NZDUSD Is Very Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a significant support area 0.615.
The underlined horizontal cluster clearly indicates a highly probable bullish movement with target 0.626 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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NZDUSD
NZD-USD Potential Long! Buy!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is falling down
Now and the pair is locally
Oversold so I think that
After it hits the horizontal
Support of 0.6121 from
Where we will be expecting
A local bullish correction
Buy!
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NZDUSD Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.6201
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points High anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, gIving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.6259
My Stop Loss - 0.6167
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
NZD/USD Slips as Fed Powell Hints at Gradual Rate CutsThe NZD/USD pair has been losing ground in the wake of Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's recent remarks, indicating that interest rates will be lowered gradually "over time." This dovish signal from Powell has bolstered the US Dollar, placing additional pressure on the New Zealand Dollar (NZD).
Adding to the bearish sentiment, the upcoming US ISM Manufacturing PMI for September is projected to show a slight improvement, with expectations set at 47.5 compared to the previous reading of 47.2. A better-than-expected result could further support the USD, reinforcing the downward trajectory of the NZD/USD pair.
On the New Zealand front, economic data has also been less than favorable. The country’s Building Permits fell by 5.3% month-over-month in August, a significant reversal from the substantial 26.4% increase recorded in July. This decline reflects a slowdown in the construction sector, further weakening the New Zealand Dollar.
From a technical perspective, NZD/USD has reached a key supply area where the price seems to be reversing. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report also aligns with this potential reversal, showing a shift in sentiment towards the USD. Coupled with the latest economic news and the anticipation of stronger US data later today, the technical indicators and fundamentals both point to a continued bearish outlook for NZD/USD.
In conclusion, with Powell’s dovish comments, weak New Zealand data, and the likelihood of stronger US economic reports, the NZD/USD pair appears poised for further declines. Traders should watch for confirmation from today’s ISM Manufacturing PMI release, which could boost the USD further and solidify the reversal in NZD/USD.
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NZD/USD Bears Eye Deeper Correction Amid Positive US JOLTS ReporThe NZD/USD pair continues its bearish trajectory following the release of strong US JOLTS Job Openings data yesterday. This has intensified market speculation about the resilience of the US labor market, which could lead to further tightening by the Federal Reserve. As a result, the Kiwi dollar has come under pressure, with bears targeting a deeper correction.
In our previous forecast:
we highlighted the potential for a drop after NZD/USD encountered strong resistance in a key supply zone. The price has continued its downward momentum, confirming our analysis, and the Commitment of Traders (COT) report further supports a bearish continuation, with commercial hedgers reducing their long positions. The market dynamics show potential for the trend to reach our second take-profit target.
Fundamental Outlook: Labor Market Signals Weigh on Kiwi
The US JOLTS report, showing unexpectedly high job openings, signals strength in the labor market. This is significant because robust employment data often leads to increased expectations for tighter monetary policy from the Federal Reserve. As the central bank looks to combat inflation while maintaining economic stability, positive labor indicators like these reinforce the likelihood of interest rates remaining elevated for an extended period.
On the New Zealand side, a mixed economic outlook and weakening demand for riskier assets have further pressured the NZD. With inflation in check but economic growth showing signs of stagnation, the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) is not expected to be as aggressive as the Fed in future monetary policy moves. This policy divergence creates a favorable environment for NZD/USD bears.
COT Report Signals Further Downside
The COT report confirms that the institutional market is shifting towards further bearish positions in NZD/USD. Commercial traders have been reducing their long exposure, while speculators are increasingly taking short positions. This sentiment, combined with the technical rejection in the supply area, suggests that the trend is far from over.
Key Data to Watch: US Unemployment Claims
Today, traders will be closely watching the release of **US Unemployment Claims** data. If the numbers come in better than expected—indicating a stronger labor market—this could further bolster the US dollar and drive NZD/USD lower. A positive surprise in the data would support the case for the Fed to maintain its current stance on interest rates, thus enhancing the bearish outlook for NZD/USD.
Technical Analysis: Deeper Correction in Sight
Technically, the NZD/USD remains under pressure after its rejection at the supply area. The price is trending below key moving averages, and momentum indicators show bearish divergence, suggesting that the downside momentum is still strong. A break below the recent low could open the door for further losses.
In conclusion, NZD/USD bears are firmly in control, and with favorable economic data from the US, a deeper correction seems likely. Traders should keep an eye on today’s Unemployment Claims report for further clues on the pair’s direction.
