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NZD (New Zealand Dollar)

GBPNZD Breakdown – Smart Money Turns Fully Bearish🧠 Macro + COT + Sentiment Context Commitment of Traders (COT) – Asset Managers Institutional asset managers are significantly net short on GBPNZD, with positioning at its lowest level of the year and declining sharply since May. This reflects a clear bearish stance from smart money and reinforces the current downward pressure. Sentiment & Momentum Indicators DPO: -54.9 → Indicates a moderately bearish momentum phase. Wyckoff: -20.3 → Price is in a distribution phase, suggesting weakness. Speed: 3.2 → Low acceleration, but directional bias remains bearish. Market Mood: Neutral, but leaning into oversold territory. Seasonality (July 1st – Sept 30th) Historically, GBPNZD performs positively in this period: 3Y: +1.7%, 5Y: +1.6%, 10Y: +2.3%, 15Y: +2.8% However, in 2025, price is diverging sharply from seasonal norms. The pair is trading against historical patterns, suggesting a seasonal anomaly where institutional flow is dominating historical behavior. 🧱 Technical Outlook (Daily Chart) GBPNZD had been consolidating in a clear range between 2.2170 support and 2.2750 resistance since May. The pair has now broken down with a strong, full-bodied weekly candle, closing below the 2.2320 demand zone. Key Technical Zones: Supply zone (2.2494–2.2659) → A clear rejection zone that initiated the current selloff. Demand zone (2.2170–2.2300) → Has been tested twice already, increasing the probability of a clean breakdown. RSI (Daily) → Currently neutral, with a sequence of lower highs and no bullish divergence in sight — indicating weak momentum. ✅ Conclusion & Trade Plan Directional Bias: Bearish (Short) Although seasonality typically supports bullish price action for GBPNZD in Q3, the current context is decisively bearish. Institutional positioning, price structure, and sentiment all confirm a potential shift in direction, reinforced by a confirmed weekly breakdown. Bearish Targets: 📍 First: 2.2170 (recent support test) 📍 Second: 2.2000–2.1900 (April swing low) 📍 Extension: 2.1750 (base of previous accumulation zone) Invalidation Criteria: A weekly close above 2.2490 (supply zone breached) Bullish RSI divergence + weekly recovery candle
Short
by EdgeTradingJourney
2
GBP-NZD Will Keep Falling! Sell! Hello,Traders! GBP-NZD keeps falling down And the pair made a strong Bearish breakout of the key Horizontal key level of 2.2400 And the breakout is confirmed So we are bearish biased and We will be expecting a further Bearish move down on Monday Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
"GBP/NZD: Bearish Storm Brewing – Get Ready!🚨 GBP/NZD HEIST ALERT: "Pound vs Kiwi" Bearish Trap Setup! 🚨 (Scalping/Day Trade) 🌟 Attention, Market Robbers & Profit Pirates! 🌟 🔥 Thief Trading Strategy Activated – Time to short the GBP/NZD like a pro! This pair is setting up for a bearish heist, and we’re locking in entries before the drop. High-risk, high-reward? You bet. 🎯 TRADE PLAN (Bearish Ambush) Entry Zone (Short) 📉: Optimal: Sell limit orders on retests (15m/30m timeframe). Thief’s Trick: Layer entries (DCA-style) near recent highs for max efficiency. "Enter like a sniper, escape like a ghost." 👻 Stop Loss 🛑: 4H Swing High/Wick (Near 2.25900) – Adjust based on your risk & lot size. "A smart thief always has an exit route." 🏃💨 Target 🎯: 2.22000 (or escape early if the trap snaps shut!) 💣 WHY THIS HEIST? (Bearish Triggers) Technical Setup: Oversold bounce? Nah. Consolidation → Reversal trap. Fundamentals: Weak GBP sentiment? Strong NZD data? Check the news! Market Psychology: Bulls are getting trapped at resistance—time to fade them. ⚠️ THIEF’S WARNING News = Volatility Bomb 💣 – Avoid new trades during high-impact events. Trailing SLs = Your Best Friend – Lock profits & dodge reversals. 💎 BOOST THIS IDEA & JOIN THE HEIST! 🔥 Hit 👍 LIKE, 🚀 BOOST, and FOLLOW for more lucrative robberies! 💸 "Steal the market’s money—before it steals yours." 🏴‍☠️ 🔔 Stay tuned—next heist coming soon! 🔔
