NZDUSD
NZDUSD: Technical Correction and Fundamental PressAttention Traders,
Today's focus is on NZDUSD, where we're observing a potential selling opportunity around the 0.60400 zone. After trading in an uptrend, NZDUSD recently experienced a breakout and is now undergoing a correction phase, edging towards the retrace area near the 0.60400 support and resistance zone.
Expanding on our analysis, let's consider the fundamental landscape. Inflation data plays a crucial role in shaping market sentiment, and recent CPI figures highlight significant trends. Comparing recent Consumer Price Index (CPI) data reveals:
Mar 12, 2024: 0.4%
Feb 13, 2024: 0.4%
Jan 11, 2024: 0.3%
Dec 12, 2023: 0.3%
Nov 14, 2023: 0.2%
Moreover, yesterday's CPI release for April 10th reported a robust year-over-year increase of 3.5% in March, exceeding expectations and driven by upticks in housing and gasoline costs. This uptick in inflation can potentially impact currency pairs like NZDUSD, as it may prompt expectations of tighter monetary policy to combat inflation, consequently exerting downward pressure on the New Zealand dollar.
As we navigate today's trading session, it's essential to integrate both technical and fundamental analysis. The potential selling opportunity in NZDUSD at 0.60400 aligns with the broader correction phase and the impact of inflation data on currency dynamics.
Trade wisely,
Joe
NZDJPY H4 Bullish In this video, we will be discussing the bullish forecast for the NZDJPY currency pair. We will analyze the current market conditions and trends to provide insights on why we believe NZDJPY is likely to see a bullish movement in the near future. Stay tuned to learn more about potential trading opportunities and strategies for NZDJPY.
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✅NZD_USD GROWTH AHEAD|LONG🚀
✅NZD_USD is approaching a rising support
So according to our strategy
We will be looking for the signs of the reversal in the trend
To jump onto the bullish bandwagon just on time to get the best
Risk reward ratio for us
LONG🚀
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
NZDUSD - Wait For It ⏱Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 NZDUSD has been overall bearish , trading within the falling wedge pattern in blue.
Currently, NZDUSD is in a correction phase, approaching the lower bound of the wedge.
Moreover, it is retesting a strong demand in green.
🏹 Thus, the highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the green demand and lower blue trendline.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD approaches the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Levels discussed on livestream 12th April 12th April
DXY: Continue higher towards 106 resistance. Look for reaction, if reject, likely to rest at 105.80
NZDUSD: Buy 0.5950 SL 20 TP 60 (bounce off support)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6495 SL 20 TP 50
USDJPY: Sell 153.10 SL 20 TP 40
GBPUSD: Sell 1.2490 SL 20 TP 40
EURUSD: Sell 1.0650 SL 20 TP 60
USDCHF: Buy 0.9170 SL 20 TP 55
USDCAD: Buy 1.3730 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Possible continuation to upside to 2410 (Top of channel) before slight retrace lower
Strifor || EURUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: The main currency pair is most likely now the most interesting to buy, since it has the most formed buy-setup. A significant part of the buyers have already been liquidated, and growth according to scenario №1 is now most likely. Scenario №2 is considered as plan B, where buy-positions are expected at the level of 1.06500 . This level is located near the support trend line.
The target for this medium-term long trade is not considered above the level of 1.07500 .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || NZDUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: Once again, we are considering the New Zealand dollar together with the Australian dollar , well, this is not surprising given their high correlation. Here, too, a recovery is expected in the medium term, but not everything is so simple, and still, before growth, there will most likely be updates to local lows. A more optimistic scenario is exactly what it looks like and can be found on the chart within scenario №1.
Scenario №2 is more aggressive on the part of the seller, and here it would be best to look for long-positions at the support level of 0.59018 . Above the level of 0.60713 the target is not considered.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || AUDUSD-Mid-term viewPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: We consider the Australian dollar in favor of a buyer within the medium term. It should be noted here that AUDUSD and NZDUSD will most likely update at least local minimums before growing. However, current prices are also great for "step by step" accumulating a buy-position. This trade is not designed for a big move higher, as the Pacific currencies do not look so positive in the longer term. Therefore, the target for a corrective upward movement is not considered above the level of 0.66000.
We have two scenarios for this medium-term long, where scenario №1 is more likely. As there is a medium-term deal, the two scenarios are considered in combination.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Downward MomentumThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) has made a bearish reaction off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance; this FX pair could potentially fall towards the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6007
1st Support: 0.5974
1st Resistance: 0.6042
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NZDUSD H 4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price has just reacted off our sell entry at 0.5995, which is an overlap resistance level
Our take profit will be at 0.5958, an overlap support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6042, which is a pullback resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Kiwi H4 | Potential bearish breakoutThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) could fall towards a potential breakout level and drop lower from here.
