NVIDIA Analysis - Personal viewNVIDIA remains a leader in AI-driven markets, benefiting from demand for GPUs in data centers, gaming, and AI development. Its AI and machine-learning capabilities are shaping industries like autonomous vehicles and healthcare. However, valuation concerns and risks tied to macroeconomic shifts or supply chain vulnerabilities may pressure the stock.
Looking ahead to 2025, my personal target for NVIDIA lies between $200 and $250. This range reflects a cautious approach, factoring in potential earnings normalization, adjustments in investor sentiment, and the broader tech sector's resilience in an evolving economic environment.
*This is not financial advice.
Nvidia
The 3 Reasons To Buy Nvidia StockNvidia is coming back to the markets
and its going to be exciting to see
how this stock will perform
This December
earlier
today i wrote about how I was so
fearful about only trading bitcoin
as a source of income
in the capital markets even though
I will try to document on the stock market
because I know you may have some interest in
trading stocks.
And so once in a while, I will document
on stocks if the price action as a swing trader.
if its too good not to ignore but
sadly I will not participate in the trades.
Do you remember the
rocket booster strategy?
It has the following 3 steps:
#1-The price has to be above the 50 SMA
#2-The price has to be above the 200 SMA
#3-The price should gap up in a trend
The last step is important because we are buying
the stock at a cheap price.
as you can see from looking at
the MACD histogram indicator
below this chart NASDAQ:NVDA
this is what you will see on this chart
Do you remember what boosts this
strategy?
Its candle stick patterns
If you want to learn more about trading
rocket boost this content.
Trade safe.
Disclaimer: Do not use a high margin above x5
also, trading is risky please learn risk management and profit
taking strategies
Also feel free to use a simulation trading tool
to improve your trading before
you trade with real money.
The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024The EUR/USD forecast for reaching 1.11 by December 2024 might seem ambitious given current trends, but let's delve into why this could indeed happen:
Economic Recovery in the EU: Recent posts on X highlight expectations around the ECB's monetary policy. If the European Central Bank continues to adjust rates in response to economic recovery signals, a stronger Euro might follow. Discussions around inflation cooling off and potential rate adjustments suggest a more robust Eurozone economy, which traditionally supports a higher EUR/USD rate.
Political Stability and Sentiment: With the U.S. political landscape shifting due to the Democratic nomination of Kamala Harris for the 2024 election, there's a narrative shift. While not directly economic, political stability or perceived changes in policy direction can influence currency strength. If her campaign promises economic policies that might strengthen the Euro against the Dollar, this could be a psychological boost for EUR/USD.
Market Sentiment and Speculation: There's noticeable chatter on platforms like X about EUR/USD movements. Speculation can drive markets; if traders and investors start betting on a stronger Euro due to any positive economic data or geopolitical shifts, this speculative buying could push the rate towards 1.11.
Technical Analysis: Some analysts have pointed out key resistance and support levels. Breaking through these levels, especially with momentum, could set new targets. If EUR/USD manages to convincingly breach the 1.09 resistance and maintain that level, the next psychological target becomes 1.10, with 1.11 not far beyond in terms of market psychology.
Interest Rate Differentials: If the ECB's rate adjustments lead to a narrowing of the interest rate differential with the Fed, capital flow might favor the Euro more, pushing its value up against the Dollar. Given historical trends, even a small change in rate expectations could significantly impact the forex market.
Global Economic Factors: Broader economic conditions, like improvements in European trade balances, could bolster the Euro. If the EU manages to show resilience or growth in sectors previously affected by global downturns, this could reflect positively on the EUR.
Seasonal Trends and Market Calendar: There's often a lull before the end-of-year where markets might move based on year-end portfolio adjustments. If there's a sentiment that the Euro will strengthen, this could be the period where movements towards 1.11 get traction due to year-end positioning.
NVIDIA - Still a few chips in the bag! 35% UpsideChart #11/ 40: NASDAQ:NVDA 💾
-Bull Flag Breakout with retest
-H5 Indicator is Green
-Williams Consolidation Box has broken support. If the H5 Indicator rolls over to red at the same time it's a SELL
-Hasn't reached Bull Flag Measured Move yet.
