NVIDIA Earnings Preview: Strategy Notes for Q3 ReportPre-Earnings Strategy: First things first—know the key numbers and the market expectations. But keep in mind, NVIDIA’s revenue recognition can get tricky, so don’t be surprised by unpredictable results. This is why a solid strategy, proper positioning, and downside protection are essential going into the report.
1. Core Numbers & Expectations
Where do Buy-Side Expectations Come From? NVIDIA has been beating guidance by around $2 billion each quarter and then raising guidance by another $2 billion (last quarter they raised it by $2.5 billion).
For Q3, the guidance given in Q2 was $32.5B. Based on the trend, buy-side expectation bumps that up by another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B , so the real expectation for Q3 is $34.5B.
Looking ahead to Q4, buy-side is expecting GETTEX:39B (Q3 actual $34.5B + $2.5B + another SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:2B ). To make the buy-side comfortable with this, the Q4 guide needs to come in at least at $38B (realistically, even FWB:37B could suffice).
Key Takeaway for a Big Beat: Q3 revenue needs to hit $34.5B, and Q4 guidance should be at $38B, with Blackwell contributing over SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:5B in Q4.
2. What the Analysts Think
This is a mega-cap stock, so pretty much every sell-side analyst has a report. But let’s just focus on the key voices from Goldman (Hari), UBS (Arcuri), and Morgan Stanley (Moore), aka the “HAM Trio.”
For Q3:
Moore: Bearish—expects $32.5B
Hari & Arcuri: Neutral-Bullish—expect around $34.3B
For Q4 Guidance:
Moore: Bearish—expects $35.3B
Hari: Bullish—expects $39.2B
Arcuri: Bullish—expects $38.9B
3. Q4 Blackwell Revenue Breakdown
Management previously mentioned Q4 Blackwell revenue could be “several billion.” If it’s $2-3B, that’s below expectations. $5-6B would be a strong beat.
Moore: Expects $5-6B (bullish on Blackwell)
Arcuri: Expects only SEED_TVCODER77_ETHBTCDATA:3B (more conservative)
4. Summary of Analyst Divergence
There’s a clear split among the top analysts, particularly around the Q4 guidance. This divergence sets up potential volatility.
5. Trading Strategy
1. Pre-Earnings Positioning: If the stock dips ahead of earnings, consider adding to the position. If there’s a rally, trim some to lock in profits.
2. Post-Earnings Reaction: If it tanks, be ready to add more, since Q1 of FY25 is expected to be a breakout quarter.
3. Hedging with Options: Use options to protect existing stock positions—don’t go into earnings unhedged.
Implied Move Post-Earnings:
The options market is pricing in about a 9% move, which puts the stock between $128-$153 (current price is around $141).
Options Strategies
Bullish Play (Betting on a Big Rally): Buy calls, but keep it small—treat it as a high-risk, high-reward play. If it goes to zero, it won’t hurt too much.
Lower-Cost Bullish Play: Consider a call spread (buy a lower strike call, sell a higher strike call). This caps your upside but reduces the cost.
Protecting Existing Long Stock Positions: Use covered calls. If the stock tanks, you get some downside protection from the premium. If it rallies, you still make money up to the strike price, plus the premium collected. The downside is losing the stock if it gets called away above the strike.
Want to Buy the Dip After Earnings? Sell puts. If the stock drops, you get assigned shares at a lower price and keep the premium. If it rallies, you pocket the premium.
Nvidia
The key is whether it can be supported and rise near 137.39
Hello, traders.
If you "Follow", you can always get new information quickly.
Please click "Boost" as well.
Have a good day today.
-------------------------------------
(NVDA 1W chart)
This is the stock with the highest trading volume among NAS100 stocks.
It showed a downward trend near 1 (150.20), which was expected to be touched.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can maintain the price by rising above 141.98.
If not, it is possible that it will fall to around 123.54.
-
(1D chart)
The key is whether it can receive support near 137.39 and rise above the MS-Signal (M-Signal on the 1D chart) indicator.
