Kiwi H4 | Pullback resistance at 78.6% Fibonacci retracementThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6037 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6093 which is a level that sits above the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5982 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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NZDUSD
Pullback resistance at 61.8% Fibonacci retracementThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot. Could this FX pair stall around this level before potentially reversing to drop lower towards the 1st support?
Pivot: 0.6059
1st Support: 0.5974
1st Resistance: 0.6176
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Markets next move awaits Fed speeches this week Markets next move awaits Fed speeches this week
In April, the US economy saw a modest increase of 175,000 jobs, marking its slowest growth in six months, notably below market projections of 243,000 and a considerable drop from the robust 315,000 jobs added in March.
So, now we know the NFP data from last Friday, has this changed investors' outlook for fed rate cuts, and subsequently limit the recent strength in the USD? After the NFP, the USD was weakest against the NZD, falling by a little more than 0.75%.
The market might want to see a few more similar NFPs before they really get their hopes up again though.
Consequently, the prevailing sentiment might still be tilted in favor of the NZD/USD sellers. Any bullish sentiment that lingers may need to await the pair's crossing of the 50 and 200-day SMA in the upcoming trading sessions.
The upcoming week is marked by significant speeches from Fed officials, events that could potentially quash the NZD's upward momentum. This limitation on the NZD's upside potential might be reflected across all major currencies.
Import the BlackBull Markets Economic Calendar to iCloud, Google, or Outlook to get alerts direct to your inbox, enabling you to plan your positions in advance.
NZDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
NZDUSD - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. I expect downside move after price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block + institutional mid figure 0.60500.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Strifor || NZDUSD-30/04/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The outlook for the New Zealand dollar is the same as for the Australian dollar . In both cases, we are likely to see new local highs, but growth is limited, in the case of NZDUSD this is the level of 0.59857 . We are considering two options for the development of events. The most likely scenario is №1 , and scenario №2 is an entry within the framework of a false breakout.
The best probable option is to consider entry after the Fed meeting .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || AUDUSD-30/04/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: Before the Fed meeting on major currency pairs, a rather uncertain situation has developed, and the best option will most likely be to refrain from trades and make a decision on entry after the interest rate decision. However, the most likely scenario is in favor of buyers. At the moment, the best option would be to look for an entry point near the support level of 0.64906 . We consider two scenarios near this level, where scenario №1 is about a rebound trade, and scenario №2 - a false breakout. The growth target in both cases is the level of 0.66000 .
If, after the Fed , the price falls below the support level of 0.64906 and cannot recover, then you should not count on growth in the medium term.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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NZDUSD: Bearish Continuation & Short Signal
NZDUSD
- Classic bearish formation
- Our team expects pullback
SUGGESTED TRADE:
Swing Trade
Short NZDUSD
Entry - 0.5985
Sl - 0.6015
Tp - 0.5933
Our Risk - 1%
Start protection of your profits from lower levels
❤️ Please, support our work with like & comment! ❤️
NZDUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for NZDUSD is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.5904
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 0.5947
My Stop Loss - 0.5876
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Kiwi H4 | At resistanceThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is trading at a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.5979 which is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss is at 0.6025 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance and a confluence of Fibonacci levels i.e. the 100.0% projection and the 127.2% extension levels.
Take profit is at 0.5928 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Potential bearish reversalThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) has hit the pivot to stall and reverse. Could this FX pair potentially drop lower towards the 1st support?
Pivot: 0.5979
1st Support: 0.5938
1st Resistance: 0.6045
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
NZDUSD → Bears prospects. Continued decline from resistance FX:NZDUSD reaches the previously outlined target. The trend remains and has a bearish direction, the structure of which is preserved and the direction of price movement can be continued.
A retest of 0.5940 is formed on the background of yesterday's news and a slight weakening of the dollar index. The currency pair is strengthening within the downtrend, correction is being formed. Consolidation of the price below 0.5940 may form a potential reversal point with a further target of 0.585 or 0.58.