📏 $189.52 ⏳ Before April2025
NFA
NVIDIA $NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024NVIDIA NASDAQ:NVDA | NVIDIA EARNINGS REPORT Nov. 20th, 2024
BUY/LONG ZONE (GREEN): $148.75 - $165.00
DO NOT TRADE/DNT ZONE (WHITE): $138.00 - $148.75
SELL/SHORT ZONE (RED): $118.25 - $138.00
Weekly: Bullish
Daily: Bullish
4H: Bullish
NASDAQ:NVDA reports earnings today, these are the areas that I will look for significant price movement at. The market is anticipating around an 8.5% move, roughly an $11.50 move in either direction, based on ATM option prices, or an 11%-12% move, roughly $16.50 move in either direction, based on volatility calculations.
This is what I would personally look at before entering trades, everything is subject to change on a daily basis and as I analyze different timeframes and ideas.
ENTERTAINMENT PURPOSES ONLY, NOT FINANCIAL ADVICE!
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The Probabilities are stacking up that Nvidia has ToppedAs I have long forecasted, Nvidia is coming into a top of either primary or intermediate degree proportion. The answer to that burning question of mine I believe gets answered in the depth of the price action's retracement lower.
Determining this answer, for me personally as an analyst, is whether or not that eventual retrace can hold above the $90.68 level, which as of this morning stands at 34% lower...so by no means am I looking at this as a mere retracement. 34% is nothing if not significant.
Along the way, we're more informed in the confidence of this forecasted pathway, if price breaches the important $128.74 level. Upon seeing such price action, I believe in the weeks (or months) ahead we could see Nvidia's price action first test $102.73 area. To hold that level and reverse in a micro 5-wave pattern, could bring about our final advance into the $170 (+) area for a long term top. That top I am forecasting in years...not months.
To breakdown below $102.73 could see us decline to as low as the low $70's before a corrective (but Tradeable) rally takes place.
Best to all,
Chris
SMCI one of the most high value opportunity on the Stock MarketSMCI: Bridging Gaps, Powering Growth!
Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) has nailed two key market gaps at 22.85 and 38.14, proving its strength and resilience. These milestones aren’t just numbers—they’re launchpads for SMCI’s explosive growth in high-performance computing. With innovation driving demand, SMCI isn’t just playing the game—it’s redefining it. Stay ahead—SMCI is the stock to watch!
Targets covered :
1. 23.85$ Per Share
2. 38.14$ Per Share
3. 49.49$ Per Share
4. 63.45$ Per Share
5. 85.03$ Per Share
6. 97.36$ Per Share
The 1st and 2nd targets have been of extreme importance because they were very key gaps that we caused by Fundamental events connected with SMCI, which have already been covered, so we are moving in a strong motion towards our next stop at 49.49$ Per share, please join my group of which we follow up in depth this Stock and many more!!
NVDA | Unpacking NVIDIA’s Q3 FY25Building the Matrix, One GPU at a Time
This week, NVIDIA unveiled its October quarter results, capturing global attention as analysts closely monitored the stock's movements. While Wall Street often emphasizes short-term performance, a broader perspective highlights NVIDIA's remarkable rise. Over two years, its stock value has multiplied tenfold, outpacing tech giants like Alphabet and Amazon in profitability and edging closer to Microsoft and Apple in net income—a meteoric ascent for the history books.
The AI Inflection Point
NVIDIA's transformation began in November 2022 when OpenAI launched ChatGPT, described by CEO Jensen Huang as AI's "iPhone moment." Fast-forward two years, and NVIDIA's latest Blackwell GPU architecture is scaling up production, meeting surging demand. As Huang explained, "The age of AI is in full steam," driven by foundational model training and inference advancements. Two major trends underpin this shift:
-Platform evolution:Transitioning from traditional coding to machine learning.
-Emergence of AI factories:New industries powered by generative AI applications.
AI native startups are booming, and successful inference services are proliferating. If AI's trajectory mirrors the mobile revolution, this is akin to 2009 a pivotal moment with much more innovation ahead.
