NZDJPY Fundamental Analysis – August 29th 2019Here are the key factors to keep in mind today for New Zealand Dollar trades:
New Zealand ANZ Activity Outlook and ANZ Business Confidence: The New Zealand ANZ Activity Outlook for August was reported at -0.5 and ANZ Business Confidence was reported at -52.3. Forex traders can compare this to the New Zealand ANZ Activity Outlook for July which was reported at 5.0 and to ANZ Business Confidence which was reported at -44.3.
Australian Capital Expenditure: Australian Private Capital Expenditure for the second-quarter decreased by 0.5% quarterly. Economists predicted an increase of 0.5% quarterly. Forex traders can compare this to Australian Private Capital Expenditure for the first-quarter which decreased by 1.3% quarterly. Australian Building Capital Expenditure for the second-quarter decreased by 3.3% quarterly. Forex traders can compare this to Australian Building Capital Expenditure for the first-quarter which decreased by 1.9% quarterly. Australian Plant & Machinery Capital Expenditure for the second-quarter increased by 2.5% quarterly. Forex traders can compare this to Australian Plant & Machinery Capital Expenditure for the first-quarter which decreased by 0.5% quarterly.
Here are the key factors to keep in mind today for Japanese Yen trades:
Japanese Buying Foreign Bonds and Japanese Buying Foreign Stocks/Foreign Buying Japanese Bonds and Foreigners Buying Japanese Stocks: Japanese Buying Foreign Bonds for the period ending August 23rd was reported at -¥911.9B and Japanese Buying Foreign Stocks was reported at ¥234.8B. Forex traders can compare this to Japanese Buying Foreign Bonds for the period ending August 16th which was reported at ¥499.8B and to Japanese Buying Foreign Stocks which was reported at -¥105.6B. Foreign Buying Japanese Bonds for the period ending August 23rd was reported at -¥103.5B and Foreigners Buying Japanese Stocks was reported at ¥3.9B. Forex traders can compare this to Foreign Buying Japanese Bonds for the period ending August 16th which was reported at -¥52.1B and to Foreigners Buying Japanese Stocks which was reported at -¥359.6B.
Japanese Loans & Discounts: Japanese Loans & Discounts for July increased by 2.40% annualized. Forex traders can compare this to Japanese Loans & Discounts for June which increased by 2.73%.
Japanese Household Confidence: Japanese Household Confidence for August was reported at 37.1. Forex traders can compare this to Japanese Household Confidence for July which was reported at 37.8.
Should price action for the NZDJPY remain inside the or breakout above the 66.300 to 67.250 zone the following trade set-up is recommended:
Timeframe: D1
Recommendation: Long Position
Entry Level: Long Position @ 66.800
Take Profit Zone: 69.600 – 70.000
Stop Loss Level: 66.000
Should price action for the NZDJPY breakdown below 66.300 the following trade set-up is recommended:
Timeframe: D1
Recommendation: Short Position
Entry Level: Short Position @ 65.800
Take Profit Zone: 63.550 – 64.250
Stop Loss Level: 66.300
Nzdjpysell
AND ANOTHER ONE.. NZDJPYPrice has clearly broken bearish and we are in a clear downtrend. Price is currently as point of support which is price is currently respecting. We may potentially see price move up at re-test 71.028 .We can potentially see price move bearish from this point toward our target at 66.629.
Stop loss marked at 220 pips - Manage your risk accordingly!
Risk to reward 1:2
I will be making an educational post on risk management, and how to properly calculate your position sizes. This a MAJOR key in your trading. Hit that follow to be notified when i do post it!
Analysis of NZDJPY 22.08.2019The price is below the moving average of 20 MA and MA 200, indicating the downward trend.
MACD is below the zero level.
The oscillator Force Index is below the zero levels.
If the level of support is broken, you shall follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Short Position
• Entry Level: Short Position 67.50
• Take Profit Level: 66.50 (100 pips)
If the price rebound from a support level, you shall follow the recommendations below:
• Timeframe: H4
• Recommendation: Long Position
• Entry Level: Long Position 68.50
• Take Profit Level: 69.00 (50 pips)
USDCHF
A possible long position at the breakout of the level 0.9830
USDJPY
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 106.20
EURUSD
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 1.1065
GBPUSD
A possible short position in the breakdown of the level 1.2100
Elliott Wave View: NZDJPY Plunges after RBNZ 50 bp Rate CutNZDJPY plunges as Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) cut the interest rate by 50 basis point. The pair already has a bearish sequence prior to the rate decision, and the rate cut speeds up the extension lower. Short term Elliott Wave view suggests that the rally to 73.2 high on July 22, 2019 ended wave B.
Pair is in wave C lower with subdivision as a 5 waves impulse Elliott Wave structure. Down from 73.2, wave 1 ended at 68.64 and the internal also subdivides as a 5 waves impulse in lesser degree. Wave ((i)) of 1 ended at 72.29 and wave ((ii)) of 1 pullback ended at 72.595. Pair then rallied in wave ((iii)) of 1 towards 69.45, wave ((iv)) of 1 ended at 69.95, and wave ((v)) of 1 ended at 68.64.
Wave 2 rally ended at 70.11 with the internal unfolded as a double zigzag. Pair has since resumed lower and breaks below wave 1 at 68.64, suggesting the next leg lower has likely started. Near term, while bounce stays below 70.1, expect pair to extend lower. We don’t like buying the pair and expect any rally to fail in 3, 7, or 11 swing as far as pivot at 70.1 stays intact.
NZDJPY approaching support, potential for a bounce!
NZDJPY is expected to drop to 1st support at 71.849 where it could potentially react off and up to 1st resistance at 72.567.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully
understand the risks.
NZD/JPY to SHORTMarket appears to be in a downtrend, likely retracements along the way before getting to take profit region.
Trade chart at your own risk.
Want to know what indicator I'm using? Send me a polite PM and i'll show you where to find it, plus additional tip if you are a pro (non-pro will not have access to this tip)... no I do not sell anything, all free.
Short Sell NZDJPY as we can see its time to check while the market is open if there is a gap up or down but in my opinion its a good chance to sell NZDJPY based on the trend analysis, Gann levels and Ichimoku indicator.
Best of luck
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Thanks a lot for reading.