NZDUSD
NZDUSD M15 | Bullish Rise?Based on the M15 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just bounced off our buy entry at 0.5599, which is an overlap support.
Our take profit will be at 0.5624, which is a pullback resistance that is close to a 78.6% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.5586, which is a swing low support level.
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Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?NZD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.5630
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 38.32% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.5659
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.5587
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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NZD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.564 area.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Levels discussed on livestream 7th Jan 20257th January 2025
DXY: For further downside to 107 support level, needs to break 38.2% and bottom of channel (107.80) or bounce off bottom of channel
NZDUSD: Retracing, look for rejection at 0.57 or 0.5760
AUDUSD: Test and reject trendline, Sell 0.6280 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Break above 1.26 round number, Buy 1.2620 SL 30 TP 100
EURUSD: Buy 1.0440 SL 30 TP 90
USDJPY: Sell 157.50 SL 70 TP 140
EURJPY: Look for reaction at 165 resistance
GBPJPY: Look for reaction at 197, Buy 197.25 SL 40 TP 90
USDCHF: Buy 0.9070 SL 30 TP 60
USDCAD: Could trade down to 1.4250, bullish trendline
XAUUSD: No clear directional bias, choppy between 2625 and 2646, break, above 61.8% 2646 could trade up to 2655
Possible ignition candle in the NZD/USD daily chartThe NZD/USD pair has experienced a decline of over 12% in recent weeks, showing no significant pullbacks on the daily chart. Currently, the price has reached an important support zone on the daily timeframe (D1), marked as a crucial decision point for the market. This notable depreciation of the New Zealand dollar is primarily due to the substantial rise of the US dollar, which gained momentum following Donald Trump's election. His commitments to bolster the US economy have fueled optimism in the American market, putting pressure on other currencies.
Potential Buying Opportunity
The current candle suggests characteristics that could indicate the start of a buying movement. If the daily close exceeds the 0.5664 level (indicated by the black line), it may form a bullish engulfing pattern on the daily chart, signaling a strong reversal after the recent steep decline.
If this pattern is validated, the price might target the 0.5860 area initially, representing a potential movement of around 196 pips. This level coincides with the 38.6% Fibonacci retracement, which may act as temporary resistance.
A prudent risk management strategy could involve placing a stop loss just below the recent low on the daily chart, around 0.5564 (approximately 100 pips), to safeguard against potential false reversals.
Alternative Scenario
Should the price fail to maintain its recovery and drop below the recent low (0.5585), the pair could continue its downward trend, potentially testing new lower support levels, including 0.5500 and 0.5400. This would suggest the continuation of the prevailing downtrend.
Macroeconomic Considerations
Investors should keep a close eye on this week's macroeconomic reports, such as the NonFarm Payroll (NFP) and the US unemployment rate, which could introduce greater volatility into the market and directly impact the NZD/USD pair's performance. These events may be pivotal in confirming or refuting the outlined scenarios. By tracking both technical and fundamental developments, strategies can be adjusted with greater precision throughout the week.
Disclaimer
74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. Consider whether you understand how CFDs work and if you can afford the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not indicative of future results. Investment values may fluctuate, and you may not recover your initial investment. This content is not intended for residents of the UK.
NZDUSD Scenario 2.1.2025This analysis is just a clarification of the previous analyses. We are creating an sfp below the low, which could indicate some potential space for a long setup, but I am keeping some space for now. If the sfp is confirmed, I will take a long first tp around the price. If we get above the weekly level, which is at 0.56550, it is around 0.57920.
NZDUSD to find sellers at current resistance?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
An Evening Star formation has been posted at the high.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
We look for a temporary move higher.
Further downside is expected although we prefer to sell into rallies close to the 0.5657 level.
We look to Sell at 0.5657 (stop at 0.5690)
Our profit targets will be 0.5587 and 0.5520
Resistance: 0.5705 / 0.5775 / 0.5850
Support: 0.5590 / 0.5520 / 0.5320
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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NZDUSD - Short from bearish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I wait price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance and then to reject from bearish OB.
