NZDJPY to breakdown?NZDJPY - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Bearish divergence is expected to cap gains.
A lower correction is expected.
We look to Sell a break of 92.10.
We look to Sell a break of 92.10 (stop at 92.50)
Our profit targets will be 91.10 and 90.85
Resistance: 92.50 / 92.80 / 93.20
Support: 92.00 / 91.60 / 90.90
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NZDJPY
NZDJPY - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 250 PIP ) 🟢 Pair Name :NZD/JPY
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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🟢 Key Technical / Direction ( Long )
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Bullish Break
91.900 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Visible range Value
- Pattern Target
- Day / week high
Bearish Reversal
94.300 area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range Hvn
- pattern Target
- Major Choch
NZDJPY: Rectangle trading calls for buying.NZDJPY is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 52.566, MACD = 0.350, ADX = 19.993) as it's been trading sideways inside a Rectangle pattern since September 27th. The recent rebound happened on the 4H MA200 and today it took a rejection on the 4H MA50. One more test of the 4H MA200 is possible but overall it is more likely to see an upward test of the lower Resistance Zone (TP = 91.800).
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NZDJPY Will Explode! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for NZDJPY below:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 91.135
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 91.469
Recommended Stop Loss - 90.960
About Used Indicators:
Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so NZD-JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 90.171.
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NZDJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear followers,
I analysed this chart on NZDJPY and concluded the following:
The market is trading on 91.609 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 91.230
Safe Stop Loss - 91.834
About Used Indicators:
A super-trend indicator is plotted on either above or below the closing price to signal a buy or sell. The indicator changes color, based on whether or not you should be buying. If the super-trend indicator moves below the closing price, the indicator turns green, and it signals an entry point or points to buy.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDJPY Will Move Higher! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 90.965.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 92.269 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NZDJPY Buyers In Panic! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
NZDJPY looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 91.89 pivot level.
Bias -Bearish
My Stop Loss - 92.317
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 91.246
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
Bearish trend on NZD/JPY, defined by the red colour of the last week candle combined with the fact the pair is overbought based on the BB upper band proximity, makes me expect a bearish rebound from the resistance line above and a retest of the local target below at 88.374.
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NZD/JPY Triangle Pattern in Daily Time Frame: Breakout and Long On the daily time frame, I’m monitoring a triangle pattern on NZD/JPY. Once a confirmed breakout occurs, I plan to enter a long position. My first target will be the pink resistance zone. This key level could provide the next significant resistance point, and I’m waiting for price confirmation before taking action.
NZDJPY Is Going Down! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 91.001.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 90.827.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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NZD/JPY H4 | Potential bullish bounceNZD/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 90.23 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 89.70 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 91.27 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Bearish drop?NZD/JPY is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could fall from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 90.71
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 91.02
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 90.20
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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#NZDJPY 4HNZD/JPY (4H) Analysis: Rectangle Support
Pattern:
The NZD/JPY pair has been trading within a well-defined rectangle pattern on the 4-hour chart, with horizontal support forming the base. The price has consistently bounced off this support level, indicating strong buyer interest at this zone.
Forecast: BUY with pattern
The price is currently testing the lower boundary of the rectangle, presenting a buying opportunity. The support zone has held multiple times, suggesting a potential upward move towards the top of the rectangle. A buy entry is recommended near the support, targeting the upper resistance of the rectangle. To manage risk, stop losses should be placed just below the support zone.
Key factors to consider:
- Repeated tests of the support level without a significant breakdown.
- Potential for price to move back towards the top of the rectangle.
- Well-established risk-to-reward ratio with a clear support base.
Potential bullish reversal?NZD/JPY is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance level which acts as a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 90.25
1st Support: 89.88
1st Resistance: 90.61
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Traders could veer towards the yen with risk events loomingIt is no coincidence that VIX futures have been creeping higher in recent weeks despite Wall Street hitting record highs, as traders are presumably hedging downside risk as we approach the US election. And that means it may not take much to spook traders out of bullish bets with markets at frothy levels, and that could see the yen strengthen as a safety play. Matt Simpson takes a technical look at yen pairs of interest.
#NZDJPY 4HNZDJPY 4H Chart Analysis – Triangle Pattern
On the 4-hour chart for NZDJPY, a Triangle pattern has formed, signaling potential breakout opportunities. Triangle patterns represent a consolidation phase where the price moves within converging trendlines, either towards an upline (resistance) or a downline (support). The market is squeezing into a tighter range, indicating that a larger move may be imminent.
