NZDUSD
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEP 9-13th USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast for SEPT 9-13th.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
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Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Trim Gains, Are Bears Back?Market Analysis: NZD/USD Trim Gains, Are Bears Back?
NZD/USD is also moving lower and might struggle to recover above 0.6200.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD declined steadily from the 0.6255 resistance zone.
- There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6155 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed a similar pattern and declined from the 0.6255 zone. The New Zealand Dollar gained bearish momentum and traded below 0.6205 against the US Dollar.
The pair settled below the 0.6190 level and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, it tested the 0.6125 zone and is currently attempting a minor recovery wave. There was a move above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6254 swing high to the 0.6124 low.
Immediate resistance on the upside is near 0.6150. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6155 and the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6254 swing high to the 0.6124 low.
The next resistance is the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6254 swing high to the 0.6124 low at 0.6190. If there is a move above 0.6190, the pair could rise toward 0.6240.
Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 0.6280 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, immediate support on the NZD/USD chart is near the 0.6125 level.
The next major support is near the 0.6080 zone. If there is a downside break below 0.6080, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6050 level. The next key support is near 0.6000.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Kiwi H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is trading close to a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6132 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6056 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.6236 which is an overlap resistance that algins close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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Bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6164
1st Support: 0.6093
1st Resistance: 0.6232
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EUR/USD : Ready for Fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the EUR/USD chart on the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after the drop last week to 1.10665, the price eventually closed at 1.10853. I expect that in the upcoming week, after a short initial rise, we will see further decline in EUR/USD. The potential targets for this drop are 1.10600, 1.10260, and 1.09960.
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Levels discussed on Livestream 10th September10th September
DXY: Consolidate along 101.60, could push higher to test 102 round number resistance.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6125 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6645 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3140 SL 20 TP 60
EURUSD: Looking for a retest of 1.10 support level
USDJPY: Buy 144.25 SL 30 TP 90
USDCHF: Buy 0.8510 SL 20 TP 50
USDCAD: Sell 1.3545 SL 20 TP 60
Gold: Break above 2507 to trade up to 2520
NZDUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at0.6227, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 0.6162, a pullback support
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6253, which is an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NZDUSD is in the Selling DirectionHello Traders
In This Chart NZDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today GBPUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (NZDUSD market update)
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🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
NZDUSD - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 200 PIP ) Pair Name : NZD/USD
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
Key Technical / Direction ( Short )
Type : Mid Term Swing
———————————
Bearish Break
0.61400 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Channel Break
- Choch Break
- Head & Shoulder Pattaren
- Fibo 61 % Break
- Day / week low
Bullish Reversal
0.60000 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / M
- Pattern Target
- Fibo Golden
- Choch Zone
- Quarters Area
Levels discussed on Livestream 9th September9th September
DXY: Currently at 101.50, just below bearish trendline. If trendline broken and above 101.60, could trade up to resistance of 102
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6125 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6650 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Watch for break of 1.31 and reaction at support level of 1.3045
EURUSD: Sell 1.1035 SL 15 TP 45
USDJPY: Sell 143.30 SL 50 TP 120
USDCHF: Sell 0.8455 SL 30 TP 55
USDCAD: Consolidating, could retest resistance at 1.36, look for downside potential
Gold: Break above 2500 could trade to 2515
NZD/USD: Bearish Continuation Confirmed After Key USD DataIn line with our previous analysis, NZD/USD triggered our sell limit order last Friday, signaling a potential bearish move after the release of key U.S. economic data. Initially, the U.S. dollar weakened following the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Claims reports, which delivered softer-than-expected results, raising concerns about the strength of the U.S. labor market. However, the dollar quickly regained its footing due to positive outcomes from the Final Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, and Crude Oil Inventories, all of which reinforced confidence in the U.S. economy.
As a result, the New Zealand dollar, like other major currencies, began a reversal, continuing its bearish trend against the strengthening USD. The recovery in the U.S. dollar has put downward pressure on NZD, confirming our expectations of a bearish continuation for the pair.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report remains consistent with our earlier forecasts. Institutional players are still favoring a bearish outlook on the NZD, while retail traders are likely still holding onto bullish positions, creating a divergence that suggests more downside potential for NZD/USD. With these factors in mind, we are confident in our bearish stance and expect the pair to reach our take profit target in the coming days.
