NZDUSD High probability buy at the bottom of the Channel Down.The NZDUSD pair has gone a long way since the previous successful buy signal we gave (see chart below):
The Channel Down shifted higher but the price is once again found on its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line) giving us a new high probability buy opportunity. On top of that, it appears to be repeating the May 31 bottom as the RSI is on an identical sequence. As a result we expect a rise towards the 0.618 Fibonacci Channel level at 0.60500, which would be as close as possible to the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) to test it as a Resistance.
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NZD-USD
NZDUSD: Support breach, down to 0.56?Looking for a further decline is this cross over the week.
We have seen continued NZD weakness over the past few days, with no fundamentals of note for this currency in the week.
Even though I'm noticing USD slow-down, and a likely retracement due to the over-extended current uptrend, I still think this pair will fall as the USD will remain stronger than the USD.
Support seems to have been broken, but I'm monitoring closely as we may retest after an initial drop from here.
My target will be 0.56 as this is the next significant support below this point and we ['re still some way off an ATL.
NZDUSD to turnaround?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
The selloff is close to a correction count on the intraday chart.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Bullish divergence can be seen on the 4 hour chart (the chart makes a lower low while the oscillator makes a higher low), often a signal of exhausted bearish momentum, or at least a correction higher.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5900 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 0.5875 (stop at 0.5843)
Our profit targets will be 0.5955 and 0.5975
Resistance: 0.5900 / 0.5925 / 0.5950
Support: 0.5875 / 0.5860 / 0.5840
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59300 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD On last pull back and then rebound to 0.6200NZDUSD is testing the MA50 (1d) after a Support (1) rebound.
The Arc pattern looks like the one from March-April. Following a double MA50 (1d) breach, the price made one last pull back and then rebounded.
Trading Plan:
1. Buy on Support (1) again.
Targets:
1. 0.6200 (the 0.618 Fibonacci level, which was the May 11th high).
Tips:
1. The RSI (1d) is also highly correlated with the March-April sequence, indicating that we may be on the April 13th leg.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
NZDUSD Buy signal on a repetitive pattern.NZDUSD is trading inside a Channel Down throughout the whole year.
The 1day RSI is on an uptrend, the same kind on the prior two bullish legs that both hit at least the 0.618 Fibonacci level.
With the 1day MA50 already broken, buy and target 0.61150 (Fib 0.618).
Previous chart:
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Long NZDUSDNZDUSD posted a green Heiken Ashi candle last week on the weekly time frame. This suggests to me that we may see another green weekly candle.
It is also the case that NZDUSD posted a green Heiken Ashi candle on the daily time frame after a red daily candle. This suggests to me that we may see a multi-day bull run.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59400 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD to find buyers at previous support?NZDUSD - 24h expiry - We look to Buy at 0.5930 (stop at 0.5899)
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart.
Momentum is flat, highlighting the lack of clear direction.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5975 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6025.
Our profit targets will be 0.6005 and 0.6025
Resistance: 0.5980 / 0.6015 / 0.6025
Support: 0.5950 / 0.5930 / 0.5900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59300 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Buy opportunity at the bottom of the Channel Down.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a 8-month Channel Down since February and right now is staging the new rebound on its bottom (Lower Lows trend-line). The 1D RSI has been rebounding from the oversold zone on Higher Lows, while the candle action has been on Lower Lows, displaying a strong Bullish Divergence.
As a result, we have the ideal signals to go long and target the 0.618 Fibonacci level on a +4.35% rise at 0.61000.
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NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59600 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.59600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
More downside for NZDUSDThe NZDUSD fails to break above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level, which could signal further downside potential.
if the price breaks below the Friday low, could see a continuation to the downside with the next key support level at 0.5893
Anticipating the AUDUSD to drop following the RBA decision tomorrow, the NZDUSD could follow suit as the currencies maintain the correlation
NZDUSD TECHNICAL ANALYSIS Greetings, traders
We'll be keeping an eye on the NZDUSD on a daily basis. The first area to watch for potential bullish momentum is at 0.58733. If that fails, we'll study the price action at 0.5751 for potential bullish momentum . Do not forget: No confirmation, no entry. Always use effective risk management.
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NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in tomorrow’s trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.59600 zone, NZDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.59600 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today’s trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.60800 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60800 support and resistance zone.
Trade safe. Joe.