NZDUSD to find buyers around trend line support?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
The primary trend remains bullish.
This is positive for sentiment and the uptrend has potential to return.
We look for a temporary move lower.
Further upside is expected although we prefer to buy into dips close to the 0.5975 level.
We look to Buy at 0.5975 (stop at 0.5940)
Our profit targets will be 0.6074 and 0.6220
Resistance: 0.6006 / 0.6080 / 0.6220
Support: 0.5955 / 0.5850 / 0.5775
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD
NZDUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Trade
NZDUSD
- Classic bearish setup
- Our team expects bearish continuation
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NZDUSD
Entry Point - 0.6018
Stop Loss - 0.6051
Take Profit - 0.5952
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
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Kiwi H4 | Pullback support at 50% Fibonacci retracementThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.5987 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.5915 which is a level that lies underneath a multi-swing-low support.
Take profit is at 0.6060 which is a resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
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NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD-USD uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.587 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the NZD/USD pair.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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Potential bearish drop?NZD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6011
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Stop loss: 0.6051
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.5950
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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Waiting for a Short-Term Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg? NZDUSD – Waiting for a Short-Term Pullback Before the Next Bullish Leg?
As global markets await the upcoming U.S. Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) report later this week, NZDUSD is showing early signs of short-term weakness following a strong bullish rally from the 0.5905 low. While the broader structure remains bullish, a corrective move may be necessary to shake out weak hands and reload liquidity before a renewed surge.
🌐 Macro & Fundamental Outlook:
New Zealand: Recent economic releases from New Zealand have been lackluster, yet the RBNZ's hawkish policy stance (high interest rates) continues to support the Kiwi. However, pressure from China – New Zealand’s top trading partner – remains a drag.
United States: The U.S. Dollar remains under pressure due to rising expectations that the Fed will start cutting rates by Q3 2025, despite some hawkish tones from FOMC officials. This week’s NFP report will be a decisive factor.
Market Sentiment: After a ~150-pip rally, traders are beginning to take profits. The correction could offer a golden re-entry opportunity.
📊 Technical Analysis:
Trend Bias: The market structure is still in an uptrend, maintaining Higher Highs and Higher Lows.
Fibonacci Retracement: Price is currently pulling back toward the 0.5 – 0.618 Fibo zone (0.5992 – 0.5978), aligning with the H1 89 & 200 EMAs.
EMA Structure (13 – 34 – 89 – 200): Still bullish but currently signaling a short-term pullback.
🔑 Key Price Zones:
Resistance Levels: 0.6014 – 0.6052
Support Levels: 0.5973 – 0.5951 – 0.5932
🧭 Trade Plan
📌 Buy Setup (trend continuation):
BUY ZONE: 0.5951 – 0.5932
SL: 0.5900
TP: 0.5978 → 0.6014 → 0.6052
📌 Expecting a bullish bounce off the 61.8% Fibo + EMA 200 confluence ahead of NFP.
📌 Sell Setup (short-term countertrend scalp):
SELL ZONE: 0.6014 – 0.6025
SL: 0.6060
TP: 0.5978 → 0.5951
📌 Anticipating a reaction at a key resistance zone – ideal for intraday scalpers.
⚠️ Risk Management Notes:
Stay cautious ahead of high-impact U.S. data (ADP, Jobless Claims, NFP).
Favor buying the dip in line with the higher-timeframe trend.
Maintain discipline with tight SLs (30–35 pips max per setup).
NZDUSD BUYSNZDUSD is expected to buy to complete the crab pattern around 0.61200 psychological level BOUNCING FROM A 1HR FVG(Fair value Gap). we saw an expected rate cut of NZD interest rate at 25 basis point(0.25%) was was a dovish stand by the central bank. with investment sentiment still high on risk-on assets, I expect nzd to bully the green-back which is struggling with low interest rate figures as a result of declining inflation figures nearing its 2024 inflation target of 2% and global trade wars.
NZD_USD RISKY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE|
✅NZD_USD has been growing recently
And the pair seems locally overbought
So as the pair is approaching a horizontal resistance of 0.6030
Price decline is to be expected
SHORT🔥
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Bullish bounce?NZD/USD is has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5931
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Stop loss: 0.5898
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6017
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD: weekly overviewTraders, this is weekly view of the pair.
Our long-term TP is the 0.6300 but for now we have a strong trendline on our way! the only tradable zone for this week is 0.58497.
In case of bullish trades, from 0.60264 level. Please consider the trend line as mid-way TPS.
*******************************************************************
The indicated levels are determined based on the most reaction points and the assumption of approximately equal distance between the zones.
Some of these points can also be confirmed by the mathematical intervals of Murray.
