NVDA Breakout: Key Levels to WatchHey traders, it’s Mindbloome Trader here! In this video, I’m breaking down NVDA from the weekly to the 4-hour chart. We’re at a crucial point—if we break above $125, we could rally to $127-$129. But if we slip below $122, watch for a drop to $120 or lower. Stay sharp and remember—trade what you see, not what you think!
Nvidia
NVDA price has shifted on monthly data -- not favoring BULLS.NASDAQ:NVDA (NVIDIA Corporation)
Shorter's paradise.
Monthly shift has been spotted. NVDA needs to break 500 to preserve hope for upside continuation. Otherwise, the other side will be their season.
If breakdown continues, a target at 300 levels is the goal. I'm still hopeful for a turnaround.
Net negative volume is quite significant conveying bear dominance.
Spotted at 430
TAYOR
Safeguard funds always.
NVDAThe growth potential here is limited — we're approaching the end of the ending diagonal. After that, I expect a significant correction.
Whether it will be a correction of the entire impulse or an extension of the final fifth subwaves will depend on the depth and duration of the anticipated pullback.
Nvidia Stock Analysis: Demand for AI Chips Fuel Bullish MomentumNvidia’s meteoric rise in 2024 has been nothing short of remarkable, fueled by the surging demand for its AI chips. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang described this demand as "insane" during an interview with CNBC, sparking even more excitement around the chipmaker’s stock. As of Thursday's premarket trading, Nvidia shares are up 1.91%, and all eyes are on the company’s continued growth potential.
Insane Demand and Strategic Partnerships
Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) has emerged as a global leader in AI infrastructure, with its next-generation Blackwell AI chips driving much of the growth. Huang's comments highlight the unprecedented demand for these AI chips as companies across various industries race to build out their AI capabilities. Nvidia’s strategic partnership with IT consulting firm Accenture is another critical factor driving growth. The collaboration aims to help businesses implement AI-powered solutions using Nvidia’s cutting-edge technology, further extending Nvidia’s reach into the enterprise AI market.
This partnership underscores Nvidia’s ability to build an ecosystem of AI-driven businesses, drawing comparisons to tech giants like Microsoft and Oracle. By expanding its AI infrastructure, Nvidia is ensuring its long-term dominance in the AI space, and investors are responding in kind. Nvidia’s stock has surged 140% year-to-date, far outpacing expectations.
Strong Financial Performance
Nvidia’s financials remain impressive. The company has consistently outperformed Wall Street’s projections, driving a rally in its stock price and contributing significantly to the broader market rally in the S&P 500. The expanded partnership with Accenture further solidifies Nvidia’s position as a dominant force in the AI landscape. Additionally, demand for AI chips from companies and governments alike continues to rise, making Nvidia the go-to choice for building AI infrastructure.
Nvidia’s massive year-to-date gains have been driven by demand across various sectors for AI solutions, cementing its place at the center of the AI revolution. This success is only expected to continue as Nvidia rolls out more advanced chips and expands its partnerships.
Technical Outlook
From a technical perspective, Nvidia’s stock is showing signs of even further upside potential. After peaking in June, NASDAQ:NVDA has been consolidating within a symmetrical triangle pattern—a classic chart formation that suggests a period of consolidation followed by a significant move in the direction of the prevailing trend.
This pattern is a bullish signal, especially given Nvidia’s already strong uptrend in 2024. If Nvidia’s stock breaks above the triangle's resistance level, the technicals point to further upside. Key price targets to watch are $128 and $139
### **Support Levels: Key Breakdown Area to Watch**
Despite Nvidia’s strong bullish momentum, it’s important to consider potential downside risks, particularly in light of the stock’s history of price fluctuations. The key support levels to watch are $110 and $97, which aligns with a trendline linking the March peaks and the 200-day moving average. This area could provide a safety net if Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) faces short-term selling pressure.
