia: Nvidia is still at the top!In the daily timeframe, Nudia stock is above EMA200 and EMA50 and is moving in its upward channel. In case of valid failure of the support range, we can see the downward trend of this share. On the other hand, within the demand zone, you can make purchases for investment purposes with a suitable risk reward. The stocks of the seven tech giants, often referred to as the Magnificent 7, have grown approximately 30 times over the past decade—more than twice the growth seen in any previous market bubble. Notably, the term “Magnificent 7” was first coined by a Bank of America analyst in early 2023. Therefore, no one could have exclusively invested in these companies a decade ago, as this categorization didn’t exist at the time. To compare this growth with other market indices, we can look at the Nasdaq 100 in the 1990s, which grew 12 times before the dot-com bubble burst.A significant part of this recent growth is attributed to the surging stock price of NVIDIA. The company has surpassed Apple to become the world’s largest by market value. Since 2019, NVIDIA’s stock has skyrocketed by 3,776%, creating unprecedented wealth among its employees: • 78% of employees are now millionaires. • Half of them possess assets worth over $25 million. However, behind these massive payouts lies a relentless work culture. Employees have reported working seven-day weeks and shifts at 2 AM. The current challenge is motivating “semi-retired” employees whose wealth has diminished their engagement levels. Despite this, NVIDIA maintains an employee turnover rate of just 2.7%, compared to the industry average of 17.7%. The company also ranked second in Glassdoor’s “Best Places to Work” for 2024. NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang has stated that the performance of the company’s AI chips is advancing faster than the historical rates defined by Moore’s Law. Speaking at CES in Las Vegas to an audience of 10,000, Huang told TechCrunch, “Our systems are advancing much faster than Moore’s Law.” Moore’s Law, introduced in 1965 by Intel co-founder Gordon Moore, predicted that the number of transistors on a chip would roughly double every year, effectively doubling the chip’s performance. This prediction held true for decades, driving rapid advancements and cost reductions, but the trend has slowed in recent years. However, Huang claims that NVIDIA’s AI chips are advancing at an even faster rate. He further announced that the company’s new data center superchip is over 30 times faster than its predecessor for AI inference tasks. Huang added, “We can design the architecture, chip, system, libraries, and algorithms simultaneously. If you do that, you can move faster than Moore’s Law.” He also revealed that MediaTek, a Taiwan-based semiconductor company and one of the largest producers of chipsets for mobile devices and other electronics, is now leveraging NVIDIA’s technology for its products. Huang praised MediaTek’s expertise in designing system-on-chip (SoC) solutions, stating that this collaboration could drive significant technological advancements and innovation. At CES, Huang introduced new products and highlighted the emerging concept of “physical AI” as the next frontier in artificial intelligence. This domain includes humanoid robots and autonomous vehicles, both requiring advanced processing chips like those NVIDIA provides. Analysts predict that by 2050, there will be approximately 648 million humanoid robots worldwide, all relying on complex models to navigate the world. To sustain its growth, NVIDIA is focusing on expanding into new addressable markets (TAMs) while increasing its share in the AI chip market. Huang noted that physical AI is reaching a transformative moment similar to what ChatGPT achieved.
NASDAQ:NVDALong
by Ali_PSND