Nzd-jpy
NZDJPY Pull-back first, 88.000 - 90.000 later.The NZDJPY pair followed very closely the trading plan we presented on our last September 22 analysis:
As you see after a drop to the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, the price rebounded aggressively back to the Resistance Zone. What helped us make this accurate projection were the striking similarities that presented early on with the June - September 2021 fractal. It appears that we are inside the blue oval pull-back which was completed just below the 0.786 Fibonacci level and then bounced for a new High on the -0.5 Fib extension.
See how similar their RSI patterns are as well. As a result, once this pull-back is completed, we expect a rise first to the 87.900 Resistance (top) and the -0.5 Fib above 90.000.
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Buying NZDJPY on dips.NZDJPY - 22h expiry - We look to Buy at 85.80 (stop at 85.15)
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 86.50 will confirm the bullish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 87.30 and 87.50
Resistance: 87.00 / 87.30 / 87.50
Support: 86.00 / 85.80 / 85.30
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
InvestMate|NZD/JPY Kiwi rallies to break outNZD/JPY Kiwi rallies to break out.
🇳🇿 The NZD has been in a downtrend with a number of currencies for some time, on the chart with the yen we can see the accumulation since March this year.
🇳🇿 Looking at the data coming out of the economy.
🇳🇿 Unemployment one of the lowest on record at 3.3%
🇳🇿 Inflation at 7.2% Not the worst.
We can see that it has been slowing down over the last few months.
🇳🇿 Interest rates 3.5% with projected increases to 4% during next decision.
🇳🇿 Consumer confidence index slowly rising currently at -42.7% not too bad but the market was expecting a better result.
🇳🇿 As we can see the economic situation in New Zealand is not the worst. It definitely has the potential to perform well in the coming months.
💴In Japan, no change.
💴Unemployment Rate low at 2.5%
💴Inflation low 3%. Japan is one of those countries that has not been hit by Inflation as much as Europe and the USA.
💴Interest rates at -0.1%. Still negative from 2016. Hence these falls in the Yen. When other countries raise rates causing their currencies to strengthen, their strength against the Yen increase.
💴For now, there are no increases on the horizon. The Bank of Japan says it has no intention of changing its monetary policy.
💴But the government doesn't want the Japanese Yen so cheap either, hence in recent days we have seen sharp falls which were interventions to stop the Yen weakening sharply against other currencies.
💴I don't think this will stop investors from pushing prices up again.
💴 Looking at the situation of both currencies, I don't think anything has changed in the current up trend over the months. The only threat could be unexpected monetary interventions to strengthen the Yen.
Turning to the chart.
📈 Since 11 October, we have started again to attempt to break through the strong resistance line we are currently at. The move down to the 81 levels looked like a final attempt to see how much the Yen could be strengthened but on a reversal on the kiwi we recorded a double bottom followed by a sharp breakout.
📈 Moving to the 1H chart we see a slight jerking of the price in recent days which was caused by monetary interventions on the Japanese yen.
📈 As you can see this has not been very impressive when compared to the New Zealand dollar.
📈Transforming to the monthly chart and measuring the two largest downward waves using the fibo grid, we can see why the price just had so much trouble breaking through the 0.786 zone. We are on a cluster of two 0.786 fibo levels.
📈Using statistics, the more attempts to attack a level, the greater the attempt to break it out.
📈 The final test of strength will come at the 93.4 levels where the strongest resistance line in the history of this currency pair is located.
📈 Given that we are still in an uptrend I would be tempted to play for a breakout of the nearest resistance line, which we have been fighting since March this year.
📈 The situation could look like on the posted chart with one more attempt to test this resistance line this time from the top. Setting a stop below the current weekly candle and targeting the biggest resistance on the pair at the level of 93 gives us an excellent profit/risk ratio of 5.1
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Playing with NZDJPY support levels.NZDJPY - 22h expiry - We look to Buy at 84.60 (stop at 83.95)
Previous support located at 85.00.
Previous resistance located at 85.50.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to set longs at our bespoke support levels at 84.60, resulting in improved risk/reward.