Accordingly, it is expected to continue the upward trend if it rises above 0.886 (143.44).
If not, if it falls below 137.39, it is likely to fall near the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart.
-
Have a good time.
Thank you.
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NVIDIA's Price Action: The Strat Analysis & Key Levels (4-Hour)Candlestick Patterns:
The chart shows 4-hour candlestick patterns with colors corresponding to price movement:
- green fill and green outline indicates price closed above candle open price
- green fill and red outline indicates price closed below candle open price
- red fill and green outline indicates price went below previous candle low but closed above current candle open
- red fill and red outline indicates price closed below previous candle and current candle low
- yellow is the color for a consolidated candle (aka "1" or inside bar)
- blue is the color for the "3" candle that went above and below previous' candle high and low
The numbers "1," "2," and "3" likely represent The Strat methodology, a popular trading framework:
1 (Inside Bar): Price action is contained within the previous candle's range.
2 (Directional Bar): Price breaks either high or low of the previous candle.
3 (Broadening Formation): Price takes out both the high and low of the previous candle.
Support and Resistance Zones:
Multiple horizontal lines represent key support and resistance levels:
- Yellow lines indicate historical highs/lows or significant levels (e.g., "Previous All-Time High Zone").
- Red and blue lines mark specific levels like the "Open WK" or "ABR1 Upper,"
- Labels such as "High of Day," "Previous Weekly High," and "Previous Daily Low" provide context for recent price action.
Broadening Formations:
- Diagonal white lines identify broadening formations, consistent with "The Strat." These formations reflect expanding ranges, suggesting increased volatility or market indecision.
Key Dates and Events:
- Specific dates and times, such as "4hr Mon, Nov 11 @ 1:30 pm," appear next to significant price levels, helping to pinpoint areas where the stock reacted strongly.
Indicators:
- ATR (Average True Range) and DTR (Daily True Range) values are shown at the bottom right:
- ATR: 4.58 — Indicates the average price movement range over a period.
- DTR: 5.16 — Suggests the range within the day (113% implies higher-than-average volatility).
Directional Signals:
- Green and red arrows identify potential buy and sell signals based on the methodology applied, likely aligned with price action breakouts or reversals.
Analysis:
- Trend: The stock has moved from consolidation (inside bars and 2s) to a broader upward trend with several green directional bars (2-ups). However, recent candles show retracement and potential consolidation.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Resistance: $148.68 ("Open WK") and $149.77 ("Previous Weekly High").
- Support: $140.08 and $137.33 ("Low of Day, Tuesday, Nov 5").
- Volatility: Broadening formations and ATR/DTR metrics suggest significant volatility in the price action.
Potential Trading Setups:
- Look for directional moves off major levels (e.g., $148.68 and $140.08).
- Monitor broadening formation boundaries for potential reversals or breakouts.
NVDA NVIDIA Corporation Options Ahead of EarningsIf you haven`t bought the dip recently:
Now analyzing the options chain and the chart patterns of NVDA NVIDIA Corporation prior to the earnings report this week,
I would consider purchasing the 150usd strike price Calls with
an expiration date of 2024-11-22,
for a premium of approximately $3.85.
If these options prove to be profitable prior to the earnings release, I would sell at least half of them.
NVDA Approaching Key Support Levels: Potential Pullback AheadFor NVIDIA (NVDA), heading into Monday, 11/18, the key support level to watch is $140.31. If the price breaks below this level, it could signal further downside, with the next significant support zone around $133.46. This would be a critical area for bulls to defend in order to prevent a deeper correction.
On the technical side, NVDA's recent price action suggests overbought conditions, as indicated by various momentum indicators such as the RSI and possibly the MACD nearing a bearish crossover. This setup raises the likelihood of a pullback or a consolidation phase as traders lock in profits or await fresh catalysts.
$NEAR OUTLOOK AI project NEAR looks to breakout of an important mini range that has been holding it down since mid June.