You can enter with/without confirmation. IF you want to take confirmation you can use LTF analysis, Spike move confirmation, Trend Strength confirmation and ETC.
SL could be placed below the zone or regarding the LTF swings.
TP is the next zone or the nearest moving S&R, which are median and borders of the drawn channels.
*******************************************************************
Role of different zones:
GREEN: Just long trades allowed on them.
RED: Just Short trades allowed on them.
BLUE: both long and short trades allowed on them.
WHITE: No trades allowed on them! just use them as TP points
NZDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY!
My dear friends,
NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.5954 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.5969
About Used Indicators:
Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Bearish reversal off pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support, which is also a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6024
1st Support: 0.5846
1st Resistance: 0.6131
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
New Zealand central bank sees less growth, FOMC says it will remThe New Zealand dollar declined as much as 0.67% earlier but has recovered. In the European session, NZDS/USD is trading at 0.5969, up 0.04% on the day.
A day after the Reserve Bank of New Zealand lowered interest rates, Governor Christian Hawkesby testified before a parliamentary committee on Thursday. Hawkesby said the central bank could hold rates in July and that rate decisions would be data-dependent. The Governor said he expected slower global growth would dampen New Zealand's recovery and there was uncertainty around the impact of the US tariffs.
The RBNZ has been aggressive, chopping 225 basis points in the current easing cycle, which has brought the cash rate down to 3.25%, its lowest level in almost three years. At yesterday's meeting, the RBNZ said that the cash rate was currently in a neutral zone, where it neither stimulates nor curbs economic growth.
FOMC minutes: Increasing uncertainly could mean "difficult tradeoffs"
In the FOMC minutes of the May 7 meeting, members expressed concern about the government's fiscal and trade policy. Members said that "uncertainty about the economic outlook had increased further", making it appropriate to remain cautious until these policies became clearer. Members warned that if inflation remained high and growth and employment weakened, the Fed might have to make "difficult tradeoffs".
There was another twist to the Trump tariffs saga as the US Court of International Trade declared the tariffs illegal. The Court ruled that Trump had exceeded his authority by imposing wide-sweeping tariffs against US trading partners. The decision puts a hold on the tariffs, but that may not last long as the US Justice Department has filed an appeal.
Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This WeekNZDUSD – Recovery or Just a Bull Trap? All Eyes on PCE This Week
🌐 MACRO & FUNDAMENTAL OVERVIEW
After the FOMC’s decision to keep interest rates unchanged, the US Dollar has shown signs of recovery driven by expectations that core inflation remains persistent — especially ahead of the upcoming US Core PCE Price Index release this Friday.
On the New Zealand side, the Kiwi remains under pressure due to recent weak economic data and negative sentiment from China — its largest trading partner. The RBNZ continues to maintain a neutral stance, offering little support for the currency in the near term.
Market sentiment remains cautious as investors await the PCE data to determine inflation trends and potential Fed policy shifts.
📉 TECHNICAL ANALYSIS (H1–H2 TIMEFRAME)
NZDUSD is forming a technical rebound after a strong bearish leg from the 0.60300 region. Current price is trading around the 38.2%–50% Fibonacci retracement zone (0.5964–0.5976), struggling to break above EMA89 and EMA200 resistance.
Overall structure: Bearish bias remains intact with lower highs.
EMA alignment: EMA13, EMA34, and EMA89 are in bearish formation.
Key support zone: 0.5926–0.5940, trendline confluence + consolidation base.
🔑 KEY LEVELS TO WATCH
Resistance:
0.5976 – Fibonacci 0.5 retracement + previous rejection zone
0.5990 – Structural resistance of the week
0.6007 – 78.6% Fib + liquidity sweep potential
Support:
0.5940 – Trendline retest + short-term structure
0.5926 – Key demand zone with previous fake breakout
🎯 TRADE IDEAS
SELL SETUP – Fade the pullback into resistance:
Entry: 0.5976 – 0.5990
Stop Loss: 0.6010
Take Profit: 0.5940 → 0.5926
BUY SCALP – On strong bullish rejection from support:
Entry: 0.5926 – 0.5930
Stop Loss: 0.5900
Take Profit: 0.5960 → 0.5976
Note: Confirm with bullish candlestick and volume spike before entry.
⚠️ STRATEGY OUTLOOK
NZDUSD remains in a corrective phase. This week’s PCE inflation data will be critical. A hotter-than-expected reading could strengthen the USD and push NZDUSD below 0.5926, resuming the medium-term downtrend.
Avoid chasing mid-range price action. Focus on price reactions near the key resistance and support levels.
