TSRI Strategy: NZDUSD to bounce higherTimeframe: H4
Trend: Continuation of the uptrend
Support/Resistance: Look for the price to bounce off the support, and the bullish trendline which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
TSRI MACD: Crossover to signal buying opportunity
SL: 20 pips below the support level.
TP: 100 pips at the resistance level.
NZD-USD
NZD/USD has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?Price is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could fall to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6101
1st Support: 0.6048
1st Resistance: 0.6144
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish Signals Intensify for NZDUSD Below 0.5800NZDUSD – technical overview
Overall pressure remains on the downside with the market continuing to stall out on runs up into the 0.6500 area. At the same time, there are some signs of the market wanting to put in a longer-term base. Ultimately, a break back above 0.6500 would be required to take the medium-term pressure off the downside and encourage this prospect. A monthly close below 0.5800 will intensify bearish price action.
R2 0.6083 – 10 April high – Strong
R1 0.5985 – 29 April high – Medium
S1 0.5852 – 19 April 2024 low – Medium
S2 0.5800 – Figure – Medium
NZDUSD – fundamental overview
RBNZ Governor Orr and Deputy Governor Hawkesby spoke earlier in the session before a parliamentary committee as part of their scheduled Financial Stability Report briefing. Hawkesby said that while there had been an increase in the proportion of non-performing loans, this had been "largely as predicted six months ago," and "provisions hadn't risen or weren't projected to rise as far as they had." On the data front, New Zealand building permits were balanced on the whole. Key standouts on Thursday’s calendar come from German and Eurozone manufacturing PMIs, Canada trade, US trade, US initial jobless claims, and US factory orders.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Previous support level of 0.6100 broken.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Short term RSI has turned negative.
The measured move target is 0.6040.
We look to Sell at 0.6100 (stop at 0.6124)
Our profit targets will be 0.6040 and 0.6025
Resistance: 0.6090 / 0.6100 / 0.6125
Support: 0.6075 / 0.6050 / 0.6040
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD Is this 1D Golden Cross a bearish signal?The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down on the 1D time-frame since the February 02 2023 High. The price almost reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which has formed both previous Lower Highs.
As the pair completed a 1D Golden Cross today, traders might immediately think that this is a bullish signal, as theory suggests but in the past 18 months, both previous Golden Crosses have formed the Top.
At the same time, the 1D RSI completed a Double Top, similar to the December 27 2023 Top. As a result, we have strong evidence to sell this pair again, and target 0.57750 (Support 1).
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Potential bullish rise?NZD/USD is currently on a support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6103
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6047
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6168
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD intraday dips continue to attract buyers.NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the daily chart.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
A move through 0.6150 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6175.
We look to Buy at 0.6120 (stop at 0.6100)
Our profit targets will be 0.6170 and 0.6175
Resistance: 0.6150 / 0.6170 / 0.6175
Support: 0.6125 / 0.6120 / 0.6100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
61.8% Fibonacci resistance ahead for the Kiwi?NZD/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6168
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6215
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6098
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?NZD/USD has just bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6101
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6048
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6169
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Potential bullish rise?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has reacted off the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6103
1st Support: 0.6048
1st Resistance: 0.6167
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?NZD/USD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6101
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6046
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that likes up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6169
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/USD Set to Rise: Leveraging Soft CPI and Fed Rate Cut ImpactHello Traders,
In today's trading session, we are closely monitoring NZD/USD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.61500 zone. Currently, NZD/USD is trading in an uptrend and is undergoing a correction phase. This correction is bringing the pair closer to the key support and resistance area at 0.61500, a level that has historically acted as a significant pivot point.
From a fundamental perspective, yesterday's CPI data came in softer than expected. This indicates that inflationary pressures are not as strong as anticipated, suggesting a more subdued economic environment. Lower inflation reduces the urgency for aggressive monetary tightening, leading to market expectations of a more cautious approach from the Federal Reserve.
In response to the softer CPI data, the Federal Reserve did cut interest rates in its latest FOMC meeting. This dovish move is expected to weigh heavily on the USD, as lower interest rates generally lead to a weaker currency. This scenario supports our bullish outlook on NZD/USD, as a weaker USD increases the attractiveness of the NZD. Given these fundamental developments, the 0.61500 zone presents a strategic entry point for long positions in NZD/USD.
Trade safely,
Joe
NZDUSD - Short Trade IdeaNZDUSD recently displaced to the downside but quickly made a recovery and displaced above the swing of the recent drop. There was buyside liquidity in the form of equal highs that were swept, but the candle bodies seem to be respecting the bearish Orderblock.
I am anticipating price now return to a discount, taking out the sellside liquidity below, into a weekly BISI.
- R2F
Overlap resistance ahead, could it reverse?NZD/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6169
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6215
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6091
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/USD: Key Levels and Upcoming EventsHello Traders,
In today's session, we are closely monitoring NZD/USD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.61000 zone. Currently, NZD/USD is in an uptrend and undergoing a correction phase, approaching the key support and resistance area at 0.61000.
Please be aware that tomorrow's trading will be influenced by significant events: the release of the CPI data and the FOMC meeting a few hours later. If the CPI data comes in hot, indicating higher inflation, we will cancel this trade, as it could prompt the Federal Reserve to adopt a more hawkish stance. Conversely, if the CPI data is soft, it may favor our trade by leading to a dovish outlook from the Fed, potentially weakening the dollar.
Trade safely,
Joe
Bullish rise?NZD/USD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support and could potentially rise to our take profit.
Entry: 0.61017
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.60474
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.61675
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off 38.2% Fibonacci support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.6086
1st Support: 0.6037
1st Resistance: 0.6167
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD:Bullish stocks and potential upsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.61400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.61400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?NZD/USD is falling towards a support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6178
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.6158
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which is slightly below the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.6209
Why w like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Bullish bounce off pullback support?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a support level which has been identified as a pullback support and could potentially bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6174
1st Support: 0.6156
1st Resistance: 0.6209
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD:Hawkish RBNZ and Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.60750 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60750 support and resistance area.
Last night the RBNZ did consider raising rates which should give a boost to the kiwi meanwhile on the other hand the macro environment of the dollar is soft after the current progression of CPI in the US.
Trade safe, Joe.