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NZDUSD - Weekly Forecast - Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas!💡 Midterm forecast (Daily Time-frame):
The price is in a Down Trend, but Beginning of Up Trend is forecasted!
0.5799 is Major Resistance.
Take Profits:
0.57500
0.57992
0.58630
0.59164
0.60369
0.61187
0.62591
0.63680
0.65327
0.67156
0.70330
0.72150
0.74650
💡 Short-term forecast (H4 Time-frame):
Bullish Divergence
Correction wave toward the Buy Zone
Another Upward Impulse wave toward Higher TPs
SL: Below 0.5587
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NZDUSD - Easiest 1000pip Trade Ever!We might be on the verge of one of the easiest trades ever.
NZDUSD is currently in a wave B correction, which appears to be a 333 WXY correction. We are currently in wave Y and expecting a breakout for the bigger wave C.
Trade Idea:
- Enter on break of trendline
- Stops below lows after trendline break
- Targets: 0.61 (500pips), 0.65 (1000pips)
Simple, right?
Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 6, 2025This is an outlook for the week of Jan 6-10th.
In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets:
USD Index
EURUSD
GBPUSD
AUDUSD
NZDUSD
CAD, USDCAD
CHF, USDCHF
JPY, USDJPY
The USD is still strong, so no reason to sell in the near term. But price is at W supply, so there is potential for a pullback to start at any time.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
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Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
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NZDUSD Is Bearish! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 0.560.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 0.555 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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NZDUSD - The uptrend of the dollar is over?!The NZDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4-hour timeframe. In case of upward correction, we can see the supply zone and sell within that range with appropriate risk reward. A valid break of the support area will provide us with the continuation of the downward path of this currency pair.
At the beginning of 2025, the US dollar has continued its upward trajectory, solidifying its position as one of the leading global currencies. After delivering a strong performance in 2023 and 2024, the dollar has now risen by more than 1% against the euro and the British pound, outpacing other major currencies.
From an economic news perspective, recent reports have had little impact on the market. While data on jobless claims, affected by holiday factors, were assessed positively, reports such as construction spending and manufacturing PMI fell short of expectations. However, these statistics failed to create significant market movement, with US Treasury yields seeing only a slight uptick.
According to data published by S&P Global, the US manufacturing PMI for December 2024 stood at 49.4, a slight decline from 49.7 in November. This figure remains below the 50-point threshold, indicating contraction in manufacturing activity. Nonetheless, there has been a slight recovery from the mid-month figure of 48.3.
Manufacturing output in November declined for the fourth consecutive month, hitting its lowest level in 18 months. Additionally, new orders continued to fall, though at a slower pace compared to previous months. However, export orders experienced a steeper decline, primarily driven by economic weakness in Europe and Australia.
In the employment sector, there has been modest yet positive growth for the second consecutive month, reflecting manufacturers’ efforts to retain their workforce. Input cost inflation has reached its highest level since August 2024, largely due to concerns over trade tariffs and potential protectionist policies. Approximately 25% of firms attributed their increased purchases to tariff threats, highlighting concerns over the inflationary effects of such policies.
Despite current challenges, manufacturers are increasingly optimistic about the future. This optimism, which has reached its highest level in two and a half years, stems from reduced uncertainties following the elections and positive expectations of stronger economic growth and supportive government policies in 2025. However, the gap between current production levels and future expectations has reached its widest point in a decade, excluding the COVID-19 pandemic period.
The main driver behind the strength of the US dollar is capital inflows. While the US economy appears robust, this alone does not explain the dollar’s growth. A confluence of positive factors has made US assets attractive, with the country’s stock markets outperforming other global markets. Currently, a significant portion of global capital formation is concentrated in the US dollar and its markets.
Nevertheless, risks such as rising tariffs or restrictive fiscal policies could alter the dollar’s trajectory. For now, the market shows little concern about the Republican-led Congress, and the US dollar continues to assert its dominance in global markets.
Donald Trump, the US President-elect, recently tweeted that tariffs have brought immense wealth to the country and that he plans to continue these policies after assuming office on January 20. Trump also referenced border issues, calling Joe Biden the “worst president in US history.”
