Nvidia - A Correction Of -50% Is Starting!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is reversing at a strong resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Last month Nvidia already corrected about -35% but managed to close with an indecision doji candle. However, previous cycles, the recent rally of +1.000% and the fact that Nvidia is retesting a strong resistance trendline all suggest that Nvidia will still move much lower soon.
Levels to watch: $100, $55
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)
Nvidia
NVIDIA BUY CONFIRMED!As expected in previous ideas, NVDA has decided to bottom out around $100-$111.
1. You can expect price to navigate towards the upper $120’s area
2. Upon a break through $126 there should be a stock buyback pump to $138+
3. Whenever the buyback cools down, there should be an immediate sharp correction to the lower $100 range and below. Waiting for possible Q2 earnings in 2025, or another chip update.
This is all prediction good luck ;)
NVIDIA- Be patient, Correction Not CompletedNvidia has pulled back and touched the $100 level, which aligns with the 78.6% retracement of the rise from August. This could be an important support level, especially considering that a triangle pattern is one potential scenario here. We also believe that the overall stock market, along with major indices, could remain range-bound for another week until the Fed rate decision, after which markets may finally break out of this summer range.
For now, the ABCDE triangle remains a valid scenario if the $100 level holds. However, if this level is breached, be prepared for a further dip, possibly down toward $80, where the market may stabilize with a deeper and slightly different ABC correction, reaching the previous wave four level from April of this year. In either case, I believe Nvidia is still trapped in consolidation and may not resume its uptrend just yet.
GH
NVIDIA: Bearish: Possible Head and Shoulders: Warning!NVIDIA: Bearish: Possible Head and Shoulders: Warning!
Hello everyone The Wolf of Zurich has detected a possible "head and shoulder" on Nvidia, which would bring the price down to around $42.
I have also drawn a trend line that you absolutely must watch!
The level to watch is around $98-98
Here, watch your Fibonacci levels as well as your exponential mobile means
Have a nice day everyone
Some information to know about Nvidia:
Nvidia, the world leader in graphics chips and AI, is enjoying a flourishing situation despite a recent drop in its stock price.
Here is a summary of its current situation:
-Dominant position in the AI market
Nvidia occupies a quasi-monopolistic position in the field of chips for artificial intelligence. Its GPUs, especially the H100 series, are essential for the development of cutting-edge AI systems and are selling at high prices around the world.
-Stock market performance
Despite a recent 9.53% drop in its share price, Nvidia has posted an impressive 120% increase since the beginning of the year and nearly 400% over 3 years. This one-off drop does not seem to worry analysts, who still see significant growth potential.
-Technological innovations
Nvidia recently presented its new Blackwell GPU architecture, with the B200 and GB200 processors. These chips promise performance multiplied by 5 compared to the previous generation in the field of AI. The company also reassured investors by announcing that it had resolved the production problems initially encountered.
-Future Outlook
With its dominance in AI training chips and its comprehensive software ecosystem, Nvidia appears well positioned for continued growth. The company continues to innovate and strengthen its position in the AI market, which suggests a positive outlook for the future.
US30 | Trade ideaKey Points:
Tesla: Shares fell 1.6% after a report that the company plans to produce a six-seat Model Y in China by late 2025.
Boeing: Dropped 7.3% following a downgrade from Wells Fargo to "underweight" from "equal weight."
Nvidia: Slumped nearly 10%, wiping out a record $279 billion in market value, marking the largest single-day decline for a U.S. company.
U.S. Manufacturing: Edged up in August from an eight-month low but remained subdued, according to ISM data.
Market Performance:
S&P 500 fell 2.1%
Nasdaq dropped 3.3%
Dow declined 1.5%
This marks the biggest daily percentage decline for these indexes since early August.
Nine out of 11 S&P 500 sectors fell, with technology, energy, communication services, and materials leading the decline.
Market Sentiment: Weakened amid concerns about the Federal Reserve’s interest rate decisions, with September being historically one of the worst months for stock market performance.
Volatility: The CBOE Volatility Index (VIX) jumped 33.2% to 20.72, the highest close since early August.