Short
by The-Thief
NZDCHF is in the Bearish Side due to Bearish TrendHello Traders In This Chart NZDCHF HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today NZDCHF analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDCHF market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDCHF Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Short
by ForexMasters2000
NZD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT Hello, Friends! Previous week’s green candle means that for us the NZD/JPY pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 88.302. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
"NZD/CAD Reversal Play – Ride the Bullish Wave!🦹‍♂️💰 "THE KIWI-LOONIE HEIST: High-Voltage Forex Robbery Plan (NZD/CAD)" 💰🦹‍♂️ 🌍 Attention all Market Pirates, Thieves & Profit Bandits! 🌍 🔥 Thief Trading Alert – NZD/CAD Bullish Heist Setup! 🔥 The "Kiwi vs Loonie" is setting up for a high-risk, high-reward robbery—and we’re locking in the master plan. Long entry is the play, but this ain’t for the weak hands. Overbought? Consolidation? Reversal trap? Perfect. That’s where we strike. 🎯 THE HEIST BLUEPRINT 🔑 ENTRY ZONE (Breakout & Retest Strategy) "Wait for the 4H candle to CLOSE ABOVE 0.82600 (MA Breakout + Retest)." Option 1: Place a BUY STOP above the MA (momentum confirmation). Option 2: BUY LIMIT near recent swing lows (15M/30M precision). 🚨 Set an ALERT! Don’t miss the breakout—timing is everything. 🛑 STOP LOSS (Escape Route) SL at 0.82000 (near swing low wick on 4H). ⚠️ Golden Rule: NO ORDERS BEFORE BREAKOUT! Wait for confirmation. Adjust SL based on your risk, lot size, and multi-order strategy. 🎯 TARGETS (Profit Escape Plan) Take Profit 1: 0.83300 (First resistance). Or… Exit Early if the market turns shaky. Scalpers: Long-only scalp plays! Use trailing SL to lock in gains. ⚡ THIEF TRADER PRO TIPS ✅ Fundamental Backing: Check COT reports, macro trends, intermarket signals. ✅ News Alert: Avoid new trades during high-impact news—protect open positions with trailing stops. ✅ Risk Management: Small lots, multiple entries = smarter heist. 💥 BOOST THE HEIST! (Let’s Get Rich Together) 💥 👉 Smash that 👍 LIKE button to fuel our next robbery plan! 👉 Follow for daily high-voltage setups. 👉 Comment "🚀" if you’re joining the heist! 🤑 NEXT HEIST COMING SOON… STAY TUNED, BANDITS! 🤑 🔥 WHY THIS TRADE? (Thief’s Edge) Bullish momentum but trapped bears = perfect robbery setup. Institutional levels + retail traps = our opportunity. Not financial advice—just a well-planned theft. 😉 ⚠️ Warning: Trading = Risk. Only play with funds you can afford to lose.
Long
by The-Thief
NZDCHF – Bullish Breakout Sets Stage for ReversalNZDCHF has broken decisively out of a long-term descending channel, signaling a potential trend reversal. Price action confirmed multiple bullish flags within the falling structure, followed by a clean breakout and higher low retest, supporting a bullish continuation bias. Currently, the pair is stabilizing just above prior resistance turned support around 0.4760–0.4780, forming a potential launchpad for the next leg higher. Upside Targets: TP1: 0.48336 TP2: 0.48844 TP3: 0.49319 Invalidation Zone: A drop below 0.4720 would invalidate the breakout structure and expose the downside. Fundamental Drivers: 🇳🇿 NZD Strength: RBNZ remains relatively hawkish compared to other central banks, and the Kiwi may gain from improving risk sentiment and easing global recession fears. 🇨🇭 CHF Weakness: Swiss Franc is under mild pressure as safe-haven flows weaken amid improving tone on US-China-EU trade headlines and fading ECB rate cut bets. 🗓️ Macro Flow: Upcoming risk events (Fed comments, trade updates, and NZ economic prints) could inject momentum into the pair, especially if risk appetite improves. Bias: ✅ Bullish (Buy) Confidence: ★★★★☆ Watch for: Clean hold above 0.4770 zone + bullish momentum continuation.
