NZD (New Zealand Dollar)
NZD/JPY, NZD/CAD and GBP/JPY on watch for me today.NZD/JPY:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below our rayline followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If the flag forms a little higher than in the example to the left I'll use the rayline as a shield by hiding my stop loss above it as illustrated for extra protection.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
NZD/CAD:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline, then once again regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
GBP/JPY:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below our rayline followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline, then once again regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
NZD/CAD, AUD/NZD, GBP/JPY and EUR/GBP on watch for me today.NZD/CAD:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline, then once again regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
AUD/NZD:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes down to and ideally just below our lower rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the fifteen minute or the one hour chart.
• If price pushes down impulsively to and ideally just below our lower rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back up followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
GBP/JPY:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down below our rayline followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to and ideally just above our upper rayline, then once again regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
EUR/GBP:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes up to give us a confirmed second top and then it pushes back down and then last part of the move is corrective I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the one hour or the fifteen minute chart.
• If price pushes down impulsively to and ideally just below our lower rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back up followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
NZD/JPY New Analysis 1:5 Risk RewardThis is an educational + analytic content that will teach why and how to enter a trade
Make sure you watch the price action closely in each analysis as this is a very important part of our method
Disclaimer : this analysis can change at anytime without notice and it is only for the purpose of assisting traders to make independent investments decisions
NZD/JPY, GBP/JPY, NZD/CAD and AUD/NZD on watch for me today.NZD/JPY:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the fifteen minute or the one hour chart.
• If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
GBP/JPY:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes up to and ideally just above our upper trend line and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get short with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the fifteen minute or the one hour chart.
• If price pushes up impulsively to and ideally just above our upper outer structure trend line, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If price only pushes up to our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place any of these trades.
NZD/CAD:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price gives us our first tight flag, then I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
AUD/NZD:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes down to and ideally just below our rayline and the last part of the move is corrective, then I'll be looking to get long with a risk entry after a phase line break on either the fifteen minute or the one hour chart.
• If price pushes down impulsively to and ideally just below our rayline, then I'll be waiting for a convincing push back up followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking to get long with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If neither of these setups present themselves then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place either of these trades.
NZD/JPY, NZD/CAD and GBP/USD on watch for me today.NZD/JPY:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price impulses down below our upper trend line and the impulse is followed by a tight flag, then I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
NZD/CAD:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
GBP/USD:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes down to give us a confirmed second bottom and then it pushes up to give us a confirmed second top then I'll be looking to get short with a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
Probability is your friendI wanted to share my research for today in a pattern I have begun to notice regarding the BBK Squeezes. Often times a "squeeze within a squeeze" is a great precursor to a breakout move. This really just goes back to the classic chart patterns of wedges and flags which many people use to great success. By coding it up though it lets me do two very important things as a trader: A) give me a visual representation for pattern recognition and B) setup alert triggers for many instruments so I do not have to watch them all of the time.
From a straight up probability standpoint if we look for these squeezes on BITFINEX:BTCUSD over the last year or so the 'both' squeeze has happened on the Daily chart 7 times. 5 of those would have yielded breakouts of 1-to-1 or greater reward/risk. Yes there were losses but losses are just a part of trading. The probability of using the signal as a strategy makes up for that.
I also have begun using this to find opportunities on forex pairs like the FOREXCOM:NZDCHF and FOREXCOM:NZDUSD this week in particular. The intent of developing this strategy was to be able to use Tradingview to scan for these periods of low volatility that may precede high volatility.
GBPNZD - Full Analysis Breakdown & UPDATE Welcome traders to a free analysis breakdown.
Today I am highlighting possible trade ares on GBPNZD, if you any questions on the pair let me know in the comment section below.
Once the pair gives us a valid trade entry I will be sharing the trade with the Alpha community, I hope you all found this breakdown helpful .
If you liked this free educational please like and follow the channel, there is lots more valuable content right around the corner.
Feel free to comment a pair or subject you would like me to cover next.
Trade Safe
Alpha Trading Group.
NZD/JPY, NZD/CAD and NZD/USD on watch for me today.NZD/JPY:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price impulses down below our upper trend line and the impulse is followed by a tight flag, then I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
NZD/CAD:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price pushes up to and ideally just above our rayline, then regardless of how it does so I'll be waiting for a convincing push back down followed by a tight flag where I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
NZD/USD:
• I will not be trading this pair until the legal action surrounding the 2020 US Presidential Election has reached its conclusion, but if once it has price impulses down below our mini upper rayline and the impulse is followed by a tight flag, then I'll be looking for a reduced risk entry on the break of the flag.
• If this setup doesn't present itself then I will simply wait until another setup which meets my plan materialises.
• If there's any ambiguity then I will not place this trade.
NZD/CAD MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS - UPDATE!!!Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
NZD/CAD MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS - UPDATE!!!Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
GBPNZD - 100pip TP HIT!!- What Next?Welcome traders to a free analysis breakdown.
Yesterday I made a breakdown on GBPNZD and our trade is playing out perfectly, if you any questions on the pair let me know in the comment section below.
