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NZDUSD

NZDUSD 1D Golden Cross, final bull signal.The NZDUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern that only broke during the early April sell-off and has found Support near its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) on its recent May consolidation. As the 1D MACD just formed the 4th Bullish Cross of the year we expect this long with the emerging 1D Golden Cross to be the final buy signal before a long-term correction. Our Target is 0.60900 representing a +4.30% rise, the minimum previous within this pattern. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
New Zealand dollar sharply lower, RBNZ cut expectedThe New Zealand dollar is sharply lower on Tuesday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5950, down 0.83% on the day. A day earlier, the New Zealand dollar touched a high of 0.6031, its highest level since Oct. 2024. The Reserve Bank of New Zealand is widely expected to lower rates by a quarter-point to 3.25% on Wednesday. With little doubt about the decision, investors will be focusing on the Reserve Bank's updated forecasts. The markets are looking at another rate cut in July and perhaps one more later in the year, which would lower the cash rate below 3.0%. The RBNZ has been dealing with a weak domestic economy and a deteriorating outlook for the global economy due to US President Trump's erratic tariff policy. The RBNZ would like to continue trimming rates and restore consumer and business confidence. New Zealand's inflation was higher than expected in the first quarter at 2.5%, up from 2.2% in Q4 2024. This is within the Bank's inflation target of 1%-3% and means that inflation levels won't prevent the Bank from lowering rates on Wednesday. US durable goods orders plunges, consumer confidence surges In the US, Durable Goods Orders declined by 6.3% m/m in April, after a 7.5% gain in March, which was the fastest pace of growth since July 2020. The soft reading managed to beat the market estimate of -7.8%. The Conference Board Consumer Confidence index, which has fallen steadily this year, surged to 98.0 in May, up from 86.0 in April and blowing past the market estimate of 87.0. We'll hear from more Federal Reserve members on Wednesday, which could provide some insights into the Fed's rate path. The Fed has adopted a wait-and-see stance and is widely expected to hold rates for a fourth straight time at the next meeting on June 18. NZD/USD has pushed below support at 0.5978 and is testing 0.5955. Below, there is support at 0.5928 There is resistance at 0.6005 and 0.6028
by OANDA
RBNZ rate decision coming upKeep your eyes on the rate cut tomorrow by the RBNZ and on the NZD reaction to all of it. We have an interesting technical set up building on FX_IDC:NZDUSD . Let's dig in... MARKETSCOM:NZDUSD Let us know what you think in the comments below. Thank you. 77.3% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
NZD/USD4H Chart Analysis Bullish Reversal Setup from Demand Zone📈 Price: 0.59552 📊 EMA 70: 0.59410 (🟤 Brown Line) Chart Zones & Key Levels 🔷 Resistance Zone: 🔼 Around 0.60298 – 0.60304 🔹 Price reacted strongly here (🔽 white arrows) 🔹 Acts as a ceiling for now 🟢 Demand Zone: 🔽 Around 0.58800 ✅ Buyers stepped in here before 📉 If price drops again, might bounce from here 🟥 STOP LOSS: ❗ 0.58793 🔸 Protects from deeper losses if trend breaks down. TRADE IDEA 1️⃣ Entry Idea: Wait for a pullback into the Demand Zone 📉⬇️ 2️⃣ Bullish Reversal Expected: ⬆️ Bounce toward Target Zone 🎯 Target Point: 0.60300 🟦 Profit zone marked in blue 💸 Good Risk/Reward ratio. Indicators & Pattern 📐 Wedge Pattern: 🔹 Bullish breakout potential 🔹 Currently respecting the channel 📉 EMA Crossover Area: 🔸 Could act as dynamic support/resistance 🟤 Price hovering around EMA (0.59410) Summary: ✅ Buy Setup if price holds above 0.58800 🎯 Target: 0.60300 🛑 Stop Loss: 0.58793 ⚠️ Watch the price reaction at the Demand Zone for confirmation!
