NzdUsd could rise above 0.65Much like its larger counterpart, the AUD, the NZD found a bottom against the USD in early August.
Since then, the pair has been trending upwards and is currently testing a key resistance level.
A breakout here could lead to further gains, with the 0.65 level as the next potential target.
I'm bullish on the pair as long as the price stays above last week's low.
NZDUSD
NZDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
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Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
NZDUSD - Potential long !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is a rejection from LZ + trendline + level 0.63000.
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NZDUSD - Long Trade Idea (ICT)Price is close to some juicy equal highs, so I will be anticipating a retracement into a POI to catch a trade on a lower timeframe to that area as my low hanging fruit objective.
I see price either coming into a 2W Bullish Breaker (Coupled with a NWOG), or a 2D Bullish Orderblock.
The annotated stoploss is for illustration purposes only. Price can very well wick down there, albeit a more extreme scenario. If price closes below that 2D Bullish OB, then this long idea would be no longer valid until the equal lows are taken out.
- R2F
Bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support level which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.6354
1st Support: 0.6255
1st Resistance: 0.6411
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6235
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6183
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Kiwibank Lowers Kiwi ForecastThe New Zealand dollar (NZD/USD) has slipped below its 25-day exponential moving average (EMA) and could potentially test the 50-day EMA next. But, can sellers maintain the momentum and push further into bearish territory?
Kiwibank is betting on more downside due to faster and deeper rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). However, their initial bearish outlook has softened somewhat.
"In our previous FX Tactical, we anticipated the Kiwi heading towards the 0.5700 mark. But given its reluctance to trade down to that level, we've adjusted our expectations. While we still believe the Kiwi should be lower, it's clear the 0.5700 target is less likely. At this point, 0.5900 seems a more reasonable level," the bank stated.
Further complicating the outlook is China’s influence. Like the Australian dollar, the Kiwi can find support from economic developments in China. Talks of a potential stimulus package from Beijing had initially buoyed market sentiment, but UBS remains unimpressed. The investment bank noted that the scale of China's recent measures falls short of previous stimulus efforts, which historically triggered strong market rallies. Economists cited by The Wall Street Journal share this view, pointing out that borrowing costs are already low, yet demand for credit remains sluggish. Consumer confidence, dragged down by concerns over jobs and the ongoing property market meltdown, remains near historic lows.
NZDUSD catching a falling knife at market price?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
The trend of higher lows is located at 0.6120.
A lower correction is expected.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6300 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 0.6260 (stop at 0.6220)
Our profit targets will be 0.6340 and 0.6350
Resistance: 0.6300 / 0.6325 / 0.6350
Support: 0.6275 / 0.6260 / 0.6250
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Update idea
Analysis of NZD/USD: Exchange Rate Hits Yearly High TodayAnalysis of NZD/USD: Exchange Rate Hits Yearly High Today
According to the NZD/USD chart, the exchange rate has reached 0.635 New Zealand dollars per US dollar today, its highest level since December 2023.
As reported by Trading Economics:
→ On one hand, the "kiwi" strengthened due to China's announcement of an economic stimulus package, as China is New Zealand's largest trading partner.
→ On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US consumer confidence data (CB Consumer Confidence) released yesterday also supported the pair: actual = 98.7, forecast = 103.9, previous = 105.6.
Today's technical analysis of the NZD/USD chart shows that since late July, the price has formed an upward channel (marked in blue), with the following developments:
→ Bulls managed to break the 0.630 level;
→ The 0.626 level shifted from resistance to support (indicated by an arrow);
→ Since mid-September, the price rise has been most clearly reflected by a steeper upward channel (shown by purple lines);
→ The RSI indicator on the 4-hour timeframe entered the overbought zone and has turned downwards.
It's worth noting that today’s NZD/USD chart indicates the median line is showing signs of resistance, as seen earlier in September.
Given this, the market appears vulnerable to a pullback, and we may witness a retest of the 0.630 level, reinforced by support from the purple lines.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: NZD/USD RisesMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Follows Suit
NZD/USD might aim for more gains above 0.6300.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating gains from the 0.6350 zone.
- There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6280 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.6180 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.6265 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 0.6280 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.6355 zone and is currently correcting gains. The pair corrected lower below the 0.6340 level. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now approaching 60.