Trading Volume: Totaled 12.14 billion shares across U.S. exchanges, above the 20-day moving average of nearly 11 billion.
Labor Market: Traders are awaiting labor market reports ahead of the August non-farm payrolls data.
Fed Meeting: Scheduled for Sept. 17-18, with a 63% chance of a 25-basis point rate cut and a 37% chance of a 50-basis point cut, according to the CME FedWatch Tool.
Market Breadth: On the NYSE, declining issues outnumbered advancers by 2.52-to-1, while on the Nasdaq, decliners outnumbered advancers by 3.5-to-1.
FET - Pivotal Area: Bulls Need to Wake Up!If there's any chance of a turnaround, it has to be from these levels.
If the price breaks below $1, I’ll consider opening a short position targeting the most recent low of $0.80.
However, the overall picture looks more promising, so I’m looking to go long between $1 and $1.08 as the first play. If this level fails, I’ll switch to a short position, especially if CRYPTOCAP:BTC falls below $56k.
I’d also welcome a period of consolidation above $1 to reestablish this level before aiming for new highs.
To simplify:
- Bullish bids above $1
- Bearish sells below $1 :)
HEY INVESTOR! Nvidia below $100 is an absolute buy! check it outLet's welcome NVDA to our weekend analysis!
In this analysis, we're primarily focusing on two resistances that the price formed several months ago, which consequently created a gap later on, the price came back to test our blue area, which we'll call our "gap zone."
The price has been fluctuating in a bearish sequence; however, it has not yet reached our point #4 to complete the sequence we've been observing for the past few days.
If the price complete the sequence and reaches our point #4, we're looking an excellent buying opportunity below 100 dollars.
The trend is still bearish, but there are two factors that may suggest a short-term trend reversal:
First , the price has already touched our gap zone, and second , the dividend date is approaching, during which many accumulate shares to receive the dividend and then sell, leading to increased volatility for Nvidia in the coming days.
Just remember, Nvidia's intrinsic value may be positioned below 98 dollars, but if you're looking at it for the long term, this price shouldn't concern you at all.
Best wishes for success in your trading and investment!
Thankyou for supporting my analysis
Best Regards
Applied Digital Surges 64% on $160 Million Funding DealIntroduction
Applied Digital (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:APLD ), a prominent player in the data center and digital infrastructure space, has recently made headlines with a 65% surge in its stock price, following a major funding deal. The company secured $160 million from a group of investors, including tech giant Nvidia, positioning it as a significant force in the AI and High-Performance Computing (HPC) landscape. This article delves into the technical and fundamental aspects driving Applied Digital’s stock, exploring the implications of the financing deal and the company’s growth outlook.
Strengthening Financial Position
1. Strategic Financing to Fuel Growth
Applied Digital’s recent $160 million funding round is a significant vote of confidence from investors, including Nvidia, a leader in AI technology, and Related Companies, a major real estate firm specializing in complex infrastructure. This influx of capital strengthens Applied Digital’s financial position, enabling it to expand its data center operations and cloud solutions. The company aims to become a major player in the AI and HPC sectors by enhancing its capacity and infrastructure.
2. Record-Setting Developments
Applied Digital’s focus on building advanced data centers tailored for AI workloads sets it apart from competitors. The company is developing one of the world’s largest data centers and plans to add an additional 300MW of data center capacity. Leveraging cutting-edge technologies such as closed-loop liquid cooling and stranded power sources, Applied Digital aims to deliver hyper-efficient platforms optimized for demanding AI and HPC workloads.
3. Strong Partnerships and Market Position
The partnership with Nvidia, which extends beyond investment to technological collaboration, solidifies Applied Digital’s standing as a preferred cloud partner for AI projects. This relationship enhances the company's ability to attract hyperscale clients and secure a competitive edge in a market constrained by limited power and space.
4. Addressing Losses with Strategic Growth
Despite a 52% drop in its stock price this year due to higher expenses related to new facilities and equipment, Applied Digital is now poised for recovery. The company’s investment in infrastructure is expected to generate significant revenue in the future, especially as demand for AI-driven solutions grows.