Long
by Jameshead007
30
Momentum builds in GBP/USD and NZD/USD following tariff delayThe U.S. dollar weakened sharply in recent sessions as President Trump's announcement that the proposed 50% tariffs on EU imports will now be delayed until July 9, giving markets temporary relief. GBP/USD edged toward 1.3600, testing levels last seen three years ago. The RSI sits just under 60, suggesting there’s still room before overbought conditions are reached. Volume has been gradually increasing, potentially reinforcing the strength of the breakout. Risk-on flows also lifted the Australian and New Zealand dollars. NZD/USD has broken above the Ichimoku cloud and rose 0.62% on the day. Price is well above the Tenkan-sen (blue) and Kijun-sen (red), indicating strong upward momentum. However, the pair is pulling back slightly after the sharp breakout, suggesting short-term consolidation.
by BlackBull_Markets
NZDUSD TEMPORARY SHORTPURELY TECHNICAL Though with projections of growth, NZDUSD has been consolidating and trading between $0.60 and $0.58 for over a month. A sell position would be ideal at $0.60 as corroborated by the yellow line of the TDI indicator trending above 63 on the 1hr timeframe. Additionally, $0.60 appears to be the test limit to verify the appetite of potential buyers and so far, there is little insensitive to keep buying above $0.60. Moreover, the daily timeframe shows consistent rejection of prices above $0.60
Short
by ambitiousjev
Is This the Next Big Heist? Thief Trader Eyes NZD/USD Long SetupThief Trader’s NZD/USD Heist Plan – Long Setup in Play! 🌍 **Hello Global Wealth Warriors!** Hello, Bonjour, Ciao, Salut, Guten Tag, Ola! 📢 **Fellow Profit Pirates & Market Mavericks**, it’s time to set sail again! Get ready to loot the forex seas with our latest **Thief Trader Strategy** targeting the **NZD/USD (The Kiwi)** pair. --- 🔎 **Trade Overview** 💥 Setup: Long Entry Plan – Executing our cunning blueprint with Thief Trading's sharp technical & fundamental intel**. 🎯 Target: 0.62300 (or exit just before for safety). ⚠️ Danger Zone: Watch for traps at the RED Zone Level – signs of overbought conditions, consolidation, trend flips & bearish setups. --- 🟢 **Entry Signal** – *The Heist Begins!* 📈 **Primary Entry**: > Breakout above **MA Line (0.60300)** = Bullish move → *Place a Buy Stop above ATR Line* 📉 **Pullback Option**: > *Buy Limit* at recent swing low/high on **15 or 30-min TF**. 📌 **Pro Tip**: Set an **Alert** on your chart to catch the breakout live. Timing is everything! --- 🛑 **Stop Loss – The Getaway Plan** 📍 **SL Recommendation**: > Recent swing low on the **4H chart (0.59400)** for day/swing trades. > 🎯 Customize your SL based on risk, lot size, and total orders. --- 🔐 **Scalpers vs. Swingers** 👀 **Scalpers**: Focus ONLY on long-side plays. 💰 Got deep pockets? Dive in. 😎 Otherwise, swing traders – this is your golden moment. Trail your SL to protect profits. 🌐 **Market Pulse** – Momentum Watch 📊 Kiwi is navigating a **MA Resistance Zone**, but bullish bias remains due to: * **Fundamentals** * **Macro Insights** * **COT Reports** * **Sentiment & Intermarket Trends** * **Quant Analysis + Overall Score** 📎 Check the linkks for detailed breakdown. 📰 **News Warning!** ⚠️ Major releases ahead? * Pause entries. * Protect trades with **trailing SLs**. --- 🚨 **Join the Next Heist with Thief Trading!** 💥 Smash that **Boost** or **Like** to join our profit squad. With **Thief Trader Style**, we dominate the markets DAILY. Your support fuels our mission. ❤️💼 --- 💸 Stay ready for the next move, money-makers. 🎯 Eyes on the chart – timing is profit.
