Nvidia_analysis
NVIDIA ($NVDA): Riding the AI Wave to New Heights
NVIDIA Corporation ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) is on the cusp of a historic moment, with its stock hitting an all-time high and poised to become the fourth-largest company by market capitalization. The company's recent surge is fueled by groundbreaking developments in artificial intelligence (AI) and graphics processing units (GPUs), propelling NVDA into new frontiers. We delve into the factors driving NVDA's success, the competitive landscape, and whether now is the right time for investors to buy into this tech giant.
The AI Revolution:
NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) has long been at the forefront of innovation, pioneering graphics processors that revolutionized computer gaming. The company's GPUs have expanded beyond gaming, finding applications in healthcare, automobiles, and robotics. In a game-changing move, NVIDIA's AI-capable supercomputer played a pivotal role in the advancement of generative AI, exemplified by OpenAI's ChatGPT. This "iPhone moment of AI" not only reshaped the industry but also marked a turning point for NVIDIA's financial performance.
Stellar Financial Performance:
NASDAQ:NVDA 's 2023 rally of 239% and its recent all-time high of 553.46 underscore its exceptional financial performance. Despite a brief dip after its third-quarter earnings report, where profits exceeded expectations at $4.02 per share on sales of $18.12 billion, NASDAQ:NVDA has continued its upward trajectory. The company's data-center sales, a key driver of growth, surged 279% to a record $14.51 billion, showcasing the insatiable demand for NVIDIA's advanced technologies.
Competitive Landscape:
While NVIDIA has maintained its trailblazing status, competitors are catching up. Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) launched a new AI chip in December, intensifying the competition in this rapidly evolving space. However, NVIDIA's extensive product portfolio and established market presence position it as a formidable player. The question for investors is whether the company can sustain its lead and fend off competitors eyeing a slice of the burgeoning AI chip market.
Analyst Projections:
Analysts project robust growth for NASDAQ:NVDA , with an estimated 236% increase in per-share earnings to $11.22 for fiscal 2024. Despite concerns about profit growth decelerating to 67% in fiscal 2025, the overall outlook remains positive. Bank of America analyst Vivek Arya and Bernstein analyst Stacy Rasgon both hold a bullish perspective, with a price target of $700, suggesting that there is untapped potential in NVIDIA's stock.
Investor Considerations:
While NASDAQ:NVDA 's technical outlook is favorable, with the stock trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average, caution is warranted.
Future Prospects:
The global AI chip market is projected to grow significantly, reaching $67.1 billion in 2024 and doubling to $119 billion by 2027. NASDAQ:NVDA is well-positioned to capitalize on this growth, given its track record of innovation and market dominance. However, investors should monitor the competitive landscape and consider the potential impact of emerging technologies on NVDA's market share.
Conclusion:
NVIDIA's journey to becoming the fourth-largest company by market capitalization is a testament to its pioneering spirit and technological prowess. While challenges loom on the horizon, the company's strong financial performance, coupled with optimistic analyst projections, paints a compelling picture for investors.
As NASDAQ:NVDA continues to ride the AI wave, the question remains: is now the opportune moment to invest in this tech giant? Only time will reveal whether NVIDIA's ascent is a sustained trajectory or a momentary surge in the ever-evolving landscape of technology stocks.
Nvidia - Higher, Higher And HigherHello Traders, welcome to today's analysis of Nvidia.
--------
Explanation of my video analysis:
All the way back in 2014 Nvidia broke out of the long term symmetrical triangle formation and entered a crazy bullrun. With the current channel formation on Nvidia, there is a high chance this stock will push higher even more to retest the upper resistance mentioned in my analysis.
From there I do expect a correction which could be similar to the one of 2022.
--------
I will only take a trade if all the rules of my strategy are satisfied.
Let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions.
Keep your long term vision.
NVDA "AI King" BreakoutNvidia stock NVDA price just hit a new all time high Monday after the chip company unveiled new products and partnerships at the annual Consumer Electronics Show (CES).
The company rolled out three new chips that will let gamers, designers and other users make better use of AI on their personal computers.
Technically speaking, the stock NVDA is still having the room to test $530/$544 projected targets on the short term.
NVIDIA's Strategic & Technological Innovations Propel's Stock
In the ever-evolving landscape of technology, NVIDIA stands as a beacon of innovation, making waves not only in the gaming industry but also in the realm of artificial intelligence. The recent launch of the custom-designed GeForce RTX 4090 D for the Chinese market underscores the company's commitment to expanding its global footprint.
1. GeForce RTX 4090 D: Tailored for Success in the Chinese Market
NVIDIA's collaboration with the U.S. government to design the GeForce RTX 4090 D, specifically tailored to meet export control regulations, reflects the company's dedication to navigating the complex geopolitical landscape. Priced competitively at 12,999 yuan (~$1837), this gaming and processing powerhouse positions NVIDIA as a key player in the lucrative Chinese market. Despite a slight 5% reduction in speed compared to the standard RTX 4090 model, the strategic alignment with regulatory requirements enhances the company's ability to capture market share in a region with immense growth potential.
2. AI Chip Advancements: A Glimpse into the Future
NVIDIA's recent strides in crafting specialized AI chip versions to replace restricted A800 and H800 models further demonstrate the company's adaptability and forward-thinking approach. As global demand for AI solutions continues to rise, NVIDIA's cutting-edge technology places it at the forefront of innovation. By addressing supply restrictions in China, the company not only ensures compliance but also positions itself as a reliable and strategic partner in the fast-paced world of artificial intelligence.
3. Investor Confidence in NVIDIA's Growth Trajectory
Investors have consistently shown confidence in NVIDIA's growth potential, reflected in the stock's upward trajectory. The medium- to long-term rising trend channel suggests positive development and increasing buy interest among investors. The recent breakout through the resistance at $468 signals a bullish sentiment, with further potential for growth projected up to $542 or beyond. Volume analysis adds weight to this positive trend, as volume tops and bottoms align with corresponding price movements, reinforcing the overall strength of the upward momentum.
4. Strategic Breakthroughs and Future Prospects
NVIDIA's breakthroughs extend beyond the immediate product launches and stock performance. The positive signal from the rectangle formation, coupled with the strategic moves to navigate regulatory challenges, positions the company for sustained success. As NVIDIA continues to push the boundaries of technology, investors can anticipate further strategic breakthroughs and innovations that drive stock value.
NVIDIA's strategic collaborations, technological innovations, and investor-friendly performance paint a compelling picture for potential buyers. The company's ability to navigate regulatory challenges, tap into burgeoning markets, and lead the way in AI development solidify its position as a key player in the tech industry. For investors seeking growth potential and a stake in the future of technology, NVIDIA emerges as a compelling opportunity, poised for continued success in the dynamic world of gaming and artificial intelligence.
NVDA: $194M Insider LiquidationNVIDIA is presenting potentially lucrative short-term trading opportunities, specifically for derivatives. A months-long ascending triangle is visible on the hourly and daily charts; a second, smaller ascending triangle is potentially forming at the time of this idea.
I believe, and am hopeful for, that the smaller ascending triangle will prove invalid and complete the double-top "M" pattern with selling pressure draining NVDA to the $430 range which falls around the respective 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. However, I think it would be reckless to count out a potential rebound around $470 which is where the second ascending triangle's support will be tested.
If the $430 support is reached, I believe this will be the time to enter a long call option as I suspect the asset will be retesting the $500 resistance. However, insider liquidation is a major concern especially since the total offload within the last 30 days is equal to $194.3M USD. A link to the SEC filings is posted below.
NASDAQ:NVDA
www.sec.gov
Jump on Nvidia’s Pullback: The AI Powerhouse Set for a Comeback
After rising more than threefold, Nvidia (NVDA) stock is pulling back, as uncertainty rises, and many investors take profit.
However, while it may be a while before shares triple in price again, much suggests that this top AI chip play could again perform strongly in 2024.
With this, instead of cashing out/sitting on the sidelines, you may want to enter/add to a NVDA position instead.
Why Enthusiasm is Sliding for This AI Chip Winner
Nvidia is far and away the leading supplier of chips for the generative artificial intelligence market. Booming demand for these chips has resulted in sales rising by triple-digits on a year-over-year basis, with sequential sales growth set to keep rising by a double-digit pace.
Earnings have increased by an even greater extent. Analysts forecast Nvidia’s earnings this fiscal year (ending January 2024) to rise nearly sevenfold compared to FY2023. So then, instead of having continued enthusiasm for NVDA stock, why is the excitement simmering down? Two uncertainties keep weighing on shares.
The first concern is uncertainty surrounding interest rates. If the Federal Reserve lowers rates next year, that’s good news for both chip demand, and for Nvidia’s valuation. However, if rates remain at elevated levels, this could slow down a rebound in non-AI chip demand, affect future AI-related chip sales growth, and limit the extent in which NVDA’s earnings multiple could re-expand.
Technical Analysis
Nvidia Stock movement is indicating a head and shoulder trend with the trough and crest touching the resistance and support level.
NVDA is trading near the top of its 52-week range and above its 200-day simple moving average.
Investors have been pushing the share price higher, and the stock still appears to have upward momentum.
Shorting NVDA. Try #2!If at first you don't succeed....
Traders,
You know I tried this once already. Got stopped out for a loss and honestly, I've been annoyed since. So yeah, this is kind of an revenge trade. Not a good example of how you should trade kids. But again, this is all for your entertainment anyways as I've said all along.
Anywho. Here we are at the bottom of my channel. Patent retest!
Also, I've redrawn the H&S neckline in a way that does not show confirmation on the daily. That right shoulder looks wonky (sometimes it does), but still appears to be forming. Am I a product of my own confirmation bias. Probably. Time will tell.
30%+ Potential profit on this trade.
$460 Entry
$317 Target
$480 SL
7/1 RRR
Def not fin advice.
LFG!
Stewdamus
HPE and Nvidia Team Up for Full Stack Generative AI SolutionHewlett Packard Enterprise (HPE) and Nvidia, two industry giants renowned for their cutting-edge technologies, have joined forces to build a groundbreaking full stack generative AI solution. This collaboration is set to revolutionize the way we approach AI, opening up new realms of possibilities and transforming industries across the globe.
By combining HPE's expertise in high-performance computing and data center solutions with Nvidia's unmatched prowess in AI and accelerated computing, this dynamic partnership promises to deliver an all-encompassing AI infrastructure that is both powerful and efficient. The full stack generative AI solution will empower businesses to unlock the true potential of AI, enabling them to develop innovative applications, drive operational efficiencies, and gain a competitive edge in today's fast-paced market.
This remarkable collaboration signifies a major milestone in the AI landscape, as it brings together the best of both worlds. HPE's deep-rooted experience in delivering scalable infrastructure solutions, coupled with Nvidia's groundbreaking GPU technology, will create a synergy that is simply unparalleled. Together, they will pave the way for groundbreaking advancements in AI research, development, and deployment.
Now, you may be wondering, "How can I be a part of this exciting development?" Well, as an astute trader, you understand the value of seizing opportunities at the right time. Nvidia, being at the forefront of AI innovation, is poised for remarkable growth as a result of this collaboration. Therefore, I encourage you to consider adding Nvidia to your portfolio, as it has the potential to benefit significantly from this game-changing partnership.
As we witness the birth of a transformative full stack generative AI solution, it is crucial to stay ahead of the curve and invest wisely. By positioning yourself strategically, you can potentially reap substantial rewards in the coming months and years.
So, let's embark on this exhilarating journey together! Take a moment to evaluate the potential of Nvidia and consider adding it to your trading portfolio. As always, thorough research and analysis are key to making informed decisions, so ensure you carefully assess the opportunities and risks involved.
If you have any questions or require further information, please do not hesitate comment below. I am here to assist you in any way I can.
Wishing you an exciting and prosperous trading journey!
Nvidia Is Still Bullish💸Hello Traders,
My name is Philip and I am just an average stock and indices trader with over 4 years of trading experience💻
-------------------------------------------------------------------
➡️In today's video, I will analyse Nvidia for you🫡
-------------------------------------------------------------------
➡️Let me know your opinion about today's analysis in the comments below👇
➡️I will only enter a trading position if ALL of my trading/entry criterias are met!