Q3 FY25 Highlights
NVIDIA's fiscal year ends in January, and the recently concluded October quarter (Q3 FY25) demonstrated strong momentum:
- Revenue: $35.1 billion (+17% quarter-over-quarter), exceeding expectations by $2 billion.
- Segment growth:**
- Data Center: +17% QoQ ($30.8 billion).
- Gaming: +14% QoQ ($3.3 billion).
- Automotive: +30% QoQ ($0.4 billion).
- Margins: Gross margin at 75%, operating margin at 62%.
- Cash flow: Operating cash flow of $17.6 billion; free cash flow of $16.8 billion.
- Q4 FY25 Guidance: Anticipates +7% revenue growth ($37.5 billion).
Key Drivers and Insights
-Data Center Dominance:Contributing 88% of overall revenue, driven by Hopper GPUs and the anticipated Blackwell production ramp.
-Gaming Growth:Propelled by GeForce RTX GPU demand and back-to-school sales.
-Automotive Innovation:Growth fueled by AI-powered autonomous driving solutions.
-Margins:Slight compression due to Blackwell production ramp, with recovery expected as production scales.
Looking ahead, demand for NVIDIA's Hopper and Blackwell GPUs outpaces supply, likely remaining constrained into FY26. However, challenges loom, including intensifying competition from AMD and custom AI chips.
The AI Scaling Debate
Skeptics argue AI scalability may be approaching its limits, but Huang is optimistic, citing advancements in reinforcement learning and inference-time scaling. He emphasized that AI's growth is driven by empirical laws, suggesting scalability could be extended through methods like post-training and test-time scaling.
CEO and CFO Perspectives
- Huang likens modern data centers to "AI factories," producing intelligence like power plants generate electricity.
- The shift to "physical AI" unlocks applications in industrial and robotics sectors, powered by NVIDIA's Omniverse.
- Blackwell GPUs are delivering significant cost reductions and accelerating AI workloads.
Investment Outlook
Despite valuation concerns, NVIDIA's profitability is tangible. However, the company's reliance on sustained GPU demand and a concentrated customer base presents risks. Meanwhile, competition from AMD is intensifying.
Final Thoughts
If ChatGPT was AI's "iPhone moment," the transformation is just beginning. Like the app economy in 2009, the AI-first revolution is poised to unlock entirely new markets and reshape industries. NVIDIA's leadership positions it at the forefront of this multi-trillion-dollar opportunity.
NVIDIA I Set for Potential 20%+ Upside – Key Level Buy Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
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NAS100 - Nasdaq will stabilize above 21 anytime?!The index is above the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is trading in its ascending channel. If the index rises towards the specified supply zone, you can look for Nasdaq sell positions to target the bottom of the ascending channel. Nasdaq buying positions will be at the bottom of the channel and the demand zone after the continuation of the corrective movement
The housing sector was in the spotlight last week. The market has regained attention following an unexpected surge in mortgage rates, which have risen by nearly 75 basis points since the Federal Reserve’s first rate cut during its September meeting. According to Freddie Mac, the average rate for 30-year mortgages climbed to 6.8% in the week ending November 21, offsetting much of the reductions seen in August and September.
Existing home sales increased by 3.4% in October, breaking a two-month decline. However, it’s important to note that October’s data largely reflects homebuying activity from late September, a period when mortgage rates were trending downward.
Despite this rise, the annualized sales rate of 3.96 million units in October remains sluggish. By comparison, the 2021 average was about 6.1 million units, with current declines largely attributed to higher yields on mortgage-backed securities (MBS).
Consumers remain relatively resilient, continuing to spend at a strong pace. October’s retail sales data exceeded expectations with a 0.4% increase, supported by upward revisions to previous figures. This trend indicates that households are entering the holiday season under favorable economic conditions.
In the upcoming week, durable goods orders data is anticipated. This segment, particularly aircraft orders, has experienced significant volatility in recent months. Challenges in the aviation industry are among the main reasons for this instability. While strikes may have impacted production last month, Boeing data reveals that only 63 new aircraft orders were placed in October, roughly matching the prior month’s figure. As a result, conditions in October are expected to have stabilized somewhat.