But, there is a probability that on the background of increased volatility the price may reach the trend resistance. But, the prospects are the same.
Resistance levels: 0.5940, 0.5983, 0.6000
Support levels: 0.5874, 0.585, 0.580
Technically and fundamentally we have a bearish outlook. The currency pair may continue its decline, but before that the market may test the resistance
Regards R. Linda!
Market Analysis: NZD/USD Attempt Another RecoveryMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Attempt Another Recovery
NZD/USD is also rising and could extend its increase above the 0.6000 resistance zone.
Important Takeaways for NZD/USD Analysis Today
NZD/USD is showing positive signs above the 0.5925 support.
There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.5940 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair also followed AUD/USD. The New Zealand Dollar formed a base above the 0.5875 level and started a decent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair climbed above the 0.5925 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. The pair even spiked above 0.5940. A high was formed near 0.5978 and the pair is now consolidating gains. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is correcting lower toward 60.
On the upside, the pair is facing resistance near the 0.5980 zone. The next major resistance is near the 0.6000 level. A clear move above the 0.6000 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6070 level.
Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6120 resistance zone in the coming days. On the downside, there is a support forming near 0.5955 or the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5873 swing low to the 0.5978 high.
There is also a bullish trend line forming with support at 0.5940. The next major support is 0.5925 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5873 swing low to the 0.5978 high.
If there is a downside break below the 0.5925 support, the pair might slide toward 0.5875. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.5820.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Gold in sellHi Everyone..
in 1hr we got head and shoulder
so we place a entry in right shoulder top and also its near 50% fibo in 4hr..
but we doesn't get day sell confirmation may this current swing confirms the day sell...
we got the day then this H&D will be SWING Entry...
already price took our entry...FLOLLOW THE CHART...
i will update the future setup in comments...
NZDUSD Will Go Higher! Buy!
Here is our detailed technical review for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.588.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.591 level soon.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
✅ Daily Market Analysis - 01 MAY 2024Economic events:
USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Apr)
USA - S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
USA - ISM Manufacturing PMI (Apr)
USA - ISM Manufacturing Prices (Apr)
USA - JOLTs Job Openings (Mar)
USA - Crude Oil Inventories
USA - FOMC Statement
USA - Fed Interest Rate Decision
USA - FOMC Press Conference
On Tuesday, the S&P 500 underwent a decline, terminating its five-month streak of consecutive gains. This downturn was propelled by apprehensions surrounding inflation, ignited by data highlighting wage pressure. Concurrently, this development aligns with the commencement of the Federal Reserve's two-day meeting.
The Dow Jones Industrial Average witnessed a decline of 570 points, equating to a 1.1% decrease, while the S&P 500 experienced a 1.5% drop, and the NASDAQ Composite saw a 2% downturn. Particularly noteworthy is the S&P 500's recording of a 3% loss for the month.
NDX, SPX, and DJI indices daily chart
The escalation in US labor costs throughout the first quarter exceeded expectations, primarily propelled by rising wages and benefits. This development has revived apprehensions regarding inflation, particularly amid a diminishing investor confidence in potential Federal Reserve rate reductions.
As per the Employment Cost Index, labor expenses surged by 1.2% in the preceding quarter, following an unrevised 0.9% uptick in the quarter prior. On a year-over-year basis, labor costs climbed by 4.2%.
This report emerges following recent data indicating a buildup of price pressures in the initial quarter, amplifying concerns surrounding inflation.
The downtrend of EUR/USD persists for the second consecutive day, with the pair hovering around the 1.0650 level during Asian trading hours on Wednesday. Amid European market closures in observance of Labour Day, market participants eagerly anticipate the Federal Reserve's forthcoming policy decision.
EUR/USD daily chart
Despite the release of robust Eurozone data on Tuesday, the Euro encountered challenges in sustaining its upward trajectory. Notably, Eurozone GDP surpassed expectations, expanding by 0.3% in the first quarter. Moreover, the Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) exhibited stable year-over-year growth, meeting anticipated levels. However, the core HICP, excluding food and energy prices, exhibited a softening trend, albeit still surpassing estimates.