Conclusion
Nvidia paints a compelling picture for long-term investors. The ongoing surge in demand for AI chips, coupled with Nvidia’s strategic expansion into enterprise AI through partnerships like the one with Accenture, sets the stage for continued success.
With Nvidia’s stock forming a bullish symmetrical triangle pattern and key price targets pointing to significant upside, now may be the time for investors to ride the wave of this AI-powered growth story. However, investors should also be mindful of potential support areas in the event of short-term volatility. All in all, Nvidia (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) is primed for continued dominance in the AI chip market, and the stock's technicals suggest there's more room to run.
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Box range: 109.63-113.62 ~ 123.90-130.04
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Have a nice day today.
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(1M chart)
A gap has formed in the 109.63-113.62 range.
Therefore, I think it is possible to fall to around 109.63.
Since the StochRSI indicator is showing signs of entering the oversold range, I think the area around 109.63-113.62 shows that it is an important support and resistance area.
-
(1W chart)
I think the M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is passing through the 109.63-113.62 range, proving that this range is an important support and resistance range.
If it falls below 109.63, we should check for support near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart or near the HA-Low indicator on the newly created 1W chart.
- The M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart is currently passing through the 83.13 range,
- and the HA-Low indicator on the 1W chart is at the 12.77 point.
Therefore, as the price falls, it is expected that the area near the M-Signal indicator on the 1M chart will become an important support and resistance range.
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(1D chart)
The point of interest is in which direction it deviates from the 109.63-113.62 section ~ 123.90-130.04 section.
Currently, the HA-Low and HA-High indicators on the 1W and 1D charts are quite far apart.
Therefore, if it falls below 109.63, the HA-Low indicator on the 1W and 1D charts is expected to rise and be newly created.
The creation of the HA-Low indicator means that a low section has been formed.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is created this time, it is expected that a movement to create a new wave will begin.
-
If it falls from the HA-High indicator, it is likely to touch the HA-Low indicator.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that a high section has been formed.
Therefore, in order for a full-scale uptrend to begin, the price must remain above the HA-High indicator.
Therefore, when a full-scale uptrend begins, the HA-High indicator will show a stepwise uptrend.
-
Have a nice time.
Thank you.
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NVDA - Weekly Fall PotentialNASDAQ:NVDA ’s stock has been on a meteoric rise, fueled by the growing demand for AI technology and high-performance computing solutions. However, recent market behavior and technical analysis suggest that a significant pullback may be imminent. The company’s recent 10-for-1 stock split has made shares more accessible to retail investors, but it has also introduced increased volatility. The market has responded positively to the split, but the momentum might be slowing down.
Looking at the NVIDIA chart in a logarithmic scale, we observe three major bullish legs, each with gains exceeding 1000%. The current, third leg appears to be reaching its peak. This trend is further supported by the stock’s position within a rising channel, currently touching the upper boundary, indicating potential resistance. Additionally, lower time frame charts reveal a reversal pattern, suggesting a potential downturn.
Technical indicators show that NVIDIA’s price is at a critical juncture. The stock has demonstrated a reversal pattern in the lower time frames, which is often a precursor to a decline. Moreover, the price is at the top of a rising channel, which typically acts as a resistance level. Given these factors, a pullback seems likely, especially considering the stock’s impressive run-up without significant corrections.
In conclusion, while the broader market sentiment remains optimistic with expectations of new highs for NVIDIA, the technical indicators and recent stock behavior suggest a different story. Investors should be cautious and consider the possibility of a pullback. It is crucial to monitor the stock closely and be prepared for potential profit-taking, especially in the context of the recent stock split and the overall market dynamics.
I maintain my biases towards the black countAs I have discussed many times previously, we are about to enter the stage where triangles typically will break apart. What will constitute the triangle breaking apart is for price to breach either our purple (a) wave high, or our purple (b) wave low. Price must continue to constrict to maintain the integrity of the triangle. Nonetheless, in my primary analysis I do believe we break upwards in the black count, but as of right now we have no confirmation as whether the purple or black count will prevail.
