NZDCHF short intraday/swing trade setupNZDCHF short intraday/swing trade setup based on lower highs and strong red volume. Price is overextended here and showing significant signs of weakness. This engulfing red candle break to the downside has convinced me to take a short position. Please note: Trading currencies carries a high element of risk where financial loss can be significant. This analysis is not to be construed as financial advice.
Nzdchfshort
Wolfe Wave Sets NZDCHF ETA TonightAs discussed in our latest webinar, Wolfe Waves are a 5-wave pattern which shows supply and demand as price moves towards an equilibrium. In essence, Wolfe Waves rely on three tops and two bottoms or the reverse, pointing to the correct direction, in order to evaluate where the next move is going.
For the NZDCHF pair, points 1 and 3 have been identified as the tops of a potential bearish Wolfe Wave, while points 2 and 4 appear to confirm this formation, given that they satisfy the Wolfe Wave conditions. The two lines extended from points 1-3 and 2-4 respectively converge, once extended, to set the ETA, which is found to be at approximately 19:00 server time tonight. The extension of the line from points 1-4 sets the expected equilibrium price, which is found to be at 0.6873.
Wolfe Wave Pattern (Image)
However, the price does not need to touch the EPA line at exactly ETA, while the price can also reach ETA without reaching the EPA level. These known pitfalls of fundamental analysis suggest that traders need to be careful, especially in days where volumes are low, such as today. While the RSI and the MACD, along with the SMA crossing the LMA at 10:00 server time, show signs of bearish behaviour, traders need to follow proper risk management rules in order to minimize their downside.
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NZDCHF breakdown?Analysis
-NZDCHF looking bearish after showing signs of reversal after buyers pushed price up into resistance, wherein sellers stepped in and pushed price down before the daily candle close.
-The price action resulted in a daily candle pinbar setup AT RESISTANCE which is a bearish sign.
-On the 1H time frame, price just broke a bullish trend to the downside.
-There is also bearish RSI divergence on the 1H time frame which further eludes to price possibly reversing to the downside.
Entry, Stops and Targets
-Short Entry: 0.68655
-Stop Loss: 0.69045 (Set stop above the high of the daily reversal candle)
-Take Profit: 0.67953 (Set targets at a minimum of 1.8 times your stop depending on entry)
*Always practice good risk management and know your limit!*
NZDCHF approaching support, potential bounce! NZDCHF is approaching our first support at 0.6714 (horizontal overlap support, 50% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 0.6789 (38.2% fiboancci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is approaching support and we might see a corresponding rise in price should it bounce off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDCHF approaching support, potential bounce! NZDCHF is approaching our first support level at 0.6714 (horizontal overlap support, 50% Fibonacci retracement) where a strong bounce might occur above this level pushing price up to our major resistance at 0.6789 (38.2% Fibonacci retracement).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching support where we might see a corresponding bounce in price.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.
NZDCHF short dailyHi traders,
this is my setup for NZDCHF for the next week.
I will open 4 positions with 4 different targets at the fibonacci retracements as sell stop order.
And 4 positions as sell limit order for the case that the macro M complete.
This is the daily timeframe, so let the trades run as swintrades.
Have a creat trading week.
Stefan Forex
Possible NZD/CHF Short position!!SELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY
Chart time frame - H4
Timeframe - 1-4 days
Actions on -
A – Activating Event
Currency Pair creating a Double Top .
B – Beliefs
Market will find resistance at current levels at @ 0.688 - 0.693 levels and move towards the first Target 1 level @ 0.678
FX:NZDUSD
Trade Management
Entered @ Sign up for details
Stop Loss @ Sign up for details
Target 1 @ 0.678
Target 2 @ 0.6538
Risk/Reward @ 4.1
Happy trading :)
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Thank you for your support :)
This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
NZDCHF approaching resistance, potential drop!NZDCHF is approaching our first resistance at 0.6819 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, 61.8% Fibonacci retracement) where we might see a drop in price to our first support at 0.6532 (61.8% Fibonacci extension, Horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks
NZDCHF approaching resistance, potential drop! NZDCHF is approaching our first resistance at 0.6742 (Horizontal pullback resistance, 50% Fibonacci retracement, 100% Fiboancci extension) and a strong drop might occur pushing price down to our major support at 0.6591 (Horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is also approaching resistance and we might see a corresponding drop in price should it react off this level.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully understand the risks.