Overall, demand appears to be leveling out, yet uncertainties regarding corporate investment spending persist. Although borrowing costs and interest rates have been decreasing, the extent and intensity of these declines remain uncertain. Federal Reserve officials have recently acknowledged that, due to strong economic data and sticky inflation, rate cuts in the coming months are likely to proceed gradually and at a slower pace. Additionally, even though U.S. elections have concluded, it is still unclear which policies, particularly tariffs, will be implemented.
This week, several regional indicators—such as the Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index, the Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index, and the Chicago Fed National Activity Index—will be released. Monitoring these data points could provide a clearer picture of the U.S. economy’s health and serve as leading indicators for assessing upcoming economic releases.
Fed Chair Jerome Powell recently indicated that both headline and core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) indexes are expected to rise from 2.1% to 2.3% and from 2.7% to 2.8%, respectively, in October. If these projections materialize, the Fed may still proceed with a rate cut in December.
Should the PCE report fail to offer clear guidance on the Fed’s next move, investors will turn their attention to the minutes from the November monetary policy meeting, which will be released on the same day. Additionally, other critical data, such as personal income and spending, durable goods orders, and the second estimate of Q3 GDP growth, will be published on Wednesday.
According to CME data, market participants estimate a 56% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut in the upcoming Fed meeting on December 18, while a 44% chance of holding rates steady is also considered. These probabilities could shift with the release of more data ahead of the meeting. Furthermore, the minutes from the November FOMC meeting are also expected this week.
NVIDIA 200 BY 2025 Reasons Why NVIDIA Could Reach $200 by 2025
NVIDIA (NVDA) has been at the forefront of technological innovation, particularly in the realms of AI and graphics processing, positioning it well for significant stock price growth. Here are several reasons why NVIDIA's stock might hit $200 by 2025:
Dominance in AI and Data Center Markets:
NVIDIA's GPUs are the backbone for many AI and machine learning applications. Their leadership in this space, especially with the advent of AI-driven technologies across industries, is expected to keep revenue growth robust. The company's data center segment has seen exponential growth, with analysts predicting a continued upward trend due to the increasing demand for computing power in AI applications.
Strategic Product Roadmap:
NVIDIA's product pipeline, including the Blackwell architecture, is anticipated to propel the company forward. The Blackwell chips, expected to launch in 2025, are designed to push performance boundaries for AI applications, potentially capturing more market share and driving revenue. The expectation around these new architectures creates a bullish outlook for NVIDIA's stock.
Strong Financial Performance:
NVIDIA's financial results have consistently outperformed expectations. For instance, Q2 FY 2025 saw a revenue increase of 122% year over year, demonstrating the company's ability to maintain high growth rates. Despite a natural slowdown expected due to tougher year-over-year comparisons, the company's growth is still projected to be impressive at around 43% for FY 2026, supporting a narrative of sustained stock price appreciation.
High Barriers to Entry and Market Moats:
The complexity and performance of NVIDIA's offerings create high barriers for competitors, ensuring NVIDIA's market leadership. Analysts highlight NVIDIA's 24-month technological lead in AI GPUs, with high switching costs for customers locked into NVIDIA's ecosystem. This moat is expected to support premium pricing and market share retention, which could translate into stock value growth.
Analyst Optimism:
Numerous Wall Street analysts have set price targets for NVIDIA well above its current levels, with some predicting it could hit $200 or more by 2025. These forecasts are based on NVIDIA's strong fundamentals, technological edge, and market position in AI and computing solutions.
Market Sentiment and Valuation:
Even though NVIDIA's stock trades at a premium valuation (62 times trailing earnings as of recent data), analysts believe that its growth trajectory justifies this price. If NVIDIA continues to meet or exceed growth expectations, its valuation could expand further, driving the stock price towards $200. However, achieving this target would require either a significant earnings surge or a market sentiment favoring even higher multiples for tech growth stocks.