The chief asset strategist at HSBC Bank highlighted the hawkish messages from the Federal Reserve’s December meeting as a cause for concern. January is expected to be highly volatile, but these fluctuations could present intriguing investment opportunities.
NZD-USD Strong Downtrend! Sell!
Hello,Traders!
NZD-USD is trading in a
Strong downtrend and the
Pair made a bearish breakout
Of the key level of 0.5620
Then made a retest and is
Now going down again so
We are bearish biased and
We will be expecting a
Further bearish continuation
Sell!
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Check out other forecasts below too!
Potential bearish drop off pullback resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.5616
1st Support: 0.5587
1st Resistance: 0.5635
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bearish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NZD/USD "The Kiwi" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish robbers are stronger. 👀 So Be Careful, wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📉 : You can enter a Bearish trade at any point.
however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest high level.
Goal 🎯: 0.55300
Warning⚠️ : Our heist strategy is incompatible with Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️. We'll wreck our plan by smashing the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Avoid entering the market right after the news release.
Based on the fundamental analysis 📰 🗞️ I would conclude that the NZD/USD (New Zealand Dollar/US Dollar) pair is: Bearish
Reasons:
Interest rate differential: The Reserve Bank of New Zealand's (RBNZ) interest rate (2.50%) is lower than the Federal Reserve's (Fed) interest rate (4.50%), making the NZD less attractive to investors.
Economic growth: New Zealand's GDP growth (1.5%) is slower than the US GDP growth (2.1%), which could lead to a stronger USD.
Trade balance: New Zealand's trade deficit (NZD 1.1 billion) is larger than the US trade deficit (USD 50 billion), which could put downward pressure on the NZD.
Commodity prices: New Zealand's economy is heavily reliant on commodity exports, and a decline in commodity prices could negatively impact the NZD.
However, it's essential to consider the following risks:
Global economic slowdown: A slowdown in global economic growth, particularly in China and the US, could negatively impact the USD and support the NZD.
RBNZ's monetary policy: The RBNZ's dovish stance and potential interest rate cuts could support the NZD.
US-China trade tensions: Escalating trade tensions between the US and China could lead to a decline in the USD and support the NZD.
Bearish Scenario:
Stronger US economic data, such as GDP growth and inflation, supports the USD
Decline in commodity prices, particularly dairy and meat, supports the USD
Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
Take advantage of the target and get away 🎯 Swing Traders Please reserve the half amount of money and watch for the next dynamic level or order block breakout. Once it is resolved, we can go on to the next new target in our heist plan.
Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
GOLD IN CORRECTION FOR SELLOnly weekly is in buy but it give sub choch for sell which is day sell CHOCH
in day retracement also gives day sub choch for sell
now gold in day sub choch retracement confirm point strgy
if above 2608 it will continue to 2650-2660 which is day sub choch 50% fibo zone then
if we got 4hrs revers sell point on there we can place sell order on there other wise we must wait 2717-2725 extreme sell area(day sub choch OB) then we place aggressive entry on there
if market opens below 2608 our buy entry should be 2587 sl 2580 and sell analysis will be same
week=BUY
Day= sell and Retracement buy
4hrs-15mins-1min=buy
THIS ANALYSIS MAY CHANGE AFTER MARKET OPENS
NZD/USD LONGLong NZD/USD is supported by technical analysis based on key indicators that suggest a potential reversal or bounce in the price. On the 4-hour chart, the price is showing signs of consolidation after a long downtrend, with a favorable setup for a recovery.
The Alligator moving averages are still bearish, but the price is starting to consolidate near the lower level, suggesting a possible weakening of the bearish pressure.
The indicator below is showing a reversal from the oversold level (-50), with a positive bias, signaling a potential resumption of buying by the market.
Support and Resistance: The support level at 0.5700 has held so far, while the target area is visible near 0.5740-0.5760, indicating a reasonable profit window. The stop loss has been placed below the recent low to manage risk.
These elements suggest that the price may attempt a bounce in the short term. However, it is essential to carefully monitor the confirmation of the trend through a breakout of key levels and increasing volumes.