I hope you all found this breakdown helpful .
If you liked this free educational please like and follow the channel, there is lots more valuable content right around the corner.
Feel free to comment a pair or subject you would like me to cover next.
Trade Safe
Alpha Trading Group.
GBPNZD - Full Analysis Breakdown. Welcome traders to a free analysis breakdown.
Today I am highlighting possible trade ares on GBPNZD if you any questions on the pair let me know in the comment section below.
Once the pair gives us a valid trade entry I will be sharing the trade with the Alpha community, I hope you all found this breakdown helpful .
If you liked this free educational please like and follow the channel, there is lots more valuable content right around the corner.
Feel free to comment a pair or subject you would like me to cover next.
Trade Safe
Alpha Trading Group.
NZD/CAD MULTI-TIMEFRAME ANALYSIS - UPDATE!!!Hello Traders, here is the full analysis for this pair, let me know in the comment section below if you have any questions, the entry will be taken only if all rules of the strategies will be satisfied. I suggest you keep this pair on your watchlist and see if the rules of your strategy are satisfied.
Weekly FX Wrap: a thorough ‘PR’ workout for currency markets...Weekly FX Wrap: a thorough ‘PR’ workout for currency markets
DXY
As alluded to in the title of this week’s FX review, the ‘pandemic resurgence’ and ‘paring of risk’ to the point of position liquidation at times have been primary drivers of overall direction and sentiment, but the Dollar has also benefited at the expense of the Euro in wake of the ECB essentially confirming expectations for ‘policy recalibration’ in December. To recap, COVID-19 cases and deaths are still rising at a rapid rate with many countries seeing exponential growth in the number of new infections on a daily basis to consecutive record highs, and regrettably little sign that the current wave is breaking. Meanwhile, although vaccine trials have restarted after pauses due to problems with earlier clinical tests, official approval from the various medical bodies and distribution remains some way off, to leave Governments with little alternative aside from tightening restrictions further or even reverting to almost full states of lockdown. Moreover, some health experts are pointing to a fresh variant of the virus in Europe, and while the US is also suffering new peaks of contamination in some states the situation is deemed less severe, relatively speaking. Hence, the Greenback has regained a strong safe-haven bid with the index hovering just shy of 94.000 and a 94.105 best vs 92.784 at the other end of a wide spectrum.
EUR
In stark contrast to the buoyant Buck, Euro depreciation due to the coronavirus and contagion have been exacerbated by the aforementioned downbeat and dovish tone of the latest post-ECB statement and press conference from President Lagarde. In short, official guidance was ‘enhanced’ by the addition of a new bullet stating that ‘in the current environment of risks clearly tilted to the downside, the GC will carefully assess the incoming information, including the dynamics of the pandemic, prospects for a rollout of vaccines and developments in the exchange rate’. Subsequently, the ECB head kicked off the presser by noting that the recovery is losing more momentum than envisaged, with recent data and surveys pointing to significant softening in Q4 activity. As a result, the entire GC believes it is necessary to take action via a tweak of instruments at the next meeting, and Eur/Usd is languishing towards the bottom of a 1.1865-1.1650 range.
CAD
The Loonie was also subject to broad risk aversion and policy recalibration from the BoC that will now target the longer end of the curve within its QE remit, but a sharp decline in crude prices compounded losses relative to its US counterpart within 1.3390-1.3130 parameters more than anything else.
GBP
Sterling has largely tracked swings in the market mood and mostly gloom due to COVID-19 developments that are threatening a circuit breaker as a potential attempt to avoid reverting to complete national shutdown, while Brexit updates have been almost as conflicting as ever depending whether the UK or EU are summing up the current state of trade negotiations, though the bottom line appears to be more progress. Indeed, the FT quotes an official from Brussels saying that a lot of drafting has been done on the LPF, but the key issues remain unresolved and by inference that means state aid and the real point of contention concerning access to fishing waters. In sum, a deal is still elusive and it will be down to the wire if enough concessions can be made to reach an agreement before the next Summit let alone the date that leaves it too late for legal text to be drawn up and ratified for the transition deadline. Cable is holding 1.2900+ status, but well off peaks in the high 1.3000 zone, but Eur/Gbp nearer 0.9000 than just over 0.9100.
JPY
Nothing expected and unforeseen from the BoJ, while Japanese data has been mixed and the Yen continues to dovetail with the Dollar as prime safety destination. Therefore, Usd/Jpy has been fairly rangebound and mostly capped by 104.00-50 trade inside a band up to circa 105.05 with a Fib at the half round number proving pivotal vs heavy option expiry interest on the downside.
AUD/NZD
The Aussie and Kiwi have both been very whippy between 0.7157-0.7003 and 0.6723-0.6597 respective bands vs their US peer, but the Aud/Nzd cross veering south from 1.0672 to 1.0597 at one stage and still leaning against 1.0600 ahead of the RBA and a widely if not universally expected 15 bp rate cut – see the Newsquawk Research Suite for a full preview of the November policy meeting.