Long
by Thief_Trader
1
Calm Before the Storm for NZDUSD Ahead of RBNZ and US Data?NZDUSD has been forming a descending triangle pattern since 2020. After the wide swings triggered by the COVID-19 shock, price action has gradually contracted. The downside has been limited near 0.55, while the topside has followed a clear descending trendline, currently sitting around 0.62. Following a brief surge in April, NZDUSD has entered a short-term flat trend, with two key support and resistance zones capping volatility, potentially the calm before the storm. The 0.5825–0.5850 zone acts as support, while 0.60–0.6050 serves as resistance. This week, major events including the RBNZ decision, FOMC minutes, U.S. consumer sentiment, PCE, and GDP data could break this low-volatility pattern. A decisive move toward either the upper or lower boundary of the descending triangle may be imminent.
by ftdsystem
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Bank Money Heist (Short Term Plan)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰✈️ Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry and short entry. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The loot's within reach! Wait for the breakout, then grab your share - whether you're a Bullish thief or a Bearish bandit!" 🏁Buy entry above 0.60300 🏁Sell Entry below 0.58990 📌However, I recommended to place buy stop for bullish side and sell stop for bearish side. Stop Loss 🛑: 🚩Thief SL placed at 0.59000 for Bullish Trade 🚩Thief SL placed at 0.60000 for Bearish Trade Using the 30mins period, the recent / swing low or high level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 🏴‍☠️Bullish Robbers TP 0.61500 (or) Escape Before the Target 🏴‍☠️Bearish Robbers TP 0.57500 (or) Escape Before the Target 💰💵💸NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Heist Plan is currently experiencing a neutral trend,., driven by several key factors. 📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro Economics, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets with overall score... go ahead to check👉👉👉🔗🔗🌎🌏🗺 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
by Thief_Trader
Heading into overlap resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot, which is overlap resistance, and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.5930 1st Support: 0.5893 1st Resistance: 0.5951 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Kiwi H4 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6019 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6095 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Take profit is at 0.5854 which is a swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Mid-Week FOREX Forecast: Will The USD Remain Weak?In this video, we will update Sunday's forecasts mid-week, and look for valid setup for the rest of the week ahead. The following FX markets will be analyzed: In this video, we will analyze the following FX Majors markets: USD Index EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPY The expected short term bearishness in the USD came, but will it continue for the rest of the week? Wait patiently for the market to tip its hand, and trade accordingly. Have a plan in place if the protected low at 99.172 holds or folds. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6E1!
by RT_Money
NZD/USD TRADING PLAN – MAY 21 | RETEST OR CONTINUATION?NZD/USD TRADING PLAN – MAY 21 | RETEST OR CONTINUATION? 🔍 After several steady bullish sessions, NZD/USD is pulling back slightly from the 0.5961 resistance zone. The pair remains within a well-defined ascending channel on the H1 chart and is approaching a key support area around 0.5910 — a zone that could trigger a technical bounce and continuation of the current bullish trend. 🌍 MACRO CONTEXT: The US Dollar Index (DXY) is showing signs of weakness following disappointing CPI and PPI data. This opens up room for commodity currencies like NZD to recover further. Meanwhile, New Zealand's domestic consumption data has exceeded expectations, and the RBNZ continues to maintain a stable policy outlook — a medium-term bullish sign for NZD. Market sentiment is leaning cautiously against the USD, especially as the Fed holds its “no cut but no hike” stance — boosting interest in alternative currencies. 📊 TECHNICAL OUTLOOK (H1): NZD/USD is trading within an ascending price channel. EMA 13 is above EMA 34 and EMA 200 — a positive short-term trend signal. Two important zones to watch today are 0.5910 (key support) and 0.5961 (key resistance). 🎯 TRADE SETUPS FOR TODAY: ✅ SCENARIO A – BUY THE RETEST: If price tests the 0.5910 zone and shows strong reaction: BUY ZONE: 0.5910 – 0.5915 SL: 0.5890 TP: 0.5960 → 0.5980 → 0.6000 → 0.6006 → This zone aligns with ascending channel support + prior FVG → strong rebound probability. ✅ SCENARIO B – BREAKOUT & CONTINUATION: If price breaks and holds above 0.5961: BUY SCALP: 0.5965 – 0.5970 SL: 0.5950 TP: 0.5980 → 0.6000 → 0.6006 ❌ SCENARIO C – BEARISH BREAKDOWN: If price fails to hold above 0.5910 and closes H1 candle below it: SELL SCALP: 0.5900 – 0.5895 SL: 0.5915 TP: 0.5870 → 0.5850 → 0.5820 📌 FINAL THOUGHTS: NZD/USD is at a critical decision point — this could be a retest before continuation to 0.6000 or the beginning of a deeper drop. Watch the 0.5910 level closely to determine market direction. ⚠️ Risk management is key — high volatility expected as U.S. PMI data is set for release during today’s NY session. 🧠 Be patient. Let price come to your zone. React, don’t predict.