This important S/R level @ ~$5.50 is key for the LTF with a bearish OB, a move above would mean a new higher high after a higher low therefor confirming a daily bullish structure continuation. The chart shows the next bearish OB expected resistance levels @ $6.30 and $7.40.
In the HTF this S/R level at 0.25 reclaim would mean a move to the charts midpoint @ $10.50 as the next target. NEAR is currently above the daily support and the macro bias is definitely now bullish.
For me both TA and FA look good to go and with NASDAQ:NVDA have their earnings for Q3 on the 20th November, AI projects will be in the spotlight in the next few weeks.
Nvidia Q325 Earnings Preview - What traders need to knowWhile so much attention from equity and index traders has recently been on US election trades and the flow-on effect into markets from Trump 2.0, attention now switches towards Nvidia and the volatility that is expected from its Q325 earnings.
As many who have traded Nvidia’s prior earnings will attest, earnings are historically where big moves play out on the day, with the AI-giant influencing sentiment towards the broader semiconductor space, as well having a big effect on the NAS100 and S&P500.
Key timings:
Nvidia report after-market on 20 November (20 Nov at 21:20 GMT / 21 Nov 08:20 AEDT)
Nvidia options imply another big move on earnings
While pricing is dynamic and may well change by Wednesday, Nvidia options currently imply an -/+8% move on the day of earnings. This is clearly a punchy implied move for any stock, let alone one with a $3.6t market cap.
Guiding expectations for the implied move is the form guide, where we can see that Nvidia has seen average (absolute) moves on the day of reporting quarterly earnings of 9.3%.
Such elevated levels of expected movement can be a drawcard for traders who are attracted to sizeable intraday moves in equity and want the liquidity that is seen in Nvidia’s order book.
However, large implied moves are also a major consideration for one’s risk management and when assessing position sizing and the distance to the stop loss.
Reviewing consensus market expectations
The extent of the rally/sell-off is typically a function of the outcome of earnings, and the guidance for the following reporting quarter, relative to market expectations and positioning.
For this reporting quarter (Q325), the analysts’ consensus expectations (shown below) are largely in line with the guidance Nvidia provided in the prior Q225 earnings report (seen on 28 August).
For example, we see expectations for Nvidia’s group revenue at $33.08b, just 2% above the guidance provided in the Q225 earnings. The market then expects guidance for the next reporting quarter (Q425) of $36.77b, representing a potential increase of 11% q/q, with the data centres segment representing the large percentage of those sales.
Nvidia has such an incredible pedigree in beating their own guidance (and consensus expectations) on sales and earnings that traders have become conditioned to blockbuster numbers, which always beat – subsequently, market participants historically position for better-than-expected numbers and that raises the bar even further.
Reduced expectations for a significant beat to consensus expectations
In this earnings report, expectations are set lower than in past reports, and forecasts from analysts and investor positioning sit at the lowest premium to prior company guidance for many years. In theory, this newfound confidence to model and forecast sales, margins and earnings suggests the real potential for Nvidia to deliver an upside surprise, which could promote a significant move in the share price.
Of course, the company guidance for the following reporting quarter (i.e. Q425) will also determine the extent of move in Nvidia’s share price on the day. The market lives in the future, so the collective will want new intel that suggests that sales growth is not just on track but could be higher than consensus forecasts.
Focus will also fall on CEO Jensen Huang views in the post earnings call, where he’ll offer his take on how the business is tracking, the rollout of Blackwell and other GPUs and new developments in the pipeline. Huang will no doubt be incredibly positive and upbeat, and there are few CEO’s who know how to hit the right notes with investors.
The market wants clarity on the direction of margins
Q325 gross margins are expected to drop to 75.01% and are expected to continue falling towards 73% over the next two quarters. These are still obviously incredibly healthy margins for any business, but the market is now well conditioned to such impressive margins that the investment case resides on its ability to sustain these margins and offset any deterioration with increased volumes.
The jury is out on whether margins are in longer-term decline or due to rise once again.