A move through 85.50 will confirm the bullish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 86.10 and 86.25
Resistance: 85.50 / 86.00 / 86.25
Support: 85.00 / 84.60 / 84.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Buying NZDJPY on dips.NZDJPY - 22h expiry - We look to Buy at 85.00 (stop at 84.35)
Previous support located at 85.00.
Previous resistance located at 86.00.
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 86.50 and 87.00
Resistance: 86.00 / 86.50 / 87.00
Support: 85.00 / 84.50 / 84.00
Disclaimer – Saxo Bank Group.
Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis , like any and all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site (including those from Signal Centre) are for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Such technical analysis are believed to be obtained from sources believed to be reliable, but not warrant their respective completeness or accuracy, or warrant any results from the use of the information. Your use of the technical analysis , as would also your use of any and all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
Please also be reminded that if despite the above, any of the said technical analysis (or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/through this site) is found to be advisory or a recommendation; and not merely informational in nature, the same is in any event provided with the intention of being for general circulation and availability only. As such it is not intended to and does not form part of any offer or recommendation directed at you specifically, or have any regard to the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of yourself or any other specific person. Before committing to a trade or investment therefore, please seek advice from a financial or other professional adviser regarding the suitability of the product for you and (where available) read the relevant product offer/description documents, including the risk disclosures. If you do not wish to seek such financial advice, please still exercise your mind and consider carefully whether the product is suitable for you because you alone remain responsible for your trading – both gains and losses.
Buying previous NZDJPY resistance.NZDJPY - 22h expiry - We look to Buy at 83.00 (stop at 82.35)
Previous support located at 83.50.
Previous resistance located at 84.00.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
A move through 84.00 will confirm the bullish momentum.
Our profit targets will be 84.50 and 85.00
Resistance: 84.00 / 84.50 / 85.00
Support: 83.50 / 83.00 / 82.50
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Buying NZDJPY lows.just now
NZDJPY - Intraday - We look to Buy at 81.10 (stop at 80.45)
Previous support located at 82.00.
Previous resistance located at 82.25.
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 82.60 and 83.00
Resistance: 82.25 / 82.60 / 83.00
Support: 82.00 / 81.10 / 81.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in NZDJPYTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (83.310).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDJPY is in a range bound, and the beginning of a downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 48.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 81.972
TP2= @ 80.554
TP3= @ 79.500
TP4= @ 77.933
TP5= @ 75.786
SL: Break Above R2
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💡Don't miss the great sell opportunity in NZDJPYTrading suggestion:
". There is still a possibility of temporary retracement to the suggested resistance line (83.310).
if so, traders can set orders based on Price Action and expect to reach short-term targets."
Technical analysis:
. NZDJPY is in a range bound, and the beginning of a downtrend is expected.
. The price is below the 21-Day WEMA, which acts as a dynamic resistance.
. The RSI is at 48.
Take Profits:
TP1= @ 81.972
TP2= @ 80.554
TP3= @ 79.500
TP4= @ 77.933
TP5= @ 75.786
SL: Break Above R2
❤️ If you find this helpful and want more FREE forecasts in TradingView
. . . . . Please show your support back,
. . . . . . . . Hit the 👍 LIKE button,
. . . . . . . . . . . Drop some feedback below in the comment!
❤️ Your Support is very much 🙏 appreciated! ❤️
💎 Want us to help you become a better Forex / Crypto trader ?
Now, It's your turn !
Be sure to leave a comment; let us know how you see this opportunity and forecast.
Trade well, ❤️
ForecastCity English Support Team ❤️
NZD/JPY Are we flying to test 0.618?NZD/JPY Are we flying to test 0.618?
Quick analysis of NZD/JPY
After a massive downward wave and a few days of correction, are we ready to continue the downward trend?
Due to the recent weakness of the nzd and the gradually increasing strength of the jpy I encourage you to observe this pair in the coming days.