Global AI Adoption:
Posts on X highlight the ongoing global shift towards AI, with NVIDIA at the forefront. The demand for NVIDIA's computing solutions is expected to grow as AI becomes more integral to various sectors, from automotive to cloud computing, thereby supporting stock price growth.
Better alternative for Nvidia NASDAQ:AMD might be a better alternative to NASDAQ:NVDA right now. Here are a few reasons why:
1. AMD has recently demonstrated stronger data center growth compared to Nvidia.
2. Nvidia appears to have reached a peak, with its revenue growth unlikely to remain as significant as before.
3. Nvidia's growth margins are slowing and even showing slight declines.
4. Nvidia's high stock price lacks a clear outlook for substantial gains.
Considering these points, I believe AMD has the potential to outperform Nvidia in the coming months. However, AMD first needs to break out of its current downtrend. If that happens, I plan to reduce my Nvidia position and allocate it to AMD.
How Will Nvidia's Stellar Quarter Impact the Future of Tech InveNvidia Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA) experienced a rollercoaster ride as investors grappled with its impressive third-quarter earnings report. While the chip giant delivered a strong performance, the market's reaction was somewhat muted, highlighting the high expectations placed on the company.
A Quarter of Record-Breaking Growth
The surge in revenue was primarily driven by the robust demand for Nvidia's high-performance GPUs, which are essential for powering artificial intelligence (AI) and machine learning applications. The company's data center segment, in particular, saw exponential growth, fueled by the increasing adoption of AI in various industries.
A Cautious Market Response
Despite the impressive results, Nvidia's stock price fluctuated throughout the day. While the initial market reaction was positive, with shares rising in pre-market trading, the momentum soon faded. Some analysts attributed this to the high expectations set by Nvidia's consistent outperformance in recent quarters.
Another factor that may have influenced the market's reaction was Nvidia's outlook for the fourth quarter. While the company provided a revenue forecast that exceeded analyst expectations, some investors may have been hoping for even more aggressive guidance.
Long-Term Growth Prospects Remain Strong
Despite the short-term volatility, Nvidia's long-term growth prospects remain robust. The company's dominance in the AI and machine learning market, coupled with its strong financial position, positions it well to capitalize on the ongoing technological revolution.
As AI advances and becomes more pervasive, the demand for high-performance computing solutions is expected to soar. With their superior performance and energy efficiency, Nvidia's GPUs are ideally suited to meet this growing demand.
Key Takeaways from Nvidia's Earnings Report
• Record Revenue: Nvidia's third-quarter revenue of $35.08 billion surpassed expectations and marked a significant year-over-year increase.
• Strong Data Center Performance: The data center segment was a major growth driver, fueled by the increasing adoption of AI and machine learning.
• Cautious Market Reaction: Despite the strong results, the market's reaction was muted, reflecting high investor expectations.
• Long-Term Growth Potential: Nvidia's strong market position and focus on innovation position it well for future growth.
As Nvidia continues to push the boundaries of technology, its stock price will likely remain volatile. However, the company's strong fundamentals and promising growth prospects make it an attractive investment opportunity for long-term investors.
NVDA Analysis – Watching Key Levels! Hello Folks
Alright, here’s what I’m seeing on NVDA. We’re still bullish for now, but I’ve marked the level where things could shift if it breaks.
First Entry: Around $140, expecting support to hold and price to bounce.
Second Entry: If price breaks $151, I’ll look to add at $148 after a retest for continuation.
Targets :
TP1: $151.69
TP2: $162.66
Stops below $136, keeping it tight in case the CHOCH level breaks and we start heading lower.
For now, the setup looks solid. Let’s see if $140 holds, or if we dip lower before the next move.
What’s your thought, folks?
Short time, target 138Following daily chart.
I am posting a couple of hours before earning.
First, I don't believe the earnings will be good enough to push the price more. Also, I am following 3 different power indicators, which all gave me a short signal.
In this case, I want to use 2 different Fibonacci levels for the target, The first one is a long run from august, the other one is a short run, and both targets are around 137 for me.
TP 138
SL 147 - stop under 147 candle close.