A more stringent regulatory response is a potential landmine and one that is hard to model. Competition is also likely to increase, which could impact margins as the AI giant may need to become more competitive in its pricing.
Conversely, the supply constraints that have held sales of Blackwell GPUs back will soon ease and should result in stronger sales growth in the quarters ahead. It could also see margins pushing back towards 75% in the Q226 results.
Either way, the fact Nvidia currently trades at ATHs, despite greater attention on US election expressions, shows the broad collective still love the story and view Nvidia as the best-in-class AI/semi play.
Put Nvidia 24-hour CFD on the radar
Traders can pre-position for Nvidia’s earnings and react dynamically to the news or the price action through Pepperstone’s Nvidia 24-hour CFDs. 24-hour CFDs offer around-the-clock pricing (5 days a week) for traders to take a position and manage exposures before, through and after Nvidia’s earnings.
NVIDIA (NVDA): Targeting $166 amid AI momentumNVIDIA continues to dominate the AI and computing landscape, with a significant development in Japan: SoftBank’s telecom unit will soon receive Nvidia’s advanced Blackwell chip design for its supercomputers. The upcoming earnings report on November 20 is critical in sustaining NVIDIA’s exceptional growth trajectory.
CEO Jensen Huang’s company has projected third-quarter revenue of approximately $32.5 billion, propelled by substantial demand for Hopper and Blackwell GPUs. These GPUs are crucial for strengthening NVIDIA’s data center segment, which currently operates with an impressive 68% margin. Priced between $30,000 and $40,000, Blackwell chips are already seeing high demand, with production scaling in Q4 2024.
From a technical perspective, NASDAQ:NVDA still has room to grow, with a targeted area of $166 or higher in the short term. We are closely monitoring the stock for either a move into this target or a shift in market structure that could change the outlook.
Stay tuned for updates as we approach the earnings call and as NVIDIA continues to set new milestones in the tech space.
MAGS - Roundhill Magnificent Seven ETF is FLYING! UPDATE!I told you over a month ago IT WAS TIME TO BUY! Did you take me seriously? How about now?
Watch the detailed forecast I posted for viewers Oct 2, 2024.
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NVIDIA shooting up- Trump Presidency favouring to upside to $200Markets are loving the election results so far.
And it looks like it's been pricing in upside and a rally for some time now. Starting in Early October.
So, technically AI stocks are showing all time highs on it's way with the markets.
First the price broke above the W Formation (Breakout pattern)
Second, Price> 20 and 200
Third, any American company that is in Crypto or AI has the upper hand for investors right now with Trumps idea of keeping everything American by increasing tariffs worldwide (especially in China of over 60%).
He is inviting more local manufuacturers and businesses to excel within America.
So target for Nvidia will be set first to $200
Elliott Wave View Expects NVDA (Nvidia)To Extend HigherShort Term Elliott Wave View in NVDA (Nvidia) suggests further upside in daily bullish sequence. It is trading in bullish weekly sequence at all time high and expect continuation against August-2024 low. In 4-Hour, it placed (1) at $131.26 high and (2) correction at $100.95 low. Above there, it favors upside in (3) of impulse sequence. It placed 1 of (3) at $120.79 high, 2 at $112.78 low, 3 at $144.50 high and 4 at $132.11 low. Currently, it favors upside in 5 of (3) from 31-October low and expect one more push higher to finish it, while dips remain above $143.57 low.
Above $132.11 low, it placed ((i)) of 5 at $139.99 high, ((ii)) at $135.35 low, ((iii)) at $149.95 high and ((iv)) at 143.57 low as double correction. Within ((iv)), it placed (w) at $146.26 low, (x) at $148.85 high and (y) as ((iv)) ended at $143.57 low. Above ((iv)) low, it favors pullback in (ii), while placed (i) at $146.49 high and expect continuation in ((v)), which confirm above $149.95 high. It expects ((v)) to extend towards $151.47 – $153.90 area as minimum extension to finish (3) started from 6-September low. Alternatively, if it breaks below $143.57 low, it should extend ((iv)) before resuming higher in ((v)) to finish (3). Later, it should pullback in (4) in 3, 7 or 11 swings sequence and buyers expect to enter again from extreme areas to resume daily bullish sequence. Alternatively, if it extends higher and erase the momentum divergence, then it should turn out to be nest in (3) and see more upside.
Nvidia Daily UpdateNvidia Daily Update – We’ve broken out of a triangle pattern, and now the market is pulling back. If we see a breakout from the top of this pullback, it could present a strong entry point. My projected target for this move is the green level. Let’s keep a close watch on this setup!
Still counting this advance as an irregular (B) waveI have long stated that the upcoming earnings catalyst will develop into a sell event. When I last updated I was anticipating an incremental new high and possible double top for intermediate (B) into the confluence area of the larger and shorter term 100.0% fibonacci extension areas.
Although we have exceeded that area for a double top, we're still in the target box I had included on the chart. With the markets acting somewhat parabolic to the upside, I think it says volumes that the AI standard bearer has only marginally benefitted.
Next Wednesday will certainly be interesting. I am expecting price to make it's way down closer to $100 area...if not, then my alternative purple count is playing out and complete the larger wave I for a long term top in Nvidia.
Best to all,
Chris
Nvidia Bearish again! [S2]----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.***
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I called the top last time, and now I call it again. Last time we hit TP1 and going towards TP2 but then the election interfered. Now lets see what will happen!
Nvidia is bearish once again, the TA remains the same. Got some bear flags showing along with bearish divergences. Also some custom indicators are pointing down as well.
Nvidia pumped and made a new high thanks to Donald J. Trump.
But I believe the FOMO in the market caused from the election is weaning down plus TA is point down too we should see a decent dump.
$146.50-$148.50
TP1: $142.93
TP2: $134.65
TP3: $131.75
Tight Stop Loss: $149.50
Good Stop Loss: $151.25
Loose Stop Loss:$154.50
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***ALL ANALYSIS, SIGNALS, AND ANY CONTENT IS FOR EDUCATIONAL PURPOSES
ONLY AND ARE NOT MEANT TO BE PROFITED OFF.***
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NVIDIA breakout to 190$After a 65$ price surge from April to June, NVIDIA was experiencing some consolidation in the range of 140S to 90$. The price broke out of this consolidation zone which formed a symmetric triangle pattern in mid October.
The next target price for NVIDIA is 65$ up from breakout point at 125$, which makes the price target of 190$. This target level coincides with Fibonacci extension level of 2.
We expect some resistance and sell off at this level, however, the company has huge potential and will probably break 190$ level after some consolidation.
Taiwan Semiconductor - Riding the Nvidia bullish waveNYSE:TSM has been on an uptrend and the recent correction has been a weak bearish downside, forming a bullish flag instead. Yesterday's bullish bar break above the flag has been confirmed and long-term MACD has been rising, supporting the long-term uptrend.
We believe that the stock is likely to continue to edge up higher in the longer-term. SHort-term target is at 230.00 while long-term we are eyeing beyond 280.00-300.00
NVDA Set to Make Waves: Big Levels Ahead!Update:
Good morning, trading family. Here to break this down nice and easy for you. Let’s ride the NVDA waves together:
1️⃣ First scenario: NVDA climbs to $154–$156. From there, it could either break higher or pull back to $150, maybe lower. Watch for a bounce if it dips.
2️⃣ Second scenario: A move to $168 is on the table, but expect a pullback to $164 before the next push higher. If the pullback goes deeper, it’s just a chance to reset.
3️⃣ Third scenario: If NVDA powers through all those levels, $179 is next, with a potential correction back to $168 along the way.
Mindbloome Trading/ Kris
Trade What You See
Navigating the Surge: Entry Now or Await a Pullback ?Overview: NVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NVDA)
Current Price: $146.43 (as of November 7, 2024)
Sector/Industry: Technology / Semiconductors
NVIDIA has experienced a significant surge, reaching new highs. Investors are now contemplating: Is it prudent to enter at current levels, or should one wait for a potential pullback to optimize the risk/reward profile?
Key Levels and Price History
52-Week Range: $108.13 - $146.43
One-Month Range: $130.25 - $146.43
Support Level: $135.00
Resistance Level: $150.00
Upcoming Dates to Watch
Next Earnings Date: December 15, 2024
Dividend Payment Date: December 20, 2024
Ex-Dividend Date: December 5, 2024
Valuation and Metrics
P/E Ratio: 65.55 (above industry average)
Free Cash Flow:
Recent Quarter: $1.5 billion
TTM: $6 billion
Dividend Yield: 0.02%
Institutional Holdings: 70%
Short Interest: 3% of float
Recent Price Action & Technical Indicators
Weekly Trend: +5%
Monthly Trend: +10%
RSI: 68 (approaching overbought territory)
Moving Averages:
50-Day: $140.00
200-Day: $125.00
MACD: Positive divergence, indicating upward momentum
The RSI nearing overbought levels suggests caution, as a pullback may be imminent.
Comparative Valuation
P/E Ratio (NVDA): 65.55 vs. Industry Average: 30.00
P/B Ratio (NVDA): 20.00 vs. Industry Average: 8.00
EV/EBITDA (NVDA): 40.00 vs. Industry Average: 15.00
NVIDIA's premium valuation underscores its growth potential but also indicates higher risk if market sentiment shifts.
Growth & Financial Health
Revenue Growth (3-Year CAGR): 25%
Projected Revenue Growth (Next 2 Years): 20% annually
Debt-to-Equity Ratio: 0.3 (moderate leverage)
Cash Reserves: $10 billion
Current Ratio: 2.5
Notable News & Social Sentiment
News Highlight: November 6, 2024 – NVIDIA announced a strategic partnership with a leading cloud provider, boosting investor confidence.
Social Buzz: Positive discussions on platforms like Twitter and Reddit, with investors optimistic about NVIDIA's future prospects.
Competitive Comparison
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD): $145.07, P/E 40.00, Revenue Growth 30%
Intel Corporation (INTC): $24.95, P/E 15.00, Revenue Growth 5%
Investment Analysis: Entry Now or Wait for a Pullback?
1. Entry at $146.43 (Current Price)
Target Price (TP): $160.00
Potential Upside: $160.00 - $146.43 = $13.57
Percentage Gain: ~9.27%
Stop Loss (SL): $135.00
Potential Downside: $146.43 - $135.00 = $11.43
Percentage Loss: ~7.80%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 9.27% (reward) / 7.80% (risk) ≈ 1.19
Entering at $146.43 offers a moderate risk/reward ratio, with potential gains slightly outweighing potential losses. However, the proximity to overbought RSI levels suggests a cautious approach.
2. Entry at $135.00 (Wait for Pullback)
Target Price (TP): $160.00
Potential Upside: $160.00 - $135.00 = $25.00
Percentage Gain: ~18.52%
Stop Loss (SL): $125.00
Potential Downside: $135.00 - $125.00 = $10.00
Percentage Loss: ~7.41%
Risk/Reward Ratio: 18.52% (reward) / 7.41% (risk) ≈ 2.50
Waiting for a pullback to $135.00 provides a more favorable risk/reward ratio, offering greater potential gains relative to potential losses. This strategy aligns with a more conservative investment approach.
Price Forecast Scenarios
Optimistic: $160.00 (assuming continued bullish momentum)
Neutral: $150.00 (aligning with current resistance levels)
Pessimistic: $125.00 (testing lower support levels)
Conclusion
NVIDIA's recent performance reflects strong growth and positive market sentiment.
Aggressive Entry (Today's Price, $146.43): Offers potential for short-term gains but carries higher risk due to near overbought conditions.
Conservative Entry (Pullback to $135.00): Provides a better risk/reward balance, ideal for those seeking a more cautious approach.
Verdict: While both strategies have merit, waiting for a pullback to $135.00 offers a more balanced entry point, allowing investors to capitalize on NVIDIA's growth potential with reduced risk.
Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Investing in stocks involves risk. Always conduct your own research and consult with a financial advisor before making any investment decisions. Use this information at your own risk; I am not responsible for any outcomes that do not align with expectations.
The 3 New Rules For Trading Nvidia StockIts been a long night i really feel
the night was very long and tiring.
I had a cup of coffee around 17 hours
Almost before the sunset.
I knew I should not drink coffee near
The sunset its a bad habit of mine.
I was trying to convince myself
that by the time
When the market closes I will have enough
energy to sleep
Of course, I will do a little exercise before
bedtime to help
With insomnia.
Watching the financial market can be a stress
especially if you
are doing it full-time like myself.
But with a system things become easier
The only challenge is in the
beginning because you have to develop this
mindset of always studying the market
And then finally once you know the market you
seem not to want to stop
This is why I have developed the 3 rules for
trading NASDAQ:NVDA
Rule 1:The price has to be above the 50 ma
Rule 2:The price has to be above the 200 ma
Rule 3:The price should gap up in a trend
Now I do love dip-buying stock prices
but sometimes you need a strategy that
can adapt to the market
this strategy is called the rocket booster
it will help you adapt to any market
like seriously
any market
This is the basis strategy for beginners
and experts
To learn more Rocket boost
this content
Disclaimer: Trading is risky you will
lose money whether you like it or not
Please learn risk management and profit-taking
strategies, Because you will lose money
whether you like it or not.
Nvidia Is Following This Simple 3 Step SystemThe time has come again for NASDAQ:NVDA
to shine again..you see it was
during the pandemic when This
stock started to shine..everyone was talking
about it...i still remember it
like yesterday..it was the A.I. Boom!!
It was crazy..people were buying
it and making money
It was crazy times..last week I saw Amazon
Hit new highs..
So this year Nvidia
is left behind but there's still hope
With this 3-step system
you can still hop on the Nvidia train
to profit taking.
The 3-step system is very simple
and yes it works.
Its as follows:
Step#1 - The price has to be above the 50 EMA
Step#2 - The price has to be above the 200 MA
Step#3 - The price has to gap up
Now on this chart, you will see
the William % This indicator
is an oscillator
Meant to show you whether the price
is undervalued or not
In this case, Nvidia is undervalued--meaning its
cheap this is why you won't hear about it
In mainstream media.
Because when the stock price is cheap no one talks about it
in mainstream media
In fact you may actually even
get huge backlash for recommending it
on mainstream media.
By the time the stock hits mainstream media
it's too late to profit from it am sorry
Anyway, if you want to learn more
rocket boost this content
Disclaimer: Trading is risky
please learn risk management and profit taking
strategies
because you will lose money whether
you like it or not.
Intel in Trouble or Ready for Redemption?There is growing potential for QUALCOMM Incorporated to acquire Intel.
I now believe that this development has advanced enough to warrant a fresh look at the stock
Qualcomm recently approached Intel about a takeover. According to WSJ , Qualcomm has expressed interest in acquiring Intel, which, if realized, would mark one of the most significant deals in recent history
Initially, this seemed like a long shot, with limited details emerging from the report. However, QCOM has continued to pursue the idea. Also QCOM has been in contact with Chinese antitrust regulators over the past month about this potential deal and is waiting until after the US presidential election to decide on making a formal offer. Since the election is just less than a month away, I believe this acquisition is becoming more of a possibility that investors should factor into their assessment of INTC. If a deal goes through, it’s likely that the acquisition will come at a premium to the current stock price, creating an opportunity for significant short term gains for investors
There is always a chance that no deal will occur. In that case, potential investors should evaluate whether the stock is worth holding as a long-term investment. My outlook here is not optimistic, and I’ll delve into INTC's competitive position, as indicated by its latest inventory data, in the next section
Given these two potential scenarios, I am upgrading my rating from "Sell" to "Hold." In summary, the possibility of QCOM acquiring INTC introduces a major upside catalyst that I hadn’t accounted for in my previous analysis. This potential acquisition helps offset some of the concerns about INTC as a standalone company.