Forecast:
-Buy when the price breaks out above the upline (resistance). This suggests bullish momentum, and you may look for a strong candle close above the resistance line to confirm the breakout.
-Sell when the price breaks down below the downline (support). A confirmed breakdown indicates bearish sentiment, and you may look for a strong close below the support line for confirmation.
Traders should wait for a decisive breakout or breakdown before entering trades, as false signals may occur within the triangle. Monitor key levels closely and consider volume for additional confirmation.
NZDJPY breaks 200-day SMA; downward movement imminent?The New Zealand dollar to Japanese yen currency pair (NZD/JPY) saw an uptrend on the daily chart from March 2020 to July 2024, gaining 66.58% over the four-year period.
Recently, however, the pair broke below the 200-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) on the daily chart, signaling a potential trend reversal. The 200-day SMA, which had served as support for four years, now appears to be acting as resistance.
Additionally, the NZD/JPY formed a double top, indicating that buyers were once more unable to push the price above the 92.00 mark. This double top region coincides with the 50% level of the bearish Fibonacci.
Upward trend in NZDJPY driven by RBNZ-BOJ interest rate differential
The strong upward trend had been driven by the interest rate differential between the New Zealand dollar and the Japanese yen.
New Zealand, like many countries around the world, slashed interest rates during the COVID-19 pandemic to stimulate its economy. However, as the economy began to recover, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) moved to raise rates to control inflation and avoid rampant price increases.
With inflation now under control, the RBNZ has started cutting rates, with yesterday marking the third consecutive cut, as the central bank reduced New Zealand’s key interest rate from 5.25% to 4.75%.
Japan, on the other hand, followed the opposite path, keeping its interest rate below 0 while other countries raised borrowing costs to control inflation — which is why the JPY has depreciated so much in recent years.
However, in its most recent meetings, the Bank of Japan (BOJ) — Japan’s central bank — changed its stance and raised interest rates for the first time since 2016.
With New Zealand’s interest rate declining and Japan’s interest rate increasing, there is potential for a medium-term devaluation of the NZD against the JPY.
Downward movement in NZDJPY possible in coming months
From a technical perspective, the following factors are at play:
1. Break of the uptrend on D1.
2. The 200-day SMA, which previously acted as support, is now serving as resistance.
3. A double top has formed on the daily chart.
4. The 50% Fibonacci region is bearish.
Considering these technical factors and the diverging monetary policies of the central banks in Japan and New Zealand, a downward movement in NZD/JPY is possible in the coming months.
If the price manages to break below 89.75, it is possible that it will fall to the 86.70 region in a few days.
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#NZDJPY 4H#NZDJPY 4H Forecast Buy with a Channel Pattern
On the 4-hour chart for #NZDJPY, the price is trading within a well-established ascending or horizontal channel, presenting an opportunity for a potential buy. However, traders must remain cautious of a possible support breakdown, which would signal a sell opportunity.
Key Insights:
1. Channel Pattern: The price is currently moving within a defined channel, with clear support and resistance levels. This indicates a period of consolidation or controlled upward movement, making it ideal for range-bound or trend traders.
2. Buy Scenario (Current Channel Movement):
- As long as the price remains within the channel and stays above support, there is potential for a buy.
- Traders can enter buy positions near the lower support zone and ride the price toward the upper resistance of the channel.
- Confirmation can come from bullish momentum near the support line or a bounce from it.
3. Sell Scenario (Support Breakdown):
- If the price **breaks below the support** level of the channel, it signals a potential shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
- In this case, it would be advisable to enter sell positions once the breakdown is confirmed by volume and momentum indicators.
4. Volume Confirmation: Look for volume spikes as the price approaches support or resistance. High volume during a breakdown would confirm a stronger bearish move, while strong buying volume near support confirms a buy opportunity.
5. Stop-Loss Considerations:
- For a buy position, place a stop-loss slightly below the support line to protect against any false breakouts.
- For a sell position (if the support breaks), place a stop-loss just above the broken support level, now acting as resistance.
Trading Strategy:
- Entry:
- Enter a buy position when the price bounces off support within the channel.
- Enter a sell position if the price breaks down below the support level.
- Take Profit: For a buy, aim for the upper resistance level of the channel. For a sell, target key support zones below the breakdown.
- Stop Loss:
- For a buy, set a stop-loss below the support level.
- For a sell, set a stop-loss above the support-turned-resistance line to limit risk.
This analysis suggests that #NZDJPY is a buy within the current channel on the 4-hour timeframe, as long as support holds. However, a **breakdown of support** would flip the outlook to a bearish sell strategy.