EUR/NZD Poised for Bullish Rebound: A Technical AnalysisLast week, the EUR/NZD currency pair experienced a notable rebound at the 1.7400 support level. This level has historically been a robust area where the price has shown resilience, indicating a strong possibility that the price will not easily fall below this threshold. The significance of this support level is underscored by previous reactions, affirming its strength.
In examining the COT Report, it's evident that the NZD currently holds a stronger position on the buy side. Despite this, technical indicators suggest a potential bullish impulse for the EUR/NZD in this area. Specifically, the stochastic indicator on the daily timeframe shows an oversold condition, further supporting the likelihood of a bullish movement.
Given these factors, our analysis leads us to consider a long position in the EUR/NZD. The combination of a solid support level at 1.7400, bullish technical signals, and historical price behavior makes this a compelling setup for traders looking to capitalize on potential upward momentum in the near term.
NZD
TSRI Strategy: NZDUSD to bounce higherTimeframe: H4
Trend: Continuation of the uptrend
Support/Resistance: Look for the price to bounce off the support, and the bullish trendline which coincides with the 50% Fibonacci retracement level.
TSRI MACD: Crossover to signal buying opportunity
SL: 20 pips below the support level.
TP: 100 pips at the resistance level.
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST: DXY, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHFThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHF, JPY
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1.5 RR long opportunityAfter the bullish engulfing pattern, the price experienced a significant drop and formed a daily pivot. Consequently, the price could continue to decline; however, at the 0.8273 level, there are two strong support and demand zones that could lead to a price rejection.
The appeal of this long position lies in its risk-to-reward ratio of 1.5, with a small stop loss of approximately 30 pips.
Keep your trading simple.
EURNZD - Look For Bearish Reversal!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 EURNZD has been overall bullish, trading within the rising channel in red.
Currently, EURNZD is hovering around the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, it is retesting a resistance zone marked in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the green resistance and upper red trendline acting as a non-horizontal resistance.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #EURNZD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Sell NZD/JPY Channel BreakoutThe NZD/JPY pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 97.55, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 96.95
2nd Support – 96.53
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 97.95. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
NZD/USD has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?Price is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could fall to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6101
1st Support: 0.6048
1st Resistance: 0.6144
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bullish breakout?EUR/NZD is breaking out of the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could rise to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 1.75527
1st Support: 1.7481
1st Resistance: 1.76987
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Bearish Signals Intensify for NZDUSD Below 0.5800NZDUSD – technical overview
Overall pressure remains on the downside with the market continuing to stall out on runs up into the 0.6500 area. At the same time, there are some signs of the market wanting to put in a longer-term base. Ultimately, a break back above 0.6500 would be required to take the medium-term pressure off the downside and encourage this prospect. A monthly close below 0.5800 will intensify bearish price action.
R2 0.6083 – 10 April high – Strong
R1 0.5985 – 29 April high – Medium
S1 0.5852 – 19 April 2024 low – Medium
S2 0.5800 – Figure – Medium
NZDUSD – fundamental overview
RBNZ Governor Orr and Deputy Governor Hawkesby spoke earlier in the session before a parliamentary committee as part of their scheduled Financial Stability Report briefing. Hawkesby said that while there had been an increase in the proportion of non-performing loans, this had been "largely as predicted six months ago," and "provisions hadn't risen or weren't projected to rise as far as they had." On the data front, New Zealand building permits were balanced on the whole. Key standouts on Thursday’s calendar come from German and Eurozone manufacturing PMIs, Canada trade, US trade, US initial jobless claims, and US factory orders.
Exclusive FX research from LMAX Group Market Strategist, Joel Kruger
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Previous support level of 0.6100 broken.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Short term RSI has turned negative.
The measured move target is 0.6040.
We look to Sell at 0.6100 (stop at 0.6124)
Our profit targets will be 0.6040 and 0.6025
Resistance: 0.6090 / 0.6100 / 0.6125
Support: 0.6075 / 0.6050 / 0.6040
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD Is this 1D Golden Cross a bearish signal?The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down on the 1D time-frame since the February 02 2023 High. The price almost reached the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level, which has formed both previous Lower Highs.
As the pair completed a 1D Golden Cross today, traders might immediately think that this is a bullish signal, as theory suggests but in the past 18 months, both previous Golden Crosses have formed the Top.
At the same time, the 1D RSI completed a Double Top, similar to the December 27 2023 Top. As a result, we have strong evidence to sell this pair again, and target 0.57750 (Support 1).
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Overlap support ahead?NZD/CAD is falling towards the pivot which acts as an overlap support and could bounce from this level to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.83496
1st Support: 0.83107
1st Resistance: 0.83993
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish rise?NZD/USD is currently on a support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6103
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6047
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6168
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is slightly below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EUR/NZD has a strong bearish momentum, could it fall further?Price is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 1.7552
1st Support: 1.7395
1st Resistance: 1.7634
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Heading into overlap resistance, could it reverse?NZD/CAD is rising towards the pivot and could potentially reverse from this level to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.83992
1st Support: 0.83442
1st Resistance: 0.84341
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD is approaching a decent support areaHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a buying opportunity around 0.60800 zone, NZDUSD is trading in an uptrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.60800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Inflation Concerns and Risk Sentiment: Implications for NZD/JPYAttention Traders,
In today's trading session, we are closely monitoring the NZD/JPY pair for a potential buying opportunity around the 96.900 zone. Currently, NZD/JPY is in an uptrend but is undergoing a correction phase as it approaches the key support and resistance area at 96.900.
From a fundamental perspective, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has shown no intentions of cutting rates, given that inflation remains a significant concern. On the other hand, the Japanese Yen (JPY) continues to underperform against major currencies due to prevailing risk sentiment, maintaining its bearish outlook.
Stay vigilant and trade safely.
Best regards,
Joe
NZDJPY - Keeping It Simple!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NZDJPY has been overall bullish, trading within the flat rising orange channel.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDJPY approaches the upper bound of the channel, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
NZDUSD intraday dips continue to attract buyers.NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the daily chart.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending.
A move through 0.6150 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6175.
We look to Buy at 0.6120 (stop at 0.6100)
Our profit targets will be 0.6170 and 0.6175
Resistance: 0.6150 / 0.6170 / 0.6175
Support: 0.6125 / 0.6120 / 0.6100
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
61.8% Fibonacci resistance ahead for the Kiwi?NZD/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6168
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6215
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6098
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/CAD: Capitalizing on RBNZ Stability and BoC DovishnessHello Traders,
In the coming week, we are closely monitoring NZD/CAD for a potential buying opportunity around the 0.84090 zone. NZD/CAD is currently trading in an uptrend and is undergoing a correction phase, bringing it closer to the key support and resistance area at 0.84090. This level has historically served as a significant pivot point for price action, making it an attractive entry point for long positions.
From a fundamental perspective, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is maintaining a steady stance and is not looking to cut rates anytime soon. In contrast, the Bank of Canada (BoC) seems to be on pace to cut rates, given the easing inflationary pressures in Canada. This divergence in monetary policy favors the NZD over the CAD, adding strength to our bullish outlook on NZD/CAD.
Additionally, the overall bullish sentiment in the stock market could further benefit NZD/CAD due to the positive correlation between risk-on environments and NZD strength. This confluence of technical and fundamental factors makes the 0.84090 zone a strategic area to look for buying opportunities in NZD/CAD.
Trade safely,
Joe
Potential bullish rise?NZD/USD has just bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6101
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.6048
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6169
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.