Technically, the price action supports our forecast, with the NZD/USD pair failing to break key resistance levels and continuing to trade within a bearish channel. The reversal we anticipated has materialized, and the pair appears poised to continue its downward movement as the U.S. dollar remains strong in the wake of positive economic data.
In conclusion, our analysis points to further downside for NZD/USD this week, and we remain focused on reaching our take profit target. With both fundamental and technical factors aligned, the outlook for the pair remains bearish, and traders should be prepared for continued weakness in the New Zealand dollar as the U.S. dollar continues to recover.
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NZDUSD - DAILY SHORT- Strong rally to top of the range for several weeks, break out of the range above the recent strong resistance level at 0.62 but lost momentum and dips back below the 0.62.
- Wednesday and thursday looked like the buyers got back in control but failed to break above and made a huge engulfing fakey, ending trading back below the 0.62.
- Bias has now turned to strong sell. Lower prices expected, best case scenario all the way down to 0.587 (range bottom)
NZD/USD BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD pair is in the uptrend because previous week’s candle is green, while the price is clearly rising on the 3H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 0.619 because the pair overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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NZD/USD: Traders Eye Short Setup After Key ReboundThe NZD/USD pair saw a strong recovery from its intraday low of 0.6170 during Wednesday’s New York session. The New Zealand Dollar (NZD) regained some ground as the US Dollar (USD) struggled to maintain its upward momentum, having recently corrected from a fresh two-week high. Investors are now eagerly awaiting the release of the US Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, the highlight of a data-heavy week for the US economy.
From a technical standpoint, the price had already rebounded from a key Supply area, and after today's short recovery, traders may find an opportunity for a potential short setup. This pullback could be seen as a chance to enter the market by setting a Sell Limit order or entering directly to take advantage of the correction. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals that retail traders are increasingly aggressive on the long side, while Smart Money appears to be reducing its positions, signaling a possible bearish trend.
Additionally, seasonality data further hints at the potential for a bearish move in the near future. With several factors aligning, traders may be preparing for a potential downside in the NZD/USD pair, making this pullback an attractive opportunity for short positions.
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NZDUSDNZDUSD is in correction range at 0.61989 level. If price fails to break through, price will rebound to test resistance at 0.62553-0.62836. If price fails to break through 0.62836 level, it is expected that price will go down. Consider selling red zone.
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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 2-6 : USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is Part 1 of the Weekly Forex Forecast for SEPT 2-6th.
In this video, we will cover:
USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
Leave any questions or comments in the comment section.
I appreciate any feedback from my viewers!
Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis.
Thank you so much!
Disclaimer:
I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor.
All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies.
I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here.
Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
NZD/USD sets stage for next up moveThe US dollar continues to fall across the board, especially against haven currencies like the Japanese yen. But it is also weaker against the more high beta currencies too, despite the ongoing struggles in the stock markets. The NZD/USD stands ready to benefit from the weakening US dollar, especially in the event we see calm return to stocks.
The NZD/USD has been in consolidation mode for the past few days, declining inside what looks like a falling wedge continuation pattern.
The kiwi surged last month after a false break reversal pattern was formed around the 0.5860 level (see chart).
After hitting a high of just under 0.6300, it has dropped a bit to test - and so far hold - prior resistance at 0.6170 (see red arrows on the chart). This level has now turned into support. If we can now take out the pivotal 0.6218/20 level, then more gains could be on the way, initially targeting the liquidity now resting above the most recent high at 0.6300 area.
So far this week, we have had two disappointing employment indicators from the US, namely JOLTS job openings and now ADP private sector payrolls (rising by just 99K instead of 144K expected and prior number was revised lower too). From here, a substantial further decline in the US dollar would require further bearish US economic data this week. Friday's payrolls report is key in this regard. But any data-driven upside should be limited given the Fed’s clear signal that it will cut rates.
Put simply, weakness in US data is needed to keep the pressure on the US dollar, while the upside for the greenback should be limited on any data surprises because of the Fed’s strong indications that rate cuts are starting this month. This makes me bearish on the dollar and therefore bullish on major currency pairs like the NZD/USD.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com