NZD/USD – Bearish Reversal Expected Below 0.5990–0.5977 ResistanThe NZD/USD pair is approaching a key resistance zone at 0.5990–0.5977, which has been tested multiple times and aligns with the upper boundary of a potential corrective structure.
🔹 Elliott Wave Context:
The price action appears to be completing a corrective wave (C) structure, indicating that upside momentum may be limited.
This scenario suggests a potential bearish reversal from the resistance zone.
🔹 Targets & Levels:
Resistance: 0.5990–0.5977
First support target: 0.5885
Next major support: 0.5846
📌 Trading Plan:
Watching for bearish confirmation (rejection candlesticks or reversal pattern) below 0.5990–0.5977
Potential short entries targeting the support levels
A break above 0.5990 would invalidate the bearish setup and suggest continuation to the upside
This chart offers a clear bearish bias while price remains below the resistance zone, supported by Elliott Wave context and previous price action behavior.
NZDUSD to form a higher low?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end.
The correction lower is assessed as being complete.
A move through 0.5960 will confirm the bullish momentum.
The measured move target is 0.6000.
Pivot resistance is at 0.6000.
We look to Buy at 0.5940 (stop at 0.5915)
Our profit targets will be 0.5990 and 0.6000
Resistance: 0.5975 / 0.5990 / 0.6000
Support: 0.5940 / 0.5925 / 0.5900
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Bullish bounce for the Kiwi?The price has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5931
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 71% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5898
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6017
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD What Next? SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.5966 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.5933
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.5989
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZDCHF BULLISH OR BEARISH DETAILED ANALYSIS ??NZDCHF is currently consolidating in a textbook bullish flag pattern after a sharp recovery from the recent lows near 0.4680. Price action is compressing just below a key supply zone around 0.4950–0.4980, signaling a potential breakout setup as momentum builds. This flag is forming after a clear impulse move, and with the structure respecting higher lows, I’m preparing for a bullish continuation toward the 0.5100–0.5150 target zone.
Fundamentally, the New Zealand dollar is gaining strength supported by the RBNZ's firm hold on tight monetary policy, as inflation remains sticky in services and housing. Governor Orr’s latest comments reaffirmed that the central bank is not ready to pivot until they see a clear disinflationary trend. On the other hand, the Swiss franc is showing signs of weakness, as the SNB remains one of the most dovish central banks in the G10 space, with real interest rates still negative and inflation pressures easing significantly.
Technically, we’re in a bullish structure with key demand holding strong at the 0.4840–0.4860 range. Price is now coiling just under resistance, and a clean breakout above the 0.4950 level could ignite the next impulsive leg toward 0.5100. If the breakout confirms with increased volume and market sentiment aligns, this setup presents a high probability long opportunity with a favorable R\:R.
NZDCHF remains on my radar as a breakout trade backed by both technical structure and macro fundamentals. With capital flows favoring the Kiwi and risk appetite rotating back into higher-yielding currencies, this pair offers a solid bullish continuation setup for the coming weeks. Stay patient, let the breakout confirm, and ride the momentum higher.
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips AgainMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Faces Pressure, Dips Again
NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.5935.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.6000 resistance zone.
- There is a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5960 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.6030 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum against the US Dollar.
The pair settled below the 0.5960 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.5930 zone and is currently consolidating.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5929 low at 0.5960. There is also a major bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5960.
The next resistance is the 0.5985 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6031 swing high to the 0.5929 low. If there is a move above 0.5985, the pair could rise toward 0.6030.
Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.6080 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.5930 level.
The next major support is near the 0.5910 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5880, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.5850 level. The next key support is near 0.5820.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZDUSD Range Tightens – Breakout Setup BuildingNZDUSD continues to coil within a contracting triangle, forming a symmetrical wedge bounded by lower highs and higher lows. Price is approaching the resistance zone near 0.6028, with visible indecision and rejection wicks, signaling potential for either breakout or rejection.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 0.6028 (structural ceiling, key pivot)
Support: ~0.5800 (ascending support line of wedge)
Breakout Target (Bullish): 0.6150–0.6200
Breakdown Target (Bearish): 0.5650–0.5550
Scenarios to Watch:
🔹 Bearish Rejection
Price rejects off 0.6028 and returns inside range
Watch for momentum drop and move toward wedge base (0.5800)
Clean breakdown opens path toward April lows (~0.5509)
🔹 Bullish Breakout
Break and hold above 0.6028
Confirmation on 4H close + retest
Opens room for bullish extension toward 0.6150+
Outlook:
Price is nearing apex compression, suggesting breakout is imminent.
Bias is neutral until price breaks out of the current wedge structure.
Expect volatility spike around the 0.6028 test.
NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on NZDUSD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts