Nzdjpyanalysis
NZDJPY Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of NZDJPY (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 42 - 12 Oct
M > Market is moving in a downward channel, price dropped from resistance of channel.
W > Price tested resistance level thrice and faced rejection creating triple top. We can see a W formation and expect price to drop and test its neck. However after last rise price is moving in a range of about 300 pips.
D > After last rise to test monthly resistance level price created LH and LL but with last daily candle price has broken last LH. It is now approaching daily resistance and we can expect a reversal.
As per COT NZD had closure of few Long and major Short increasing net positions, confirming strength of ZXY for the said week. Short positions have reduced to least in current year. ZXY has been gaining strength slowly since June 2020. ZXY improved its position last week. JPY had closure of Long and addition of Short reducing net positions, however Commercials added both Long and Short positions, increasing open interest. This made JXY slightly recover its position for the said week. However JXY was indecisive last week ending with Gravestone Doji.
We cannot expect long term bearish move unless JPY gains strength and ZXY weakens.
4H > We will observe price action at current level for reversal, however market can continue moving upwards to test monthly resistance again.
Pair Correlation > NZDJPY has positive correlation with NZDUSD, AUDJPY, NZDCHF, AUDCHF and AUDUSD and negative correlation with USDCAD, EURNZD and EURAUD.
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section share your view or ask questions.
Thank You
AP17FX
NZDJPY Top-Down AnalysisHello Traders,
Here is the Top-Down Analysis of NZDJPY (Monthly, Weekly, Daily for direction and 4H for entry) for
Week 41 - 06 Oct
M > Market is moving in a downward channel, price dropped from resistance of channel.
W > Price tested resistance level thrice and faced rejection to create triple top. We can see a W formation and can set its neck as a target.
D > Price has not been able to break daily support level for the second time, we have a triple bottom. Price has now retraced to previous support, now turned resistance and expect it to make another attempt to the downside.
As per COT NZD saw addition of few Long and more Short reducing net positions, confirming weakness of NZD for the said week. ZXY improved its position last week. JPY had closure of both Long and Short reducing net positions, this made JXY weak for the said week. Whereas JXY slightly recovered its position last week.
4H > Price is currently making HH and HL and is now testing daily resistance. We need to monitor price action for reversal.
Pair Correlation > NZDJPY has positive correlation with NZDUSD, AUDUSD, AUDCHF and AUDJPY and negative correlation with EURAUD.
This was my Idea and I hope you find it useful. If you find the analysis of help please leave a LIKE and FOLLOW for receiving all updates during the week. In the comment section you can share your view and ask questions.
Thank You
AP17FX
NZDJPY is in uptrend and approaching Price action levelNZDJPY
After peaking the September month high around 72.00 which is a key psychological level its felled towards 68.640 which is a low volume area and find some buyers and making series of Higher high higher low patterns.
From Sep-09 to Sep-18 it was trading in a range and felled below the range. I have marked some levels are acting as accumulation and distribution phases after some consolidation phase its moved in a massive way.
The price is currently in a consolidation range at around 70.00 key psychological level. From this level we can expect bullish run towards 71.200 which is price action level where we can see a series of upper side rejection.This level is coordinated with 78.6% Fibonacci level
The price is currently trading within a.50 and .618 Fibonacci levels.As its reached the upper side of the .50 Fibonacci we can expect a minor correction towards .382 Fibonacci and from this level it will go bullish.
The 03 Exponential moving averages which is 50,100,200 are holding as support for the bull.
In Elliot wave theory the 4th impulse wave is completed and the 5th wave is underway. relative strength index has reached the 60 level and MACD histogram showing a starting of the bullish trend.
Ichimoku cloud is acting as support for the bull as its managed to float above the cloud.Buying NZDJPY around 69.900 with the target of 71.150 will give a nice risk reward ratio. Stop lose may placed below the 4th Elliot wave end point which is 69.600
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Keep in mind that the analysis provided is not 100% accurate and that you can never be certain with the markets. This information given is not financial advice, always do your own research.
