NZD/USD Stabilises Ahead of the HolidaysNZD/USD Stabilises Ahead of the Holidays
Forex trading is slowing down as the holidays approach, offering a pause after significant movements driven by various news events, including central bank decisions.
Notably, NZD/USD reached its lowest level since October 2022 at the end of last week.
The decline in NZD/USD has been influenced by two main factors:
1. The dollar gained momentum following the Federal Reserve's decision to lower the interest rate by 0.25% and its forward guidance for 2025.
2. According to Reuters:
→ New Zealand's economy contracted much more sharply than expected in the second and third quarters.
→ Market participants anticipate that the Reserve Bank of New Zealand may lower interest rates by 0.5% in February.
Technical analysis of the NZD/USD 4-hour chart depicts a bearish outlook:
- The 0.58 level, which served as support in November, turned into resistance in December.
- The price is currently hovering near the lower boundary of a descending channel that has been in place since October.
- The RSI indicator signals that the market is approaching oversold conditions.
While bears may attempt to extend the downtrend by pushing the price below last week’s low, this could create a divergence pattern on the RSI indicator, offering hope for a potential bullish reversal.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZDUSD
NZD/USD LONGLong NZD/USD is supported by technical analysis based on key indicators that suggest a potential reversal or bounce in the price. On the 4-hour chart, the price is showing signs of consolidation after a long downtrend, with a favorable setup for a recovery.
The Alligator moving averages are still bearish, but the price is starting to consolidate near the lower level, suggesting a possible weakening of the bearish pressure.
The indicator below is showing a reversal from the oversold level (-50), with a positive bias, signaling a potential resumption of buying by the market.
Support and Resistance: The support level at 0.5700 has held so far, while the target area is visible near 0.5740-0.5760, indicating a reasonable profit window. The stop loss has been placed below the recent low to manage risk.
These elements suggest that the price may attempt a bounce in the short term. However, it is essential to carefully monitor the confirmation of the trend through a breakout of key levels and increasing volumes.
NZD-USD Growth Ahead! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is falling down
But the pair is locally
Oversold and as we are
About to see a horizontal
Support retest soon
Around 0.5500 level we
Will be expecting a
Swing bullish correction
Buy!
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NZD/USD BEST PLACE TO BUY FROM|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is clearly falling on the 12H timeframe. And after the retest of the support line below I believe we will see a move up towards the target above at 0.575 because the pair oversold due to its proximity to the lower BB band and a bullish correction is likely.
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NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
A Doji style candle has been posted from the base.
A higher correction is expected.
The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look to Sell at 0.5704 (stop at 0.5736)
Our profit targets will be 0.5623 and 0.5520
Resistance: 0.5705 / 0.5850 / 0.5960
Support: 0.5630 / 0.5520 / 0.5320
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD → The price could fall another 2.5%FX:NZDUSD is forming a return to a strong support zone after testing it after a year. Against the backdrop of a rising dollar, the chances of a support breakout are growing.
The downtrend, rising dollar, weak fundamental background for NZD play a key role in forming a bear market. The price is testing the key resistance and trying to enter the selling zone. At the moment the price is restrained by the descending channel support and if the price manages to break this line and consolidate below, strong selling may be formed further, as there are no obstacles below it until 0.562.
Resistance levels: 0.577, 0.5817
Support levels: 0.575, 0.562
I do not exclude the possibility of correction if the buyers hold the support. But there is no chance of a trend change. Another retest of the support may lead to a breakdown and further fall to 0.562
Regards R. Linda!
New Zealand slides after Fed rate cut, NZ GDP nextThe New Zealand dollar has declined sharply on Wednesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5685, down 1.2% on the day. The New Zealand dollar has been in freefall, plunging 11.6% since Oct. 1.
New Zealand's economy is expected to contract in the third quarter by 0.4% q/q, after a 0.2% decline in Q2. If the economy contracted for back-to-back quarters as expected, it would mean that the economy is in a technical recession. Construction and manufacturing activity declined in the third quarter and a severe power crisis led to a decrease exports, all of which dampened GDP.
