NZD/CAD and where to SELLHey tradomaniacs,
previous fakeout the the downside hasbeen a strong Stop-Loss-Fishing-Move and resulted in a strong upmove.
Currently NZD/CAD is testing a strong resistance but still shows a lot of buy-pressure there which makes it more likely to see a break until the next resistance which would complete the A-B-C Pattern close the the 50% - 61,8% Retracement.
Up there we would probably get a nice chance to sell as soon as we see bearish confluence.
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Peace and good trades
Irasor
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Nzdcadshort
NZDCAD - BEARISH BIASNZD - BEARISH
1️⃣ New Zealand extended its level three lockdown restrictions in Auckland until at least midnight on Sunday, reporting 7 fresh cases of the coronavirus as community transmission persists.
2️⃣ The volume of total retail sales in New Zealand declined a seasonally adjusted 14.6% in the second quarter of 2020, posting the largest drop in total volume sales since the series began in 1995.
CAD - BULLISH
1️⃣ CAD lifted by a rise in oil prices after tropical storms Marco and Laura hit the Gulf of Mexico and amid optimism about coronavirus treatments.
2️⃣ US Dollar Index (DXY) is staying on the back foot as the greenback struggles to grab investors' attention as a safe-haven.
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TECHNICAL
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- We shorting NZDCAD on pivot point level + SMA100 area + SBR level on H1 chart.
- NZDCAD in bearish zone.
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RISK TO THIS TRADE
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This trade will hit stop loss if oil prices going down and market sentiment turns to risk-off mode.
NZDCAD SHORT OPPORTUNITIES UPON 4H CLOSEShort opportunities on this H4 close (if we have this bearish wick) if not I will be waiting for a deeper retracement into the 50% fib. We have multiple confluences here as price is clearly in a downtrend (lower highs, lower lows), price is also respecting this descending TL, we are also near and below the 50EMA and has stalled around the 38.2 fib level with what looks to be a bearish wick for confirmed entry. ALso favour a weak NZD.
NZDCAD - Great TradeExpecting further downside on this pair after breaking the previous significant structure. We are working with the small bear flag patterns that are being formed on the way down in the hope of a major downside move.
I have entered this trade because:
- The COT data is supporting our decision
- After viewing and analyzing CAD base pairs, I have come to the conclusion CAD could continue to strengthen against the NZD
- We are now trading below what was the previous significant structure, this level can be now used as a rejection zone for further continued downside.