Sell entry is at 0.5965 which is a potential breakout level ( wait for the 1-hr candle to close below 0.5965 for confirmation ).
Stop loss is at 0.6006 which is a level that sits above the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5925 which is a support level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Potential bearish reversalThe NZD/USD is rising towards a resistance level, which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement; it could reverse from this level to our take profit target.
Entry: 0.60459
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 0.61050
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 0.59684
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZDUSD - Keep It Simple🍰Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈 As per my last analysis, attached on the chart, NZDUSD rejected the lower bound of the channel and traded higher.
📚 Currently, NZDUSD is approaching the upper bound of the channel.
Moreover, the highlighted red zone is a strong structure acting as a minor resistance.
🏹 The highlighted red circle is a strong area to look for sell setups as it is the intersection of the upper blue trendline and red structure.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #NZDUSD approaches the red circle zone, I will be looking for bearish reversal setups (like a double top pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
Strifor || EURUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: Despite Friday's strong labor market data, the US dollar retains sell-priority, which means buy-priority for most of the American currency's main competitors. The euro is at the top of this list to buy against the US dollar .
Here, for most of this week, we highlight two scenarios, and the more likely scenario №1 assumes an increase to the maximum from current prices. The growth target is located at the level of 1.09000 , where we also set the target for scenario №2 , which involves buying from the support area of 1.08000 . Most likely, updating the previous week’s high is the key task of buyers, after which there is a high probability of the start of a deeper corrective local movement towards the level of 1.08000 and below.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || GBPUSD-10/04/2024Preferred direction: Neutral
Comment: The British currency perfectly worked out the scenario that we set at the beginning of the week, and all long trades were closed. At the moment, short-term strengthening is expected for the instrument, including, most likely, during the US CPI . However, just like the euro , a fall is expected here in the longer term. Particular attention will be focused on the level of 1.27000 after the publication of inflation data in the United States.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || EURUSD-10/04/2024Preferred direction: Neutral
Comment: According to the settings that we outlined at the beginning of the week, we continue to hold the euro long, but note that most of the profit has already been recorded, and the trade has been moved to breakeven. This also applies to other majors that we considered as part of the medium-term weakening of the US dollar .
Today is one of the most significant events of the week, namely the US CPI . The euro is expected to strengthen against the US dollar during the release of inflation data. However, more global prospects are more in favor of the seller and the likelihood of a reversal downward from the level of 1.09000 is high. In this case, we can expect a fall to at least 1.08000.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Potential bearish dropNZD/USD is rising towards a resistance level which is an overlap resistance which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 0.59910
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 0.60459
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement
Take profit: 0.59394
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
NZD/USD Dynamics Ahead of RBNZ Meeting and US CPI ReleaseAs the NZD/USD pair hovers around 0.6042, traders are closely monitoring its price action amid a backdrop of technical indicators and impending fundamental events. Recent movements suggest a potential continuation of the bearish trend, characterized by a convergence of factors including Fibonacci levels, RSI divergence, and a looming RBNZ meeting.
The NZD/USD pair has shown signs of recovery in the past day, yet remains entrenched within a bearish trend. A notable divergence in the RSI on the H4 timeframe, in conjunction with the 38.2% Fibonacci level, indicates potential weakness in the pair's upward momentum. Additionally, the presence of a bearish order block, denoted by a red rectangle, suggests a possible local double top scenario, reinforcing the bearish sentiment.
Attention turns to the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) monetary policy meeting scheduled for Wednesday. Market expectations lean towards the RBNZ maintaining its cash rates at 5.5% for the sixth consecutive meeting, with emphasis placed on the need to sustain restrictive policies to combat inflation. The RBNZ's cautious stance, particularly in light of concerns surrounding record immigration, is likely to impact the NZD/USD pair's trajectory.
Furthermore, the NZD/USD pair's recent gains coincide with improved risk appetite ahead of the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data from the United States (US). Forecasts anticipate an uptick in headline CPI for March, while the core measure is expected to moderate. However, the US Dollar (USD) is striving to regain lost ground amidst prevailing market volatility, posing potential headwinds for the NZD/USD pair.
In light of these factors, traders may consider adopting a cautious approach towards the NZD/USD pair. Monitoring key technical levels, such as the aforementioned Fibonacci retracement and RSI divergence, can provide valuable insights into potential price movements. Additionally, remaining attuned to developments surrounding the RBNZ meeting and US CPI release is essential for informed decision-making.
Given the overall bearish bias, traders may explore short-selling opportunities, particularly following a local retest of key resistance levels. However, prudent risk management practices should be adhered to, with stop-loss orders placed to mitigate potential losses in the event of adverse price movements.