Long
by MMFlowTrading
1
NZDUSD to find sellers at market price?NZDUSD - 24h expiry Indecisive price action has resulted in sideways congestion on the intraday chart. Pivot resistance is at 0.5925. A move through 0.5875 will confirm the bearish momentum. The measured move target is 0.5750. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels. We look to Sell at 0.5925 (stop at 0.5975) Our profit targets will be 0.5805 and 0.5750 Resistance: 0.5925 / 0.5950 / 0.5975 Support: 0.5850 / 0.5800 / 0.5750 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Short
by OANDA
NZDUSD Will Fall! Short! Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD. Time Frame: 1D Current Trend: Bearish Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bearish The market is on a crucial zone of supply 0.590. The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 0.575 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Short
by SignalProvider
1
Potential bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has rejected off the pivot that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and could drop to the pullback support. Pivot: 0.5933 1st Support: 0.5893 1st Resistance: 0.5968 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Bearish reversal?NZD/USD has rejected off the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.5933 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and the 127.2% Fibonacci extension. Stop loss: 0.5960 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.5893 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
NZDUSD Set To Fall! SELL! My dear friends, NZDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.5904 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 0.5883 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
New Zealand dollar jumps as inflation expectations hits 1-year hThe New Zealand dollar is in positive territory on Friday. In the European session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.5906, up 0.54% on the day. New Zealand's two-year inflation expectations climbed to 2.29% in the second quarter, up from 2.06% in Q1, its highest level since last May. The survey also predicted that one-year inflation expectations would rise to 2.41% in Q2, up from 2.15% in the first quarter, also the highest since last May. The rise in inflation expectations can be viewed as a "Trump bump" as consumers are concerned that US tariffs will lead to higher inflation. For the Reserve Bank of New Zealand, the increase is a reminder of the upside risks for inflation, but at the same time inflation and inflation expectations are within the Reserve Bank's target range of 1%-3%. With inflation largely contained, the RBNZ is looking to continue lowering interest rates in order to boost the economy. The RBNZ cut rates last month to 3.5% from 3.75% and is expected to cut rates again at the May 28 meeting. The problem for Bank policymakers is the uncertainty over President Trump's erratic trade policy, which has made it tricky to make growth and inflation forecasts. The US and China engaged in a tit-for-tat tariff war which resulted in massive tariffs, only to suddenly reach a temporary agreement to slash tariffs. Will this lead to a permanent agreement or will the US and China resume their damaging trade war? It's unclear what happens next, especially given the unpredictability of Donald Trump. The US wraps up the week with UoM consumer sentiment and inflation expectations for May. Consumer sentiment is expected to improve to 53.4 from an upwardly revised 52.2. Inflation expectations surged in April to 6.5% from 4.7% and are projected to rise to 6.6%, as consumers remain anxious about inflation. NZD/USD has pushed above resistance at 0.5885 and is testing resistance at 0.5909. Above, there is resistance at 0.5940 0.5854 and 0.5830 are the next support levels
by OANDA