The Reserve Bank of New Zealand slashed rates by 50 basis points last month, lowering the cash rate to 4.25%. The central bank has trimmed rates by 125 bp since August but the economy is clearly in need of further cuts. Inflation is back within the target of 1% to 3% and we can expect another cut at the next meeting in February barring a surprise jump in inflation.
There wasn't much excitement around today's Federal Reserve meeting, as the market had priced in a quarter-point cut at close to 100%. This is exactly what happened, as the Fed cut rates for a third time this year. The Fed signaled that it expected to cut rates only two times in 2025, lower than previous projections of four rate cuts. With the US economy in solid shape and the downswing in inflation stalled, the Fed can afford to take its time before the next rate cut.
The market will hear from Fed Chair Powell shortly. Powell could reiterate that the Fed plans to cut rates "gradually", which means modest cuts of 25 basis points.
NZD/USD is testing support at 0.5715. Next, there is support at 0.5665
There is resistance at 0.5801 and 0.5849
NZDUSD H1 Short At Market TP +100 pips🔸Hello traders, let's review the H1 chart for NZDUSD today. Price
contained withing sliding bear channel previously rejected multiple
times from overhead resistance.
🔸Currently expecting price to clear S/R and complete the
break of structure pattern near 5820 then dump to 5750 / 5700.
🔸Previously rejected from overhead resistance, sequence of lower
highs in progress and expecting yet another rejection into double top
and also re-action with the bear channel.
🔸Recommended strategy for NZDUSD traders: short at market now, SL 40 pips TP1 +60 pips TP2 +100 pips final exit at 5750. good luck traders!
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Market Analysis: NZD/USD Sink Further, Losses Mount Market Analysis: NZD/USD Sink Further, Losses Mount
NZD/USD is also moving lower and might extend losses below 0.57350.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.5790 resistance zone.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5750 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.5790 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum and traded below 0.5765 against the US Dollar.
The pair settled below the 0.5755 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.5735 zone and is currently consolidating losses.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5792 swing high to the 0.5736 low at 0.5750. There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.5750.
The next resistance is the 0.5765 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.5792 swing high to the 0.5736 low. If there is a move above 0.5765, the pair could rise toward 0.5790.
Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.5810 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.5735 level.
The next major support is near the 0.5710 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.5710, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.5665 level. The next key support is near 0.5640.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
NZDUSD forming a bottom?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action has continued to trend strongly lower and has stalled at the previous support near 0.5750.
Price action looks to be forming a bottom.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.5775 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 0.5750 (stop at 0.5720)
Our profit targets will be 0.5825 and 0.5850
Resistance: 0.5775 / 0.5800 / 0.5825
Support: 0.5750 / 0.5725 / 0.5700
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Update levels on NZDUSD scenario 11.12.24In this market I added levels and in general I partly reworked the entire analysis so far it looks like looking for SFP if the market finds it then it is likely that it will rebound and it will depend on how the market maintains the support if the price breaks through it then there is a long set option up if he keeps it then a short set up is quite possible.
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Heist Plan on BullishHola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry 📈 : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Low Point take entry should be in pullback.
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
Target 🎯 : 0.59600
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NZD/USD BUYERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|LONG
Hello, Friends!
We are targeting the 0.592 level area with our long trade on NZD/USD which is based on the fact that the pair is oversold on the BB band scale and is also approaching a support line below thus going us a good entry option.
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NZDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring NZDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.57800 zone, NZDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.57800 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
NZDUSD (8D) HIGH-RISK OPPORTUNITY, UTHIGH-RISK UPTREND OPPORTUNITY
The NZDUSD pair is currently experiencing a high-timeframe downtrend. However, the recent price action indicates a potential short-term retracement to the upside. While this upward movement may offer trading opportunities, it's essential to approach with caution.
Key Levels to Watch:
SLO @ 0.7145 ⏳
TP4 @ 0.6923
TP3 @ 0.6654
TP2 @ 0.6479
TP1 @ 0.6228
BSO2 @ 0.5971 ⏳
BSO1 @ 0.5815 📈
Risk Warning:
Holding a long position above the 0.7034 level is considered high-risk due to the underlying downtrend.
Traders should exercise extreme caution and implement strict risk management strategies.
Holding a long position above the 0.7034 level is considered high-risk due to the underlying downtrend.
Traders should exercise extreme caution and implement strict risk management strategies.