Keep your long term vision!
P.S. Trading is risky and most beginner traders lose money!
Nvidia Maintains Lead in AI MarketNvidia's strategy of expanding into cloud services aims to reinforce its market position. The company's financial health is robust, with profit margins nearing 25%, significantly outpacing AMD's 4%. This stark contrast in profitability underlines why Nvidia may continue to be a more attractive investment option compared to AMD. Despite projections hinting at AMD's faster growth in 2024, Nvidia is expected to hold onto its leadership position.
Tech giants and investors are closely watching these developments. who holds positions in both AMD and Nvidia as well as other tech firms like Microsoft, Amazon, and Intel (NASDAQ:INTC), considers his investment in AMD as a strategic hedge against his larger stake in Nvidia. Meanwhile, Meta Platforms (NASDAQ:META) has opted not to challenge Nvidia's GPU capabilities for AI tasks, further cementing Nvidia's dominance in the market.
As the AI revolution demands more processing power, both companies are likely to remain critical players. However, for now, Nvidia's combined hardware-software offerings give it an edge reminiscent of Intel’s past market dominance but with the added leverage of being a crucial software provider akin to Microsoft.
NVDA Analysis — Stuck in Island AloneGreetings dear comminity!
In the vast sea of stock prices, NVIDIA ( NASDAQ:NVDA ) shines distinctively.
💜 If you appreciate our charts, give us a quick 💜
Presently priced at $408, it finds itself ensnared in an intriguing Island Pattern formation. This pattern implies an imminent pullback, with a likely destination being the gap level at $318.
For astute investors eyeing long-term positions, this impending dip could offer an enticing entry point. However, a word of caution hangs in the air – tread carefully. While potential gains loom, the risk is equally palpable.
Risk Management is Key:
Avoiding excessive risk is non-negotiable. Prudent investors should keenly observe the price action as it unfolds towards the $318 mark. Analyze each movement, gauge market sentiment, and only then consider making your move.
In the volatile realm of stocks, knowledge is power, and careful strategy is your shield. As NASDAQ:NVDA navigates this intriguing pattern, wise investors stand vigilant, ready to capitalize on opportunities while safeguarding their investments.
Happy investing!
NVIDIA Short sell ideaNASDAQ:NVDA is looking weak as per my analysis as the price shows a potential bearish H&S pattern with multiple confirmations. Weekly candles is heavily rejected from the 50 moving average and Daily EMAs have finally closed below all 50, 100 and 200 DMA. On top of this RSI shows momentum weakness which solidifies my short trade idea for $NASDAQ:NVDA. Would like to initiate shorts below ~$405 and target of ~$378 and ~$323 in the upcoming quarter
ANALYSIS ON NVDADear Investors and Traders,
I'm sharing with you this analysis on NVDA to let you know that the price will come down after the squeeze it made in October, if you're holding as an investor close your position and take your profits, and if you're trading there's no point of taking long trades on NVDA currently.
For further questions, don't hesitate to ask!
Foxconn and Nvidia are building 'AI factories'Nvidia and Foxconn are working together to build so-called "AI factories," a new class of data centers that promise to provide supercomputing powers to accelerate the development of self-driving cars, autonomous machines and industrial robots.
Nvidia founder and CEO Jensen Huang and Foxconn chairman and CEO Young Liu announced the collaboration at Hon Hai Tech Day in Taiwan on Tuesday. The AI factory is based off an Nvidia GPU computing infrastructure that will be built to process, refine and transform vast amounts of data into valuable AI models and information.
"We're building this entire end-to-end system where on the one hand, you're building this advanced EV car...with an AI brain inside that allows it to interact with drivers and interact with passengers, as well as autonomously drive, complemented by an AI factory that develops a software for this car," said Huang onstage at the event. "This car will go through life experience and collect more data. The data will go to the AI factory, where the AI factory will improve the software and update the entire AI fleet."