Risk-reward ratio around 1 (correct)
NZDJPYLooks like we may be at a resistance level on the 1 hour and monthly timeframe. Price may be exhausting on the 1 hour while the mac d seems like its losing its momentum on the top side. Would love to see the 200 HMA tested here at some point. Looking for 38% or more retracement of the previous low on the 1 hour timeframe. Price has been gaining strength while volume has been declining recently. Let's see how it all plays out.
Selling NZDJPY almost at market.NZDJPY - Intraday - We look to Sell at 82.50 (stop at 83.10)
Previous support located at 82.00.
Previous resistance located at 82.50.
A higher correction is expected.
There is no clear indication that the downward move is coming to an end.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 81.00 and 80.75
Resistance: 82.50 / 83.00 / 83.50
Support: 82.00 / 81.50 / 81.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDJPY - Trend-Following Setup!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, as known as theSignalyst.
NZDJPY is overall bullish trading inside the brown channel, and it is now approaching the lower trendline, so we will be looking for trend-following buy setups.
Moreover, the zone 78.5 - 79.5 is a strong support zone .
So the highlighted purple circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the blue support zone and brown orange trendline. (acting as non-horizontal support)
As per my trading style:
Since NZDJPY is around the purple circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
NZDJPY should be slightly SELL because the MARKET RISK is off now. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY.
Either way, NZDJPY should be a LONG TERM BUY.
Anyway, the PRICE can go down again on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT, if the MARKET RISK OFF continues, to the 81.48 LEVEL. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF. After that, you can definitely BUY at 86.56 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK. Besides, the USD should be WEAK.
NZDJPY Rebound on the 1D MA200 or break to pre-March levels?The NZDJPY pair has had a massive rejection today on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as the forex market is attempting to digest yesterday's Fed Rate Hike by 0.75 bp for the 3rd straight meeting. The sell-off almost hit and is so far holding the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been holding since March 02. A break below can test the 1D MA300 (red trend-line) or under conditions, the Higher Lows Zone that started back in July 20 2021.
Before we consider those levels however, as long as the 82.160 Support holds, the long-term action remains to buy the dips, with the obvious target being the 86.830 - 87.910 Resistance Zone. Not only that, but the 1D RSI is close to the oversold 30.000 level which since November 2021 it caused medium to long-term rebounds. The price action since June 15 has strong similarities with that of March - July 2021. As you see then, when the Support broke, the price gradually reached the 1.236 Fibonacci extension, which on the current sequence is 80.800. A break below that, can test the July 2021 Higher Lows zone we discussed about above.
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Playing with previous NZDJPY resistance.NZDJPY - Intraday - We look to Sell at 86.40 (stop at 87.00)
Previous support located at 85.50.
Previous resistance located at 86.00.
Posted a Double Top formation.
Further downside is expected. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Our profit targets will be 84.90 and 84.80
Resistance: 86.00 / 86.40 / 87.00
Support: 85.50 / 85.00 / 84.80
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
💵New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen 💵 Analyze(Short term)!!!New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen is running inside the resistance lines. Also, it can make a Bearish AB=CD Harmonic pattern in my PRZ(Price Reversal Zone).
I expect that New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen will go down at least to the Trend line and support zone.
🔅New Zealand Dollar/Japanese Yen Analyze (NZDJPY) Timeframe 4H⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position that you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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NZD/JPY Outlook (30 August 2022) The NZDJPY has been trading in a horizontal range with a brief break towards the upside being resisted by the 85.65 price level.
As NZDJPY reverses from the 85.65 level to trade lower, look for price to reach the next key support level at 84.40.
Further downside would require the NZDUSD to weaken significantly, which could be unlikely. If price breaks below 84.40 the next support level beyond that is 83.45
NZDJPY expected to stall near trend line resistanceNZDJPY - Intraday - We look to Sell at 84.91 (stop at 85.31)
Signals are mixed but remain mildly bearish with an short-term timeframe highlighting an exhaustion count. We look for a temporary move higher. Prices expected to stall near trend line resistance. Preferred trade is to sell into rallies. Further downside is expected.
Our profit targets will be 84.01 and 83.80
Resistance: 85.00 / 87.00 / 92.00
Support: 84.00 / 82.00 / 80.00
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.'