DeGRAM | NZDJPY structure based tradeNZDJPY reached a strong support level at 83.700. Price is printing the pinbar rejection candle.
Price was pushed higher at this level, and we might see another push higher.
We expect a bullish move and a retest of the resistance.
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Nzdjpysignal
NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS
By now MARKET RISK is ON. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY. NZD CPI DATA is also very high. LABOR DATA is also very POSITIVE for NZD. JPY may be somewhat WEAK in the next few days.
However, NZDJPY should be slightly BUY with upcoming JPY WEAKNESS.
Anyway, if the PRICE falls back on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT LINE, you can BUY if the MARKET RISK ON continues. And 87.00 LEVEL can be BUY temporarily. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF.
Anyway, after that, you can definitely SELL at the 80.00 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK.
NZDJPY Will this pair chase the sell side liquidity?The main reasons this move more likely will happen are the followings:
-If we look the CFTC, non commercials are shorting JPY aggressively with 117,420 short positions open. 23,135 of those positions were open last week. Only 36,760 positions are long. This means that JPY is getting weaker because non commercials are shorting more than longing.
-If we look the CFTC ,non commercials the past few weeks have been adding more positions to the long side in NZD. Overall they have 16,648 to the long side and 17,011 to the short side. The important fact about this is that the last week 2,038 positions were added. We should expect some strength in NZD
-The price had taken the sell side liquidity. The yellow circle show the low that took the liquidity.
-The price is making higher highs and higher lows.
-Price is chasing buy side liquidity
NZDJPY - Look for a long position ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDJPY.
Technical analysis: As I expected here price filled the imbalance higher and rejected from bearish order block. Now I see price to take sell side liquidity, fill the imbalance and then to reject from bullish order block + institutional big figure 84.000.
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NZDJPY ____ INCOMING BEARISH MOVEHello Guys,
NZDJPY is currently trading in a strong supply zone, hence my bearish bias.
This pair has just swept buy-side liquidity, however, there might still be more manipulation underway so tread with caution.
I also did an analysis on GBPJPY (see below)
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GBPJPY ANALYSIS
Cheers,
David
NZDJPY - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here I expect bearish price action as we can see that price filled the 4H old imbalance and rejected from bearish order block + institutional big figure 87.000.
Fundamental analysis: Next week we have news on NZD, will be released Cash Rate, that was forecasted to increase with 0.25%. Pay attention to the results, in order to validate the analysis.
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NZDJPY - Long from discount zone ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for longs from discount zone. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then to reject from bullish order block.
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DeGRAM | NZDJPY counter trend tradeNZDJPY is moving in an ascending channel. The market has reached the major resistance level.
The market formed an overbought condition at a major resistance zone and created a double top with divergence.
The price is near 86.000 psychological level, and if it rejects the level, then we might see a pullback.
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DeGRAM | NZDJPY trend continuation opportunityNZDJPY is in a descending channel. The price broke and closed below the psychological level at 82.000.
The market Most likely, price action is going to breakout and go down to complete the AB=CD pattern.
We expect a breakout pullback continuation scenario.
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DeGRAM | NZDJPY bullish opportunityNZDJPY created a double bottom at the support level.
Price was pushed higher at the psychological level at 83.000 and we might see a trend continuation.
We expect a bullish move and a retest of the resistance zone. Confluence: psychological level + bullish harmonic pattern + upward trend
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NZDJPY - DAILY TECHNICAL BIAS WITH FUNDAMENTAL BIAS#NZDJPY
By now MARKET RISK is ON. Also, since NZD RATES are high, we expect NZDJPY to go UP again. We look forward to the future behavior of NZDJPY. The reason is because the interest rate of NZD is higher compared to JPY. NZD CPI DATA is also very high. LABOR DATA is also very POSITIVE for NZD. JPY may be somewhat WEAK in the next few days.
However, NZDJPY should be slightly BUY with upcoming JPY WEAKNESS.
Anyway, if the PRICE falls back on the NZDJPY MAIN SUPPORT LINE, you can BUY if the MARKET RISK ON continues. And 81.16 LEVEL can be SELL temporarily. Earlier NZDJPY was SELL due to strong JPY and MARKET SENTIMENT is RISK OFF.
Anyway, after that, you can definitely BUY at 87.00 LEVEL. For that, MARKET RISK should be ON. STOCK UP, VIX DOWN, JPY WEAK.
DeGRAM | NZDJPY bearish opportunityNZDJPY is in an ascending channel. However, the price broke and closed below the level at 83.200.
The market is printing build-up near the channel border and support. Most likely, price action is going to breakout and go down
We expect a breakout of the ascending channel, which is essentially where price is coiling up before expanding.
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NZDJPY - Expect retracement ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDJPY.
Technical analysis: As we can see here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. For next couple of days I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 82.000.
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Seeking Pips NZDJPY Short again NZD Sell JPY buy longHaving taken our last portion off the table last week during our anticipated low of the week which was made last Friday 16/03/23
we decided to add back half our original position size back at 82.500 early this morning UK time in anticipation of price trading below last Fridays low made on 17/03/23
We are initially targeting last weeks low.
The low of the year made in the first trading week looks like a good target too.
Also although our SL stop loss level on this trade is smaller and lower around 150pips from our initial trade thesis we do not plan on exiting this one early if price does end up trading above the daily high put in so far today, by adding only half of our original position size from last week we are using initial profits from last weeks trade.
We will consider a reentry higher if a signal develops again later in the week.
If that low fails and price doesn't reject it NZDJPY could really look to flush out.
We remain BULLISH on JPY and so are looking at any weaker currency's to short against it.
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