I suspect this week will be informative.
Chris
NVIDIA - A leading Indicator for the AI trend and market NVIDIA - NASDAQ:NVDA
🟣The upper purple parallel line is acting as resistance to price at present. A rejection from this long term purple line may be an early warning signal of a significant correction. A break above it would suggest continued positive momentum.
⏳In combination with the above considerations, a breach down and out of short term parallel channel would be a secondary warning signal of a trend change to the negative.
⏳Falling below the 50 week SMA (red) would be a third confirmation of a negative trend shift.
Obviously these levels could all act as support but if they are lost one after the other (price falling below them). It could be an early warning sign of this AI trend slowing.
✅Otherwise, a repeated 142-152 week bull trend out to June 2025 or April 2026 probable for now.
Why Watch Nvidia closer than the rest?
▫️ Apple, Microsoft and NVIDIA are the top three largest companies in the world by market cap. Collectively they are almost $10 trillion worth of market capitalization. That is almost 22% of the total market cap of the S&P500 Index, so all 3 are worth watching for warning signs or positive momentum.
▫️ Nvidia could lead the market as it is providing the shovels (graphics cards) for the AI data digging/sorting and general compute/data storage. If their performance starts to wane its a signal of less digging/sorting and a slowing of purchases from NASDAQ:AAPL , NASDAQ:MSFT (indicating slowing growth in both). Keeping a close eye on this chart could provide the early warning signals of a trend change, both on the AI front and the entirety of the market cycle.
There is no guarantee of the time sequence continuing on this chart however, these cycles tend to rhyme over time. I hope Nvidia breaks above the purple line at the top of the current long term channel. At present it is stiff resistance, and if price is rejected from here lower, this could be an early warning sign of the a market correction.
Remember, you can check in on this chart and press play to get updated data at any time by clicking the link in the comments below or by following me on TradingView.
PUKA
Nvidia still in a sequence channel Indeed, Nvidia is respecting the sequence of the bearish channel and bounced at point #5, moving downward.
Now, even though Nvidia is dropping, it remains quite strong. Could we see a rebound at the following levels?
113.50 to 115.25 (marked in the green zone)
If Nvidia bounces at these levels I mentioned, we will very likely see a channel breakout in the coming weeks.
But! If the price surpasses those two levels I mentioned, we could very likely see Nvidia testing the blue GAP zone for the third time or approaching point #6 (channel support).
Let’s see what happens this week.
Thank you for supporting my analysis.
Again? NVIDA will experience another surge?
Nvidia is forming another symmetrical triangle pattern.
My answer for the topic is yes!
First of all, it is moving in a bullish market overall speaking, so it probably will have a rally if it could break above the symmetrical triangle pattern. it indicates the end of this medium term pullback, and bulls will control the market next.
of course, there are still some important resistance levels above the current price, so we will Continuously follow up, and see what gonna happen!
NVIDIA's Bullish Channel Holds Strong: September 2024 ProgressNVIDIA Stock Analysis and Future Outlook: September 2024 Update
Overview:
NVIDIA (NVDA) continues to exhibit a robust upward trend, consistently trading within a rising channel. The stock's performance is supported by both strong technical signals and fundamental factors. NVIDIA has established itself as the leader in the AI hardware space, benefitting from surging demand for its GPUs across various industries such as data centers, gaming, and automotive. With a recent rally fueled by the conclusion of CEO Jensen Huang's planned stock sales, the outlook for NVDA remains bullish, although some short-term consolidation could be expected.
Price Predictions:
1. Short-Term (Next 1-3 Months):
- Given NVIDIA’s recent performance and the slight bearish crossover in the MACD, short-term consolidation is likely. The stock could pull back to test lower support levels near $120 or even $115, which are close to the moving averages and the lower boundary of the upward channel. This presents an opportunity for investors to enter positions at a potential discount.