Investor sentiment remains optimistic regarding the possibility of interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank in June, as a majority of ECB policymakers have signaled their endorsement for such measures.
On Tuesday, the Japanese Yen incurred notable losses against its American counterpart, reversing a significant portion of the gains witnessed the previous day, driven by the potential intervention by Japanese authorities. The primary contributor to the JPY's weakness is the substantial interest rate differential between Japan and the United States, a trend expected to persist in the foreseeable future. This, combined with heightened demand for the US Dollar, propelled the USD/JPY pair higher during intraday trading.
USD/JPY daily chart
Following the publication of the AiG Industry Index on Wednesday, indicating a continued contraction in Australia's private business activity for March, the Australian Dollar remains subdued. Despite this, market sentiment suggests that the Reserve Bank of Australia will maintain its current interest rates of 4.35% in the upcoming meeting scheduled for next week.
The Australian Dollar faced additional downward pressure following the release of disappointing Aussie Retail Sales data on Tuesday, raising speculation about its potential impact on the RBA's interest rate stance. However, optimism stemming from higher-than-anticipated domestic inflation figures from the previous week has led to speculation that the central bank might delay any decisions regarding interest rate cuts.
AUD/USD daily chart
During the early Asian session on Wednesday, the NZD/USD pair faces selling pressure around the 0.5880 level. The New Zealand Dollar depreciates in response to worse-than-expected employment data from New Zealand.
NZD/USD daily chart
In the first quarter of this year, New Zealand faced a notable increase in its unemployment rate amidst a prolonged recession compounded by high-interest rate conditions. According to Statistics New Zealand's report on Wednesday, the nation's Unemployment Rate rose to 4.3% in Q1 from 4.0% in Q4, surpassing market expectations of 4.2%. Simultaneously, Employment Change figures recorded a decrease of 0.2% in Q1, contrasting with the previous reading's 0.4% rise and falling short of the projected 0.3% increase.
The upsurge in the unemployment rate may prompt the Reserve Bank of New Zealand to uphold its elevated rate for an extended duration to counter inflationary pressures. Market sentiment suggests that the RBNZ is inclined to maintain a restrictive Official Cash Rate, with any potential for rate cuts unlikely until 2025.
As the Federal Reserve initiates its two-day policy-setting meeting, market consensus leans towards the central bank maintaining its benchmark interest rate within the current range of 5.25%-5.50%, a level sustained since July.
Investors are particularly attentive to Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell's subsequent remarks following the monetary policy statement. These remarks are expected to carry substantial significance, with investors keen to glean insights into Powell's alignment with the market's less dovish perspective on the rate outlook.
NZDUSD → Correction to MA-200. The fall may continue FX:NZDUSD bounces and strengthens towards MA-200 and resistance of the current trend on H1 against the backdrop of the dollar index correction.
On D1 the medium-term outlook is clear. There are no prerequisites for the change of the global trend and most likely the fall after the resistance retest may continue. The dollar also at the moment does not give signs of reversal and fall, respectively, the bearish medium-term outlook for the currency pair NZDUSD is still relevant.
Resistance levels: MA-200, Channel Resistance, 0.6000.
Support levels: 0.5940, 0.5875
The global trend coincides with the local trend and has a bearish direction. On H1 a correction is forming, which may be over soon, after which we should wait for a decline to 0.5875.
Regards R. Linda!
🚨AUDUSD will Fall by H&S Pattern🚨🏃 AUDUSD is moving near the 🔴 Resistance zone($0.598-$0.593) 🔴 and managed to break the Support lines .
📈From the point of view of Classical Technical Analysis , it seems that AUDUSD has succeeded in forming a Head and Shoulders Pattern .
🔔I expect AUDUSD to fall at least to the 🎯 Target 🎯 I have specified on the chart.
New Zealand Dollar/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( NZDUSD ), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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