On the downside, immediate support is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.6209 swing low to the 0.6355 high at 0.6320.
The first key support is near a trend line at 0.6280 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.6209 swing low to the 0.6355 high. It is close to the 50-hour simple moving average. The next major support is near the 0.6265 level.
If there is a downside break below the 0.6265 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.6210 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.6180.
On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.6355. The next major resistance is near the 0.6380 level. A clear move above the 0.6380 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6440 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6500 resistance zone in the coming days.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Levels discussed on livestream 25th September25th September
DXY: Retracing from 100.20, could retest 100.60, look for rejection to continue lower to 100 and 99.70 major support level.
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6310 SL 20 TP 50
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6880 SL 20 TP 40
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3345 SL 40 TP 80
EURUSD: Buy 1.1205 SL 15 TP 45
USDJPY: Could range between 145 and 143, look for breakout potential
USDCHF: Buy 0.8470 SL 20 TP 80
USDCAD: Sell 1.3420 SL 25 TP 55
Gold: Bounce off 2652 could trade to 2670 with major level at 2700
Kiwi H4 | Falling to pullback supportThe Kiwi (NZD/USD ) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6292 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6245 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.6353 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Usdjpy trade idea #usdjpy #xauusd #btcusd #eurusdusdjpy is under resistance level in 4H timeframe and currently break the 1H trendline
and taking pullback we need a red candle in my enter point to execute trade
I DON'T RECOMMAND YOU TO TAKE TRADE AFTER SEEING MY TRADE IDEA
IF YOU TRADE THEN TRADE WITH YOUR OWN STRATEGY AND TAKE RISK AT YOUR OWN RIISK
NZDUSD - BUY IDEAThe price has been pushing higher and is approaching the daily high.
The 4H structure is bullish, in line with higher timeframes.
There is an area of 4H imbalance to be tested within the current structure range with some equal lows (liquidity) above to be taken.
Waiting for these equal lows to be swept and let's see if price reacts giving a trading opportunity.
Levels discussed during livestream24th September
DXY: Currently just below 101, needs to break 100.85 for more downside to 100.60 support level.
NZDUSD: Look for reaction at round number resistance 0.63
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6810 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3380 SL 30 TP 60
EURUSD: Buy 1.1150 SL 15 TP 50
USDJPY: Sell 143.70 SL 50 TP 155
USDCHF: Sell 0.8460 SL 25 TP 50
USDCAD: Do Nothing, in the middle of support / resistance level
Gold: Upside to continue, looking to buy dips, up to 2650
Bearish drop?NZD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6293
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Stop loss: 0.6346
Why we like it:
There is a resistance level at the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit: 0.6212
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
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Could the kiwi reverse from here?The price is rising towards the pivot point which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 50% Fibonacci support.
Pivot: 0.6293
1st Support: 0.61901
1st Resistance: 0.6350
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Using Probability to Guide My Long Positions on NZDUSDThe NZDUSD pair is showing bullish potential due to several key factors.
Recent US inflation data came in softer than expected, which could lead to a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve.
Additionally, the Fed's recent interest rate cut is likely to weaken the US dollar, benefiting the New Zealand dollar.
These factors, combined with NZDUSD's positive momentum over the past week and month, support a bullish outlook for the pair.
To capitalize on this potential, I'm using probability-based analysis to enter long positions. By focusing on high-probability setups, I aim to achieve more consistent results over time.
12M:
2W:
1H:
I’d love to hear your thoughts on the NZDUSD outlook and my trading strategy. Please share your insights or questions in the comments below!
Levels discussed on Livestream 23rd September
DXY: Currently at 101, could retest bearish trendline and reject to trade down to 100.60. If trendline broken, needs to break above 101.40 for further upside to 101.80
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6195 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6775 SL 20 TP 65
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3245 SL 30 TP 70
EURUSD: Buy 1.1090 SL 25 TP 90
USDJPY: Sell 143 SL 35 TP 95
USDCHF: Sell 0.8540 SL 30 TP 105
USDCAD: Do Nothing
Gold: Currently retracing, look for possible reaction at 2600, esp for a rebound.