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Potential bullish rise?NZD/USD is reacting off the support level which is a pullback support that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension and could rise from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6209
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.6154
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that is slightly below the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6259
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
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NZDUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6260, which is a pullback resistance
Our take profit will be at0.6157, an overlap support level close to 78.6% Fibo retracement
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6372, above the swing-high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NZDUSD to continue in the downward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Further downside is expected.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6200 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 0.6240 (stop at 0.6270)
Our profit targets will be 0.6180 and 0.6175
Resistance: 0.6225 / 0.6240 / 0.6250
Support: 0.6200 / 0.6180 / 0.6175
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Kiwi H1 | Falling to 61.8% Fibonacci supportThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6217 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6195 which is a level that lies underneath the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.6254 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Potential bullish reversal?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st resistance level which is an overlap resistance.
Pivot: 0.6235
1st Support: 0.6189
1st Resistance: 0.6298
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD/USD – Price Could Drop LowerLooking at the NZD/USD on this 30-minute chart, the price recently hit a ceiling near 0.63600 and started heading down. It’s been bouncing around in a range, but it looks like it could keep dropping. The blue line shows a possible path, with the price maybe heading down toward the 0.6240 support zone.
The target is between 0.6240 -0.6222
Bullish reversal off overlap support?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6254
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level.
Stop loss: 0.6208
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6305
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6327, which is a pullback resistance and a 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6275, a swing-low support level close to 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss will be at 0.6376, a swing-high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NZDUSD forming a top?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6275 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 0.6300 (stop at 0.6330)
Our profit targets will be 0.6220 and 0.6205
Resistance: 0.6300 / 0.6315 / 0.6325
Support: 0.6275 / 0.6250 / 0.6225
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 150 PIP ) 🟢Pair Name : NZD/USD
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
🟢Key Technical / Direction ( Short After Retest )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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Bearish Break
0.62900 area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range hvn
- 3 Bounce Trend Break
- Fixed Lvn
- Day Low
Bullish Reversal
0.61500 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range Hvn
- Major Counter Trend
- Week low Area
- Pattern Target
- Fixed hvn
NZD/USD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD is making a bearish pullback on the 2H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 0.636 level.
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Levels discussed on Livestream (1st October)1st October
DXY: If price can break 101, could trade up to 101.40 (61.8% area)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6290 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6885 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3350 SL 20 TP 45
EURUSD: Sell 1.1075 SL 20 TP 65
USDJPY: Stay above 143.45, Buy 144.90 SL 50 TP 150
USDCHF: Continue higher, look for reaction at 0.8510
USDCAD: Buy 1.3545 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Needs to stay below 2649 to trade lower, below 2630 could trade down to 2616
NZD/USD Top-Down Market Analysisvisit fourtrades.com for more
Daily Timeframe:
In the daily chart, NZD/USD is trading within a key resistance zone around 0.6340 to 0.6380. This zone has been tested multiple times, and the price is showing signs of potential rejection, with bearish pressure building up. Traders should watch for a decisive breakout above the resistance to confirm bullish momentum, while a rejection could lead to a downward move towards the support levels around 0.6295 and 0.6252.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 0.6380
Support: 0.6295, 0.6252
4-Hour Timeframe:
In the 4-hour chart, we can see the price has broken below a rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The pair is now retesting a supply zone between 0.6340 and 0.6360. This level could act as a resistance, and if the price fails to break above this zone, we may see a continued downward move towards the next demand zone around 0.6290.
Additionally, the footprint marked around 0.6320 shows an important reaction level. If this area holds, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend.
Key Observations:
Bearish Channel Breakout
Retest of Supply Zone (0.6340 – 0.6360)
Potential targets: 0.6290, and possibly 0.6257
1-Hour Timeframe:
The 1-hour chart shows the pair breaking below a bear flag pattern, a continuation signal of the previous bearish momentum. The price is hovering near the 0.6330 level, and there are two potential scenarios from here:
Bullish Scenario: If the price pushes back above 0.6340, we may see a short-term move towards 0.6360 or higher.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 0.6330 and holds, expect the market to test 0.6300 and then 0.6250.
Traders should keep an eye on these levels, as they represent critical points for potential trade setups in both directions.
Conclusion:
NZD/USD is at a key inflection point. On the higher timeframes, the pair is testing important resistance levels, while on the lower timeframes, the breakdown of the rising channel suggests further downside potential. Traders should be cautious and wait for clear confirmations—either a break above resistance for long positions or a continued rejection for short trades. Keep an eye on the 0.6340 and 0.6290 levels for the next possible move.
NZDUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.635.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.623 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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Levels discussed 30th September 30th September
DXY: Price could retrace from 100.40 to 100.55 and possibly retest bearish trendline. But overall downtrend, with support at 100.20
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6345 SL 20 TP 45
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6955 SL 20 TP 50
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3355 SL 20 TP 50
EURUSD: Buy 1.1175 SL 20 TP 40
USDJPY: Sell 141.50 SL 50 TP 130
USDCHF: Buy at 0.8440 SL 20 TP 70
USDCAD: Buy 1.3545 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Could consolidate between 2640-2652 range, If broken lower, could trade down to 2616.