Unlike many financial metrics that can be interpreted in different ways, inventory levels are more straightforward. He also explained that inventory trends can provide early indicators of business cycles. For cyclical industries, rising inventories can signal overproduction as demand wanes, while shrinking inventories can indicate strong demand
As shown in INTC’s most recent balance sheet, its inventory levels have generally been on the rise. For instance, in December 2014, inventory was valued at $ 4.273 billion, while the most recent figures show an increase to $ 11.244 billion. In some cases, rising inventory can signal business growth with increasing demand and production capacity, which was true for Intel in the early part of the last decade.
When inventory growth exceeds the pace of business growth, it becomes a red flag. In this scenario, rising inventory suggests weakened competitiveness and declining market position—an issue that Intel currently faces, in my opinion. The following chart helps illustrate this point, showing a comparison of days of inventory outstanding (DIO) for Intel and NVIDIA over the last five years, from 2020 to 2024. DIO is a measure of how many days it takes a company to sell its inventory
Given Intel's inventory buildup and declining competitive edge, I find its current valuation multiples hard to justify. Specifically, the chart highlights a comparison of price-to-earnings (P/E) ratios between Intel, NVIDIA, and AMD. Focusing on non-GAAP earnings estimates for fiscal years FY1 through FY3, Intel is currently trading with the highest P/E ratio for FY1 at 87.7 almost twice the multiple of NVIDIA and AMD, which are at 46.29 and 46.25, respectively
That said, the outlook changes somewhat when considering the years further ahead. For instance, in FY2, NVIDIA’s expected P/E ratio rises to the highest at 32.77, compared to Intel's 20.02 and AMD's 29.02. However, I want to emphasize the substantial uncertainty in Intel's earnings forecasts. As shown in the next chart, the consensus estimates for Intel's earnings per share (EPS) in FY 2024 range from a low of $0.15 to a high of $0.31 (a more than twofold variation) and from a low of $0.65 to a high of $2.1 (an almost fourfold variation). Given such uncertainty, I believe investors should be cautious about relying too heavily on forward P/E ratios too far into the future.
Both Intel and NVIDIA have experienced significant fluctuations in DIO over the years. Notably, both companies saw a spike in 2023 due to the COVID pandemic, which disrupted global supply chains. As the disruption faded, both firms saw a recovery (ie, a reduction in DIO). the difference in recovery is striking. Intel's DIO peaked at over 150 days in 2023 and has since decreased to 125 days a modest reduction but still above its historical average of 114 days. In contrast, NVIDIA's DIO surged to over 200 days but has rapidly dropped to 76 days, which is not only below its four-year average of 97.9 days but also near its lowest level in four years.
I expect Intel to face increasing competitive pressure as rivals like NVIDIA and AMD roll out their next-generation chips, particularly NVIDIA’s Blackwell chips. I recommend potential investors keep a close eye on inventory data, as it can signal changes in competitive dynamics for the reasons discussed here.
In addition to inventory issues and valuation risks, Intel faces a few other specific challenges. A significant portion of Intel’s current product lineup is concentrated in certain segments, such as PCs, which I believe are nearing market saturation plus a large share of Intel’s revenue comes from China. Given the ongoing trade tensions between the US and China, this heavy reliance on China poses a considerable geopolitical risk. These factors may limit Intel’s ability to adapt to technological advancements and shifting geopolitical conditions
The potential for a QUALCOMM acquisition has emerged as a new major upside catalyst. While my outlook on Intel’s business remains pessimistic based on the latest inventory data, the acquisition possibility partially offsets these negatives, leading me to upgrade my rating from Sell to Hold or if you are risk taker like Me, load the dip
NVDA (NVDL) BIG MOVE BREWING, BUY THE DIP! 100%+ MOVE INBOUNDNASDAQ:NVDA NASDAQ:NVDL
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