NZDUSD H4 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6327, which is a pullback resistance and a 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6275, a swing-low support level close to 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
The stop loss will be at 0.6376, a swing-high resistance level.
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Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NZDUSD
NZDUSD forming a top?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
Price action looks to be forming a top.
Short term RSI is moving lower.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
A move through 0.6275 will confirm the bearish momentum.
We look to Sell at 0.6300 (stop at 0.6330)
Our profit targets will be 0.6220 and 0.6205
Resistance: 0.6300 / 0.6315 / 0.6325
Support: 0.6275 / 0.6250 / 0.6225
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
NZDUSD - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 150 PIP ) 🟢Pair Name : NZD/USD
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
🟢Key Technical / Direction ( Short After Retest )
Type : Mid Term Swing
———————————
Bearish Break
0.62900 area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range hvn
- 3 Bounce Trend Break
- Fixed Lvn
- Day Low
Bullish Reversal
0.61500 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range Hvn
- Major Counter Trend
- Week low Area
- Pattern Target
- Fixed hvn
NZD/USD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
NZD/USD is making a bearish pullback on the 2H TF and is nearing the support line below while we are generally bullish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following long a good option for us with the target being the 0.636 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Levels discussed on Livestream (1st October)1st October
DXY: If price can break 101, could trade up to 101.40 (61.8% area)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6290 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6885 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3350 SL 20 TP 45
EURUSD: Sell 1.1075 SL 20 TP 65
USDJPY: Stay above 143.45, Buy 144.90 SL 50 TP 150
USDCHF: Continue higher, look for reaction at 0.8510
USDCAD: Buy 1.3545 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Needs to stay below 2649 to trade lower, below 2630 could trade down to 2616
NZD/USD Top-Down Market Analysisvisit fourtrades.com for more
Daily Timeframe:
In the daily chart, NZD/USD is trading within a key resistance zone around 0.6340 to 0.6380. This zone has been tested multiple times, and the price is showing signs of potential rejection, with bearish pressure building up. Traders should watch for a decisive breakout above the resistance to confirm bullish momentum, while a rejection could lead to a downward move towards the support levels around 0.6295 and 0.6252.
Key Levels:
Resistance: 0.6380
Support: 0.6295, 0.6252
4-Hour Timeframe:
In the 4-hour chart, we can see the price has broken below a rising channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. The pair is now retesting a supply zone between 0.6340 and 0.6360. This level could act as a resistance, and if the price fails to break above this zone, we may see a continued downward move towards the next demand zone around 0.6290.
Additionally, the footprint marked around 0.6320 shows an important reaction level. If this area holds, it could signal a continuation of the bearish trend.
Key Observations:
Bearish Channel Breakout
Retest of Supply Zone (0.6340 – 0.6360)
Potential targets: 0.6290, and possibly 0.6257
1-Hour Timeframe:
The 1-hour chart shows the pair breaking below a bear flag pattern, a continuation signal of the previous bearish momentum. The price is hovering near the 0.6330 level, and there are two potential scenarios from here:
Bullish Scenario: If the price pushes back above 0.6340, we may see a short-term move towards 0.6360 or higher.
Bearish Scenario: If the price breaks below 0.6330 and holds, expect the market to test 0.6300 and then 0.6250.
Traders should keep an eye on these levels, as they represent critical points for potential trade setups in both directions.
Conclusion:
NZD/USD is at a key inflection point. On the higher timeframes, the pair is testing important resistance levels, while on the lower timeframes, the breakdown of the rising channel suggests further downside potential. Traders should be cautious and wait for clear confirmations—either a break above resistance for long positions or a continued rejection for short trades. Keep an eye on the 0.6340 and 0.6290 levels for the next possible move.
NZDUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for NZDUSD.
Time Frame: 12h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 0.635.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 0.623 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Levels discussed 30th September 30th September
DXY: Price could retrace from 100.40 to 100.55 and possibly retest bearish trendline. But overall downtrend, with support at 100.20
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6345 SL 20 TP 45
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6955 SL 20 TP 50
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3355 SL 20 TP 50
EURUSD: Buy 1.1175 SL 20 TP 40
USDJPY: Sell 141.50 SL 50 TP 130
USDCHF: Buy at 0.8440 SL 20 TP 70
USDCAD: Buy 1.3545 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Could consolidate between 2640-2652 range, If broken lower, could trade down to 2616.
Kiwi H4 | Potential bullish bounce off overlap supportThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6331 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6280 which is a level that sits under a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.6418 which is a level that aligns with 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
NzdUsd could rise above 0.65Much like its larger counterpart, the AUD, the NZD found a bottom against the USD in early August.
Since then, the pair has been trending upwards and is currently testing a key resistance level.
A breakout here could lead to further gains, with the 0.65 level as the next potential target.
I'm bullish on the pair as long as the price stays above last week's low.
NZDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
NZDUSD - Potential long !! Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on NZDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is a rejection from LZ + trendline + level 0.63000.
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NZDUSD - Long Trade Idea (ICT)Price is close to some juicy equal highs, so I will be anticipating a retracement into a POI to catch a trade on a lower timeframe to that area as my low hanging fruit objective.
I see price either coming into a 2W Bullish Breaker (Coupled with a NWOG), or a 2D Bullish Orderblock.
The annotated stoploss is for illustration purposes only. Price can very well wick down there, albeit a more extreme scenario. If price closes below that 2D Bullish OB, then this long idea would be no longer valid until the equal lows are taken out.
- R2F
Bearish drop?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support level which is an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.6354
1st Support: 0.6255
1st Resistance: 0.6411
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bullish bounce?NZD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6235
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6183
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6298
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
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Kiwibank Lowers Kiwi ForecastThe New Zealand dollar (NZD/USD) has slipped below its 25-day exponential moving average (EMA) and could potentially test the 50-day EMA next. But, can sellers maintain the momentum and push further into bearish territory?
Kiwibank is betting on more downside due to faster and deeper rate cuts from the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ). However, their initial bearish outlook has softened somewhat.
"In our previous FX Tactical, we anticipated the Kiwi heading towards the 0.5700 mark. But given its reluctance to trade down to that level, we've adjusted our expectations. While we still believe the Kiwi should be lower, it's clear the 0.5700 target is less likely. At this point, 0.5900 seems a more reasonable level," the bank stated.
Further complicating the outlook is China’s influence. Like the Australian dollar, the Kiwi can find support from economic developments in China. Talks of a potential stimulus package from Beijing had initially buoyed market sentiment, but UBS remains unimpressed. The investment bank noted that the scale of China's recent measures falls short of previous stimulus efforts, which historically triggered strong market rallies. Economists cited by The Wall Street Journal share this view, pointing out that borrowing costs are already low, yet demand for credit remains sluggish. Consumer confidence, dragged down by concerns over jobs and the ongoing property market meltdown, remains near historic lows.
NZDUSD catching a falling knife at market price?NZDUSD - 24h expiry
The trend of higher lows is located at 0.6120.
A lower correction is expected.
We expect a reversal in this move.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels.
A move through 0.6300 will confirm the bullish momentum.
We look to Buy at 0.6260 (stop at 0.6220)
Our profit targets will be 0.6340 and 0.6350
Resistance: 0.6300 / 0.6325 / 0.6350
Support: 0.6275 / 0.6260 / 0.6250
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Update idea
Analysis of NZD/USD: Exchange Rate Hits Yearly High TodayAnalysis of NZD/USD: Exchange Rate Hits Yearly High Today
According to the NZD/USD chart, the exchange rate has reached 0.635 New Zealand dollars per US dollar today, its highest level since December 2023.
As reported by Trading Economics:
→ On one hand, the "kiwi" strengthened due to China's announcement of an economic stimulus package, as China is New Zealand's largest trading partner.
→ On the other hand, weaker-than-expected US consumer confidence data (CB Consumer Confidence) released yesterday also supported the pair: actual = 98.7, forecast = 103.9, previous = 105.6.
Today's technical analysis of the NZD/USD chart shows that since late July, the price has formed an upward channel (marked in blue), with the following developments:
→ Bulls managed to break the 0.630 level;
→ The 0.626 level shifted from resistance to support (indicated by an arrow);
→ Since mid-September, the price rise has been most clearly reflected by a steeper upward channel (shown by purple lines);
→ The RSI indicator on the 4-hour timeframe entered the overbought zone and has turned downwards.
It's worth noting that today’s NZD/USD chart indicates the median line is showing signs of resistance, as seen earlier in September.
Given this, the market appears vulnerable to a pullback, and we may witness a retest of the 0.630 level, reinforced by support from the purple lines.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Market Analysis: NZD/USD RisesMarket Analysis: NZD/USD Follows Suit
NZD/USD might aim for more gains above 0.6300.
Important Takeaways for NZD USD Analysis Today
- NZD/USD is consolidating gains from the 0.6350 zone.
- There is a major bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6280 on the hourly chart of NZD/USD at FXOpen.
NZD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of NZD/USD on FXOpen, the pair started a steady increase from the 0.6180 zone. The New Zealand Dollar broke the 0.6265 resistance to start the recent increase against the US Dollar.
The pair settled above 0.6280 and the 50-hour simple moving average. It tested the 0.6355 zone and is currently correcting gains. The pair corrected lower below the 0.6340 level. The NZD/USD chart suggests that the RSI is now approaching 60.
On the downside, immediate support is near the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.6209 swing low to the 0.6355 high at 0.6320.
The first key support is near a trend line at 0.6280 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 0.6209 swing low to the 0.6355 high. It is close to the 50-hour simple moving average. The next major support is near the 0.6265 level.
If there is a downside break below the 0.6265 support, the pair might slide toward the 0.6210 support. Any more losses could lead NZD/USD in a bearish zone to 0.6180.
On the upside, the pair might struggle near 0.6355. The next major resistance is near the 0.6380 level. A clear move above the 0.6380 level might even push the pair toward the 0.6440 level. Any more gains might clear the path for a move toward the 0.6500 resistance zone in the coming days.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.