Btw I see the same pattern in Amazon and SPX, so I am short in both 3 of them.
NVIDIA Q3 earnings exceed expectations, but stock price falls
Nvidia's third-quarter earnings surpassed market expectations. The EPS stood at 81 cents, notably higher than the market consensus of 75 cents. Total sales reached almost $35 billion, exceeding the forecast of $33 billion. This impressive performance was highlighted by a remarkable 94% increase in total sales compared to last year's period, alongside a robust 106% surge in net profit.
Despite delivering a solid third-quarter performance, Nvidia's stock price took a hit. This drop occurred as the company's fourth-quarter sales guidance fell short of Wall Street's elevated expectations. The market had projected Nvidia's fourth-quarter sales to reach $37.5 billion, but the company revealed that it would instead be at $37.1 billion.
NVDA has fallen slightly since the earnings announcement and remains around 146.00. However, the price still remains within the ascending channel, indicating momentum. If NVDA sustains an uptrend within the channel, the price may gain upward momentum toward the 150.00 high. Conversely, if NVDA breaks below the channel’s lower bound, the price may fall further to 138.30.
NVDIA - Arguments For BullsMedianlines (Pitchforks) do not forecast.
They PROJECT the most probable path of price.
At each moment in time, a "Medianline/Pitchfork Analyst" can relay on the rules and the framework they provide.
In this case I see the following arguments for a continuation to the upside:
- price is above the Center-Line
- price did test the CL two times and hold
- price was attempted to test the CL a third time, but was even too strong to reach it, and is now in this very momentum to the upside
- when price trades towards a Medain-Line but can't reach it, it's a sign that price will continue the direction it had before (up in this case). The next Target is the "next" Medianline, which is the U-MLH (Upper-Medianline-Parallel)
- price broke the blue-dashed A/R line to the upside
All said, we have to keep in mind that there is also a opposite side of the Coin. I will provide another Chart Analysis with "Arguments For Bears".
What happened? $Nvidia surged nearly 5%!!!!Reason1: Cooling of Blackwell overheating issues boosts confidence.
Concerns about overheating in Nvidia's latest high-end chip, Blackwell, had been widely discussed. However, multiple authoritative analysis firms and Nvidia's CEO Jensen Huang confirmed that these issues have been resolved. Industry analysts noted that such problems have been effectively mitigated, with negligible impact on chip performance and supply cadence. This clear positive signal has instilled confidence in investors regarding Blackwell’s stability and market prospects.
Reason2: Technological advancements raise expectations.
As Nvidia's most advanced chip to date, the complete resolution of design issues marks its research and production entering a mature phase. Coupled with its powerful computing capabilities and potential applications in AI and data centers, market expectations for the product's profitability have significantly increased, serving as a key driver of Nvidia's stock surge.
Reason3: Professional analysis alleviates concerns.
Semiconductor analysis firm-Semianalysis indicated that the supply chain adjustments related to the overheating issue were merely "minor modifications" with almost no effect on the chip's actual performance. This analysis helped the market move past excessive worries about Blackwell’s overheating issues, laying the groundwork for Nvidia to regain investor trust in the short term.
Reason4: Stock price retraces to strong support levels.
From a technical analysis perspective, the stock price moving in a bullish channel, recently retracing to an upward trend line and the 0.236 Fibonacci support level. This support has triggered a rise, indicating that previous movements were merely weak short-term corrections.
Under the combined influence of these favorable factors, Nvidia's stock jumped nearly 5% in a single day, not only boosting its own valuation but also uplifting the tech sector and the broader market. However, whether this upward trend can continue in the short term will depend on today's earnings report. For specific operational strategies, please refer to my last post : "NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 Report."
NVDA earnings 11/20NVDA cycle target 225 , but it has run a lot and is in the 3rd cycle without a major pullback.
Congestion zone 137/153
Above 153 move is 165/181
Below 137 move is 133-121/116
This is still a range bound move and coming days it needs to decide power over 153 or puke below 121.
If straight run towards 225 without any major pullback , in coming year , I would look for some good correction in overall markets