The AI factory tie-up builds off a partnership between Nvidia and Foxconn announced in January to develop autonomous vehicle platforms. That agreement involved Foxconn becoming a primary supplier of electronic control units (ECUs) for automakers, which will be built with Nvidia's Drive Orin system-on-a-chip (SoC), a supercomputing AI platform that supports autonomous driving functions. On Tuesday, Foxconn also committed to manufacturing ECUs with Drive Thor, Nvidia's next-gen SoC, after production starts in 2025.
As part of that partnership, Foxconn -- which has been steadily unveiling off-the-shelf EV platforms for automakers to purchase -- said the vehicles it makes as a contract manufacturer will be built with Nvidia's Drive Hyperion 9 platform, which includes not only Drive Thor, but also a suite of sensors like cameras, radar, lidar and ultrasonic that are necessary for self-driving capabilities.
Foxconn is already contracted to build EVs for Fisker, even as it gets sued by its erstwhile partner Lordstown Motors. The automaker will need scale in order to make its AI factories viable, especially if it's going to compete with Tesla.
[EN] Shooting star Nvidia. Target: 195$ // GaliortiTrading NASDAQ:NVDA has its very mature uptrend in an exhausted five-wave cycle on 3-month candles . It is currently developing a shooting star at all-time highs .
It is highly likely to develop a corrective pattern in its long-term uptrend. Probably in a wave A, B, C pattern. The top of the previously broken bullish channel , its accelerated trendline and the level of 61.8% of Fibonnaci constitute the target of this correction ($195).
Large bearish divergence with RSI indicator
Nvidia (NVDA) -> Path Ahead Is ClearMy name is Philip, I am a German swing-trader with 4+ years of trading experience and I only trade stocks , crypto , options and indices 🖥️
I only focus on the higher timeframes because this allows me to massively capitalize on the major market swings and cycles without getting caught up in the short term noise.
This is how you build real long term wealth!
In today's anaylsis I want to take a look at the bigger picture on Nvidia.
After Nvidia - just a couple of months ago - perfectly retested the bottom support trendline of the rising channel at the $120 level Nvidia stock pumped more than 300% towards the upside.
We do have next resistance coming in at the $600 level and although Nvidia looks quite overextended, I do expect more bullish continuation to retest the upper channel trendline.
- - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - - -
I know that this is a quite simple trading approach but over the past 4 years I've realized that simplicity and consistency are much more important than any trading strategy.
Keep the long term vision🫡
Nvidia’s earnings, will the ‘AI hype’ keep driving momentumOn 23 August, we saw another set of incredible results from Nvidia.
The company’s data centre business grew revenues more than three times in six months, hitting $10.323 billion and a figure of more than 171% growth year-over-year. Guidance for the current quarter is now $16 billion, while consensus was in the range of $12.6 billion .
We see Nvidia’s year-to-date return alongside Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Co. (TSMC), SK Hynix, and the Nasdaq 100 Index.
It’s clear that the train of artificial intelligence (AI) adoption is leaving the station, but it’s possible that the journey itself is still in the early stages.
As investors consider Nvidia’s valuation in the autumn of 2023, it is rational to think of two primary factors. One is whether this forecast, that the total market size for AI-accelerating semiconductors in 2027 will be around $150 billion, will prove true (it might be too high…or too low). The other regards how much market share Nvidia itself will be able to maintain.
From what we can see today, the biggest risk to Nvidia’s continued domination of AI computational resources would be the ‘Big 3’ cloud providers 1) designing their own chips and 2) incentivising their customers to use them for their AI workloads. We say this because it is difficult to picture either AMD or Intel, on their own, making a significant dent.
While Nvidia might be perceived as being at the centre of the AI megatrend, exemplifying the hopes and predictions of many with regard to the topic, Nvidia graphics processing units (GPUs) do not operate in isolation. Nvidia doesn’t even fabricate the physical chips.
TSMC fabricates the actual H100 chips that firms are presently racing to buy. TSMC is the most significant fabricator of semiconductors in the world. With all the attention on AI, one would assume that TSMC would be on fire (like Nvidia), but that has not been the case.
