NZD/CAD: Capitalizing on RBNZ Stability and BoC DovishnessHello Traders,
In the coming week, we are closely monitoring NZD/CAD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.84090 zone. NZD/CAD is currently trading in an uptrend and is undergoing a correction phase, bringing it closer to the key support and resistance area at 0.84090. This level has historically served as a significant pivot point for price action, making it an attractive entry point for long positions.
From a fundamental perspective, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is maintaining a steady stance and is not looking to cut rates anytime soon. In contrast, the Bank of Canada (BoC) seems to be on pace to cut rates, given the easing inflationary pressures in Canada. This divergence in monetary policy favors the NZD over the CAD, adding strength to our bullish outlook on NZD/CAD.
Additionally, the overall bullish sentiment in the stock market could further benefit NZD/CAD due to the positive correlation between risk-on environments and NZD strength. This confluence of technical and fundamental factors makes the 0.84090 zone a strategic area to look for buying opportunities in NZD/CAD.
Trade safely,
Joe
Nzd-cad
NZDCAD is approaching the trend againHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NZDCAD for a buying opportunity around 0.83600 zone, NZDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Policy Divergence: BoC and RBNZ Take Opposing PathsGreetings Traders,
In today's trading session, our focus is on NZDCAD, where we see a promising buying opportunity emerging around the 0.83500 zone. NZDCAD has been traversing a downtrend but is currently undergoing a correction phase, drawing nearer to the retrace area near the 0.83500 support and resistance zone.
Adding depth to our analysis, recent fundamental developments are worth noting. Just yesterday, the Canadian CPI figures came in softer than anticipated. Meanwhile, during the night, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) issued some notably hawkish guidance.
This sets an interesting stage: while the Bank of Canada (BoC) is poised to initiate rate cuts come June, the RBNZ appears to be steering clear of such measures for the time being. This subtle policy divergence introduces a compelling dynamic that suggests NZDCAD may continue its upward trajectory.
In summary, the confluence of technical retracement and fundamental policy disparities presents an opportune moment for traders to consider a bullish stance on NZDCAD.
NZDCAD: Bullish indices and Potential upsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NZDCAD for a buying opportunity around 0.82600 zone, NZDCAD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82600 support and resistance area.
We would also like to consider the current bullish bias on indices and the bearish USD, these factors are positive for commodity linked pairs like NZDCAD and AUDCAD due to the correlation.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD Breakout and Potential retraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.83000 zone, NZDCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.83000 support and resistance area.
NZDCAD - 📈 => 📉Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
As per my last analysis (attached on the chart), NZDCAD rejected the lower bound of the red channel and traded higher.
What's next?
📈 NZDCAD has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red.
At present, NZDCAD is undergoing a correction phase, trading within the short-term rising channel in blue, and it is currently approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong resistance zone in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper trendlines.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDCAD is hovering around the circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDCAD Going for a 0.786 Rejection. Trade at the right time.The NZDCAD pair just completed a Death Cross on the 1D time-frame, the first since June 20 2023. Even though the price rebounded inside the 1.5 years Higher Lows Zone, the prevailing pattern since December 2023 is a Channel Down.
With the July 14 2023 High formed (and rejected) on the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, it is possible to see a rejection on the new 0.786 Fib, which now happens to be exactly at the top of the Channel Down.
As a result, as long as the pair doesn't close a 1D candle above the 0.786 Fib, we are bearish, targeting 0.80300 (the -0.136 Fib extension). If the 1D candle gets closed above the 0.786 Fib, we will take the small loss and buy, targeting 0.85000.
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Potential bullish bounce?NZD/CAD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.81706
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.81212
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.82427
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish riseNZD/CAD has just bounced off the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise to our take profit.
Entry: 0.81199
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.80930
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 0.81706
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/CAD has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?Price is rising towards a resistance level which is a pullback resistance which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.81639
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 0.81898
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 0.81091
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Unlocking the Correlation: NZDCAD's Dance with StocksTraders,
In today's trading session, our attention is directed towards NZDCAD, where we're eyeing a potential selling opportunity around the 0.82700 zone. As NZDCAD charts a downtrend, it's currently amidst a correction phase, edging closer to the crucial support and resistance area at 0.82700.