- However, any positive news related to AI advancements or product launches could trigger another leg higher, pushing the stock back above the $130 mark in the short term. A retest of the upper channel resistance near $135-$140 is also possible, depending on market sentiment.
2. Mid-Term (3-6 Months):
- Over the next six months, NVIDIA's growth trajectory looks solid, bolstered by strong demand for its AI and gaming chips. Analysts expect the stock to retest its previous highs around $150-$160, particularly as NVIDIA continues to expand its market share in AI and gaming sectors.
- Continued strength in its Data Center division, along with strategic partnerships in cloud computing and AI, could see the stock pushing towards $170-$180, assuming no major external shocks or macroeconomic downturns.
3. Long-Term (12-24 Months):
- The long-term outlook for NVIDIA remains highly favorable. AI is expected to dominate various industries over the coming years, and NVIDIA is perfectly positioned to capitalize on this trend. Analysts have set price targets ranging from $200 to $250 over the next 18-24 months, contingent on the continued growth of its AI and Data Center businesses.
- Longer-term projections could see the stock moving well beyond $250 if NVIDIA’s innovations, particularly in autonomous driving, cloud computing, and AI-powered enterprise solutions, continue to thrive. The recent advancements in sovereign AI and Blackwell chip production further reinforce this bullish outlook.
Investment Strategies:
1. Short-Term Strategy:
- Buy on Dips: Given the stock's long-term bullish trend but potential short-term consolidation, short-term traders might look for opportunities to buy on dips around $115-$120. This range aligns with technical support levels and offers a solid risk-reward ratio.
- Watch Key Resistance Levels: If NVIDIA breaches $130 in the short term, momentum traders could look for further gains up to $135 or $140. However, caution is advised if the stock moves out of the channel or technical indicators suggest overbought conditions again.
2. Mid-Term Strategy:
- Hold for AI Growth: Investors with a 6-12 month horizon might consider holding onto their positions, as NVIDIA is expected to benefit significantly from growth in AI, gaming, and cloud computing. NVIDIA's revenue from AI-related applications is forecasted to grow rapidly, which should support stock price appreciation over time.
- Leverage AI Boom: Traders could focus on news surrounding NVIDIA’s AI applications, as new product announcements or partnerships in AI or autonomous driving could drive further upward price movements.
3. Long-Term Strategy:
- Accumulate for Long-Term Growth: Long-term investors should consider accumulating shares, particularly during pullbacks, with the expectation of significant growth over the next two years. NVIDIA's fundamentals remain strong, and its dominance in AI hardware positions it for continued outperformance in the tech sector.
- Diversify Risk: While the long-term outlook is positive, it's important to remain diversified. External risks like geopolitical tensions, regulatory changes, or economic slowdowns could affect NVIDIA’s growth trajectory. However, its current market leadership and innovation pipeline make it a strong candidate for long-term portfolios.
Risks and Challenges:
1. Geopolitical Risks: NVIDIA faces potential risks related to U.S. export restrictions on chips to certain countries, which could impact its revenue from international markets. Although the company has mitigated some of these risks through market diversification, any increase in geopolitical tensions or sanctions could create short-term headwinds for the stock.
2. Valuation Concerns: As a high-growth stock, NVIDIA trades at a premium valuation. Any earnings misses or lower-than-expected guidance could result in a sharper-than-expected correction. Investors should keep an eye on quarterly reports and forward guidance.
3. Macro Environment: Broader economic conditions, such as rising interest rates or declining consumer confidence, could affect NVIDIA’s performance. While AI demand may provide some insulation from broader market swings, macroeconomic factors still play a role in overall market sentiment.
