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NZDUSD

NZDUSD: On an Upward Trend, but with Some ConsiderationsGreetings, fellow traders! The past week proved to be just as volatile as the preceding one. After two weeks of trading, the bulls and bears seem to have reached a stalemate. The news from RBNZ initially caused the exchange rate to drop, but it subsequently rebounded by more than 2000 pips throughout last week. Following the breakthrough of the downward trend's high on February 20th, there is technically an upward trend in place. However, it's important to note that the growth spurts are accompanied by deep corrections, indicating that the upward momentum may not be as strong. While the growth seen this week is undeniably impulsive, there are a few key points to consider. Firstly, the high did not surpass the previous peak of the trend. Secondly, an unusual configuration of two consecutive market imbalances has emerged on the daily chart. A similar scenario unfolded in early November last year and was resolved by closing these imbalances prior to the continuation of the upward trend that persisted until the end of the year: The overbought signals generated by our trading strategy indicators are also contributing to the downward pressure. We are currently exploring the possibility of an even deeper retracement into the 0.6050-0.6200 range. Our anticipated point of a decline's completion is around the 0.6110 level, which corresponds to the closure of the lower imbalance. At present, we have entered two sell positions at 0.61539 and 0.61888. We are preparing to close these positions, with a tentative target date around Tuesday, March 12th.
Short
by ForbesRatingN1
1
Strifor || AUDUSD-13/03/2024Preferred direction: Neutral Comment: After the US CPI data, the US currency strengthened, as a result of which a number of our trading ideas were successfully closed with profit. At the moment, the medium-term outlook remains in favor of the US dollar, but in the short term the main competitors of the US dollar are likely to strengthen. Thus, for the AUDUSD currency pair there is a high probability of movement according to scenario №2 . Therefore, it is best to fix most of the volume in the trade according to scenario №1 , which we previously published, and transfer this trade to breakeven. The probability of a crossover is very high, since at this high there is a large accumulation of stop losses of sellers. This will also allow the market to accumulate buyers before falling. Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
by Strifor
1
Strong bearish momentumThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) has been one of the weakest-performing currency pairs today. Could it continue to drop towards a pullback support at 0.60720 which has been identified as a pivot point? Price could potentially bounce off this this level and rise higher. Pivot: 0.60720 Support: 0.60479 Resistance: 0.61295 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Kiwi H4 | Could US data later today add downward pressure?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.61974 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 0.62330 which is a level that sits above a multi-swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.61460 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
NZ dollar dips after hot US Producer Price IndexThe New Zealand dollar has lost ground on Thursday. In the North American session, NZD/USD is trading at 0.6136, down 0.33%. On Friday, New Zealand releases the Manufacturing PMI. It was a busy day in the US, and this writer expected that retail sales would be the highlight of the day. In the end, it was the Producer Price Index which stole the show and gave the US dollar a boost after a stronger-than-expected performance. PPI for February surprised with a gain of 0.6% m/m, up sharply from 0.3% in January and the market estimate of 0.3%. This was the highest rate since August 2023 and the primary drivers of the upswing were increases in the price of goods and energy. On an annualized basis, PPI jumped 1.6%, up from a revised 0.9% in January The Federal Reserve is unlikely to get worked up from the headline reading, as core PPI eased to 0.3% m/m, down from 0.5% in January but higher than the market estimate of 0.2%. On an annualized basis, core CPI remained steady at 2%, just above the market estimate of 1.9%. Retail sales rebounded in February with a gain of 0.6% m/m, following a revised 1.1% decline in January but shy of the market estimate of 0.8%. Retail sales rose 1.5% y/y, after a zero reading in January. New Zealand will wrap up the week with Manufacturing PMI. The manufacturing sector has struggled and has been mired in negative territory for eleven straight months. Still, there was some improvement in January, as the PMI rose from 43.1 to 47.3, its highest level since June 2023. The upswing is expected to continue in February, with a forecast of 48.1. NZD/USD is testing support at 0.6154. Below, there is support at 0.6092 There is resistance at 0.6240 and 0.6302
by OANDA
Finding support at 61.8% Fibonacci retracement?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support level at 0.61295 that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level which has been identified as a pivot point. Could price find support around this region before potentially bouncing off this level and to climb higher? Pivot: 0.61295 Support: 0.60720 Resistance: 0.62111 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
NZDUSD to continue in the upward move?NZDUSD - 24h expiry There is no clear indication that the upward move is coming to an end. The correction lower is assessed as being complete. RSI (relative strength indicator) is flat and reading close to 50 (mid-point) highlighting the fact that we are non- trending. Risk/Reward would be poor to call a buy from current levels. A move through 0.6170 will confirm the bullish momentum. We look to Buy at 0.6150 (stop at 0.6130) Our profit targets will be 0.6200 and 0.6215 Resistance: 0.6170 / 0.6190 / 0.6200 Support: 0.6150 / 0.6130 / 0.6125 Risk Disclaimer The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit. You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy. Where the research is distributed in Singapore to a person who is not an Accredited Investor, Expert Investor or an Institutional Investor, Oanda Asia Pacific Pte Ltd (“OAP“) accepts legal responsibility for the contents of the report to such persons only to the extent required by law. Singapore customers should contact OAP at 6579 8289 for matters arising from, or in connection with, the information/research distributed.
Long
by OANDA
Heading into resistance?The Kiwi (NZD/USD) could rise towards an overlap resistance level at 0.6205 which has been identified as a pivot point. Could price stall around this level once again and potentially reverse to drop lower towards the 1st support? Pivot: 0.62056 Support: 0.61260 Resistance: 0.62706 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Kiwi H4 | Resistance overheadThe Kiwi (NZD/USD) could rise towards a swing-high resistance and potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target. Entry: 0.62065 Why we like it: There is a swing-high resistance level Stop Loss: 0.62700 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level Take Profit: 0.61355 Why we like it: There is an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
NZDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Short
by ShahedZare
Counter-Trend Trade on NZDUSDThis week, while many counter-trend traders might be eyeing a short on NZDUSD due to a potential setup on the 4-hourly chart, I'm taking a different approach. Why I'm Bullish: 1. The market retested the previous resistance without creating an RSI Divergence, which raises concerns for a strong bearish move. 2. I'm looking for a buying opportunity at 0.6153. Share your thoughts and trade plans for NZDUSD. What's your approach this week? Let's keep the conversation going!
Long
by RaynLim
1
Strifor || AUDUSD-NFP SetupPreferred direction: SELL Comment: The Australian dollar is also expected to undergo a downward correction, as we suppose. Against the background of today's NFP , the instrument may even grow towards the level of 0.66659 , but in the medium term, it is unlikely that the buyer will be able to gain a foothold. Perhaps not today, then at the beginning of next week, against the backdrop of depleted purchasing power, the price will tend to the level of 0.65500. There are assumptions about a fall to support 0.65010 , where a very large accumulation of long positions is located, and a re-test of this area very much suggests itself. However, this is another story, for now, we limit ourselves to the target at the level of 0.65500 . Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us! Thank you for like and share your views!
Short
by Strifor
1