5. Private Placement and Financial Resilience
Applied Digital ( NASDAQ:APLD ) issued approximately 49 million shares at $3.24 each in a private placement, aligning with its closing price on September 4. This pricing strategy indicates investor confidence in the company’s future potential. The raised capital will not only bolster Applied Digital’s balance sheet but also support its ongoing and future projects, allowing the company to maintain its rapid pace of growth.
Stock Performance and Market Reactions
1. Breakout Rally Post-Funding News
Applied Digital’s stock experienced a dramatic 65% spike, reaching its highest level in over a month. The surge reflects investor optimism following the funding announcement, which signals robust future growth prospects. This sharp increase also suggests a possible trend reversal, as the stock had been under pressure due to previous financial setbacks.
2. Support and Resistance Levels
After the announcement, Applied Digital's stock broke through key resistance levels, with the next significant barrier around $6.50. The stock’s momentum could push it further, especially if it sustains above its previous support levels of around $3.24, which also aligns with the private placement price. A sustained rally above these levels may signal continued bullish sentiment and potential long-term upside.
3. Volume Surge and Bullish Indicators
The recent price action was accompanied by a surge in trading volume, indicating strong investor interest. Key technical indicators such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Averages are showing bullish signals. The RSI is approaching overbought territory, suggesting strong buying momentum, while the stock’s price is trading above its 50-day and 100-day moving averages, indicating a positive trend.
4. Potential Pullback and Risk Factors
While the stock's recent rally is promising, investors should be cautious of potential pullbacks, especially given the stock's prior volatility. The broader market conditions and any shifts in investor sentiment towards AI-related stocks could impact Applied Digital’s price movement. Additionally, the company’s execution of its growth strategy will be critical in maintaining its upward trajectory.
Outlook: Positioning for AI-Driven Future
Applied Digital’s strategic positioning in the AI and HPC sectors, backed by a robust financial deal, has set the stage for transformative growth. The company’s partnership with Nvidia and other key investors provides not just capital but also strategic advantages that align with the surging demand for AI infrastructure. With a clear roadmap to expand its data center capacity and enhance its technological capabilities, Applied Digital is well-positioned to capitalize on the AI boom.
Investors should keep a close watch on Applied Digital’s execution of its ambitious projects and its ability to turn its infrastructure investments into revenue. The recent funding deal and subsequent market reaction are clear indicators that the company is on a promising path, poised to redefine the digital infrastructure landscape for AI and HPC applications.
Where will $Nvida drop to?
First of all, Nvidia is moving in a medium term downtrend, and on the way to lower low.
so we could see that the important support area would be previous low area, which share the same level with previous high volume candle.
In this case, traders who want to buy may need to wait for a better buy timing!
Rotation - Growth Stocks > Value Stocks Growth Stocks:
Growth stocks are shares in companies expected to grow at an above-average rate compared to other companies in the market. These companies typically reinvest their earnings to accelerate growth in the short term rather than paying dividends.
Value Stocks:
Value stocks are shares in companies that appear to be undervalued by the market. These companies typically have stable earnings and often pay dividends. They are often found in more established industries like finance or utilities.
In different economic conditions, one type may outperform the other, leading to rotations between growth and value in the market cycle.
Analysis:
The stock market is currently experiencing a unique situation where major indices like the S&P 500, NASDAQ, and Dow Jones are setting new highs, but this growth is primarily driven by a small number of large tech companies (the "Magnificent 7"). This has led to a significant divergence between growth and value stocks, with growth stocks outperforming.
Nvidia's $279 Billion Slide: What It Means for Jensen HuangNvidia CEO Jensen Huang has seen his fortune plummet, crashing out of the $100 billion club after Nvidia’s stock tumbled nearly 10% on Tuesday. The sell-off slashed $9.9 billion from Huang’s net worth, dropping it to $94.9 billion. Despite this, Huang remains one of the biggest winners in the AI boom, adding $51 billion to his wealth this year alone as demand for Nvidia’s AI chips skyrockets.