Conclusion:
NVIDIA remains a strong stock for both short-term traders and long-term investors. Its leadership in AI, impressive financial results, and continued innovation make it a compelling growth story. While short-term volatility may arise due to market sentiment or broader economic conditions, the long-term outlook is bullish. Investors should use pullbacks as potential buying opportunities and stay informed of major product launches or geopolitical developments that could impact the stock’s trajectory.
has context menu
NVIDIA's Stock Surge 4% today: A Deep DiveNVIDIA Corporation (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) witnessed a significant surge of 4% today, driven by a groundbreaking partnership with Alibaba Group Holdings Ltd. ( NYSE:BABA ) aimed at advancing artificial intelligence (AI) and autonomous driving technologies. This collaboration marks a pivotal moment for NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) as it capitalizes on the relentless innovation in the AI sector, which analysts predict will sustain demand for AI chips in the coming years.
The Story
According to CFRA Research analyst Angelo Zino, the AI computing paradigm is gaining momentum, and major cloud service providers are ramping up investments to avoid falling behind. Zino's insights reflect the broader market sentiment, emphasizing that the growth in AI chip demand will likely be exponential. He stated, “Lack of monetization won't keep hyperscalers from investing in artificial intelligence,” underscoring that robust cloud and digital ad spending will continue to fuel this demand.
NVIDIA (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:NVDA ) remains one of Zino's top picks among AI chipmakers, alongside Broadcom (AVGO) and Marvell Technology (MRVL). His price target for NVIDIA is set at $139, suggesting considerable upside potential. This bullish outlook is further supported by NVIDIA's impressive data center revenue growth, which soared by 154% year-over-year to $26 billion, driven by strong demand for Hopper GPU computing and networking solutions.
Adding to this positive narrative, NVIDIA CEO Jensen Huang recently completed a significant trading plan, selling 6 million shares but retaining his position as the largest individual owner of NVIDIA stock. This move may reflect confidence in the company's long-term prospects, despite short-term trading activities.
Technological Advancements: The HMAX AI Solution
The recent launch of Hitachi Rail's HMAX (Hyper Mobility Asset Expert) AI solution, powered by NVIDIA technology, further highlights the company's pivotal role in optimizing transport operations. This all-in-one digital asset management platform leverages AI to enhance asset performance and streamline operations for transport operators. By combining live data collection with advanced AI tools, HMAX allows for real-time processing, significantly reducing the time needed to analyze data and generate actionable insights.
Technical Outlook
As of the latest trading session, NASDAQ:NVDA is up 3.48%, with a moderate Relative Strength Index (RSI) of 54, indicating potential for further growth. The stock has recently experienced volatility, oscillating within the $100 to $120 range. However, if NASDAQ:NVDA manages to hold above critical support levels, particularly the $111 mark, it may set the stage for a bullish breakout.
Investors should watch for key price movements in the coming days. If the stock consolidates and successfully bridges the support of $111, it could dip to the one-month low support before gaining momentum toward new highs. This technical setup suggests that there may be ample room for upside movement as the market digests the implications of NVIDIA’s strategic partnerships and ongoing innovation in AI technologies.
Conclusion
In summary, NVIDIA's recent partnership with Alibaba positions it favorably in the rapidly evolving AI landscape, supported by strong fundamental growth and innovative technological advancements. Coupled with a robust technical outlook, NASDAQ:NVDA stock appears well-poised for future gains. As the demand for AI computing continues to rise, NVIDIA's role as a market leader is likely to solidify, making it an attractive investment opportunity for those looking to capitalize on the AI revolution.
Nvidia looks pretty flat these days but it needs to MOVE ! We believed Nvidia would make the turn to validate and then break point #5, but that wasn’t the case.
Nvidia remains within the bearish sequence, but it still hasn’t been able to give us confirmation of reaching point #5. The only thing we need to consider is the structure of the bearish channel, in which the most important part of this structure is our GAP zone (blue), as that’s where most buy orders are positioned, and we can see it has respected it correctly (see green circles).
The scenario over the last few days looks very flat; Nvidia has to break the line it’s currently on to activate our point #5 or, in another scenario, retest the GAP Zone, which it has already tested and is of great importance since that's where the largest number of buy positions are concentrated.