Long
by ultreosforex
11
GBPNZD Will Explode! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for GBPNZD is below: The market is trading on 2.2361 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 2.2454 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
GBP/NZD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG Hello, Friends! We are going long on the GBP/NZD with the target of 2.262 level, because the pair is oversold and will soon hit the support line below. We deduced the oversold condition from the price being near to the lower BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is red and gives us a counter-signal. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Long
by EliteTradingSignals
1
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price is falling towards the pivot, which has been identified as an overlap support and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.6038 1st Support: 0.5999 1st Resistance: 0.6079 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
2
GBPNZD Analysis — 4H Chart ReviewI’m watching GBPNZD for a potential bullish continuation after a successful retest of the long-term ascending trendline. Price rejected near the lower boundary of the symmetrical triangle and showed bullish momentum right off that support. My structure suggests potential upside targets at 2.25559 (minor resistance) and 2.26854 (upper triangle boundary/major resistance zone). 🔍 Fundamental Context: 🇬🇧 GBP Fundamentals: UK CPI came in softer than expected, and BoE rate cuts are slowly being priced in for late 2025. However, BoE still sounds relatively hawkish compared to RBNZ due to inflation persistence in services. Strong UK wage growth and sticky inflation give GBP some near-term yield support. 🇳🇿 NZD Fundamentals: RBNZ remains on hold, but dovish tilt noted in recent communications. NZD under pressure from falling dairy prices and weak global growth sentiment (especially China). Risk-off flows and Fed hawkishness keep NZD vulnerable as a high-beta currency. ⚠️ Risks to the Setup: A surprise hawkish turn from RBNZ or better-than-expected NZ data could boost NZD. Renewed UK political instability or weak retail sales data may pressure GBP. Broader market risk sentiment — NZD may strengthen if risk-on returns and US yields drop. 🗓️ Key News/Events to Monitor: UK Retail Sales (July 25) RBNZ Governor Orr Speech (if scheduled) US PCE (for global risk impact) Chinese macro data (indirect NZD driver) 🔁 Leader/Lagger Perspective: GBPNZD often leads EURNZD during GBP-specific catalysts (BoE speeches, UK CPI). It lags NZDUSD and NZDCAD when risk sentiment or commodity cycles dominate. 📌 Summary: Bias and Watchpoints I'm bullish on GBPNZD in the short term, especially after a strong trendline retest and recovery off the 2.2450 zone. Fundamentals support GBP resilience over NZD due to relatively hawkish BoE stance and weaker New Zealand data. The main risk to this setup would be a dovish BoE surprise or strong NZ commodity-led rebound. I'll be watching UK Retail Sales and general risk sentiment closely. This pair can act as a leader during UK-specific news but becomes a lagger when risk flows dominate broader NZD direction.
Long
by ultreosforex
2
Kiwi climbs on risk-on flow – chart says more to come? The New Zealand dollar strengthened to around 0.6045, its highest level in over a week, supported by improved global risk sentiment following a breakthrough U.S.–Japan trade agreement. The agreement, which lowers tariffs and boosts bilateral investment, triggered a surge in Japanese markets. Japan’s Nikkei 225 index jumped more than 3%, hitting a one-year high. The breakout in NZDUSD was accompanied by a series of bullish candles with little to no upper wicks, evidence of minimal rejection from sellers. The most recent candles are consolidating just below the 0.6055 zone, which aligns with minor resistance from July 4. Rejection from this area—especially if it prints a bearish engulfing or shooting star pattern—could signal a short-term pullback. On the downside, immediate support is now at 0.6000. If broken, the next support potentially lies around 0.5980, which was the last major swing low before the breakout.
by BlackBull_Markets