Nzd-usd-short
Nzd/Usd - Short Study - A- Looking for another few pips to the downside before consolidation and a testing of this weekly short term bull trend. if we break the neckline of the head and shoulders pattern we are in i am looking for another 40 pips or so. If we get a break of the last shoulder and head then i am looking for 1.618 fib of this weeks bull run for upside target. Hope it helps. Trade studies not investment advice, trade with caution
NZDUSD - Head & Shoulders - DailyNZDUSD has formed a valid Head & Shoulders pattern on the daily time frame after failing to close above the middle Bollinger Band (20 SMA). The right head is slightly lower which is a sign of additional selling pressure. A significant bearish engulfing recently closed on the monthly time frame. Price closed firmly through the middle Bollinger Band on the weekly time frame. A significant bearish engulfing with a strong Bollinger Band outbreak is currently forming on the H4 time frame after bouncing from a 5 point support trend-line allowing for a very low risk entry. 1:9 risk to reward ratio. SL set above previous highs. TP set slightly above strong support. H4, Weekly and Monthly charts will be posted in the comments below.
NZDUSD Short Position 4Hr Timeframe• Weekly- bearish breakout from bullish trend
• Daily- breakout from rising wedge
- MACD crossover signalling bearish move
- Retest of 38.00% fib level
• 4 Hour- bullish move towards 38.80% fib which I will look to take short position from
- This is further signalled by bullish crossover
• Hourly – MA about to crossover and will look to short once pullback is broken
• Verdict – will look to short once pullback is broken.
NZDUSD Short Position (1Hr Timeframe)• Weekly- bearish engulfing candle which could see bearish week
- Worth noting MA cross over in weekly
• Daily- breakout from rising wedge however potentially see a potential ABCD pattern formation
- MACD crossover signalling bearish move
• 4 Hour- missed short opportunity due to NFP however looking to short pullback however be wary of both spinning tops so best to wait for market opening to see how pair moves
• Hourly – MA about to crossover and will look to short once pullback is broken
• Verdict – will look to short once pullback is broken. This a particularly a shorter term trade so not considering this weeks fundamentals
NZDUSD Short Position (1Hr Timeframe)- Potential short as trend retests resistance and should make way towards area of support within the channel
- Be wary of potential retest of blue area of support
- wait for Moving average crossover or bearish candlestick pattern in the 4hr timeframe before taking the position
NZD/USD Short!NZD/USD looks short for multiple reasons. Besides seeing significant strength in the USD the next two weeks, it looks like this has ran out of steam. Nice rejection of the resistance on the daily with beautiful rejection wicks. Formed a lower high and a lower low on the 4 hour. also broke the support on the 4 hour so we might be on our third wave down which typically reaches 1.6% or more of the first drive of elliot wave theory. Looks like a quick 100+ pips. My stop will be 1 pip above the most recent high of the month.
Further Downside to be Seen on NZDUSDHi traders.
The pressure is still clearly to the downside on NZDUSD despite Friday's reversal off the s1 lows at .684, for that reason selling opportunities are preferred. It will take a convincing move above s3 at .7053 to signal a possible trend reversal so until then we bet on lower highs. The .68 figure is the next downside target with the possibility of a move all the way down to the .675 figure.
Enjoy!
NZDUSD Short 1 Hr Chart Recent rally due to the weakening of the dollar, dollar index now testing support so i expect to see a pull back from the NZD and continuation up or a fall to support levels at 0.7130, either way i will continue to monitor the dollar index on this trade before deciding whether to stick with it or execute the position.