So, if it comes back to touch our GAP Zone (Blue), you know what to do!
Best regards, and thanks for supporting my analysis.
Nvidia made a sudden turn, showing us a very important key zone! The price has shown a turn exactly in our GAP area, and this is where it gets interesting because this turn gave much more validation to our GAP area by bouncing precisely off of it. From here on, the bearish sequence has, for the first time, been incomplete due to the swing-turn that occurred before reaching support on our point #4.
The question is: is this the moment when the price will break the resistance of our channel? Time will tell, but for now, we've identified a new zone where there is greater buying pressure, and it's exactly the same zone we've been studying for several weeks.
If you've been following this analysis for weeks or months, you'll notice that everything is unfolding according to our price action and institutional analysis.
From here on, we just need to wait for the breakout, and remember, this time it could be different since we're in very important months where the elections heavily influence price behavior.
Best regards, and thank you for supporting my analysis.
Nvidia Has Strong Fundamentals but is that Enough?One Of the Biggest Success stories of 2023... NASDAQ:NVDA Truly Gained traction under the insane Artificial Intelligence Growth and alongside the hype train that skyrocketed most Semiconductor Stocks. The Balance sheet is a undeniable strength with more then 3 assets to 1 Liability, with good cash able to cover debt based on the balance sheet. Nvidia has very strong Fundamentals is that enough to justify the PE Ratio being at 55.94x ? and a Price to Sales Ratio of 30.3 ? and its price to books ratio at 50.2 , using these valuation methods Nvidia comes up as a expensive based on its current price to me personally. The RSI Is also pretty high at 53 . I am definitely interested in seeing how Nvidia plays out in the long-term. Share price has been aided by very high revenue growth beating all forecasts by analysts in recent Quarters. Nvidia Benefits from high profit margins, however is that enough to justify the high share price? as for management and there use of the cash we can see that Net margins are 55.0%, ROE of 91.1%, ROA of 60.9%, ROCE of 83.6%.
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Business Revenue Sources:
84.8% of the revenue is derived from "Compute & Networking"
15.2% of the revenue is derived from "Graphics"
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Balance Sheet:
Cash: US34.80b
DEBT: US8.46b
Equity: US58.16b
Total Liabilities: US27.07b
Total Assets: US85.23b
14.5% -> Debt to Equity Ratio
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Disclaimer: I am not a financial advisor and in no way am I signaling a sell, buy, or hold opinion on this stock (Nvidia) I am just giving my personal opinion as a hobby trader, I have no certifications and I am not a financial analyst, I also may be wrong about how I feel about the stock. I want you to do plenty more research on this and the stocks you are interested in because the stock market always holds a lot of risk that may be different for each investor and trader. Please do not make opinions based on this or any idea. Please be careful!
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Idea:
Nvidia gearing up for potential more upside push?Bear in mind that August and September typically yield negative returns for the broader market. However, Nvidia managing to close above its previous bearish candle is a good indication that it has fuel left in the tank for another potential run to the upside.
Are we headed to an incremental new high?With Nvidia breaking tp the upside of the target box for circle-b, that means if we continue to follow through in the Minor B wave, as I am forecasting, we stand an excellent chance to making new all-time highs on a very marginal basis . Nonetheless, this will still be part of the overall primary degree correction that Nvidia is involved in.
Read my last post of Nvidia to see the previous target box
Larger Timeframe Analysis Showing Primary Degree Correction
Nvidia - A Correction Of -50% Is Starting!Nvidia ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is reversing at a strong resistance:
Click chart above to see the detailed analysis👆🏻
Last month Nvidia already corrected about -35% but managed to close with an indecision doji candle. However, previous cycles, the recent rally of +1.000% and the fact that Nvidia is retesting a strong resistance trendline all suggest that Nvidia will still move much lower soon.
Levels to watch: $100, $55
Keep your long term vision,
Philip (BasicTrading)