NDZJPY SHORT - PRICE ACTIONDaily trend line has had a break retest to the downside.
good weekly and daily confirmations for both sell zone and tp zone. Market behaviour would mean timing is good for entry.
sell stop scale where price reacts with large engulfing candles on the higher time frames, leading us to believe there are large quantities of supply.
No scale outs, breakeven only all up's left to run. will close before weekend
Nzd-jpy
NZDJPY BUYTechnical Analysis:
This is a riskier trade than usual, price has already reached 100% but has not closed beneath it. These trades offer the best risk to reward ratios but should be used sparingly and only entered with small risk and one position. But another reason I took this trade is because the NZD and AUD correlation looks to be bullish according to the setup.
Confirmations:
- Break above the consolidation and all previous highs to the left on the 1h
- Fib Pullback into kill zone
- Price did not close beneath the 100% level
- AUD & NZD bullish bias
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NZDJPY approaching resistance, potential drop! NZDJPY is approaching our first resistance at 76.62 (horizontal pullback resistance, 100%, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level to our major support at 75.22 (horizontal swing low support, 50% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY approaching resistance, potential drop! NZDJPY is approaching our first resistance at 76.62 (horizontal pullback resistance, 100%, 61.8% Fibonacci extension, 50% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level to our major support at 75.22 (horizontal swing low support, 50% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY approaching resistance, potential drop!NZDJPY is approaching our first resistance at 76.62 (horizontal pullback resistance, 61.8%, 100% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level to our major support at 77.22 (horizontal swing low support, 50% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY SHORTBreak of Trendline + Bearish flag pattern, using an intraday entry technique off the 50% fib level which has nice confluence with my zone, slightly wider 20 Pip SL when compared to my other intraday entries to ensure i will still be in this trade should it rally up and test the 0.618 fib level and liquidity zone. Targets are at the 0.618 fib retracement of the bullish move we have seen the past day or so.
NZDJPY Short - *SIMPLE DAY TRADE*I am currently in a short position on NZDJPY based on the rejection retest of the broken trendline but this is another opportunity to short this FX currency using my simple day trade method.
15minute flag pattern forming
3rd touch of top TL rejecting daily pivot
Lower high on the 15min chart
Rejection of fib 0.618
SL is 10 pips above the current high.
I have 2 profit targets marked on... Daily S1 and daily S2 level if there is a lot of bearish momentum.
ENJOY! :)
NZDJPY Potential Sell Setup on D1The NZDJPY is having difficulties to break above the 76.50 level, forming what looks like a triple top pattern on the D1 chart.
The current price is also close to the 61.8% Fib level, which looks to hold so far. Note that we draw the Fibonacci retracement from 72.37, to avoid the flash-crash from January 3 to interfere with our analysis.
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NZDJPY approaching resistance, potential drop! NZDJPY is approaching our first resistance at 76.62 (horizontal pullback resistance, 61.8%, 100% Fibonacci extension, 76.4% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong drop might occur below this level to our major support at 77.22 (horizontal swing low support, 50% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance where we might see a corresponding drop in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY Short Trade - LT Swing Trade *High R:R*I have been waiting for a decent long term short entry on NZDJPY for some time. Since the original sell off at the end of last year, price as been correcting and forming a large bearish wedge continuation pattern on the daily/4hr chart.
We have now seen this wedge broken out of to the downside with a 4hr lower low made.
I am now looking to enter on the next 4hr lower high which should then coincide with a retest of the broken wedge trendline and the Fib 0.618 or Fib 0.786 retracement levels.
I will only enter when I see these retracement levels holding strong.
NZD/JPY 100 PIP BULLISH RUN TO 76.50 ??? On the higher timeframes such as the daily chart we can see that NZDJPY seems to be consolidating between 75.00 and 76.50.
We can see that on Friday price closed giving us a decent low test candle on the daily bouncing off our support level (75.00) forming a beautiful double bottom pattern. Ideally we would of wanted the body of the candle to be smaller or a longer wick as this would of given us more bullish confirmation. However with the MA (moving average) acting as a dynamic support, rejecting price on Thursday and Friday I am happy to remain bullish on this pair.
Moving to the lower timeframe we can see a strong descending trendline on the 1HR chart that has held nicely over the past week. However, during Fridays session we can see a break of our trendline. The move wasn't drastic but the break and retest of our Moving Average gives me more reason to believe this is not a 'Fakeout' move. My intraday S/R Level of 75.50 was also broken and retested adding confluence.
During the next week we could see price push towards the 76.50 area with a nice 100pip bullish run.
NZDJPY Short Trade 2.0 *Trendline Retest*The 4hr wedge was broken last week and the bottom trendline has now been retested. Although there is no real Fibonacci Retracement level here, there is a lot of structure to the left and I believe the overall bearish trend should continue.
Stop loss is above previous highs to be safe.
Chaos looms: meltdown in sight. Mario Draghi made an honest assessment of the Eurozone today, which wasn't rosey. The big money wasn't happy with this. Stock markets and Forex around the world were thrown into some degree of chaos. All stock indices were affected - proving once and for all - that we are all part of a global economic system. What happens in the Eurozone or in America, simply does not just stay in those regions. In this screencast, I show where I've suffered in holding to my confidence in the indicators, from that important technical perspective. And now I'm in a no-loss position. If the market moves south, I shall follow - no need for targets or price levels.
The markets show me entry points and decide exit points. Just to be clear - hope and luck are not part of my equation.
NZDJPY Approaching Support, Prepare For A Further Rise NZDJPY approached its support at 75.53 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing low support, 61.8% Fibonacci extension ) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 76.11(61.8% Fibonacci retracement ).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is bounced off its support where a corresponding rise could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDJPY Approaching Support, Prepare For A Further Rise NZDJPY approached its support at 75.70 (50% Fibonacci retracement , horizontal swing low support, 100% Fibonacci extension ) where it could potentially bounce to its resistance at 76.17 (61.8% Fibonacci retracement , 61.8% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (55, 5, 3) is bounced off its support where a corresponding rise could occur.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.