NZD/JPY Technical Analysis.Currently, NZD/JPY is trading at 69.60. The pair is trading in a resistance and support channel from some time and now moving towards the support level at 69.00. It may rebound back after touching support level to again move towards resistance level at 72.00. Until it breaks resistance or support level, it will hover in this channel. So, do have this pair in your watch list and wait for the right price to enter.
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NZD/JPY BUY SIGNAL Hey tradomaniacs,
welcome to new free trade-setup.
Notice: This is meant to be a preparation for you! As always we will have to wait for a confirmation!
NZD/JPY: Day-Swingtrade-Execution
Market-Buy: 71,115
Stop-Loss: 70,515
Target 1: 71,600
Target 2: 71,900
Target 3: 72,400
Stop-Loss: 50 pips
Risk: 0,5% - 1%
Risk-Reward: 2,60
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Peace and good trades
Irasor
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NZD/JPY Technical Analysis
The zone of 71.100-200 proves to be a tough nut for the pair.
Despite multiple attempts, the price is unable to break above it.
Further, the price action has formed an evening action star pattern at the resistance zone.
Hence, we expect the pair to be bearish in the near-term.
NZD/JPY Great Sell OpportunityAs you can see in D1 Chart, NZDJPY did a fake breakout (I Posted about it before) It did not continue up. so now it should continue it's consolidation again and it's next move will be Sell. As you can see it has retested the resistance where the fake breakout occured. it will now most likely head towards the 69.500 Level Now.
Comment if you have an alternate idea.
NZDJPY - BEARISH BIASNZD - BEARISH
1️⃣ Investors were cautious on news that AstraZeneca paused its late-stage trial of one of the leading COVID-19 vaccine candidates after an unexplained illness in a study participant.
2️⃣ Director General of Health Ashley Bloomfield reported six fresh cases of the novel coronavirus in New Zealand, all of which are linked to the Mt Roskill "mini-cluster."
3️⃣ Manufacturing sales in New Zealand plunged 12.1% year-on-year during the second quarter, posting the largest fall since the series began in 1994.
JPY - BULLISH
1️⃣ Traders sought the safety of haven assets following news that AstraZeneca paused its late-stage trial of one of the leading COVID-19 vaccine candidates after an unexplained illness in a study participant.
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TECHNICAL
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- We're shorting NZDJPY on SBR level + SMA100 area on H1 chart.
- NZDJPY still in bearish zone.
NZDJPY, 4hr tf, buy above the kumo as long legged doji appearsHello my friends,
Today another setup on JPY pairs. This time it is NZDJPY.
I found a good buy setup for this pair as there are some confirmations appeared which consist of:
1. Parabolic SAR now below the price indicating buying pressure
2. Price above the kumo cloud
3. Kumo cloud is green colored
4. Long legged doji which is a price action confirmation
Buy NZDJPY 71.15
Stop loss 70.80
Take profit 1 @71.50
Take profit 2 @71.85
Take profit 3 @72.20
RR ratio is 1 : 3
Use only 1-2% risk
Good luck
Disclaimer : I bought NZDJPY at 71.15 as per this writing
NzdJpy- False break can lead to a steep dropLast week NzdJpy traded for just one day above 71.50 resistance. The break proved to be a false one and a strong bearish engulfing followed.
Usually, false breaks announce strong reversals and I expect the pair to drop to recent rage support at 69 zone.
Sell trades around 71.50 have a great R:R
NZD/JPY - ForecastAs you can see NZD/JPY recently broke above the consolidation/Ranging level. and has RETESTED it.
Now we need to see if this was a fake breakout or it will actually continue in Buy.
if it comes back in the consolidation range then it was a fake breakout BUT if it breaks above the previous structure at around 71.950 then it should continue going up till next resistance level which is at around 73.45.
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