Even if AI-related semiconductors are dominating the headlines, they do not yet dominate the full global market for semiconductors.
Consider this question: in 2023, are people or companies racing to buy new smartphones or personal computers?
These are two important areas to monitor when thinking about the totality of the semiconductor market and, while they had been hot in recent years, in the ongoing cyclical trend, 2023 is one of the colder years for this type of demand.
Some might be surprised to learn that AI-chips are only responsible for about 6% of TSMC’s total revenue. This is one of the signals that tells us that we are still early in our AI adoption journey. However, TMSC has also stated that this figure should compound at roughly 50% per year for the next five years and, in 2027 AI-related chips, should be roughly 13% of TSMC’s total revenue .
Another consideration regards the relative sizing of TSMCs customers, as it helps in understanding the revenue picture that much better. With all the Nvidia attention, we might be tempted to assume that it is TSMC’s biggest customer, but that honor actually goes to Apple. In fact, if we add up the estimated share coming from Qualcomm, AMD and Nvidia together, it would be very similar to Apple’s estimated revenue contribution .
TSMC does get some attention by virtue of being in Taiwan amidst the ‘US vs China’ geopolitical tensions, but Nvidia’s H100 also needs high bandwidth memory to function. SK Hynix is the primary provider. Its next generation chips can process the equivalent of 230 high definition, full-length movies in a second. The dynamic random-access memory (DRAM) market that relates to AI is about 16% of revenue today but should grow to roughly 41% of the total by 2025 .
How might performance of the AI-theme evolve from here?
As we approach the latter part of 2023, we know that AI has been a catalyst for some of the world’s largest tech companies to drive US equity markets higher for the better part of the year so far. After a rough 2022, the change in performance from negative to positive was welcome. However, we know that investors overestimate the short term and underestimate the long term, so there is a chance that the AI journey will take longer and we’ll have some ups and downs performance-wise. The funny thing is that we’re already seeing a diverse performance experience across the space.
Conclusion: riding the multi-year trend in AI
AI research and advancement is occurring all the time. In a year like 2022 it was nearly impossible to talk about it due to poor market performance and a rough macro backdrop. Now, in 2023, it’s nearly impossible not to talk about it and people are reaching for exposure in myriad ways. We can think about it like this:
1) Nvidia has moved a lot and may continue to move, but in H2 2023 it is difficult to rationalise chasing Nvidia as a single stock too much further in the near term. We have seen a lot of interest in strategies focused on semiconductors, but there is really only one Nvidia.
2) The Nasdaq 100 Index is extremely top-heavy in terms of putting lots of weight in a narrow set of very large tech companies. Many of these companies have developed or are developing large language models to push AI forward. It’s possible that AI is the catalyst that keeps growth in favour within US equities in the coming decade and leads to these companies continuing in the veritable equity driver’s seat.
3) Software is an interesting area for consideration. As the first part of 2023 was transpiring, many were thinking about a potential recession later in the year. Spending on software was not necessarily in an upward trend. In H2 2023, while the idea of a recession is fading away, the idea of ‘spending on software’ has shifted more towards ‘spending on AI.’ One of the areas we continue to look at is cybersecurity: any time customers are expanding access to new technologies, it needs to be accompanied by increased focus on security.
Source:
1 Moore et al. “NVDA reports another exceptional quarter as AI spending surges.” Morgan Stanley Research. August 24, 2023.
2 Chan et al. “Correction: AI Semi Demand Outshines; keep OW.” Morgan Stanley Research. July 20, 2023.
3 Chan, 2023.
4 Sohn, Jiyoung and Yang Jie. “This Company is Nvidia’s AI Chip Partner—and Its Stock is Soaring.” Wall Street Journal. August 27, 2023.
This material is prepared by WisdomTree and its affiliates and is not intended to be relied upon as a forecast, research or investment advice, and is not a recommendation, offer or solicitation to buy or sell any securities or to adopt any investment strategy. The opinions expressed are as of the date of production and may change as subsequent conditions vary. The information and opinions contained in this material are derived from proprietary and non-proprietary sources. As such, no warranty of accuracy or reliability is given and no responsibility arising in any other way for errors and omissions (including responsibility to any person by reason of negligence) is accepted by WisdomTree, nor any affiliate, nor any of their officers, employees or agents. Reliance upon information in this material is at the sole discretion of the reader. Past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance.