The Root Causes
The dramatic fall in Nvidia’s stock was part of a broader chip sector sell-off, sparked by reports that the U.S. Department of Justice is ramping up an antitrust investigation into the company. Subpoenas sent to Nvidia signal escalating scrutiny into whether the chipmaker has been limiting competition by restricting its clients’ ability to switch to other suppliers.
Adding to the pressure, the latest U.S. manufacturing data indicated a slowdown, stoking fears about the broader economic outlook. The Institute for Supply Management reported moderate contraction in factory activity in August, leading to a market-wide sell-off. Nvidia, heavily tied to the AI hype, was one of the hardest-hit stocks.
Bearish Sentiment Weighs on Stock
Nvidia's stock is now trading near key support levels, with Tuesday’s sell-off marking the largest one-day drop in market value for a U.S. company. Technically, Nvidia’s RSI (Relative Strength Index) dipped below 40, signaling oversold conditions, but also indicating that bearish momentum could continue. The stock’s 50-day moving average sits precariously close, and a breach below could trigger further declines.
Despite this setback, Nvidia remains up 118% year-to-date, driven by its dominant position in the AI chip market. Investors have been pricing in exponential growth, which may take longer to materialize, especially given the regulatory headwinds.
What’s Next for Nvidia and Jensen Huang?
Nvidia’s meteoric rise since the AI boom in late 2022, fueled by the success of ChatGPT and other large language models, is facing its biggest test yet. While Huang’s net worth has taken a significant hit, Nvidia still plays a critical role in the AI ecosystem. The company's strategic pivot from video gaming to AI has paid off massively, but increased competition and regulatory scrutiny could challenge its dominance.
As Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) navigates these turbulent waters, investors will be watching closely for further developments in the antitrust investigation and any signs of stabilization in the broader market. With Nvidia's future closely tied to AI’s evolution, the coming months could be crucial in determining whether this is a temporary setback or a sign of deeper issues.
In the short term, technical indicators suggest caution, but Nvidia’s strong fundamentals and continued innovation in AI could offer a lifeline. For now, the chip giant's journey remains one to watch as it tries to bounce back from this historic slide.
Can the Tech Titan Weather the Storm?Nvidia, a leading force in artificial intelligence and semiconductor innovation, is now facing a critical juncture. The company has recently experienced a sharp decline in its stock price, compounded by an escalating antitrust investigation from the U.S. Department of Justice (DOJ). These challenges have sparked widespread concern about Nvidia's future and the broader implications for the tech industry.
The DOJ's probe centers on Nvidia's dominance in the AI chip market, with allegations of anti-competitive practices that may limit customer choices. The potential outcomes of this investigation could reshape Nvidia's business and influence the entire semiconductor landscape.
As Nvidia navigates these turbulent waters, its response will determine not only its own trajectory but also the future of AI-driven technologies. The company must address regulatory concerns, diversify its revenue streams, and continue to innovate if it hopes to maintain its leadership in the tech world.
In this time of uncertainty, Nvidia's ability to adapt and evolve will be crucial in determining whether it can emerge stronger or be eclipsed by emerging competitors.
NVIDIA BUY ZONES ACTIVE ?As posted before after the earnings report we’ve seen the stock drop from 127 to 105 after a blowout report. Here’s my current idea of a scenario
1. NVDA Settles around the price of $111 & $100 before US DATA Thursday and Friday
2. NVDA buy opportunities towards
$125-$140 or above
3. Stocks can rise on a worst than expected US Data, propelling the index market to all time highs as well as gold. This current correction phase is healthy, and needed.
4. NVDA can form a double top resistance at $138-$141 sending the stock into more selling power. Consequently to a price of $90-$50. Waiting for a bounce between this area.
Until new points of possible AI is found and chips are being sold at a higher volume. This can be the EOY stock price. Overall whoever wins presidency will have a significant impact on AI markets.
This is a prediction. Good luck to all!
NVIDIA Remains BearishThis doesn't really look good for NVIDIA. The volume profiles in both the larger and the smaller picture look decidedly bearish. To the frustration of the bulls, there is still an untested Implied Fair Value gap (visible in the M5) at around USD 105.20, which “coincidentally” is located at the low of the Value Area of the upward movement since August 5.