Adding depth to our analysis, it's essential to consider the fundamental landscape. The current bearish sentiment prevailing in stocks and indices casts a shadow over NZDCAD, primarily due to their positive correlation. When stocks and indices decline, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) tends to weaken against the Canadian dollar (CAD), reflecting the risk-off sentiment that accompanies declines in equity markets.
This positive correlation between NZDCAD and stocks can be attributed to several factors:
1-Risk Appetite: The New Zealand dollar is often viewed as a risk-sensitive currency, meaning it tends to strengthen during periods of risk appetite and weaken during risk aversion. In contrast, the Canadian dollar is often considered a commodity currency, influenced by factors such as oil prices and global economic growth prospects.
2-Commodity Prices: Both New Zealand and Canada are significant exporters of commodities, and their respective currencies can be sensitive to changes in commodity prices. A decline in global commodity prices, driven by concerns about economic growth or demand, can weigh on both the NZD and CAD, contributing to their correlation.
3-Global Economic Outlook: Changes in the global economic outlook can impact both stocks and currencies. In times of economic uncertainty or slowdown, investors may seek safer assets, leading to declines in both stocks and risk-sensitive currencies like the NZD.
Therefore, with stocks and indices exhibiting a bearish bias, NZDCAD faces increased pressure, aligning with its positive correlation with equities. This correlation underscores the interconnectedness of different asset classes and the importance of considering broader market trends when analyzing currency pairs.
Trade wisely,
Joe
NZDCAD - Already OverSold ❗️Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NZDCAD has been overall bearish, trading within the falling channel in red.
Currently, NZDCAD is approaching the lower bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower red trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDCAD is hovering around the circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDCAD Bearish stocks and potential downsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.82800 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.82800 support and resistance area.
We would also consider the current bearish bias on stock market and indices, due to the correlation when stocks are bearish the NZDCAD is under pressure
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD Bullish, dip buy opportunity targeting 0.85400The NZDCAD pair has hit the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) yet again today and remains under Resistance 1 (0.84300) since July 14 2023, having multiple rejections on it. We do see however the potential for the emergence of a Channel Up, as the 1D RSI is printing the same pattern as the October 20 2023 Low, which initiated a Bullish Leg.
If the Channel Up prevails, that can be its new Bullish Leg to a Higher High. As a result we turn bullish on the pair, aiming for Resistance 2 at 0.85400.
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NZDCAD:Bearish Stocks and Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.83350 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83350 support and resistance area.
the New Zealand economy is heavily reliant on its agricultural exports, particularly dairy products, which can also experience reduced demand during periods of economic downturn. Consequently, when stock markets falter, investors tend to favor safer assets, leading to a decrease in demand for riskier currencies like the NZD compared to safe-haven currencies or those perceived as less volatile, such as the US dollar (USD) or Japanese yen (JPY). This combination of factors contributes to the bearish outlook for NZDCAD when stocks are declining.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDCAD - Top-Down Analysis 📹 From Weekly To H1Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 Here is a detailed update top-down analysis for #NZDCAD.
NZDCAD is hovering around a weekly resistance, so we will be looking for sell setups on lower timeframes.
On H1, we are waiting for a break below the last major low to sell. Once the sell is activated, the stop loss would be above the previous high, and we will target double our stop loss size to have an edge over the market.
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good Luck!.
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDCAD Breakout and Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.83800 zone, NZDCAD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.83800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Exploring the Link Between USD Strength and Bearish NZDCADHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.83050 zone. NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.83050 support and resistance area.
Adding a fundamental layer to our analysis, it's crucial to consider the impact of USD strength on global markets. A stronger USD often leads to bearish sentiment in global stocks due to its negative correlation with risk assets. As investors flock to the safety of the US dollar during times of uncertainty, riskier currencies like the New Zealand dollar (NZD) tend to weaken. Consequently, bearish sentiment in stocks can translate into downward pressure on NZDCAD as traders seek safer havens.
Trade safe,
Joe.
NZDCAD Bearish stocks and potential downsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDCAD for a selling opportunity around 0.82150 zone, NZDCAD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.82150 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.