Nvidia -> 100% New All Time Highs!Hello Traders and Investors ,
my name is Philip and today I will provide a free and educational multi-timeframe technical analysis of Nvidia 💪
A couple of months ago Nvidia perfectly retested the lower support trendline of the major monthly rising channel and the next resistance towards the upside is roughly at the $750level.
You can see that Nvidia still looks a little bit overextended on the weekly timeframe but therefore I do expect the bullish momentum to continue for the next couple of weeks.
With the recent break and retest of the $470 daily structure zone, market structure on Nvidia is now back to bullish and it will just be a matter of days until Nvidia creates a new all time high.
Keep in mind: Don't get caught up in short term moves and always look at the long term picture; building wealth is a marathon and not a quick sprint📈
Thank you for watching and I will see you tomorrow!
My previous analysis of this asset:
NVIDIA - 200 DSMA and OBV Analysis An analysis of how the 200 DSMA and On Balance Volume can help us frame potential set ups for a Nvidia and what it might do next.
Bullish Case and Invalidation Level
Price is above the 200 DSMA at present and because we are breaking above a recent high on the OBV, this could signal higher highs for price similar to June 2020.
Invalidation Level: This bullish scenario can be invalidated if the OBV breaks below the lower resistance line, in which case we can then expect a revisit of 200 SMA.
Bearish Case subject to change of current trend
If we fall below the 200 DSMA or/and get rejected from the overhead OBV resistance line this would indicate a trend change to the downside and this would look similar to the Oct 2018 signal.
We could arguably be at a similar level to February 2020 (pre crash territory) which resulted in the orange handle price action in the prior cup and handle. A similar move would see use correct down to the 200 DSMA.
In terms of trading, the OBV would be your lead indicator here, if it breaks its trend to the down side breaching the lower resistance line I would exit the trade. Similarly if it holds and reaches higher towards the upper OBV resistance line I would sit on the trade until we reach the line, at which point you could reduce your position and take some profit, or wait for a confirmation of rejection from the overhead line, then de-risk. The point is, these OBV levels should be able to help you make your decision on the trade, it is ultimately your decision.
The chart is fascinating as current price action draws similarities to the Oct 2018 period, the Feb 2020 period and the June 2020 period, all of which were critical market moments. NVIDIA may be turning into a macro asset that can help us determine the overall market trend and direction.
Hope this helps
PUKA
NVDA Falls Flat Today Following Big Market BeatAs we navigate these uncertain times, we must remain cautious and closely monitor the developments in NVDA and the broader stock market.
Unfortunately, NVDA witnessed a lackluster performance today, failing to maintain its momentum after the recent market rally. This decline may raise concerns and prompt us to reevaluate our trading strategies. While noting that a single day's performance does not determine the long-term trajectory is essential, it warrants closer observation.
Considering the current state of the general stock market, keeping a watchful eye on NVDA becomes even more imperative. As we witness increased volatility and potential market fluctuations, staying informed and making well-informed decisions is vital. By closely monitoring NVDA's performance, we can gain valuable insights into the market sentiment and potential trends.
Therefore, I encourage you to include NVDA in your watchlist and diligently track its movements. Keep an eye on the key indicators such as volume, price action, and any significant news or events that might impact the stock. Doing so, we can better navigate the volatile market conditions and make informed trading decisions.
Remember, caution is vital during uncertain times. While the market may present opportunities, it is crucial to approach them with a measured perspective. By staying informed about NVDA's performance and its correlation to the broader market, we can position ourselves to capitalize on potential opportunities or protect our portfolios from potential downturns.
In conclusion, I urge you to closely watch NVDA as it responds to the general stock market fluctuations. Take advantage of the tools and resources available to stay updated on the latest news, market trends, and expert opinions. We can navigate these challenging times more effectively by maintaining a cautious approach and being proactive in our analysis.