For this short trade, we are initially waiting for a small retracement in the area of around USD 120.20 in order to optimize our RRR.
Nasdaq - Stock market in September!In the 4H timeframe, the index is above EMA200 and EMA50 and is trading below the level of 20,000
If the index continues to rise towards the specified supply range, which also intersects with the weekly pivot of the index, we can look for sell positions in the Nasdaq index
A valid failure of the specified support range will pave the way for the index to go down to 19,000!
NVIDIA Technical Analysis And Forecast For This WeekNVIDIA Technical Analysis And Forecast For This Week
NVIDIA has recently experienced a pullback following a less-than-optimistic forecast for the upcoming quarter, which fell short of investors' expectations.
This disappointment has prompted a wave of shorting by several shareholders, adding downward pressure to the stock.
However, based on my technical analysis, I believe NVIDIA is poised for a potential rebound from its current price levels this week.
Key indicators suggest that the recent dip may have been overextended, and we could see a recovery as market sentiment stabilizes.
Keep an eye on support levels and any bullish signals that could indicate a reversal in the near term.
Nvidia is Going to ZERO. AI Will Not Change the World.Hello Everyone,
Anybody buying NVDA at these levels will suffer the same fate as the Intel (INTC) buyers during the Dotcom bubble. Chances are Jun 20, 2024 was the top and so far we have been making lower highs and lower lows. Weekly timeframe shows a bearish engulfing, however we will need a confirmation dump candle with another follow through candle to confirm further dumping as shown in the chart above.
Massive bearish divergence on weekly and the RSI might be confirming a lower high for the third divergence.
This bearish engulfing candle can be cancelled if we can't close below the candle next week. Whether we still trade around these levels for a little bit longer or dump now, eventually NVDA will be headed towards $5-$10 during this upcoming recession.
The NVDA hype will die during this recession and everybody is going to forget about it and will have many competitors in the future. We may never see NVDA this high again in our lifetime.
Nvidia (NVDA): A Beacon in the Tech Sea - Remains a Strong BuyNvidia (NVDA): A Beacon in the Tech Sea
Nvidia, a titan in the semiconductor industry, has consistently demonstrated its ability to navigate the complex landscape of technology. While the stock has experienced recent fluctuations, its underlying fundamentals remain strong, making it a compelling investment opportunity.
A Strong Financial Foundation
Nvidia's financial performance has been nothing short of exceptional. The company's revenue surged by 122.40% year-over-year, far surpassing market expectations. Additionally, its earnings per share (EPS) exceeded analyst estimates by a comfortable margin, underscoring its robust financial health.
Market Leadership and Future Potential
Nvidia's position as a market leader in the semiconductor industry is undeniable. With a massive market capitalization of $3.09 trillion, the company has a significant presence in critical segments such as data centers and artificial intelligence. Its ongoing commitment to innovation ensures that it remains at the forefront of technological advancements, driving future growth.
Navigating Short-Term Challenges
While the stock has experienced a recent decline, it's important to view this as a potential short-term market correction. Despite a slight decrease in institutional holdings, major investors like The Vanguard Group have increased their positions, indicating continued confidence in Nvidia's long-term prospects.
Why Nvidia Remains a Strong Buy
Innovation and Growth: Nvidia's relentless pursuit of innovation in AI and computing positions it for sustained growth.
Financial Health: A strong balance sheet provides a solid foundation for future success.
Market Leadership: Nvidia's dominant position in key segments gives it a competitive advantage.
Path to Recovery
As market sentiment improves and Nvidia continues to deliver impressive financial results, the stock is well-positioned for a rebound. Positive analyst ratings and target prices further reinforce this outlook.
In conclusion, while short-term market fluctuations are inevitable, Nvidia's strong fundamentals, market leadership, and commitment to innovation make it a compelling investment choice. Investors seeking exposure to the technology sector may find Nvidia to be a valuable addition to their portfolios.
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Risk Disclaimer!
The article information and the data is for general information use only, not advice!
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